Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11862 tópicos neste fórum
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The brutal killing of Roman Novak, a Russian crypto millionaire, and his wife, Anna, has shocked both the crypto and international business communities. Their dismembered bodies were discovered in the desert near Hatta, southeast of Dubai, after they vanished following a supposed meeting with investors. The crypto story of Roman Novak is one of wealth, deception, and revenge, a chilling reminder of how greed and betrayal can turn fatal in the world of digital fortunes. Who Was Roman Novak? The Rise and Fall of a Crypto Tycoon. Roman Novak was a Russian entrepreneur and crypto investor who built his reputation through ambitious crypto ventures. Presenting himself as a te…
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The Federal Reserve concluded its December meeting with another rate cut—this time reducing the federal funds rate by 25 basis points. The new target range is now between 3.50% and 3.75%. This marks the third easing of the year, following steps taken in September and October, and the market had already priced in this scenario. In essence, rates have returned to their lowest levels since 2022. However, the outward smoothness of this decision hides a significant divide within the regulator itself. For the first time since 2019, three Fed representatives opposed the final decision: Of the 12 voting members, three voted against it. Kansas City Fed President Esther George an…
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A new wave of an unusual trade has been unfolding: A steep rally in Gold, coinciding with a steep rally in the US Dollar. Today’s piece will focus on the latter, but it is still an interesting subject that marks an essential functioning of markets: It’s all about what is priced in (and what is not). You have probably seen the headlines, but Gold officially breached the $4,000 milestone overnight, propelled by a larger RBNZ Rate cut, weakening the Kiwi dollar and trouble in Japanese and European (French) politics. A US Government Shutdown is also in the works. But wait, why is the Greenback also rallying? Mentioned after the FOMC September press conference, a less dovish…
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Who Pays the Real Cost of Tariffs? Who Ultimately Pays the Cost of U.S. Tariffs? I recently watched an interview where Treasury Secretary Bessent downplayed the inflationary impact of President Trump’s tariffs. According to him, the burden of these import taxes will mostly fall on exporters trying to maintain U.S. market share and on retailers who will trim their profit margins to keep prices stable. He even cited Toyota’s decision not to raise prices as an example of a company working to absorb costs rather than pass them on to consumers. Maybe Secretary Bessent sees something I don’t or maybe he’s painting a rosy picture of a complex economic reality. Because he…
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In the crypto casino world, “investing” in some coins can either be a dangerous game or handsomely rewarding. Meme coins have been known to explode out of nowhere, promoting insiders to millionaire status. Mostly, it is the chopping board for latecomers. The slaughterhouse is where +99% of all meme coin traders hoping to strike gold often head to. Those who FOMOed and bought TRUMP and MELANIA crypto meme coins at peak are now crying. And they ought to. When TRUMP crypto hit the secondary markets, trading on Binance, it flashed to as high as $75. Melania crypto, on the other hand, soared above $13. (Source: MELANIA USDT, Gecko Terminal) Fast-forward nine months, and j…
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Visible buying from spot bitcoin ETPs and corporates has not translated into decisive upside, leaving traders to ask a blunt question: who is supplying the market? For Chris Kuiper, CFA, vice president of research at Fidelity Digital Assets, the answer is clear. “ ‘Who is selling?’ is the number one question I’ve been getting regarding bitcoin’s continued price pressure against a backdrop of visible buying,” he wrote on X on November 12. “I’m not unique in suggesting it’s the long-term holders (or HODLers).” Kuiper points to a simple but powerful on-chain gauge: the percentage of outstanding bitcoin that has not moved for at least one year. Glassnode’s “Percent of Suppl…
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Recent data has revealed the demographics of sellers driving the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin crash. The Coinbase BTC premium index also continues to drop further in the red, which strengthens the case of where exactly the sell pressure is coming from. The Demographic Behind The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Price Crash In an X post, crypto pundit Crypto Rover noted that the U.S. session has been the weakest trading session so far this month. The pundit further shared an accompanying chart, which showed that BTC has suffered a loss of around 12% in the U.S. session since the start of November, also leading to the Ethereum and Dogecoin crash. Meanwhile, the EU has…
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XRP’s price outlook is in focus as the US Securities and Exchange Commission lines up decisions on multiple spot ETF applications in late October 2025. Analysts say the outcome of that cluster could decide whether billions of dollars in institutional funds flow into the token before year-end. Filings Point To October Decision Reports show that six issuers have active S-1 filings or amendments waiting for review. The list includes Bitwise, WisdomTree, 21Shares, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton. The timing of these filings, following the SEC’s dismissal of its case against Ripple, has raised expectations that issuers are preparing for a launch window ti…
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The 1 kilo gold bar sits in the perfect middle ground for serious precious metals investors. It’s large enough to offer lower per-ounce premiums than smaller bars, yet manageable enough for individual ownership and storage. Consequently, this size has become a global standard in precious metals markets. Major refineries worldwide produce 1 kilo bars to identical weight and purity standards, though dimensions and finishes may vary slightly between cast and minted forms. This guide covers everything you need to know about 1-kilo gold bars, from exact specifications to authentication features and how they fit into a precious metals portfolio. What Is a 1 Kilo Gold Bar? The …
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The 1 kilo gold bar sits in the perfect middle ground for serious precious metals investors. It’s large enough to offer lower per-ounce premiums than smaller bars, yet manageable enough for individual ownership and storage. Consequently, this size has become a global standard in precious metals markets. Major refineries worldwide produce 1 kilo bars to identical weight and purity standards, though dimensions and finishes may vary slightly between cast and minted forms. This guide covers everything you need to know about 1-kilo gold bars, from exact specifications to authentication features and how they fit into a precious metals portfolio. What Is a 1 Kilo Gold Bar? The …
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Gold prices are poised to reach new heights in 2026 with leading forecasters projecting levels between $4,400 and $5,300 per oz. as investors double down on hard assets amid geopolitical turmoil, looser monetary policy and surging central bank demand. JPMorgan sees gold topping $5,055 in the final quarter of 2026, while Goldman Sachs forecasts the same target supported by an average annual price of $4,275. Morgan Stanley projects gold at $4,400 by year-end 2026. The forecasts reflect a rare consensus among Wall Street analysts, who cite macroeconomic instability and record central bank buying as the key pillars of a secular bull market. The structural force…
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(Too long; didn't read resume at the end of the article. I strongly invite you to at least check the charts, which are worth 1,000 words.) Since 2020, the bond market, traditionally seen as the safest and most liquid market, has experienced unprecedented dynamics (at least compared to recent times). Many factors are responsible: Quantitative Easing from the post-Great Financial Crisis and COVID period, the consequent tightening from central banks, and global governments' spending addiction. From 2008 to 2021, low inflation and a somewhat sluggish economy required easy monetary conditions to stimulate job creation and every other positive aspect that a more efficient …
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The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a wave of declines, leaving investors concerned as the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices fall sharply. Despite experiencing a period of recovery earlier this week, all three digital assets are now facing renewed downward pressure. The latest price declines are driven by both macroeconomic uncertainty and internal market factors, underscoring how sensitive the crypto market remains to changes in investor sentiment. FED Skepticism Fuel Decline In Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin The recent decline in cryptocurrency prices comes amid growing doubts over the Federal Reserve’s (FED) approach to interest rates. Recent remarks from…
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Bitcoin (BTC) recently surged to a new all-time high, surpassing $124,000, only to experience a subsequent drop of 9%. This volatility has sparked widespread speculation about the current state of the bull market, the potential for an ongoing “alt season,” and whether Bitcoin has reached its peak. In light of the current price action, market expert Miles Deutscher has shared insights on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that August may be viewed as a significant trap in the crypto market. Two Scenarios For Bitcoin First, Deutscher points out a significant change in market strength. Ethereum (ETH) seems to be outperforming Bitcoin in terms of b…
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What to Know: Bitcoin Hyper aims to turn Bitcoin into a fast, smart-contract-ready Layer 2 using SVM, canonical bridging, and ZK-secured rollups. The $HYPER presale has raised over $28.16M at roughly $0.013305 per token, with strong whale entries and active retail demand. Stakers can lock $HYPER for around 41% APY, with over a billion tokens already committed, aligning early holders with long-term network growth. Price models suggest multi-X potential if the roadmap lands, but competition, delivery risk, and market shocks make $HYPER a high-risk, high-reward bet. Bitcoin is at $92K now, but it doesn’t exactly feel like victory lap season. Price action is choppy, majo…
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Over the past few weeks, the Bitcoin price has maintained a somewhat healthy momentum, forging minor swing highs and lows in its bull run revival. Interestingly, this early-week upward movement has been corrected following the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. All in all, the overall positive outlook for the premier cryptocurrency has remained, even though it has been observed to be against historical perspective. An on-chain analyst on social media platform X has delved into this strange phenomenon in the BTC market and the possible reasons behind it. Bitcoin’s Historical Correlations With Macro Instruments In a recent post on the X platform, an on-chain an…
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The crypto market was a story of two distinct halves, one of which saw the Bitcoin price soar to multiple all-time highs. After reaching its all-time high of around $122,800, the premier cryptocurrency has succumbed to a sobering wave of bearish pressure in the past few days. This recent wave of downward pressure was precipitated by the movement of a Satoshi-era whale on Thursday, July 17. However, the Bitcoin price never seemed likely to cross the $123,000 level, and a prominent on-chain expert on X has explained why. Is The Move To $143,000 Still Possible? In a recent post on the social media platform X, Alphractal CEO & founder Joao Wedson explained why the price…
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Earlier today, Bitcoin rapidly returned to the $110,000 mark. The start of the season of corporate reports in the US, which may turn out to be less positive than many expect, growing trade tensions between the US and China, and significant outflows from spot ETFs have all contributed to a renewed decline in risk appetite. Last week's historic crypto market crash is also still fresh in traders' minds. On Tuesday, US spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum saw a combined net outflow of $755 million. These withdrawals accelerated amid a sharp drop in open interest, indicating a reduction in leveraged positions. This shift has pushed many crypto traders into a defensive stance. …
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Bitcoin is again trading under the shadow of a potential yen carry-trade shock as markets head into the 9–10 December FOMC meeting and a likely hawkish turn from the Bank of Japan at the December 18-19 meeting. The setup echoes last summer’s episode, when a policy shift in Tokyo triggered rapid deleveraging across risk assets, including crypto. Will The Bitcoin Price Crash Next Week? Analyst Benjamin Cowen explicitly links today’s environment to that July shock. He reminded followers that “in July 2024, the Fed cut rates while the BOJ raised rates, leading to the unwind of the carry trade. Bitcoin capitulated into it, and found a low 1 week later.” He added, “Good chance…
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Bitcoin has returned to an upward trajectory, with the asset posting a 1.7% gain in the last 24 hours to reach $109,505. This marks a 4% increase in the past week, placing the cryptocurrency less than 2% below its all-time high of $111,000 set last month. The move follows a period of subdued market activity, with recent gains occurring in a relatively quiet trading environment. Analysts have looked into on-chain indicators for signals of whether the current price action is sustainable or approaching overheated levels. Particularly, unlike previous rallies driven by sharp price spikes and speculative retail demand, the latest growth appears more measured. This has prompt…
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Bitcoin continues to struggle below the $90,000 level, failing to reclaim higher ground as bulls focus on defending current demand zones. After a sharp correction from recent highs, price action has entered a consolidation phase that, on the surface, appears relatively calm. Volatility has compressed, and short-term price movements suggest a market pausing rather than decisively breaking down. However, this apparent stability may be misleading. According to a CryptoQuant report from XWIN Research Japan, on-chain data is signaling growing structural risk beneath the surface. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP), a metric that tracks the movement of Bitcoin between exchang…
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Ryan Rasmussen, Head of Research at Bitwise, used a Yahoo Finance appearance to restate Bitwise’s view that Bitcoin is headed to $200,000 in 2026, while simultaneously characterizing the current sell-off as a maturing-market shakeout rather than a trend break. Is The Bottom In For Bitcoin? He opened with a near-term assessment that “we’re closer to the bottom here today than we have been for the past few weeks,” linking the drawdown to sharply risk-off conditions and to ETF-era flow dynamics. In his framing, Bitcoin “really was a leader of this risk-off move starting in mid-October,” and he expects it to “be a leader to the upside once things start to turn around,” addin…
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Friday's sell-off, according to many observers, was linked to Binance—one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges—where most of the liquidations took place. There are many versions circulating online about why Bitcoin dropped to $101,000. One of the most compelling theories, in my view, points to issues on Binance itself. According to one report, the collateral for positions on Binance was being evaluated using its own internal order book data rather than external price oracles. When Binance announced on October 6 that it would be switching to oracle-based pricing, it gave a select group of traders enough time for a coordinated attack. During that transition pe…
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The stablecoin and tokenization sectors are experiencing a significant resurgence, fueled by pro-crypto regulations introduced by the Trump administration. As a result, experts believe that decentralized oracle network, Chainlink (LINK), is poised to reap substantial benefits from these progressive developments. Is Chainlink Crypto’s Overlooked Gem? Market expert Miles Deutscher recently highlighted that LINK may be the most promising large-cap investment opportunity this cycle, despite the possibility that many investors could overlook it. In a social media post on X (formerly Twitter), the expert asserted that Chainlink is uniquely positioned to benefit from the “in…
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Why is crypto down today? Did tariffs crush Uptober’s rally, or is this the perfect setup before the next breakout? Are traders panicking too early while smart money quietly loads up? As Bitcoin hovers around $ 113,000 (down 2% in 24 hours) and altcoins like Ethereum and Solana slip deeper, the total crypto market cap has fallen below $ 4 trillion again. But behind the red candles lies opportunity. From Trump’s tariff bombshells to CPI anticipation and a fragile Gaza peace deal, this dip may not be a crash; it could be the calm before Uptober’s comeback. Let’s break down exactly why crypto is down today, and why bulls might be ready to push again. …
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