Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11917 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3211 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had declined significantly from the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair before the release of the FOMC decision. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and missed the entire downward movement. Yesterday, the British pound sharply dropped following Powell's statement that future rate decisions now depend on incoming data. The market's reaction to Powell's words was immediate, resulting in a capital outflow from the pound, which is traditionally seen as a riskier asset. Investors, concerned about the uncertainty surroun…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price at 152.18 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move down from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the dollar. As a result, the pair declined by approximately 25 pips. Following Powell's speech yesterday, in which he emphasized that future rate decisions depend on economic indicators, the Japanese yen declined against the US dollar. According to the Federal Reserve Chair, the October rate cut was more of a risk-management tool, and the future remains uncertain. The reaction of the currency markets was predictable: uncertainty prompted investors towards safe-have…
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What to Know: The Fed’s rate cut failed to lift crypto markets, as the move was likely fully priced in. XRP price prediction points to the $2.70 resistance. A strong breakout could pave the way to $4.50 short term and $15 long term. Investors are backing Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) as the next 1000x crypto to ride the wave of utility-driven altcoins. In hindsight, a sell-off after yesterday’s rate cut decision does make sense. After all, over 98% of market participants anticipated the cut – and when a move is that widely expected, there’s simply no fuel left behind it. Not to mention, Powell definitely spooked investors by saying that a December rate cut is ‘not a for…
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Bitcoin has slid to around $108,000, and Ethereum has dropped below $3,900, which undermines the bullish market expectations observed earlier this week. Yesterday, as expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 3.75%. However, the cryptocurrency market reacted with a decline, as it had anticipated more aggressive actions ahead of future monetary easing. This market reaction highlights its sensitivity to the subtle nuances in central bank announcements. Cryptocurrency investors appeared to be hoping for a more definitive signal regarding further rate cuts, which could weaken the dollar and make …
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The US stock market managed to set a new record before Jerome Powell poured a bucket of cold water on buyers. Encouraged by the reduction in the federal funds rate to 4% and by NVIDIA's market capitalization surpassing $5 trillion for the first time in history, the S&P 500 reached an earlier target of 6920. However, the split within the Federal Reserve has raised doubts about the continuation of the monetary expansion cycle in December. This remains an unresolved issue. Dynamics of NVIDIA Capitalization The reaction of the broad stock index to the Fed's verdict was one of the most subdued in a long time. However, this is only the surface of the iceberg. Beneath it, a …
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The negative market sentiment has spread rapidly, and the Dogecoin price continues to range around $0.2 as a result. This puts the meme coin in a perilous position that could see its decline deepen from here. One thing that could make a difference would mean a rise in momentum, but volume is already down by a significant amount, so this route has remained a problem. Another major problem is the resistance mounting at $0.21 that could stop any recovery rally in its tracks. What Happens If The Dogecoin Price Breaks $0.218 Crypto analyst Diana Sanchez has highlighted the bullish potential of Dogecoin, suggesting that the price has been showing strength. This comes with the …
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Crypto markets are shaking again and again. Despite the Powell rate cut, improving Trump-China relations, and a stable macro outlook, the Bitcoin price keeps sliding. As of today, Bitcoin price is hovering barely over $110K, down about 2% in the past 24 hours. Many expected a rally after gold cooled off from its all-time high, but instead, crypto is facing what looks like a confidence vacuum. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Normally, a Powell rate cut supports risky plays, giving traders room to take on more exposure with a lower rate. This time, it di…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 showed no movement, closing with a 0.00% change, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.55%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.16%. The indices pulled back slightly after the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, which generally went as expected, helping stocks remain near record-high levels. However, the euphoria from the truce in the trade war seems to be waning. Investors are starting to realistically assess the prospects of a new agreement that does not resolve all the contradictions between the two largest economies in the world. On the corporate front, the earnings season continues. Investors ar…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Thursday, the market may start moving upward from the 1.1602 level (the close of yesterday's daily candle) with a target of 1.1631 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.1576 – the lower fractal (daily candle of October 22, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:On Thursday, the market may begin an upward movement from the 1.1602 level (t…
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The MetaMask airdrop narrative is heating up again after fresh reports confirmed that JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have been brought on to lead Consensys’ initial public offering (IPO). Consensys, the company behind the widely popular MetaMask wallet, is reportedly eyeing a late 2025 or early 2026 listing, potentially marking one of the biggest public offerings in crypto’s history. With over 100 million MetaMask users worldwide and persistent chatter around a MetaMask ICO and MASK token, investors are now asking one burning question. Will the airdrop arrive before the IPO, or will both events coincide in a single massive rollout? …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Thursday, the market may start moving upward from the 1.3191 level (the close of yesterday's daily candle) with a target of 1.3225 – the 85.4% retracement level (yellow dotted line). From this level, the price may possibly roll back downward toward 1.3140 – the lower fractal (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the 1.3191 level (the close of yesterday's daily candle), the price may start moving …
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In a post on X on October 29, Quinn Thompson, CIO of Lekker Capital, argued that Jerome Powell’s post-FOMC messaging was less about macro uncertainty and more about pressure tactics aimed at the political apparatus — with direct consequences for crypto liquidity. Powell’s FOMC Comments Decoded Thompson wrote: “Powell appeared to be playing political games / posturing / CYA around the December verbiage, possibly to communicate to the admin to get the government reopened. It almost felt like a threat that if no data (due to continued government shutdown), then there won’t be a December cut and the market was briefly thrown off by that uncertainty.” He called out how abnorm…
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The U.S. dollar strengthened following news that the Federal Reserve had cut interest rates by only a quarter of a percentage point — just as expected. Shortly after the announcement, Donald Trump stated that he wanted further rate cuts to support the wavering U.S. economy. During his speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that both unemployment and inflation are rising amid an escalating trade war, while the government shutdown has distorted official data, which was already surrounded by concerns of politicization. Therefore, according to Powell, another rate cut next month should not be expected. Markets reacted immediately — and the response was mixed. On one hand, sta…
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The European Central Bank is expected, for the third consecutive meeting this year, to keep interest rates unchanged today after receiving a new set of data that should provide more clarity on the damage caused by trade tensions and the fiscal crisis in France. The decision will be accompanied by close scrutiny of President Christine Lagarde's statements, which markets will analyze carefully for hints about the future direction of policy. Inflation in the eurozone remains slightly above the ECB's 2% target, while signs of slowing economic growth are intensifying, creating a dilemma for policymakers. In addition, political uncertainty in France following the recent electi…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday rebounded from the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3247, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell to 1.3139. A rebound from that level has since favored the pound, leading to some growth and a close above the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the 1.3247 level. A new close below 1.3186 would favor the dollar and a decline toward 1.3139 and 1.3110. The wave structure remains bearish. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, while the most recent downward wave broke the previous low. The fundamental background in recent weeks has been negative for the …
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. A rebound from this level worked in favor of the euro, leading to renewed growth toward the 1.1645–1.1656 level. Today, another rebound from this area could trigger a new decline, while a firm close above it would increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous high, and the last downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, fo…
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The crypto market traded mixed on Wednesday as traders digested the aftermath of the latest FOMC meeting and repositioned ahead of key macro data. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px so…
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Grayscale Investments kicked off trading of a new Solana-focused ETF on Wednesday, adding a staking feature that passes network rewards to investors. The fund, now listed on NYSE Arca as the Grayscale Solana Trust ETF (GSOL), was converted from a closed-end vehicle that first launched in 2021. From Closed-End Trust To ETF According to Grayscale, the move makes the firm one of the largest Solana exchange-traded product managers in the US by assets under management. The converted ETF lets ordinary brokerage accounts hold SOL exposure while receiving staking rewards tied to the network. Inkoo Kang, Grayscale’s Senior Vice President of ETFs, said the launch shows the fir…
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Overview: The US agreed to not to block subsidiaries of Chinese companies that were sanctioned and not to enforce the port fee on Chinese ships that had ostensibly triggered the tightening of China's rare earth/magnet export restrictions. China agreed to suspend those for a year and dropped its levy on US made/operated ships port calls. Beijing will also buy US soy, and some reports say energy as well. Apparently, Nvidia's Blackwell chip was not a subject of talks. Even with America's technological prowess, the education and material infrastructure to build rare earth processing capability and magnet will take more than a year. The deal will likely be widely criticized by…
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Canada’s Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX, NYSE:AEM) has launched a new subsidiary, Avenir Minerals Limited, to manage and advance nearly $80 million in early-stage critical minerals investments. The Toronto-based gold miner will also contribute $50 million in cash to fund the new company and retain a right of first refusal on future investment opportunities, with the option to provide additional capital later. Avenir will evaluate and develop critical mineral opportunities outside Agnico’s core gold and copper operations. Operating as an independent and self-sustaining entity, it will pursue strategic partnerships and government support for critical mineral projects, wit…
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Bitcoin is sitting on a technical ledge that could decide whether price makes a new all-time high or unwinds sharply into the $80,000s, according to veteran trader Josh Olszewicz (CarpeNoctom). “BTC complex iHS brewing in the megaphone,” he posted on October 30, 2025, adding in a follow-up: “Also this brewing, not great.” The Bullish Case For Bitcoin Olszewicz is tracking two structures. The first, on the 6-hour timeframe, shows BTC trading inside a broadening “megaphone” pattern that has contained price since July. The megaphone is defined by rising dotted resistance lines above and falling dotted support lines below. The upper boundary extends through roughly $126,000 …
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Falling under 1.32000 yesterday, GBP/USD currently trades 1.3176, down -0.13%. Succumbing to selling pressure, yesterday’s session goes on record as cable’s worst daily performance in thirty-four days. GBP/USD now looks for support both at monthly lows and the 200-day SMA, or will risk a further move to the downside. What’s next for GBP/USD? Let’s discuss. GBP/USD: Key takeaways 30/10/2025 While still up around 5.40% year-to-date, owing mainly to dollar downside as opposed to pound strength, GBP/USD has recently fallen to 5-month lows of 1.31400 Later this week, an Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) assessment is expected to rein in productivity estimates for the U…
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Just when you thought stablecoins alone were about to replace legacy payment processors charging ridiculous layered fees, news has emerged that the same Web2 interface can be enhanced to enable faster and cheaper payments. Folks in emerging economies have, for years, been forced to pay a premium when making international payments, but businesses and ordinary users can now breathe a sigh of relief with x402, an effort by Coinbase. Money runs the world, so they said. A June 2025 Grand View Research report forecasts the digital payment solutions market to cross the $361 billion mark by 2030. At this pace, it will grow at a rate of +21.4% CAGR between 2025 and 2030. (So…
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Everyone wanted a crypto moonshot. For OG Bitcoin holders deep in green, perhaps the FOMC event didn’t matter much. However, all smart degens who bought the top, Jerome Powell, and the Federal Reserve were their only saviors. There was so much hope for the Bitcoin price to move higher until it didn’t, and as Murphy’s Law struck, the world’s most valuable crypto crashed, falling by -5% below $110,000. The Bitcoin price, and crypto in general, is yet to recover from yesterday’s crickets. With hopes smashed, the BTC USDT price is lower from this week’s open, and the only way for a recovery is if the $110,000 level holds by the end of the day. Before then, traders should cl…
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European Central Bank officials kept a clear target this week: launch the digital euro in 2029. That goal was described as realistic by senior ECB figures, even as the bank said it will carry on with preparation work beyond the formal end of its current phase in October 2025. According to Bloomberg and ECB statements, the timetable depends on new EU laws and technical readiness. Preparation Phase Continues After October 2025 Based on reports, the ECB started the preparation phase in November 2023 and has been building rules and testing options since then. The formal stretch of that phase was due to finish in October 2025, but officials said work will not stop. Tasks le…
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