Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11885 tópicos neste fórum
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The euro-dollar pair maintains a bullish outlook. Although EUR/USD buyers have not managed to hold above the resistance level of 1.1750 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands on the D1 timeframe), the pair consistently returns to this price barrier after downward price pullbacks. The upward momentum of the pair is primarily driven by the overall weakening of the greenback, amid increasing confidence that the US Federal Reserve will again cut interest rates at the beginning of next year. Even hawkish signals from some Fed representatives have not altered the prevailing dovish sentiment. The dollar continues to face background pressure. The European currency is also supp…
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On Monday, the euro was appreciating against the US dollar, as the dollar is under pressure after the Federal Reserve lowered the key rate by 25 basis points last week. Currently, the EUR/USD exchange rate is approaching 1.1760, its highest level since early October. Meanwhile, the Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, is fluctuating near its December lows. The decline in the dollar's value has been significantly influenced by the Fed's moderate statements from Fed Chair Stephen Miran, who expressed a preference for a 50-basis-point cut at the last meeting. He noted that core inflation is nearing the target level of 2%, excl…
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Understanding Required Minimum Distributions and Their Impact on Retirement Savings Required Minimum Distributions, or RMDs, are mandatory withdrawals that apply to tax-deferred retirement accounts once you reach the age established by current IRS rules. They are calculated using your account balance and a life expectancy factor, which means the dollar amount generally increases over time. While you are always allowed to take more than the required amount, larger withdrawals can weaken long-term retirement stability because they remove principal that can never be replaced inside a tax-advantaged account. How RMDs Work for IRAs and 401(k)s RMDs apply to most traditional r…
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A missed RMD penalty can feel stressful, but it’s often avoidable, or even waivable, if you act quickly and document the fix. This guide explains how the penalty works, the exact steps to correct a missed required minimum distribution, and simple ways to prevent repeat issues. You’ll also see practical tips for Gold IRAs and other precious-metals accounts so you stay compliant without derailing your long-term plan. In short, understand the rules, fix the shortfall, and keep records to avoid a future missed RMD penalty. What the Missed RMD Penalty Means (In Plain English) When you’re required to take a distribution and don’t, the IRS may assess an excise tax, often called …
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Most people are familiar with gold and silver as symbols of wealth, but fewer understand the science behind the metals that safeguard retirement portfolios. Alloys play a central role in the strength, durability, and purity of precious metals, especially those used in a Gold IRA. Understanding how metals are combined and refined helps retirees choose the highest quality bullion for long-term protection against inflation and market uncertainty. Understanding Alloys and Why They Matter for Precious Metals Investors An alloy is a mixture of two or more metals that are combined to enhance specific characteristics, such as hardness, color, or corrosion resistance. When metals …
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Analysis of EUR/USD on 5-Minute Timeframe The EUR/USD currency pair traded higher for most of Friday but retreated from local highs as the evening approached. Overall, the movements were entirely logical from a technical point of view, as shown on the 5-minute timeframe. There were virtually no fundamental or macroeconomic events that could have influenced market sentiment during the day. However, for the past month and a half, such events have not been necessary for the market. The dollar has risen at every opportunity, ignoring weak data, the absence of important data, and any fundamental events. Therefore, we have been saying for several weeks that trading should r…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum moved higher over the past day. Spot trading picked up, while derivatives activity eased after a round of weekend liquidations. Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, stood by her long-term view on Bitcoin despite recent price swings. In a recent podcast, she repeated her $1M price target for BTC. She tied that outlook to the steady growth of stablecoins, which now hold more than $300Bn in value. Wood said the growth in stablecoins marks a significant milestone for digital assets, even as Bitcoin faces short-term pressure. She noted that their expanding role may soften Bitcoin’s near-term momentum, but it also points to a more credible and mature cr…
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What to Know: TRUMP and MELANIA’s outsized moves revived meme risk, setting up spillover flows into presales and listed tokens with liquidity. Bitcoin Hyper ties meme-market throughput to Bitcoin settlement, a credible narrative if $BTC-aligned activity keeps growing. Maxi Doge prioritizes brand and staking flywheels, a classic meme recipe that extends holding periods during presale phases. Useless Coin offers immediate exposure on major exchanges with a $185 market cap, making it a tradable meme beta vehicle. Trump-themed memecoins just ripped out of a lull and dragged the sector back into the spotlight. $TRUMP jumped by 14% in the last week, while $MELANIA exploded…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 11. Many traders were off during today's session as the world celebrates the 108th birthday of the resolution of World War I Nevertheless, US stocks and cryptocurrencies were open, allowing for significant rotation towards more defensive sectors and assets. Initial fears of Critical mineral export controls scaring participants subsided after China announced a one-year temporary suspension of export controls on rare earths, lithium battery materials, and other key metals. Markets Today: UK Unemployment Hits 4-Year High, Gold Advances, FTSE 100 Eyes 200-Point Rally However, the market quickly pivoted t…
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While Bitcoin teeters near the $103,000 mark — with growing risk of dropping below $100,000 — many experts have turned their attention to the Solana network, where a sharp decline in user activity has been recorded. User engagement within the Solana blockchain has fallen to its lowest level in a year. The number of active wallets has dropped to 3.3 million, nearly three times lower than the peak levels seen in January. It's evident that the waning popularity of many secondary altcoins has negatively impacted overall user participation. Despite this decline, Solana continues to diversify its ecosystem. The DeFi sector is showing signs of growth, with projects built on …
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Bitcoin continues to consolidate below the $105,000 mark, maintaining stability above the key $100,000 support level despite ongoing market uncertainty. Bulls appear to be losing momentum, yet sellers are showing signs of exhaustion as the price resists further decline. According to top analyst Darkfost, the market has entered a clear deleveraging phase following the major liquidation event on October 10 — a structural reset that is removing excessive leverage from the system. Data shows that open interest — the total value of active futures contracts — has fallen by 21% over the past 90 days, marking one of the steepest declines of the cycle. This drop reflects traders…
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GBP/USD Analysis on 5M On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement throughout the day, following British data that significantly disappointed and the end of the US government shutdown. If anyone is unclear about these events, the end of the shutdown is a positive event for the dollar and should have prompted an appreciation of the US currency (i.e., a decline in the pair). However, weak (below-expected) GDP growth and a contraction in UK industrial production are negative factors that should have weighed on the British pound (i.e., a decline in the pair). In fact, we observed the exact opposite movement, which intensified sharply. As we've noted…
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In yesterday’s crypto update, the market was consolidating, waiting for a catalyst to drive a change in price action. Today, the catalyst has manifested, and not for the better. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::b…
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A Vancouver group on Thursday delivered a petition with more than 6,000 signatures urging Pan American Silver (NYSE, TSX: PAAS) to respect the Xinka Indigenous people’s decision against restarting the Escobal silver mine in Guatemala. “This is not the first time Canadian allies have had to come in person to the company’s headquarters to ensure Pan American Silver cannot ignore the message from the Xinka people,” activist Angus Wong said in a release Thursday. “The Xinka People have said no to the mine and to characterize the process as a negotiation of any kind is untrue.” The company told MINING.COM sister publication The Northern Miner it would not comment beyon…
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Bitcoin plunges below $95,000, erasing nearly all 2025 gains amid rising market uncertainty and fading hopes for a Fed rate cutMassive outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and $1.3 billion in liquidated leveraged positions deepen the sell-off, highlighting weak market liquidity and investor anxietyStrategy Inc. under pressure, as its market value nears the worth of its BTC holdings; Michael Saylor announces new Bitcoin purchases and urges investors to “HODL." On Friday, Bitcoin fell below the $95,000 mark, reaching $94,508 – its lowest level in about six months. Since hitting a record high of $126,251 in early October, the cryptocurrency has lost nearly 25% of its value. It is n…
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The price of Bitcoin has struggled around the $95,000 mark after showing some early-weekend strength on Saturday, November 15. According to a prominent analyst on the social media platform X, the premier cryptocurrency seems to be showing signs of a potential rebound in the coming days. BTC Price To Return To $110,000? In a November 15 post on X, market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared that the price of Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery based on different technical indicators. In his analysis, Kesmeci fiddled with the possibility of BTC rising to $110,000 and the risk of falling to $85,000. Firstly, Kesmeci analyzed the Bitcoin fear (VIX) score, a technical indicator tha…
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Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai gave a light, indirect response to the growing discussion about Gemini 3, Google’s next major language model – and it had major implications for predictions markets on Polymarket. The comment came as speculation intensified on Polymarket, where traders now estimate a 69% chance that Google will launch the model on November 22. His short reply signals that he is holding back on details, likely to avoid adding to the growing hype. Still, the upcoming release matters for Google. The company is under pressure to narrow the distance between itself and firms that currently lead the AI field, especially OpenAI. The wider indust…
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Stephen Miran, a key "protege" of Donald Trump within the Federal Reserve, stated on Friday that the central bank must reduce the interest rate by 50 basis points in December. He warned that failure to do so would lead to an economic slowdown. Miran does not take into account that the economy could be slowing not because of the Fed's inaction, but because of the White House's new immigration and trade policies. It would be more logical to slightly adjust the policies themselves rather than demand that the Fed tries to sit on two chairs at once. It is worth remembering that the Fed continues to oscillate between two fires. To prevent the labor market from "cooling," a redu…
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Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran also stated that the central bank should not focus solely on current indicators. He believes that actions should be based on the conditions expected in 12-18 months, as this is how long it takes for changes in monetary policy to fully manifest in the economy. If rates are lowered too slowly now, tightening will be necessary in a year or a year and a half. Miran also reported that current data already indicates a slowdown in inflation, which should prompt the FOMC committee to adopt a more "dovish" stance at the December meeting. Meanwhile, the likelihood of a third consecutive round of easing in December has decreased to 44%, accordi…
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Last week, the EUR/USD pair ended with a slight 0.10% decline but posted a weekly gain of 0.51%, amid reduced risk appetite amid speculation that the Federal Reserve will pause its monetary easing cycle in December. Nevertheless, the pair closed above the round level of 1.1600, opening the prospects for further growth. However, most Federal Reserve officials maintained a hawkish tone. The heads of regional Feds—Beth Hammack, Raphael Bostic, Alberto Musalem, Susan Collins, Neel Kashkari, and Jeffrey Schmid—advocated for moderately restrictive monetary policy. On the dovish side are Fed Chair Stephen Miran, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, and governors Christopher Wa…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded sideways on Friday and throughout the current week with low volatility. Recently, significant differences have emerged in the technical picture between the euro and the pound. For instance, the euro has been maintaining a clear and strong consolidation on the daily timeframe, while the British pound is more in a descending correction. On the 4-hour timeframe, the euro is rising, but the pound has been stagnant throughout the week. Why have these differences arisen? The problem lies within the British pound itself, specifically within the British economy. What have we learned about its condition over the past week? The unemployment rate con…
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Trade Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded predominantly sideways on Friday. There was little macroeconomic data available on that day. Essentially, the only notable data was the Eurozone GDP, which neither disappointed nor pleased the market. Traders still lacked the most critical piece of information—macroeconomic data from the U.S. Individual reports are published occasionally, but they are far from the most significant. The key reports have yet to be released due to the "shutdown." The American government and federal structures resumed operations last week; however, gathering information and data will require considerable ti…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.180 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now correcting some losses and might face hurdles near $0.1650. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.180 level. The price is trading below the $0.170 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1650 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1650 and $0.170. Dogecoin Price Attempts Recovery Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.180 and $0.1720 support le…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. Therefore, it can be immediately assumed that high volatility and trending movement are unlikely to be expected today. Overall, the market continues to ignore much of the macroeconomic and fundamental information. We believe that traders are still trading purely based on technical analysis. Both the euro and the pound have been correcting for several months against the global upward trend. It may be time to resume that trend now. Analysis of Fundamental Events: Several fundamental events are scheduled for Monday. The European Central Bank will hear speeches from Vice Presi…
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The euro has pulled back, while the pound continues to trade within a sideways channel against the U.S. dollar. Recent statements from Federal Reserve representatives on the complexity of the interest rate situation and the emphasis that much will depend on the data they receive in the near future have led to a slight weakening of the dollar's position. Traders who previously anticipated a more aggressive policy from the central bank are now revising their forecasts, putting pressure on the U.S. currency. The market reacts to every word and hint from Fed officials, as any change in rhetoric could signal a shift in monetary policy. Today, the only data expected in the firs…
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