Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin is trading around $9,281, retreating after reaching strong resistance at the 94,200 level, which coincided with the 3/8 Murray and, in turn, with the 200 EMA. In the coming days, Bitcoin is expected to continue its technical correction until it reaches the 2/8 Murray located at 87,500. If Bitcoin consolidates below $94,000 in the coming hours, any failed attempt to break through this zone will be seen as an opportunity to open short positions with a target around the 21 SMA located at $90,780 and finally at the bottom of the uptrend channel around $87,700. The Eagle indicator is showing overbought signs, so any technical rebound is expected to be seen as an opport…
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Ethereum’s momentum in institutional markets just hit a major roadblock. After months of enthusiasm surrounding spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), new data has shown that ETF flows have sunk to their worst monthly total since their launch. The sharp drop reflects a broader cooldown in investor demand, as market volatility and shifting risk appetite weigh on crypto allocations. Will Staking ETFs Emerge To Stabilize Flows? In an X post, a crypto analyst known as Milk Road revealed that the Ethereum ETFs had just printed their worst month on record since launch, which is roughly $1.4 billion in net outflows, the largest single-month withdrawal that ETH has ever enc…
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Ark Invest’s CEO and CIO, Cathie Wood, joined Fox Business’s “Morning With Maria” to discuss her investment strategy as she believes the US is entering a “historic productivity surge,” and why she is bullish on Bitcoin (BTC) for 2026. The Four-Year Cycle Will Be ‘Disrupted’ On Tuesday, Ark Invest’s CEO, Cathie Wood, shared her perspective on the recent Bitcoin performance, which has retraced over 10% in the past month and struggled to reclaim crucial levels over the past few weeks. To Wood, Bitcoin has been behaving like a risk-on asset and is currently “climbing another wall of worry” that has made investors wary of the leading crypto asset’s upcoming performance. As…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1635 coincided with the MACD indicator being significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1635 shortly after occurred when the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing for the realization of Scenario 2 for a buy, but it did not lead to a significant increase in the pair. Strong private-sector employment data from ADP and figures on job openings and labor turnover in the US supported the dollar against the euro in the afternoon. Investors interpreted this data as a signal that the US labor market is not …
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Standard Chartered has sharply reduced its famously bullish Bitcoin roadmap, cutting its 2026 price target in half and acknowledging that its previous near-term projections were too aggressive, even as it keeps an ultra-optimistic long-term view intact. Standard Chartered Downgrades Bitcoin Price Predictions In a note shared on X by VanEck head of research Matthew Sigel, Standard Chartered argues that Bitcoin’s traditional halving cycle has been overtaken by ETF-driven flows. The bank writes: “With the advent of ETF buying, we think the BTC halving cycle is no longer a relevant price driver. The logic in previous cycles (when US ETFs did not exist) – i.e., prices would p…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Speaking at the Abu Dhabi Finance Week on 10 December 2025, Michael Saylor said that Bitcoin is indeed digital gold and that once everyone understands it for what it is, the global credit is will be built on it. According to Saylor, Strategy is currently acquiring nearly $500 million to $1 billion worth of Bitcoin per week and has managed $60 billion worth of equities in the past 14 months, becoming the fifth largest treasury in the S&P universe, well on its way to becoming the largest in about four to eight years, given the same pace of accumulation continues. According to him, the entire cabinet of the US, along with President Donald Trump, and financial as well a…
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Bitcoin climbed to a three-week high on Tuesday before slipping back, a move that has traders and analysts watching closely. According to TradingView data, Bitcoin price topped out at $94,600 late in the session — its highest level since November 25 — then eased to about $92,450 at the time of reporting. Santiment, a blockchain analytics firm, said social chatter calling for “higher” and “above” exploded during the spike, but market action remained uneven. Bitcoin: Trader Frenzy And Skepticism Reports have disclosed that the surge drew heavy retail attention and a flurry of social-media posts urging more buying. Some market watchers questioned how organic the rise wa…
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Less than two hours to the December FOMC! Time is ticking before the FOMC meeting, and volatility has stayed remarkably contained in Stocks—a stark contrast to the Oil market, which saw its price battered again in today's session. Still, the Dow Jones is outperforming its peers, so traders are expecting a positive outlook for the Industrial index – Watch out for bad surprises! What is certain is that things should start moving heavily towards the afternoon. With today's FOMC meeting also releasing the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP)—including the famous "Dot Plot"—expect a wave of repricing as traders scramble to explore the different scenarios for 2026, partic…
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Argentina’s Mendoza province has approved its first large-scale mining project in more than two decades after giving the greenlight to PSJ Cobre Mendocino, a joint venture between Switzerland’s Zonda Metals and Argentine company Alberdi Energy. Earlier this week, the Senate of Mendoza granted its approval of Cobre Mendocino’s environmental impact statement, thereby ending a lengthy review process. For years, the proposed copper mine has been assessed by provincial technical bodies and independent consultants, and multidisciplinary teams that have conducted more than 13 years of environmental and social baseline studies in the Uspallata area. The project had previo…
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Investor focus on Wednesday was on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the subsequent press conference. A 0.25% interest rate cut is already priced in. However, market participants remain on alert, awaiting new hints regarding the Federal Reserve's future actions. Meanwhile, oil market participants are assessing the data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report, released on Wednesday. The EIA reported a reduction in US oil inventories of -1.812 million barrels in November, exceeding forecasts of -1.200 million barrels (after an increase of +0.574 million in October). However, this data did not have a positive impact on oil prices. Oil prices…
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Ethereum is trading with renewed strength after breaking above the $3,300 level and briefly pushing toward $3,400, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. However, despite this recovery, bullish conviction remains fragile. Many analysts continue to warn that the broader trend still leans bearish, emphasizing that Ethereum has yet to reclaim the structural levels needed to confirm a macro reversal. Yet one signal has captured significant attention: according to fresh data from Lookonchain, a major whale known as BitcoinOG has doubled down on his Ethereum long position. This trader is widely recognized for being the whale who successfully shorted Bitcoin durin…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively weakly on Wednesday, at least until the FOMC meeting, the results of which and the market reaction will not be discussed in this article. The outcomes will be summarized tomorrow, once the market's passions have settled. For this week, only one significant event can be highlighted. On Tuesday, the JOLTs report on job openings was released, prompting the first more noticeable movement. The US dollar strengthened slightly as the number of job openings exceeded forecasts. However, it's worth recalling that the JOLTs report has never been a key indicator for the US labor market. Key reports will be published next week, and these cou…
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On-chain data shows the Solana Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has dipped into the loss-taking zone recently, a sign that SOL liquidity has thinned. Solana Liquidity Back At Levels Associated With Bear Markets According to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, Solana liquidity has recently contracted to levels that are typically witnessed in a bear market. There are many ways “liquidity” of a cryptocurrency can be assessed, but here, Glassnode has used the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio. This indicator measures, as its name already implies, the ratio between the amount of profit and loss that the SOL investors as a whole are realizing through their transactions. The met…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.10. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.050 pivot level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.040 zone. The price is now trading below $2.020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.120 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.10 and $2.050. There was a move below the $2.00 …
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Analysis of Trades on Wednesday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also traded higher on Wednesday, with a similar fundamental backdrop. However, it should be noted that the British currency began to rise well before the publication of the Federal Reserve's decision on rates and Jerome Powell's speech. Thus, as we anticipated, the upward trend for the British pound is maintained and gaining momentum. The market finally responded to the Fed's monetary easing as expected—by selling the dollar. Even the announcement of a pause in rate cuts at the beginning of 2026 did not deter traders from disposing of US currency. We have long anticipated a resumption of t…
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Gold is trading around $4,214 within the downtrend channel formed since November 27 and is likely to continue falling in the coming hours as it encountered strong resistance around $4,248. If gold attempts to break through the top of the downtrend channel around $4,250, it will be seen as a signal to open short positions with short-term targets around $4,160. The Eagle indicator is showing a negative signal, so we will look for opportunities to sell gold in the coming hours below the 7/8 Murray located at $4,218 or even if the price falls below the 21 SMA with a target at $4,170. If the price rebounds and attempts to reach resistance levels around $4,230 - $4,245, this zo…
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The dollar is facing challenges. Yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point, leading to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of several risk assets, including the Japanese yen. The Federal Reserve's decision was the result of prolonged debates about the state of the US economy. Proponents of the rate cut argued that the slowdown in labor market growth and global uncertainty necessitated the easing of monetary policy to stimulate economic activity. Conversely, opponents were concerned that a rate cut could lead to rising inflation and financial instability. However, it should be noted that there …
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Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.1649 level and planned to make market-entry decisions from that level. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.1649 provided a sell entry for the euro, resulting in a slight 20-pip decline in the pair. In the second half of the day, another false breakout around 1.1649 allowed buying the euro, which led the pair to rise towards the target level of 1.1703. To Open Long Positions on EUR/USD:Yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9 to 3 to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, from the level of 1.1694 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1672 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward the target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downWeekly chart – downOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:On Thursday, from the level of 1.1694 (yesterday's daily candle close), the mark…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday after rebounding from the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3294 and consolidated above the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362. Thus, the upward movement may continue today if the price rebounds from this zone from above, aiming for 1.3425. Consolidation below the 1.3352–1.3362 level will favor the US dollar and a moderate decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure turned "bullish" two weeks ago. The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the last downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bullish" at this time. The news…
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Discussions regarding the need for the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates rather than lower them have completely overturned market expectations for further monetary easing. However, a number of European officials, including Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau, were quick to dispel such talks. Villeroy stated that the European Central Bank has no grounds for an imminent interest rate hike, as it is likely to keep borrowing costs unchanged at the upcoming meeting next week. The head of the Bank of France noted that it would likely be prudent to maintain interest rates at the current favorable level while remaining flexible and open to fu…
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Overview: The dollar was sold in response to yesterday's FOMC decision. There has been limited follow-through selling in Asia and Europe today. The greenback is mixed as North American participants return. The Swiss franc is the strongest after the central bank left its key policy rate and zero and reaffirmed a high bar to a return to negative rates. On the other hand, the disappointing Australian labor report encouraged the market to push out the first hike next year and the Australian dollar fell amid profit-taking. Emerging market currencies are mixed. The PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at a new low since last October, and both the on- and offshore yuan extended …
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The US Dollar took a hit following yesterday's Fed decision, driven by mechanical flows typical after a rate cut. Given the rally to new cycle highs over the past two months, current outflows aren't surprising—benefiting not just the majors, but especially exotic currencies. Prior to the meeting, the Dollar had held relatively strong despite a dovish Fed repricing, ranging near its recent highs supported by elevated yields following Williams' comments. However, despite the Dot Plot projecting only ~2 cuts for 2026 and Chair Powell suggesting the US is entering the "high end of the neutral rate range," the Dollar is sliding back to mid-October levels. …
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Gemini has received regulatory clearance to launch prediction markets in the US. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) granted a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license to Gemini Titan – a subsidiary of Gemini Space Station. What does this mean for US customers? It allows US customers to trade event contracts, simple yes/no bets on future outcomes, directly on Gemini’s web platform using USD balances. Gemini now joins the likes of Kalshi and Polymarket. On 10 December 2025, Gemini’s CEO Tyler Winklevoss said, “Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process and the beginning of a new chapter for Gemini.” “We thank President Trump for en…
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