Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11893 tópicos neste fórum
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A leading market expert recently hinted at an impending bottom for Bitcoin (BTC), suggesting that within the next 328 days, the cryptocurrency could reach a price range between $38,000 and $50,000. Bitcoin Price Bottom In October 2026 Although Bitcoin’s performance this year has lagged behind US stock markets and gold, it has still managed to achieve notable highs, currently trading nearly 20% below its record peak of $126,000 reached earlier in October. However, the current market landscape is marked by considerable uncertainty among investors, with fear and selling pressure leading Bitcoin to consolidate just above the $100,000 mark. In a recent social media post …
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The Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index rose by 12.8% in October to 103.8%, marking the first positive reading for the index since February 2022. The positivity rate has significantly increased, reaching its highest level in 7 years, excluding the COVID period. While the sentiment is considered moderately positive rather than sharply optimistic, it appears the prolonged period of pessimism has come to an end. The index's growth can largely be attributed to a reassessment of economic prospects, with expected growth rates of 16.6% and 15.3% over the 1-year and 5-year horizons, respectively. There are clear signs that recovery is gaining momentum, particularly concerning …
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So, the final showdown between Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve may be set for 2026. In 2025, the U.S. president suffered a complete defeat in this battle, but perhaps he did not aim to defeat the central bank so quickly. Let's recall that the FOMC consists of 12 voting members. From time to time, they are replaced by other committee representatives who do not have voting rights. Accordingly, all Trump needs to do is establish control over half of the committee. In 2025, he managed to sway at least three FOMC members to his side: the newly appointed and temporary Stephen Miran (who replaced Adriana Kugler), Christopher Waller (whom Trump promised to consider for the p…
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The EUR/JPY pair has been rising for the fourth straight day, marking the fifth day of gains in the past six sessions. Today, Wednesday, the pair reached a new high not seen since August 1992. At the moment, spot prices are exceeding the psychological level of 179.00 and appear poised for further growth. The Japanese yen continues to weaken amid uncertainty regarding the Bank of Japan's future policy steps, which supports the strengthening of the EUR/JPY pair. The Bank of Japan is in no hurry to raise interest rates, as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi adheres to a pro-stimulus policy. The development of a new economic stimulus package in Japan is expected to be completed by…
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The SEC crypto news shows the plans to introduce a formal “token taxonomy” that could redefine how digital assets are classified under US law. Speaking in Philadelphia on November 12, SEC Chair Paul S. Atkins said the agency will “in the coming months” propose a structured framework based on the Supreme Court’s Howey test, the legal standard used to decide whether an asset counts as a security. The move aims to bring clarity to one of the most contentious areas in crypto regulation: determining when a token constitutes a security and when it does not. Atkins also said the Commission intends to release a “package” of exemptions designed to create a more flexible system…
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Nigel Farage believes Bitcoin is the real deal, calling it scarce, secure, and impossible to inflate. Unlike regular money, he says, Bitcoin can’t just be printed into worthlessness. He’s even following Trump’s lead by bringing crypto into his campaign. Nigel Farage isn’t holding back on his stance toward crypto. “Britain cannot afford to be left behind,” he said in response to the Bank of England’s plan to restrict how much exposure banks, payment firms, and individuals can have to stablecoins. What he means is pretty simple: while the U.S., EU, Singapore, and Hong Kong are all rolling out structured frameworks for crypto and digital currencies, the UK is still dra…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3111 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound. Together with weak U.K. data, this suggested the possibility of a strong decline in the pair. nHowever, that decline never materialized, and losses were eventually recorded. Then, a price test at 1.3131 coincided with the MACD starting to move upward from the zero mark, providing a buy signal, after which the pair rose toward the target level of 1.3170. As mentioned earlier, the pound fell following news that the U.K. GDP shrank by 0.1% in September. Ind…
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United States-based Chilean Cobalt (US-OTC: COBA) said Thursday it has signed a life-of-mine offtake with a Glencore (LSE: GLEN) subsidiary for all the cobalt and copper from the La Cobaltera and El Cofre projects in northern Chile. The parties expect most intermediate products to be shipped to privately held US Strategic Metals’ hydrometallurgical battery metals processing facility in Fredericktown, Missouri. The facility is to produce about 3,000-5,000 tonnes cobalt per year compared with the 8,000-10,000 tonnes of current US imports. “We believe that working with Glencore, one of the world’s leading producers and marketers of cobalt and copper, will sati…
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Demand for the US dollar has been increasing for over a week, starting around the time when the "smell" of the government shutdown's conclusion emerged in America. Perhaps the shutdown isn't really the issue, and the market, which initially ignored the government halt, continues to do so now? This sounds quite plausible, but in my reviews, I have previously mentioned that it is not solely about the shutdown that the market "does not see." The matter lies in the overall news background. Let's consider another recent event that gave the dollar a chance at success, rare in 2025. Following a series of speeches from FOMC officials, the probability of a rate cut at the December…
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AJ Scaramucci’s family has put more than $100 million into a Bitcoin mining company backed by US President Donald Trump’s sons, according to reporting on the deal. The cash came through Solari Capital, the firm led by AJ Scaramucci, and was part of a larger $220 million pre-IPO financing in July. Funding Round And Backers A report by Fortune has disclosed that the July financing was led by Solari Capital and raised $220 million in total. Solari’s investment is said to exceed $100 million, while Anthony Scaramucci also made a smaller personal contribution. Other investors named in coverage include the founder of Cardano, some real-estate figures, and a handful of entrep…
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The price of Bitcoin has struggled around the $95,000 mark after showing some early-weekend strength on Saturday, November 15. According to a prominent analyst on the social media platform X, the premier cryptocurrency seems to be showing signs of a potential rebound in the coming days. BTC Price To Return To $110,000? In a November 15 post on X, market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared that the price of Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery based on different technical indicators. In his analysis, Kesmeci fiddled with the possibility of BTC rising to $110,000 and the risk of falling to $85,000. Firstly, Kesmeci analyzed the Bitcoin fear (VIX) score, a technical indicator tha…
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Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai gave a light, indirect response to the growing discussion about Gemini 3, Google’s next major language model – and it had major implications for predictions markets on Polymarket. The comment came as speculation intensified on Polymarket, where traders now estimate a 69% chance that Google will launch the model on November 22. His short reply signals that he is holding back on details, likely to avoid adding to the growing hype. Still, the upcoming release matters for Google. The company is under pressure to narrow the distance between itself and firms that currently lead the AI field, especially OpenAI. The wider indust…
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According to market reports, Bitcoin fell sharply this week and pushed the Crypto Fear & Greed Index down to 10, a level tied to extreme fear. Investors and traders are asking whether this marks the bottom of the cycle or just another step lower in a run that has already seen a 25% correction. Extreme Fear Hits Crypto Markets Retail panic has been clear. Funding rates on some derivatives desks have turned negative, and newer entrants to the market are showing signs of stress. Based on reports, large parts of the investor base are worried. That worry is visible in price action and in sentiment gauges that sit at the lower end of their historical ranges. Some trade…
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Bitcoin price failed to recover above $96,500. BTC is down over 3% and there are chances of more downsides below $92,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $95,000 and $94,500. The price is trading below $98,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $96,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $92,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $95,500 pivot level. BTC bears remained active below $95,500 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and were able…
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The euro has pulled back, while the pound continues to trade within a sideways channel against the U.S. dollar. Recent statements from Federal Reserve representatives on the complexity of the interest rate situation and the emphasis that much will depend on the data they receive in the near future have led to a slight weakening of the dollar's position. Traders who previously anticipated a more aggressive policy from the central bank are now revising their forecasts, putting pressure on the U.S. currency. The market reacts to every word and hint from Fed officials, as any change in rhetoric could signal a shift in monetary policy. Today, the only data expected in the firs…
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Yesterday, US stock indices ended mixed. The S&P 500 fell by 0.05%, while the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.13%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.65%. Futures for American stock indices rose along with technology stocks in Asia as investors focused on the earnings results from AI leader Nvidia Corp. and US economic data, which will set the tone for markets this week. Nvidia's financial report, expected to either confirm or refute optimistic growth forecasts in the AI sector, will determine the company's success and is viewed as a barometer of the overall health of the tech industry. Any signs of slowing growth could trigger a chain reaction in stock markets wor…
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Michael Saylor is explicitly telling markets that Strategy (MSTR) has been built to withstand a Bitcoin crash that would wipe out almost every other leveraged player in the ecosystem. In an interview with Grant Cardone streamed live on November 14 , the Strategy executive chairman drew a clear theoretical stress line for the company’s balance sheet and stated that even a catastrophic move lower in BTC would not force him to liquidate the core position. Strategy Can Eat A 90% Bitcoin Collapse Asked how far Bitcoin would have to fall before MicroStrategy faces real danger, Saylor answered with balance-sheet math rather than rhetoric. He pointed to roughly eight billion do…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)This week, from the level of 1.1620 (the close of the latest weekly candle), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.1716 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward 1.1663 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis:indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardvolumes – upwardcandlestick analysis – upwardtrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardmonthly chart – upwardConclusion from the comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Final Summary of the Weekly Candle Projection for EUR/USD:During the week, the price…
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The yen showed almost no reaction to news that Japan's economic decline is strengthening Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's resolve to develop an ambitious stimulus package, even though the central bank still intends to raise interest rates in the coming months. According to the data, Japan's real gross domestic product in the third quarter of this year fell by 1.8% year-on-year. Compared to the second quarter, GDP declined by 0.4%. Private residential investment and exports were among the key factors weighing on overall output. Consumer spending, the largest component of GDP, remained virtually unchanged, failing to offset the weakening economy. This downturn raises concer…
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With the BTC USD price below $100,000, Bitcoin prediction models are bearish. The bad news is that it could get worse, especially if digital gold crashes below $90,000. Every time the Bitcoin price ticks lower, MicroStrategy, the world’s largest holder of BTC, comes under renewed pressure. Last week, when BTC USDT fell below $100,000, MicroStrategy’s net asset value (NAV) fell below 1. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Peter Schiff Calls Saylor A Fraudster: Bitcoin Prediction For 2026? Bitcoin prediction models bearish BTC USD price capped below $100,000 …
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Overview: The US dollar is slightly firmer against most of the G10 currencies, with the Antipodeans, leading the move with around 0.25% losses. Rising tensions between Japan and China, coupled with shift in expectations away from a Fed cut and a BOJ hike next month keeps the dollar within strike distance of JPY155, where $1.4 bln in options expire today. The euro is straddling the $1.16 area, where options for around 485 mln euros expire. The nearly flat performance of the Swedish krona and Canadian dollar put them atop the G10 performers heading into the North American session. Emerging market currencies are also mostly softer today, including the Chinese yuan, despite t…
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Japan is all set to classify cryptocurrencies as financial products under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA). Further to this, it also plans to introduce a new taxation regime for this sector as part of its crypto reform process. According to an article published by a local media, Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) wants to reclassify 105 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), under the FIEA, effectively putting crypto under the same umbrella as stocks and bonds. This expansion of the regulatory umbrella onto crypto aims to ensure that the sector falls under investor protection rules and is held up to a higher standard. Th…
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What to Know: Bitcoin volatility and extreme fear push investors toward infrastructure narratives like Bitcoin Layer-2s that can benefit if the macro bull case plays out. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) uses an SVM-based Layer-2, canonical bridge, and ZK-secured rollup design to bring fast, low-fee $BTC transactions and DeFi. The $HYPER presale has raised over $27.8M with whale participation, creating a sizable runway for development and liquidity programs. Forecasts suggest potential 6.5x upside from today’s token price by 2026 if Bitcoin Hyper executes its roadmap and Layer-2 demand grows. Bitcoin’s latest cycle is in full drama mode. After ripping to six-figure territory e…
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Gold Fields has announced a significant increase in its investment for the Windfall gold project in Quebec. The company has revised its capital expenditure estimate to C$1.7-C$1.9 billion, up from the initial C$790 million projection from 2022. This new estimate reflects a more comprehensive development plan for both surface and underground operations. The company made the announcement during a Capital Markets Day media conference call, on November 13. Gold Fields plans to steadily increase its production over the coming five years. The company aims to boost its annual output to approximately three million ounces by 2030. Following this growth phase, Gold Fields inten…
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The week has started with wiggly trading, leaving traders firmly on the fence when it comes to risk-sentiment. Despite the broader market indecision, a few specific names are holding the major indices together, notably Alphabet (Google), which trades higher by 4% after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $4.3 billion stake in the company. Names like Tesla and the semiconductor giant Micron (MU) are also providing support. However, most stocks are trading close to unchanged or slightly in the red at the open. zoom…
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