Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6929 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 149.56 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed the entire downward move. The Japanese yen surged sharply against the US dollar at the end of last week after news that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose by only 0.2%, entirely in line with economists' forecasts. Although expected, this release triggered a chain reaction in the currency markets. Investors interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve may adjust its policy course as …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3383 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and skipped the pair's small upward move. The pound reacted positively against the dollar on news that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose by only 0.2%, in line with economists' forecasts. This modest increase, predicted by analysts, served as a signal of a possible further easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The market interpreted this as a sign of a softer stance by the ce…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1689 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of this price coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario #2 for selling to play out, although a major decline in the pair did not materialize. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index in the US matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressure. This event served as a catalyst for a reassessment of risks and opportunities in global financia…
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Bitcoin rose sharply during today's Asian session, reaching $112,300, after previously trading near $109,000. Ethereum also gained significantly, climbing back to the $4,000 level, which had been broken late last week. Meanwhile, Eric Trump, son of the U.S. president, recently stated that the fourth quarter of 2025 will be incredible for BTC and the entire cryptocurrency market, citing seasonality and similar factors. According to him, the future of crypto looks bright thanks to QE, an expanding money supply, regulatory progress, and the actions of the White House administration. While the impact of political statements on the cryptocurrency market is hard to overestim…
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After rallying above $0.3 at the start of September, the Dogecoin price has faced significant resistance since then, leading to an over 28% decrease in price. By Sunday, though, the Dogecoin price had begun to rebound, suggesting that there would be a rise in momentum, especially among buyers. This now puts the meme coin at a significant level, as there is the potential of the price bouncing off the current demand zone, but with bears still making a bid, the tug-of-war continues. What A Bounce From The Demand Zone Means Presently, the most critical support for the Dogecoin price lies at the $0.229 level, as outlined by crypto analyst Lingrid, which the cryptocurrency has…
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Asian markets start the week on a positive note Most Asian stock exchanges moved higher on Monday, while the US dollar weakened. Investors are closely watching developments in Washington, where a potential government shutdown could delay the release of September's employment report and other key economic data. Political talks in Washington President Donald Trump is set to meet congressional leaders from both parties on Monday in a bid to secure continued government funding. Without an agreement, a partial shutdown may begin midweek, coinciding with the introduction of new US tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals, and other products. Seasonal momentum supports equitie…
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The U.S. dollar quickly lost ground against risk assets at the end of last week, with clear reasons for this shift. Data showed that the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressures in the U.S. This sharply weakened the dollar's position. Traders interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve can continue cutting interest rates without major risks, stimulating the economy and supporting the labor market. As a result, U.S. assets became less attractive, triggering capital outflows. The euro, the British pound, and other risk-sensitive assets, by contrast, strengthened on expectations that th…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: No significant macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. Both the euro and the pound are recovering after declines seen over the past one and a half to two weeks. We believe the macroeconomic and fundamental background remains unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. Therefore, we expect the bearish trend in both currency pairs to come to an end, with European currencies likely resuming their upward movement. Fundamental Events Analysis: Today's calendar is full of speeches rather than data. In the Eurozone, European Central Bank representatives Cipollone, Kazaks, Muller, Schnabel, and Chief Economist Philip Lane are scheduled to spe…
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Friday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Friday, the GBP/USD pair began an upward move, and by Monday night, it had already broken through the local descending trendline. Thus, the bearish trend has been canceled. Recall that over the past week and a half, the pound sterling was caught in a vortex of negative developments, which triggered its decline — a scenario many traders did not expect. However, the global fundamental backdrop for GBP/USD remains unchanged, and therefore, we do not anticipate a further medium-term decline of the British currency. On Friday, the U.S. dollar came under pressure after the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index once again …
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Friday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Friday, the EUR/USD pair began a natural upward movement. Over the past week, we observed another technical correction, as the euro had no fundamental reasons for a significant decline. The results of the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank meetings could have been interpreted in different ways — and that's precisely what the market did. Speeches from Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde also did not materially alter the situation and did not indicate a shift in central bank sentiment. The only support for the dollar came from the U.S. Q2 GDP report. On Friday, however, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index…
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[Crude Oil] – [Monday, September 29, 2025] Although the RSI is in the bearish neutral area, but with EMA (50 and EMA (200) position which still intersecting the Golden Cross #CL today still have the potential to strengthen. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 67.15 2. Resistance. 1 : 66.17 3. Pivot : 65.41 4. Support. 1 : 64.43 5. Support. 2 : 63.67 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price maintains the #CL strengthening until it breaks out and closes above 65.41, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 66.17. Momentum Extension Bias: If 66.17 is successfully broken and closes above it, it has the potential to move to 67.15. Invalidation Le…
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[USDX] – [Monday, September 29, 2025] Although the two EMAs are still crossing the Golden Cross, but the RSI's position in the Extreme Bearish area has the potential to weaken #USDX today towards its nearest support levels. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.65 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.40 3. Pivot : 98.25 4. Support. 1 : 98.00 5. Support. 2 : 97.85 Tactical Scenario Pressure Vulnerable Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.00, it has the potential to continue weakening to 97.85. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.85 is successfully broken and closes below it, the USDX has the potential to weaken again to 97.60. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downsid…
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Solana started a fresh decline below the $225 zone. SOL price is now attempting to recover from $192 and faces hurdles near $215. SOL price started a fresh decline below $225 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $200 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another decline if it stays below $215 and $220. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to stay above $220 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL traded below the $212 and $205 support levels to enter a b…
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Gold is trading around 3,796, above the 21SMA and above the 8/8 Murray level. Gold could continue its rise in the coming hours and could reach the top of the uptrend channel around 3,840 or reach +1/8 Murray level around 3,828. At the opening of this week's session, gold left a gap around 3,762. It could reach this level and cover the gap in the coming days. If gold falls below these price levels, we could expect it to find strong support around the 8/8 Murray level, located at 3,750. This level is key, so a strong technical rebound could occur around this area, which could be seen as an opportunity to open long positions. On the other hand, if gold continues its rise and…
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The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1728, rebounding after reaching a low of 1.1646 on Friday. The euro is currently above the 200 EMA and above the 8/8 Murray, which could favor a recovery in the coming hours or even days. The eagle indicator has reached the oversold zone, so we believe the euro could attempt to reach +1/8 Murray at 1.1840 in the coming days and even the key level of 1.1900. Conversely, if the euro falls below 1.1714, we can expect a continuation of the bearish cycle. The instrument could reach 7/8 Murray at 1.1596 and even the bottom of the downtrend channel around 1.1540. A breakout of the downtrend channel formed since September 15 could trigger a ne…
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Bitcoin, after forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, broke sharply above the 3/8 Murray level and the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) located at 109,747. Above this area, Bitcoin rose sharply to reach the 4/8 Murray level around 112,500. In the coming hours, we can expect a technical correction. Therefore, a rebound around the psychological level of $110,000 could be seen as an opportunity to buy Bitcoin, with short-term targets located around the 200 EMA at 113,500 and even 115,625. Conversely, a sharp break below the 21SMA and a consolidation below the 3/8 Murray level could lead Bitcoin to fall to the 2/8 Murray level located at 106.250. The eagle indicator is sho…
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XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.820 zone. The price now faces a couple of key hurdles near $2.880 and $2.920. XRP price is slowly moving higher above the $2.80 support zone. The price is now trading above $2.80 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.80 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.920. XRP Price Dips Eyes Upside Break XRP price found support near $2.70 and recently started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.780 and $2.80 resistance levels.…
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EUR/USD The euro looked almost hopeless on Thursday, September 25, but found support from the renewed strength of the stock and commodity markets. The S&P 500 added 0.59% on Friday, gold rose 1.00%, oil increased by 0.04%, copper rose 0.29%, and the euro itself gained 34 pips. During today's Pacific session, the price moved above the MACD line resistance on the daily timeframe, and the Marlin oscillator entered positive territory. Once the price consolidates above the MACD line and the Marlin oscillator holds in positive territory, the euro will open the way toward the upper boundary of the price channel at 1.1914. This week, moderately optimistic U.S. industrial sec…
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GBP/USD The British pound capitalized on the general weakness of the dollar amid increased risk appetite in the stock market, repeating the pattern from September 3 by returning above the 1.3364 level (as shown in the rectangle on the daily chart). The pound would clearly like to reach the target resistance at 1.3525, but it feels somewhat uncertain near the MACD line, as seen on September 9–11 and 23. Therefore, only consolidation above this line, above 1.3476, may give the pound a chance to hold above 1.3525. The Marlin oscillator remains cautious, and while it is in negative territory, the pound's growth may stay unstable. If Friday's U.S. September labor market data …
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AUD/USD The Australian dollar failed to break through the support of the daily balance indicator line on September 25 and 26. It is possible that the strength of the "bulls" will now push the price above the already reached MACD line. However, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory. A decisive breakout may occur tomorrow. If successful (with consolidation above the MACD line), the target at 0.6668 will open. On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its rate decision. The probability of holding the rate is estimated at 96.4%, but market participants expect a shift in the accompanying statement's tone toward hawkishness due to rising inflation. …
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,050. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,170 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $3,820 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $4,000 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,170 and $4,200. Ethereum Price Recovers Ethereum price remained supported above the $3,820 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $3,880 and $4,000 resis…
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Bitcoin price found support near $108,680 and started a recovery wave. BTC is trading above $111,000 and facing hurdles near $112,500. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $110,500 zone. The price is trading above $110,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $109,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $108,500 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $109,500 resistance zone to start the current move…
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Over the past two weeks, the GBP/USD pair has lost significant value. It cannot be said that the decline in the British pound was unjustified, but at the same time, it cannot be called "fully logical" either. Simply put, the market used almost all recent news against the pound. However, due to this decline, the technical picture has changed only on the lower timeframes. On the higher ones, we are still dealing with the long-term upward trend of 2025. This week, the U.S. dollar will try to defend its hard-won positions. Yet the overall picture again looks unfavorable for the greenback. Donald Trump introduced new tariffs on pharmaceuticals, trucks, and furniture, signaling…
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During the upcoming week, the EUR/USD pair is expected to attempt to resume its upward trend. This conclusion is based on the current market situation, expectations of major banks, and the forthcoming fundamental and macroeconomic context. Let's break it down. The decline of the European currency over the past two weeks does not cancel the upward trend on either the 4-hour or daily timeframes. On the daily chart, the picture is clear: the dollar is only capable of occasional small corrections. Indeed, over the past week and a half, fundamentals and macro data have supported the U.S. currency, but how many such episodes can you recall in 2025? They are as rare as snow in M…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the GBP/USD pair recovered significantly, so it is too early to write off the British currency. Over the past week and a half, the pound has gone through a rough patch, but we still believe this weakness will be short-lived. Even when all factors point in one direction, technical corrections are inevitable. Individual reports and events can trigger counter-trend movements, which, on lower timeframes, may appear as independent trends. This is precisely the kind of trend we are observing now on the hourly chart. On Friday, the pound was strongly supported by the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The indicator once agai…
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