Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11893 tópicos neste fórum
-
The Cardano (ADA) price is flying under the radar amid growing accumulation by large-holders (“whales”) and a technical formation that traders seldom ignore, a symmetrical triangle. With ADA currently trading around $0.66, after briefly reaching $0.69 earlier in the week, the stage appears set for a breakout, or a breakdown. Analysts suggest that if the bullish scenario prevails, ADA could target $1 and beyond, potentially even reaching $5 or more in a longer-term move. Whale Accumulation Signals Long-Term Confidence Despite short-term price softness, on-chain data reveal that wallets holding large quantities of ADA are steadily increasing their positions. According t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Reports have disclosed that 16 wallets picked up 431,018 Ether between September 25 and 27, spending about $1.73 billion to do so. The buys came through names like Kraken, Galaxy Digital, BitGo, FalconX and OKX. That scale of accumulation pushed attention back to who is buying the dip, and why larger players seem willing to add exposure while prices wobble. Exchange Balances Fall To 9-Year Low According to Glassnode data, the amount of ETH held on exchanges has plunged from roughly 31 million to about 14.8 million ETH — a drop of 52% from 2016 levels. Many of those coins are likely in staking contracts, cold wallets or institutional custody, and the recent launch of t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin (DOGE) is riding a fresh wave of bullish momentum after whales scooped up 1 billion DOGE, worth roughly $200 million, in just 24 hours. The massive accumulation has helped push DOGE over 11.2% higher in the past day, with prices currently hovering around $0.24, according to CoinMarketCap. Large-holder ownership now sits near 50% of the total supply, a sign of growing institutional confidence. Analysts note that this kind of concentrated buying can reduce sell-side liquidity, potentially paving the way for bigger moves ahead. Technical charts suggest an 18% upside toward the $0.26 zone, with bulls eyeing a breakout above $0.28 that could open the path to $0.35.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has been on a tear lately. Prices jumped past $123,000 this week. Now, new figures show that fresh money is flowing into the market again. That’s a sharp change after months of muted retail interest. Fresh Capital Flooding In According to on‑chain data from Glassnode, first‑time buyers picked up an extra 140,000 BTC over the past two weeks. Their holdings climbed from 4.77 million to nearly 5 million BTC—a 2.86% rise. That influx of fresh coins helped push Bitcoin past its latest high. It also shows that new investors are gaining confidence in the world’s biggest cryptocurrency. Short‑Term Holders Hit A New Cost Base Newer players aren’t the only ones get…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Decentralized token folios (DTFs) are tokenized bundles of crypto assets, or a digital portfolio you can tweak on-chain. The Reserve Protocol, powered by RSR, crafts what’s in the portfolio to offer crypto diversification, according to the assets’ price and size. Interestingly, the recent 1.28 million RSR burn event has brought bullish sentiment on how it would impact the crypto price and the protocol’s future. The first burn, which happened exactly a month ago, did come with a promise of monthly repeats. The goal is to shrink RSR’s supply and nudge its value up by slashing supply and bumping demand. With the next burn lined up for today, June 20th, we are about to see …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Memecore ($M) is back in the spotlight, surging 55% in the past week and breaking out of a stubborn descending wedge pattern. Backed by heavy trading volume and an $870M market cap, the move has traders eyeing a potential 160% push toward its all-time high near $1. Why does this matter? Because Memecore’s breakout isn’t just a single-chart anomaly; it’s a signal that meme coin momentum is waking up again after weeks of sluggish price action. When a mid-cap like Memecore starts ripping, it often stirs up retail FOMO across the entire sector. That renewed energy is why it’s worth watching the meme coin landscape closely. In this piece, we’ll break down three of the most …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
China has decided to tighten export conditions for rare earth metals starting December 1, 2025. The United States is actively trying to dissuade Beijing from implementing these restrictions. The question is—why, and what could this mean for the rest of the world? China controls, by various estimates, up to 90% of global rare earth metals production. These resources are critical in sectors including automotive manufacturing, electronics, defense systems, and aerospace. While China has not announced a full export embargo, its rhetoric on the issue has already put many countries on edge. As of now, special government approval will be required to purchase these metals from Ch…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A recent analysis by a crypto market expert has reignited interest in XRP’s potential utility, especially in the context of Ripple capturing a portion of SWIFT’s global transaction volume. According to the expert, if Ripple secures just 14% of SWIFT’s market share, the implications for XRP’s supply and potential could be significant. XRP’s Potential If Ripple Takes On 14% Of SWIFT Market expert Crypto Eri has emphasized, through detailed mathematical calculations, the impact Ripple, capturing 14% of SWIFT’s total annual cross-border volume, could have on XRP’s supply and daily transactions. Notably, the market expert emphasized that if Ripple were to process such a perce…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Before analyzing all the aspects of a "government shutdown" and its impact on the economy, it's worth recalling that the last time the U.S. government suspended operations was six years ago. Previously, it occurred in 2013–2014. In both cases, the American economy lost between 0.4% and 0.6% of its GDP. So it's naive to think that this time there will be no or minimal losses. The U.S. economy is bound to take a hit. The first issue to consider is the fate of federal employees. They are once again being sent on an unplanned vacation, as Donald Trump refuses to make compromises with Democrats. If the shutdown lasts one to two weeks, it won't be catastrophic. But what if it d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Six years ago, as many economists acknowledge, the government shutdown was not a total shutdown. At that time, the U.S. Congress had managed to approve at least part of the budget for the upcoming fiscal year, so not all federal employees were at risk of being furloughed. In 2025, however, the situation is very different. Virtually all public servants are now under threat because Democrats and Republicans have failed to agree on fundamental spending issues. It's also important to note that a U.S. federal employee is not limited to the stereotypical desk worker or postal carrier. It also includes military personnel, who, although they will not be dismissed, will also not r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Perhaps the most interesting aspect for us as traders is the statistical picture. Since the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is also a government agency, all upcoming labor market reports will not be published during the shutdown. As I've mentioned before, I personally doubt this is inevitable, but no one knows for sure at this point. If the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report doesn't come out this Friday, the market will find it extremely difficult to assess the condition of the U.S. labor market — especially after five consecutive months of weak numbers. Even more complicated will be the situation for the Federal Reserve, because on what basis will it set monetary policy if it…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The final — and perhaps most important — point to consider is the economy. When government spending is slashed and up to 1 million federal employees are furloughed, economic and business activity drops abruptly. American consumers cut back on spending, and business revenues, along with personal incomes, decline. Between 2018 and 2019, the U.S. economy contracted by 0.4%, and between 2012 and 2013, by 0.6%. However, economists noted that the 2018–2019 shutdown was only partial, while in 2012–2013, it was total. This means that in just two weeks of a total shutdown, the U.S. economy sustained one and a half times more damage than it did during five weeks of a partial shutdo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Two days remain before the deadline, yet amid recent headlines, the market has almost overlooked the approaching new fiscal year in the U.S. By itself, the start of the fiscal year is usually a formality, but in America, it has become an annual political standoff. Democrats and Republicans once again cannot agree on spending plans for the coming year. The Democratic Party demands the preservation of tax breaks and healthcare subsidies for the American population, while the Republican Party (read—Donald Trump) insists on cutting expenditures in precisely these areas. Previously, Republicans passed most bills in both chambers of Congress with a simple majority. The situatio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
There is yet another problem that could prove very costly for the dollar. Some economists are already warning that the upcoming reports on the U.S. economy are at risk of disruption. If the government shuts down, and with it most federal agencies, who will compile the data for economic indicators? And if the data are released, how much credibility will they have? Confidence in the U.S. Bureau of Statistics has already declined sharply after the dismissal of its director, Erica McEntarfer, as many market participants now question the accuracy of the data. It is no secret that Trump has every reason to present the results of his policies in the most favorable light possible…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For many Americans approaching or already in retirement, the need for reliable, inflation resistant assets has never been greater. Globally recognized gold bar brands play a crucial role in strengthening a physical Gold IRA because their quality and transparency give investors confidence that their wealth is protected for the long term. Understanding which refiners the world trusts can help retirees make informed decisions that preserve purchasing power and diversify away from Wall Street dependency. Why Trusted Gold Bar Brands Matter for Retirement Savers When adding physical gold to a self-directed Gold IRA, choosing bars produced by reputable, globally recognized refin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday evening, the FOMC minutes were released in the U.S. To be honest, I do not pay much attention to these minutes, as they rarely prompt market participants to react. It should be understood that they are published with a three-week delay, and many of the points raised by the Federal Reserve officials at that time are no longer relevant. It is no secret that the FOMC's position changes over time, influenced by economic data. While there has been little data from the U.S. in the last three weeks, some information has emerged. We have already been briefed on the positions of almost all officials through their own speeches. Thus, the FOMC minutes did not generate m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, the long-awaited report was released, and market participants had high hopes for it while also understanding that it would have a minimal impact on the Federal Reserve's decision in December. Data on unemployment and the labor market have their own "expiration dates." No one will take the September report seriously in December. Even with the Bureau of Labor Statistics not publishing October reports, the relevance of the September data remains questionable. As a result, we observed a very weak reaction to Thursday's reports. First, the reports contradicted each other; second, the data is outdated. However, we can still draw some conclusions. If the labor marke…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Wednesday was notable not only for the ADP, ISM, and industrial production reports but also for another speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. It is worth recalling that the ECB intends to keep interest rates unchanged in the near future, as there is no need for either an increase or a decrease. Inflation in the European Union remains stable and close to the central bank's target. Lagarde has previously stated that the ECB is satisfied with the current rate of price growth in the Eurozone. Concerns are raised primarily by the pace of economic growth, which remains relatively weak despite interest rates being lowered to a "neutral range." On average, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What did Jimmy Kimmel say to get fired? Why did he say the killer was a groyper? ABC has suspended Jimmy Kimmel Live! indefinitely after the host made remarks in his monologue about the killing of conservative activist Charlie Kirk that drew sharp backlash. Nexstar, a large ABC affiliate station group, pulled the show from its 23 stations first. Disney later confirmed the indefinite preemption. “We hit some new lows over the weekend with the MAGA gang desperately trying to characterize this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them and doing everything they can to score political points from it,” – Jimmy Kimmel’s monologue. Disney has already…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As I mentioned, most Federal Reserve officials support keeping interest rates unchanged three weeks before the next meeting (the last one of the year). What exactly did the officials communicate? Mary Daly and Neel Kashkari stated that inflation has been elevated and persistent, drifting away from the Fed's target of 2%, hence monetary policy should remain sufficiently "restrictive" to continue curbing price growth. Both officials noted that the FOMC has already lowered rates twice in the second half of 2025, hinting that it will provide "first aid" to the labor market. They also pointed out that the economy is currently stable amid Donald Trump's new trade policy, so fur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On 27 October 2025, Strategy CEO Michael Saylor acquired additional 390 Bitcoin worth nearly $44 million, bringing the company’s total to 640,808 BTC. Blockstream CEO Adam Back, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, and Twenty One Capital CEO and Strike CEO Jack Mallers, voiced their opinions on Saylor’s Bitcoin accumulating strategy during the Plan B conference held in Lugano. “Saylor has been very communicative about his learning through the process,” said Blockstream CEO Adam Back. “They started with the bonds, moved on to the convertibles, at the market share selling, and now the preferred.” “I think he’s been vocal that he thinks the preferred is a better strategy, and he appe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto asset manager Bitwise launched its Dogecoin exchange-traded fund on Wednesday, listing the product on the New York Stock Exchange under branding that features the familiar cartoon dog. In a statement on the launch, Hunter Horsley, Bitwise’s chief executive, said Dogecoin holds an unusual place in the market. “DOGE started as a joke and then became a symbol of the crypto movement,” Horsley said. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 How Does the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF (BWOW) Compare With Grayscale and REX-Osprey? Dogecoin makes no grand promises. It does not pretend to rebuild the world of finance. And it does not sell itself as a proje…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This coming weekend, on November 22 and 23, South Africa will be hosting world leaders and thousands of delegates at the G20 Summit in Johannesburg. Many investors are wondering what the G20 meeting will mean for the cryptocurrency market as Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
I Buy the Dip, Sell the Blip — What Does It Mean? What Does It Mean to Buy the Dip or Sell the Blip in Trading? Have you ever heard the phrase “buy the dip” or “sell the blip” and wondered what it really means? While interpretations vary, the core idea is simple yet powerful: One side of the market is stronger, and that’s the side you want to trade with. Whether you’re a day trader or swing trader, this concept helps you enter with momentum after a temporary price pullback. Let’s break it down. What Does It Mean to Buy the Dip or Sell the Blip in Trading? Understanding Market Momentum and Retracements Markets move in waves, and a trend builds momentum by crea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A recent supply chain hack has seen malware injected into NPM packages with over 2.6Bn weekly downloads after compromising a maintainer’s account in a phishing attack. The NPM attack is causing a lot of fear within the crypto market, with experts warning traders to be careful when signing any on-chain transactions. There is a belief that hardware wallets such as Ledger and Trezor are at risk, along with self-custodial web3 wallets such as Phantom, MetaMask, and Trust Wallet, causing a reduction in on-chain volume across crypto as traders fear being drained. However, the NPM attack hasn’t stopped Bitcoin BTC ▲0.97% from surging +1.4% today, as it is currently trading for …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
