Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11918 tópicos neste fórum
-
Analysis of trades and trading advice for the British pound The price test of 1.3205 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark. This confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound and resulted in the pair dropping toward the target level of 1.3183. The lack of statistics from the UK affected GBP/USD volatility, although sellers still prevailed. During the U.S. session, FOMC member Michelle Bowman and FOMC member Lorie K. Logan are expected to speak. We'll see what comments they make following yesterday's Fed decision. The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates has undoubtedly become a catalyst for numerous questio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Shiba Inu’s effort to grow beyond being a meme coin is struggling. Its blockchain network, Shibarium, was created to bring real use and value to the project, but it has not gained much attention or activity. Developer interest and user engagement are very low, and the network’s overall growth has slowed down sharply. Recent network issues, including technical troubles and security problems, have made things worse. Many users have left, and new projects are not joining. As a result, Shibarium now shows very little activity, leading many in the crypto community to call it a “ghost chain.” Shiba Inu’s Struggle To Evolve Beyond A Meme Coin Shiba Inu tried to change its ima…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the short-term holder Realized Price, a key on-chain level. Here’s where the next major support line lies for the asset. Bitcoin Has Again Dipped Below STH Realized Price In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about some key Realized Price levels for Bitcoin. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the metric is trading above the asset’s price, it means the holders as a whole are sitting on a net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being below the spot BTC value implies the dominance of loss on the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The open interest in XRP and Solana (SOL) futures and options has reached a record $3 billion on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). According to the CME data, this remarkable milestone was reached during Monday’s session, which saw both XRP and Solana reach their highest level of participation. Both cryptocurrencies have gained traction among institutional investors, who are now treating XRP and Solana as serious alternatives to Bitcoin and Ethereum in the derivatives market. CME’s Record $3 Billion Milestone Data from CME Group reveals that open interest in XRP and Solana futures has climbed to about $3 billion in total value. The figure captures the total capital…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Binance founder Changpeng ‘CZ’ Zhao created a stir in the market over the weekend after revealing he had made a personal investment in the ASTER crypto token, which led to a sharp market rally for the struggling asset. CZ took to X to publicly disclose that he had purchased 2,090,598.14 ASTER tokens, worth approximately $2 million, at an average price of $0.91 per token. He stated, “I bought some ASTER on Binance today with my own money. I’m not a trader; I bought it and I’ll hold it.” The ASTER price surged following CZ’s announcement, rising from around $0.90 to $1.25, representing an increase of approximately 35%. It has since cooled down and is currently trading for…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is trading around $3,987 within an upward trend channel formed on October 27 and is likely to continue rising in the coming days until it reaches the top of the upward trend channel, around $4,120. If the price consolidates above the 200 EMA at 3,955 in the coming hours, any technical bounce, as long as the price remains above this zone, could be seen as a buying opportunity with short-term targets around the 7/8 Murray level at 4,218. Conversely, if the instrument falls below 3,950, we could expect it to reach the 5/8 Murray level around 3,906 and even continue its downward cycle, reaching the 4/8 Murray level around 3,750. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Polkadot’s DOT traded around $2.65 on Friday. The price was flat on the day while traders watched how the network settled after a major upgrade earlier in the week. DOT’s market value stood near $4.34Bn, with about $260M changing hands over 24 hours. (Source: Coingecko) The quiet trading comes after Polkadot confirmed that its Asset Hub migration finished on Nov. 4. The upgrade was carried out on-chain and completed without issues. According to the project’s support pages, users did not need to take any action. Developers say the change streamlines the network’s structure and improves how assets move within the ecosystem. Parity Technologies, which helps maintain …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
I-80 Gold (TSX: IAU; NYSE-A: IAUX) has released a new high-grade polymetallic resource at its FAD project in Nevada to help sell the non-core asset. The resource totals 594,000 indicated tonnes grading 4.51 grams per tonne gold, 209.7 grams silver, 4.3% lead and 6.8% zinc for 86,000 oz. of contained gold, 4 million oz. silver, 57 million lb. lead and 89 million lb. zinc i-80 said late Thursday. FAD also hosts 2.74 million inferred tonnes at 5 grams gold, 188.6 grams silver, 3.7% lead and 4.4% zinc for 446,000 oz. gold, 16.6 million oz. silver, 223 million lb. lead and 267 million lb. zinc. “As part of the recapitalization plan, i-80 is contemplating selling the FA…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Friday's Trade Analysis: 1-Hour Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also traded higher on Friday, but the British currency is under a clear descending trend line, so it is still too early to discuss the end of this downward trend. It should be noted that the pound sterling, like the euro, has been declining for a month and a half. Fairly speaking, the pound has had occasional factors contributing to its decline (unlike the euro), but the pound has depreciated much more than the European currency. Overall, the global fundamental backdrop remains significantly unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. Thus, it is also not possible to explain the one-and-a-half-month decline of th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday; however, it's important to note that the market has recently ignored many reports and events. Additionally, due to the U.S. shutdown, labor market and unemployment data have not been released for a month and a half (excluding the incomplete and inaccurate ADP report). As a result, it is currently extremely difficult to determine the state of the American labor market, which has recently raised numerous concerns among Federal Reserve officials. Other important reports often do not provoke logical reactions. Thus, novice traders may very well experience yet another "boring Monday" wit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)This week, the market may begin moving downward from the level of 1.1563 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), targeting 1.1391 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1488 — a historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume analysis — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardMonthly chart — downwardConclusion from the comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall Summary for the Weekly Candle of EUR/…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
From November 10 to 12, the power players of digital finance will descend on Miami. Michael Saylor, Cathie Wood, Eric Trump, and a roster of heavy hitters are set to headline Cantor Fitzgerald’s 3rd annual Crypto & AI/Energy Infrastructure Conference; it’s a three-day gathering at the Ritz-Carlton in South Beach Sounds fancy, huh? I’m sad I didn’t get the invite. The timing, however, couldn’t be more strategic as both the crypto market and energy-infrastructure sectors, like Nvidia, are at critical inflection points. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Michael Saylor Making Moves? Why This Cantor Conference Is a Key Moment (Source: Cantor) Before the conf…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1572 within a descending trend channel formed on September 11th, facing strong resistance around 1.1596. It is expected that the euro will struggle to continue rising in the coming hours due to strong resistance around the 7/8 Murray level. A pullback below this zone could trigger a sharp technical correction during which EUR/USD could even reach the 6/8 Murray level at 1.1474. In case of a decisive break above the 7/8 Murray level, we could expect EUR/USD to reach 1.1718 and even close the gap left in October around 1.1740. The outlook remains bullish for the euro. Therefore, any pullback will be seen as a buy signal. If the euro pulls back to…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro-dollar pair reacted quite calmly to the news that senators had agreed to end the longest shutdown in U.S. history. At the market open, the price dropped only 20 pips – sellers could not develop a downward movement. The short-term southern momentum faded, and the initiative in the pair shifted to EUR/USD buyers, who, however, have not yet achieved any success. The pair is attempting to overcome the resistance level at 1.1590 (the Tenkan-sen line on the D1 time frame)—but lethargically, "without fire." In my opinion, there are several reasons for this caution. First, the shutdown is not yet officially over. Senators have taken a serious first step toward ending…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The pound has been actively rising against the dollar for the second consecutive week, reflecting the overall weakness of the American currency. Last week, the GBP/USD pair rebounded from the 30th figure and is now approaching the resistance level at 1.3200 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands on H4 and, simultaneously, the upper boundary of the Kumo cloud on the same time frame). The dollar reacted weakly to the news that U.S. senators had preliminarily agreed to adopt a temporary budget, thus ending the shutdown. After a minor decline (only 30 pips), the GBP/USD pair reversed sharply and hit its one-and-a-half-week high at 1.3190. The dollar did not benefit from t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Fortune Minerals (TSX: FT) announced Monday that it has entered into a binding offer letter for a loan of C$3.8 million ($2.7 million from Prosper NWT, a public agency of the Government of Canada’s Northwest Territories. The loan will enable Fortune to complete the purchase of the Lamont County, Alberta refinery and existing facilities from JFSL Field Services LLC where the company plans to construct a hydrometallurgical facility to process concentrates from the NICO cobalt-gold-bismuth-copper mine in the NWT. The NICO project is an advanced-stage asset consisting of a proposed open pit and underground mine and concentrator. Anchoring the mine is a cobalt-gold-…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Internal Revenue Service has published new guidance that clears the way for crypto exchange-traded products to participate in staking without risking their tax classification. This update, labeled Revenue Procedure 2025-31, gives certain trusts the green light to engage in staking while maintaining their federal income tax status. It is a step that could change how retail investors interact with staking rewards, especially through regulated products. How the New Framework Actually Works According to the IRS, a trust can stake digital assets as long as it only holds one type of asset alongside cash and relies on a qualified custodian. The rules are specific to permiss…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is trading around $4,132 with a strong upward movement that began at the opening of this week's session. Over the past 24 hours, gold has gained more than $140 in price. Yesterday, at the opening of this week's trading, gold was hovering around $4,000. Now, the price is around $4,132, so it is likely to continue rising until it reaches strong resistance at $4,162. On the H4 chart, we can see that gold is trading within an upward trend channel and is likely to reach overbought levels, given the strong resistance at the $4,162 and $4,155 levels. The Eagle indicator has reached overbought levels, so we should be very cautious in case a technical correction occurs during…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Tuesday, with the most significant ones coming from the UK. The unemployment rate, changes in the number of unemployment benefit claims, and wage changes will be published in Great Britain. Recall that the Bank of England expects further increases in unemployment to 5.1%, while official forecasts suggest a rise to 4.9% for the end of September. Thus, the British pound will struggle to garner market support today, but we continue to believe the market is largely overlooking the macroeconomic backdrop. In Germany and the Eurozone, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Indexes will be published, whi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin rose to $107,500 today, then quickly fell back to around $105,000. It seems that $105,000 is currently a balanced midpoint, above which there are significantly fewer buyers. Consolidation is necessary for further growth, so there are no serious concerns regarding the bullish market that began last weekend. Today, an interesting report from CryptoQuant caught my eye, highlighting a sharp increase in spot market demand for BTC. This is corroborated by the increase in Bitcoin outflows from centralized exchanges. Large investors appear to be actively absorbing the available supply, withdrawing coins to cold wallets for long-term storage. Such a trend usually indicate…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Tuesday, from the level of 1.1556 (the close of yesterday's daily candle), the market may begin to move upward with a target of 1.1584 – the 21-period EMA (thin black line). When testing this line, the price may possibly pull back downward to test the retracement level of 14.6% – 1.1534 (thin yellow line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardVolume – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the level of 1.1556 (the close of yesterday's daily candle), the price may begin to move upward with…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3184 (the close of yesterday's daily candle), the market may begin to move downward with a target of 1.3110 – the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly begin to move upward with a target of 1.3148 – the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – downwardVolume – downwardCandlestick analysis – downwardTrend analysis – downwardBollinger Bands – downwardWeekly chart – downwardOverall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario:From the level of 1.3184 (the close of yesterday's daily candle), the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone, Bitcoin has entered a “do-or-die” phase as traders watch a narrow price band for signs of direction. From an Oct. 6 level of $123,500, the coin tumbled almost 20% to a low of $99,900 on Nov. 4 before recovering to about $106,350. Reports show the move left Bitcoin roughly 14% below its earlier October peak. Make Or Break Zone For Bitcoin Based on trend lines and monthly charts, McGlone points to a rollover pattern after the months-long climb that culminated in an Oct. 6 high marked on some charts at $126,270. The immediate technical test is the 200-day moving average, which sits near $110,000. According to his vie…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: TRUMP and MELANIA’s outsized moves revived meme risk, setting up spillover flows into presales and listed tokens with liquidity. Bitcoin Hyper ties meme-market throughput to Bitcoin settlement, a credible narrative if $BTC-aligned activity keeps growing. Maxi Doge prioritizes brand and staking flywheels, a classic meme recipe that extends holding periods during presale phases. Useless Coin offers immediate exposure on major exchanges with a $185 market cap, making it a tradable meme beta vehicle. Trump-themed memecoins just ripped out of a lull and dragged the sector back into the spotlight. $TRUMP jumped by 14% in the last week, while $MELANIA exploded…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin is attempting to stabilize after a sharp shakeout, and one technician argues the market just telegraphed its line in the sand. In a weekly chart shared on X, independent analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) highlights a “solid bounce” from the weekly 200-EMA and a swift move back into the year’s dominant trading range. At press time on the chart, price sits near $0.1828, with the blue 200-week moving average rising just beneath the market around the $0.16 handle. Is This The Local Dogecoin Bottom? Kevin’s framework is straightforward and level-driven. He points to $0.202 as the immediate pivot on a three-day closing basis. Reclaiming $0.202, he says, would put DOGE b…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
