Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11917 tópicos neste fórum
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Senator Elizabeth Warren is turning up the heat on the Department of Justice. She wants real answers about how the agency is handling Binance after the company’s massive 2023 settlement. Warren says the DOJ is dodging her questions and that the public deserves more clarity about what’s actually happening behind the scenes. Questions That Still Haven’t Been Answered Back in May, Warren and two other senators sent a letter asking the DOJ if Binance was sticking to its side of the deal. They also wanted to know whether the department had discussed a pardon for Binance’s co-founder Changpeng Zhao. The DOJ responded, but Warren says the answers were vague and didn’t actually …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a crypto project linked to US President Donald Trump and the extended Trump family, including Eric Trump, Donald Trump Jr., and Barron Trump, faced a security breach in September and has recently made it public. On Wednesday, 19 November 2025, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: …
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Washington State just dropped the hammer on a crypto-linked fraud operation, filing to seize $7.1 million in digital assets tied to an international oil storage scam. The scheme lured investors with promises of high returns, but it turns out that everything is smoke. Backed by the DoJ and Homeland Security Investigations, the civil action targets crypto wallets allegedly used to launder investor funds. The main suspect, Geoffrey K. Auyeung, already faces a criminal indictment and could see up to 200 years behind bars. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.36T24h7d30d1yAll time Inside the Oil Storage Scam: Crypto, Shell Companies, and Global Laundering Fraud Investigation suggest…
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South Korea has quietly produced two new crypto billionaires, putting them in the same league as Changpeng “CZ” Zhao and Justin Sun. Song Chi-hyung and Kim Hyoung-nyon, the co-founders behind Upbit operator Dunamu Inc., crossed the billionaire mark in 2025 after agreeing to sell their company last week. The buyer is Naver Financial, part of Korean tech giant Naver. The deal is an all-stock transaction worth about 15.13 trillion won, or $10.27Bn. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Where Do Song and Kim Rank Among Global Crypto Founders? It is one of Asia’s largest crypto deals this year. And it shows how seriously big…
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The Bitcoin price has not had quite the same spark it did at the beginning of the last month so far in June. The premier cryptocurrency has somewhat struggled to break out of a consolidation range since reaching a new all-time high in the month of May. The Bitcoin price recently succumbed to bearish pressure, falling to around $101,000 on Friday, June 6. While the market leader has enjoyed some resurgence to begin the weekend, a prominent blockchain firm has now identified significant levels in the event of a return to the $100,000 level in the coming days. Here Are The Next Support Levels For BTC In a June 6 post on the social media platform X, crypto analytics firm Se…
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Hours after Ripple Labs said it would abandon its long-running appeal in its securities case with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, watched market technician CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) on X argued that XRP’s price structure has already completed its corrective phase and is “now wave 3 in motion.” The pseudonymous trader described how Friday’s slide to $2.07 had “tagged” three separate Fibonacci confluence markers—the 0.618 retracement of the March-to-May rally, a 1:1 equality projection for wave C of the prior correction, and a 0.618 extension of sub-wave 5. “The market snapped upward from that exact price,” she observed, before adding: “$2.07 tagged. $2.25 loadin…
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Crypto analyst XForce has predicted that the XRP price could rally to $10 on a wave 3 impulsive move to the upside. The analyst also indicated that the bottom was in for XRP even as the crypto market remains in a downtrend. XRP Price Headed To $10 On Wave 3 Move In an X post, XForce told XRP holders to get ready for a rally to $10 or higher, which he described as a conservative wave 3 target. He noted that there are minor market inefficiencies in the local timeframes for the XRP price. However, the analyst added that the macro chart shows clear accumulation and a solid price floor after almost a year of distribution. Crypto analyst CasiTrades had also predicted that …
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The XRP price may be on the verge of a significant breakout, according to a new wave count analysis combining the Elliott Wave Theory and the Wyckoff reaccumulation principles. After months of sideways trading and corrective movement, analysts have pinpointed a critical price level that could serve as a trigger point for XRP’s next leg higher. XRP Price Primed For Major Lift-Off From This Level A new analysis published by crypto analyst the ‘Charting Prodigy’ on X (formerly Twitter) suggests that the XRP price is following a clear Elliott Wave structure that began forming after the April lows this year. The price has completed Wave 1 of a new impulse cycle, followed by …
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Singapore-based WazirX is shifting its base to Panama after local courts ruled against its restructuring plan. The crypto exchange announced the court’s decision via a post on X on 4 June 2025. In an email shared with its user base, WazirX detailed recently redacted documents revealing Zettai, WazirX’s parent company, will move to Panama and rebrand itself in the region. The document read, “Zettai has taken steps to incorporate a subsidiary, Zensui Corporation, in the Republic of Panama, and has been preparing for the transfer of the operations of the Platform’s cryptocurrency-related services to Zensui.” This news comes in the wake of Singapore’s central bank mandatin…
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Many economists continue to highlight the weakness in the labor market and do not believe in its recovery. There could have been no recovery in September, as the Federal Reserve only resumed monetary policy easing on September 17. In October, America was overwhelmed by a government shutdown, and there may be no data for that month at all. Even if the Bureau of Statistics somehow manages to compile reports, how accurate will they be? Additionally, at least six Fed officials drew the market participants' attention to inflation last week. Let's do the same. Inflation in America reached its low of 2.3% year-on-year in April of this year, right when Trump first imposed tariffs…
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The latest What Bitcoin Did episode, hosted by Danny Knowles, turns squarely to the question stalking one of the market’s hottest trades: can the boom in “Bitcoin treasury” companies withstand the next prolonged drawdown? Dylan LeClair, who helps lead the Bitcoin strategy at Tokyo-listed MetaPlanet, argues the answer rests less on ideology than on balance-sheet engineering, scale, and the willingness to endure volatility without blinking. “There’s sort of a ‘gradually then suddenly’ inflection point,” he said, describing how corporate exposure to Bitcoin has migrated from gimmick to boardroom agenda. The shift, in his view, is irreversible, but survival “is a constant fig…
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BNB appears to be regaining strength after a brief pause, with bulls showing signs of renewed intent. Despite a weak Wave (5) formation, the broader uptrend remains intact, and momentum is quietly building. If the push continues, the next major test lies near the $1,300 zone — a level that could define BNB’s bullish chapter. Wave (5) Weakness Signals Possible Completion Of The Bounce Providing an update to a previous post on BNB, More Crypto Online highlighted that the recent bounce visible on the chart may now be nearing its completion phase. While price action initially appeared promising, momentum has started to weaken, raising questions about the sustainability of th…
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Despite a slight recovery in cryptocurrency prices on Wednesday, experts remain divided on the future direction of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL). The market is at a crossroads, with some analysts anticipating a deeper correction, while others see the potential for a renewed recovery. iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF Hits 52-Week Low According to a report from Barron’s, all three cryptocurrencies have attracted attention from major exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers and President Trump’s administration, spurring hopes that increased institutional adoption could help stabilize volatility. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF is currently trading more than 20% below…
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Two currencies are at the center of Forex movement in this volatile session: the Kiwi and the Yen — and not in a favorable spot. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a 50 bps rate cut, twice as large as many anticipated and only half priced in before the event. The decision followed a string of disappointing economic data that confirmed deeper cracks in New Zealand’s fragile economy — a trend that had pushed markets toward a dovish repricing earlier this summer. With the move from the central bank, the NZD took a large hit, particularly from the hesitant pre-meeting pricing (a smaller 25 bps was also 50% priced). But how much worse can it get? A larger cut today ma…
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Pi Squared has announced the launch of its Devnet 2.0 to bring “internet-speed payments” to Web3 and advance its goal of 1 million transactions per second (TPS) by 2026. Pi Squared Unveils New Upgrade On Wednesday, Pi Squared, a project behind an infinitely scalable network for internet-speed payments, announced the launch of Devnet 2.0, a major upgrade to its Web3 verifiable settlement protocol. Notably, Pi Squared is building FastSet, an infinitely scalable, decentralized payments network designed to deliver “uncapped throughput, internet speed finality, and real-time verifiability.” The network settles transactions in parallel, which allows it to process more transa…
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The Israel-Iran war continues, but outside of oil, the capital markets have barely reacted. WTI rose by about 2.7% last week after a 13% rally the previous week. It reached levels not seen since early January. The average retail price of unleaded gasoline has risen by almost 2.5% this month. The price of gold fell by nearly 2% last week, its first weekly decline in three. The dollar rose against all of the G10 currencies. The US tariff threats, with postponement of the so-called reciprocal tariffs coming to an end on July 9, continue to cast a long shadow. The last-minute scramble for deals has begun. The recent doubling of the US steel and aluminum tariffs to 50% seem to…
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The markets were not impressed with the ADP private sector jobs estimate. Although it increased for the first time since July, the average over the three months through October was 3.3k, the weakest since August 2020. The Dollar Index snapped a five-day advance after the mid-week report and will begin the new week with a three-day downdraft in tow. Despite several Fed officials seeming to question the desirability of a cut in December, the market was undeterred, and the Fed funds futures market continues to almost a 70% chance of a cut. The US government remains closed, and in addition to the missed paychecks, it is also disrupting air traffic with delays and as of Monday…
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The US dollar traded heavily last week, losing ground to all the G10 currencies, but the Swiss franc. The franc seemed to be dragged down by the use of it rather than the yen as a funding currency. Japanese officials protested the pace of the yen's weakness, while Swiss authorities seem to welcome the franc's pullback, not only against the dollar but the euro, too. Elsewhere, the Mexican peso and Chinese yuan rose to new highs for the year last week. The key event next week is the Federal Reserve meeting. There are three other G10 central banks that meet, but the others, the Reserve Bank Australia, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of Canada will stand pat. There is …
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The week ahead features five G10 central bank meetings. Two will most likely cut rates, the US and Canada, and two will stand pat, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. Norges Bank, Norway's central bank also meets. It is a close call but we lean slightly in favor of it cutting 25 bp, which would bring the deposit rate to 4%. The Federal Reserve is the most interesting. First, the Senate is expected to confirm President Trump's nomination, Stephen Miran as appointment as Fed governor Monday afternoon, less than 24 hours before the beginning of the FOMC meeting. While a 25 bp cut is the most likely scenario, the derivatives markets are discounting almost a 10% chanc…
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President Trump says there are trade talks with China. Beijing denies it. Around the time the US reports that the world's largest economy contracted slightly in Q1 (0.3% annualized), US Treasury Secretary Bessent said that the effective embargo was shutting down the China's economy. The week ended with China's Commerce Ministry statement that it was evaluating US overtures for trade talks, which implies the US caved, as the psych-ops continue. Trump and Bessent's call for lower interest rates will get little attention for the Federal Reserve. With a decent jobs report in hand, the Fed has no incentive to either cut rates or signal that it is preparing to cut. The uncertai…
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The market was caught leaning the wrong way. Anticipation that Federal Reserve Governor Powell was going to push against speculation of a September rate cut had underpinned the US dollar and short-term rates. The S&P 500 had sold off for five consecutive sessions, the longest losing streak of the year through August 21. Powell said two things that spurred a rally in US financial assets and triggered a sharp and broad dollar sell-off. The Fed Chair said that the "situation suggests downside risks to employment are rising" and that the "shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting policy." Moreover, we note that the early forecasts point to another poor employment re…
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The response of the US dollar and Treasuries to Israel's attack on Iran and the palatable risk of escalation was uninspiring. It supports the popular narrative about the changing role of the US dollar and assets in the world economy. US stocks and bond sold off ahead of the weekend. It should not be regarded as a "smoking gun" but part of an incremental addition to the accumulating evidence. The G7 meeting in Canada (June 15-17) may command attention, but if it can agree on a statement, it will be likely be so bland to express the divergence of views (and the apparent isolation of the US) that it likely have limited impact in the capital markets. The US dollar has tended …
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Between its trade war and the "big, beautiful budget", which is both regressive and adds on more debt, the US has roiled the capital markets. Before the weekend, the US said the EU was not negotiating in good faith. President Trump threatened a 50% tariff as of June 1. This looks harsher than the current state of play with China. Europe's Stoxx 600 was sold, and it suffered its biggest loss since April. He also called for a 25% tariff on Apple and Samsung smartphones. Benchmark 10-year yields fell 5-8 bp. The euro itself dropped about two-thirds of a cent but recovered to settled around 0.7% higher on the day and posted its first weekly gain since the week ending April 18…
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The US dollar fell through the first part of last week and lows for the year against sterling G10 currencies were set in the initial reaction to the rate cut by the FOMC. However, Chair Powell press conference and a look at the Summary of Economic Projections were not as dovish the rate cut and concerns about the deterioration of the labor market seemed to suggest. US yields rose and the dollar recovered, with new highs for the week seen ahead of the weekend. There appears to be scope for additional near-term modest US dollar gains. They should be understood as corrective in nature. Given that the thunder from PCE deflator has already been stolen by the CPI and PPI, and …
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The dollar traded choppily last week but settled higher against all the G10 currencies. It finished the week on a firm note. The messy upside correction for the dollar may continue. Despite disappointing retail sales and manufacturing output, and softer than expected CPI and PPI, the market has pushed the next Fed cut into Q4 from Q3. Most of the other G10 central banks will likely (again) cut before the Federal Reserve. Halfway through the quarter, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker has Q2 growth at 2.4%, which if accurate, would probably be the best in the G10. Still the 90-day reduction of US (and Chinese) punitive tariffs has seen shipment orders surge, and imports, wit…
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