Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11918 tópicos neste fórum
-
After breaking below $90,000 again, the next direction of the Bitcoin price is being hotly debated once again. This comes with the added burden of a number of major events coming around this week, as well as investor sentiment being stuck in the negative territory for an extended period of time. Crypto analyst, MarcPMarkets, shares his thoughts on the current state of the market and what investors should be looking out for as the next direction is determined. The Bearish And Bullish Scenarios In the analysis shared on the TradingView website, MarcPMarkets highlights the different scenarios that could determine where the Bitcoin price could be headed next. Cautioning inve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1627 within a downtrend channel formed on the H1 chart since early December and is likely to remain under bearish pressure in the coming hours, potentially reaching the 2/8 Murray level around 1.1596. A sharp breakout and consolidation above the 200 EMA and above the 21 SMA at about 1.1633 could allow us to continue buying the euro. EUR/USD could reach 3/8 Murray around 1.1657. A sharp breakout of the downtrend channel could give the euro strong momentum, and EUR/USD could reach 4/8 Murray around 1.1718 and finally cover the gap left around 1.1740 in October. Conversely, a drop below 2/8 Murray could change the euro's direction, and we could e…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US dollar has again strengthened against the euro, pound, and other risk assets – particularly against the Japanese yen. The weekly job growth in the private sector from ADP and strong data on job openings and labor turnover in the US from the Bureau of Labor Statistics have strengthened the US dollar. Traders interpreted this data as a sign of the ongoing strength of the US economy, which, in turn, raised expectations of a more cautious approach to monetary policy changes by the Federal Reserve. However, this is unlikely to impact today's decision by the central bank. For this reason, the dollar's strengthening has been modest. Today, the first half of the day will s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
When markets are set for a hawkish cut, the chances of a dovish surprise increase. In reality, a reduction in the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75% is not the most important event on December 10. What will be more interesting for the markets is to observe the updated FOMC economic projections and listen to Jerome Powell's speech. Ahead of the meeting, investors preferred to take a step back. No one wants to take risks. Despite the tepid response of the S&P 500 to several previous Committee meetings, this time could be different. Artificial intelligence, corporate profits, the resilience of the US economy, and expectations for monetary stimulus from the F…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Over the last few days, the Bitcoin price has fluctuated, but the most prominent moves have been upwards, going from below $90,000 to over $94,000. As expected, this rapid climb already has investors calling for a return of the bull run, but not everyone is convinced. For some, the current Bitcoin price momentum is most likely a bull trap, and crypto analyst Xanrox highlights this in a recent analysis, outlining the best level to start selling the digital asset. Why The Bitcoin Price Risks A Crash To $74,000 Xanrox’s analysis focuses on the bearish formations that have appeared on the Bitcoin price crash following the recent upward move. While many in the crypto communit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for the British pound The price test of 1.3316 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pound's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy. The absence of important fundamental statistics from the UK provided only slight support to buyers of the British pound. Amid the overall uncertainty related to the Federal Reserve's next steps, a short break from negative news allowed investors to focus on technical factors and recover part of the previously lost positions. However, it is worth noting that this growth is most likely corrective in nature and does not indicate a continuation o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the AUD/USD pair continues its consolidation near December highs as markets await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to announce its decision during the North American session today, and most analysts anticipate a 25-basis-point rate cut. This expectation has been one of the key factors behind the recent weakening of the U.S. dollar to its lowest levels since late October and the notable rise in AUD/USD observed over the past two weeks. However, market participants prefer to refrain from aggressive buying and are waiting for additional signals regarding the Fed's future policy path. Key attention will be focused on updated economic p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart has transformed, but overall remains quite clear. There is no indication that the upward trend segment, which began in January 2025, has been canceled, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex since July 1 and has taken on a more extended form. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took a very unconventional shape. Within this wave, we see exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets stretch as far as the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e wav…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In a move that could signal a bullish shift for Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut, bringing the new rate range to 3.5% to 3.75%. Bitcoin Poised To Surge Toward $100,000? Kevin Hassett, the White House economic adviser and a leading candidate to become the next Fed chair, commented to the Wall Street Journal CEO Council that there is “plenty of room” for additional interest rate cuts. He stated, “If the data suggests that we could do it, then — like right now, I think there’s plenty of room to do it.” Hassett, who is President Donald Trump’s preferred choice for the Fed cha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, from the level of 1.3378 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.3378 – the 5-period EMA (thin red line). From this line, the price may possibly rebound upward toward the target of 1.3400 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downWeekly chart – downOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:From the level of 1.3378 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving dow…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday after rebounding from the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3294 and consolidated above the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362. Thus, the upward movement may continue today if the price rebounds from this zone from above, aiming for 1.3425. Consolidation below the 1.3352–1.3362 level will favor the US dollar and a moderate decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure turned "bullish" two weeks ago. The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the last downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bullish" at this time. The news…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The decline of the dollar index (USDX), which began yesterday during the Asian trading session, accelerated significantly after the Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% rate cut. Although this decision was anticipated by the market, accompanying statements and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is ready for further rate cuts in the upcoming year. During the press conference following the policy meeting, Jerome Powell underscored the Fed's willingness to "wait and see how the economy evolves," but raising interest rates in the future is not part of the baseline scenario. The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for January 27–28. The rate-settin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
S&P 500 and Nasdaq face challenges following disappointing Oracle results Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.67%, while the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 0.33%, and the Dow Jones jumped by 1.05%. However, the rally in the stock market, driven by the Fed's interest rate cuts, has waned as disappointing results from Oracle pressured tech stocks. Oracle's earnings report raised concerns about the overall resilience of the technology sector, which has been the primary driver of market growth in recent months. The decline in Oracle's shares triggered a chain reaction affecting other major tech companies such as Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon. Inv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin rose 4% to trade at $0.14 Thursday, according to market reports. Market capitalization was about $21 billion while 24-hour trading volume hovered near $1.6 billion. The move followed renewed on-chain activity that has drawn attention from traders and analysts. Spike In Active Wallets Based on reports from BitInfoCharts, the number of daily active addresses on the Dogecoin network jumped to over 67,500 on December 3, marking the second-highest reading in the past three months. That earlier spike on September 15 came as DOGE briefly approached a local top near $0.30. At that time, network activity rose as prices climbed; today, rising wallet activity is being wa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price stayed above the $90,000 support zone. BTC is now rising and might soon aim for an upside break above the $94,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $94,500 zone. The price is trading above $92,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $92,950 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $93,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Aims Upside Break Bitcoin price failed to gain strength for a move above the $94,000 and $94,500 levels. BTC started a downside correction and traded below the $92,500 support. Ther…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It is hard to believe that less than four years ago, AVAX USDT was trading in the triple digits, at an all-time high of $158. Since that day in early 2022, Avalanche crypto has fallen by -91%, with today’s -4.2% drop the latest bloodbath for the Layer-1 blockchain project. During its height, AVAX was also a top 15 token by market cap, but has since dropped to 32nd, with a valuation of $5.3Bn, a fall from grace as the token was once valued at over $30Bn. A recent alliance with the US SEC has the Avalanche crypto community hoping that favourable oversight could rescue their token from the depths of hell. Market Cap…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to struggle below the $90,000 level, failing to reclaim higher ground as bulls focus on defending current demand zones. After a sharp correction from recent highs, price action has entered a consolidation phase that, on the surface, appears relatively calm. Volatility has compressed, and short-term price movements suggest a market pausing rather than decisively breaking down. However, this apparent stability may be misleading. According to a CryptoQuant report from XWIN Research Japan, on-chain data is signaling growing structural risk beneath the surface. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP), a metric that tracks the movement of Bitcoin between exchang…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This week, the European Central Bank will conduct a thorough data-driven assessment of its upcoming agenda to evaluate the impact of U.S. tariffs on economic growth and inflation. The key event will be the release of the first estimates of the eurozone's gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter of this year, which will come just a few hours before the ECB announces the results of its two-day monetary policy meeting. The preliminary GDP data will serve as a barometer of the region's economic health. Analysts expect a modest increase, but given the global economic slowdown and ongoing geopolitical risks, there is a possibility that the actual figures may fall sho…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
HYPE USD is back, baby! What a stunning week for the new altcoin with a +40% gain weekly candle! Investors are probably back in bullish land and eyeing even higher prices. This week we are going to have a lot of big economy news coming out, which will be significant and effect the financial markets. Will Hyperliquid sustain the momentum? Follow along for further insight. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time There was this rumour going around that ASTER was going to be a big competitor to Hyperliquid. This analysis by StrongHedge shows the correlation betw…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Shares in Glencore (LON: GLEN) climbed on Thursday after the Swiss miner and commodities trader said it remains on track to meet its full-year production targets, easing investor concerns about further operational setbacks. The company, which has frustrated shareholders in the past by repeatedly missing guidance since listing in 2011, said it expects to hit its 2025 production goals, though copper output will likely land near the lower end of forecasts. Glencore’s stock rose as much as 6.8% and last traded 6.4% higher at 373.9p, valuing the company at £43.9 billion ($58 billion). Despite a strong rebound in copper production during the third quarter, Glencore …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price is correcting gains below $112,500. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $112,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $112,000 support. The price is trading below $112,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $111,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $108,800 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $113,500 pivot level and extended losses. BTC dipped below $112,500 and $112,000 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was such that the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Speaking as a New Yorker, Andrew Cuomo never had a chance. Nobody in NYC likes him. But, with that said, if Cuomo does win he will be New York City’s first crypto mayor. Innovate NY, a pro-digital assets group, has thrown its support behind former governor Andrew Cuomo in the city’s mayoral race, spending $30,000 on flyers promoting his pro-blockchain stance and calling for a more tech-friendly New York. Even if Cuomo loses – Polymarket data gives him a 6% chance – this changes everything for crypto in NYC. Here’s how: DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Crypto Enters the Political Arena in New York (Source: Polymarket) Innovate NY’s support for Cuomo is directly d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro is trading around 1.1606, below the 200 EMA, the 21 SMA, and within the descending trend channel formed in September. The euro could continue its decline in the coming hours and reach the key support level of the 6/8 Murray indicator at 1.1474. It could even reach the bottom of the descending trend channel around 1.1430. Should the euro decisively break out of the descending trend channel and consolidate above the 200 EMA, it will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying. We could expect EUR/USD to reach the 8/8 Murray level at 1.1718 and even potentially the +1/8 Murray level at 1.1840. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, so a good area to buy th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is trading around 3,936, above the 5/8 Murray level and below the 200 EMA and 21 SMA. During recent trading, gold found strong support around 3906. This level, which coincides with the 5/8 Murray level, could present a bullish opportunity for gold to resume long positions. On the H4 chart, we observe that gold is under downward pressure, and it is likely that if there is a sharp break and consolidation below 3,906, we could expect it to reach the key 4/8 Murray level around 3,750. Conversely, if gold decisively breaks the descending trend channel and consolidates above the psychological level of $4,000, we could expect it to reach 4,062 and even 4,135. At the begi…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
