Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the EUR/USD pair experienced an upward movement, which represents a correction within the broader downtrend. The descending trendline clearly indicates the prevailing bearish sentiment among most traders, but we would still not expect a strong dollar rally. It is essential to recognize that over the past week and a half, several factors have indeed supported the U.S. currency; however, all of them are temporary. The global trend remains unchanged, as does the overall fundamental background. Thus, we are witnessing another round of correction, but the dollar still finds it extremely difficult to count on more than that. On Friday, E…
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Reports have disclosed that 16 wallets picked up 431,018 Ether between September 25 and 27, spending about $1.73 billion to do so. The buys came through names like Kraken, Galaxy Digital, BitGo, FalconX and OKX. That scale of accumulation pushed attention back to who is buying the dip, and why larger players seem willing to add exposure while prices wobble. Exchange Balances Fall To 9-Year Low According to Glassnode data, the amount of ETH held on exchanges has plunged from roughly 31 million to about 14.8 million ETH — a drop of 52% from 2016 levels. Many of those coins are likely in staking contracts, cold wallets or institutional custody, and the recent launch of t…
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The first week of every month is traditionally the most informative and, as a rule, the most volatile for dollar pairs. October will be no exception. The economic calendar for the coming week is packed with important events, with the release of September Nonfarm Payrolls standing out. After a strong U.S. GDP growth report and a "neutral" PCE index, the NFP release will tip the scales either toward sellers or buyers of EUR/USD. Nonfarm Payrolls will be preceded by other U.S. labor market reports—JOLTs, ADP, and Unemployment Claims—which may also influence the pair, especially if they fall into the green or red zone. Traders should also pay close attention to ISM indice…
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In my reviews, I have repeatedly stated that I continue to expect growth in the European currency. Many economists also support this view, as most factors point in favor of the euro. The key factor, in their opinion, is further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, combined with the likely completion of the ECB's easing cycle. Since Donald Trump is demanding that the Fed lower rates to at least 2%, there is reason to expect that the Fed will eventually reach the target that the ECB has already achieved. In other words, over the next six months, a year, or even two, only the Fed will be engaged in rate cuts, putting the already weak dollar in an even more difficult posit…
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Iran's nuclear program is once again raising concerns among Western countries. Several months ago, Donald Trump ordered an airstrike on Iran's underground nuclear facilities. The following day, the U.S. president announced the complete destruction of the three largest uranium enrichment sites, declaring Iran a non-nuclear state. However, only a few days later, experts from relevant fields began to question Trump's statements. In short, experts believe that it was impossible to achieve full destruction of underground facilities, and in practice, such an operation is nearly unattainable. The strikes were targeted, while the facilities themselves cover a large underground ar…
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The upcoming week will be very important for the U.S. dollar. The currency will attempt to hold its ground, but it will be difficult to withstand the pressure from market participants. Most economists expect further weakening of the dollar, driven by instability in the U.S. economy, the threat of rising inflation, the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, and Donald Trump's influence on the Fed. Therefore, the period of calm for the dollar has not yet arrived. Individual events in the U.K. or the Eurozone may put pressure on the euro and the pound, allowing the dollar to strengthen from time to time. However, the situation in the United States is of far greater concern to…
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The British pound lost more than the euro over the past week, so its wave pattern now looks ambiguous. Recall that complex wave structures have one major drawback – they are extremely difficult to identify in the early stages of formation. Simply put, if the structure is not classical, it is almost impossible to understand what it represents at the beginning. In my analysis, I avoid working with non-standard structures because, as practice shows, such an approach has a low profitability ratio. Therefore, at the moment, the pound is unattractive for opening positions. I rely on the euro's wave pattern. Its supposed waves 2 and 4 in wave 5 both took on a nearly identical th…
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The European currency declined over the past week; however, it continues to attract demand among market participants overall. Most economists believe that by the end of the year, the euro will surpass the psychological barrier of $ 1.20. I fully agree with this view. In fact, I expect the European currency to trade even higher than 1.22 dollars by year-end. But let's not get ahead of ourselves. As I have already mentioned in my reviews this week, the euro's decline was, to some extent, an accident. Several factors converged at once: the pound's weakness, a strong U.S. GDP report, Jerome Powell's statements that were not sufficiently dovish, and the market's bearish interp…
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The week saw another speech by Jerome Powell, during which the FOMC Chair stated that even one more rate cut is not guaranteed. Recall that at last week's Fed meeting, Powell indicated that two more rounds of monetary easing before year-end should not be ruled out. The market immediately raised its expectations for further cuts, but this week, Powell cooled the enthusiasm of the "dovish" camp. I would like to draw my readers' attention to two key points. The first: since 2024, Jerome Powell has been regularly repeating the phrase, "rate decisions will be made solely based on economic data." Bearing in mind the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, we cannot be confident even in…
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The euro-dollar pair closed Friday's session at 1.1700 – a symbolic level, given the sharp swings in market sentiment during the week. The weekly high was recorded at 1.1820, the low at 1.1647. Formally, this round ended in favor of EUR/USD bears (since the opening price was 1.1751), but Friday's release of the core PCE index did not allow sellers to secure a convincing victory. And although, as footballers say, "the score is on the board," bearish triumphalism quieted down significantly. EUR/USD traders (as well as participants in other dollar pairs) seemed to be asking themselves: did they rush to conclusions after the publication of a strong U.S. GDP growth report? …
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Ethereum is undergoing one of the most significant resets in over a year, caused by its price breaking below $4,000. This retest has been most visible in futures open interest, where billions of dollars in positions have been wiped out across major exchanges. This rapid unwinding comes as a correction move to weeks of excessive leverage during uptrends that had pushed derivatives activity to unsustainable levels. Massive Open Interest Wipeout Across Major Exchanges The most recent Ethereum price correction was a broader market reset rather than a mere dip, with leveraged traders facing the brunt of the losses. Data shows that Ethereum’s open interest experienced a steep…
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FORM jumped more than +30% in the past day as leverage poured in, with traders calling the move a short squeeze. The rally began late Sunday and carried into Monday. Prices on major exchanges swung from around $0.91 to as high as $1.47 before settling in the mid-$1.30s at press time. (Source: Coingecko) Why Did FORM Crypto Surge Over 40% in 24 Hours? Binance and Bybit each recorded hundreds of millions of dollars in 24-hour volume. Derivatives data from Coinalyze showed that funding turned positive and that open interest had nearly doubled to $26M, a sign that traders had piled into long positions. Funding rates hovered near +0.01% per eight hours, adding weight to…
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Eric Trump returned to social media this week with a short, blunt message for crypto investors: “Buy the dips!” According to his post on X, the repeated slogan arrived as Bitcoin and Ethereum were under selling pressure, and it drew quick attention from traders and analysts alike. Trump’s Crypto Footprint Based on reports, Eric Trump’s comments come as the Trump family’s business moves into the crypto sector in a bigger way. He and his brother backed American Bitcoin, and their stake in that company swelled to about $1.5 billion after the firm’s recent market action. American Bitcoin’s public moves and partnerships have pushed the family further into mining and accum…
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GV News – The Evolution of News Trading in Forex GV News on forex trading news There was a time when trading the news in forex was while never easy. it was easier. In the early days of online trading, brokers offered a feature that gave retail traders a clear edge: guaranteed fills. The Era of Guaranteed Fills With guaranteed fills, traders could place stop entry orders that would be executed at the exact price entered. For example: A buy stop at 1.1770 would be filled at 1.1770. A sell stop at 1.1715 would be executed at 1.1715. This created a unique opportunity to bracket the market around news events. Traders could place a buy stop above and a sell stop below the …
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The crypto market faced in recent months, as both Bitcoin and Ethereum broke below important support levels. Bitcoin broke below $110,000, while Ethereum also slipped under $4,000. This downturn triggered billions in liquidations and pushed the Fear and Greed Index into fear territory. However, data from on-chain analytics platform Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock) reveals that accumulation is quietly underway. Despite the price declines, exchange outflows for both assets have remained strongly negative. Key Weekly Metrics An extended decline carried over from the previous week saw the Bitcoin price falling below $110,000 with increasing selling pressure and liquidations…
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Cathie Wood just put Hyperliquid in the Solana conversation. Will these remarks push HYPE price? ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood says that the decentralized exchange protocol Hyperliquid “reminds me of Solana in the earlier days,” calling it the “new kid on the block” in a recent interview on the Master Investor podcast. Wood reiterated that Bitcoin remains the core of ARK’s crypto thesis, but pointed to the growth of on-chain derivatives venues as a sign of shifting momentum. “It’s exciting. It reminds me of Solana in the earlier days,” she said, adding that Bitcoin “owns the cryptocurrency space when it comes to pure crypto.” DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings t…
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Northern Dynasty Minerals (TSX: NDM) (NYSE-A: NAK) says it has received another $12 million payment from its royalty investor while it continues to have talks with the US government on the approval of the company’s flagship Pebble project in Alaska. The payment is part of a royalty financing agreement signed with an unnamed investor in July 2022 for Pebble, touted as one of the world’s largest copper-gold-molybdenum resources. However, the proposed mine has faced stern local opposition and undergone a protracted period of review due to its location near the Bristol Bay watershed, where some of the world’s largest sockeye salmon fisheries reside. Under the royalty …
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The price of Bitcoin has had a mixed performance so far in 2025, falling to a low of around $74,000 in the first quarter of the year. The premier cryptocurrency has since set multiple all-time highs above the $120,000 mark over the past few months. However, while the Bitcoin price seems to have fallen into a consolidation phase in recent weeks, the general feeling in the market has always been that there remains an upside potential for the market leader. Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz has come forward to echo these sentiments while identifying the “biggest catalyst” to kickstart a potential rally. ‘Exceptionally Dovish’ Fed Chair Could Guide BTC To $200,000: Novograt…
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The Bitcoin community is again locked in a heated debate following reports that developer Luke Dashjr, creator of the Bitcoin Knots client, is exploring the possibility of a hard fork to remove illicit data from the blockchain. At the heart of the controversy are leaked discussions suggesting Dashjr has considered a framework where a select quorum of signers could retroactively redact blockchain entries using zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs). The aim, according to these reports, would be to filter objectionable or illegal non-financial data embedded in Bitcoin’s immutable ledger, while preserving valid transaction history. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.18T24h7d30d1yAll time …
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The Ethereum price has been one of the best performers in the cryptocurrency market in the third quarter, reaching a new all-time high at the end of August. However, the second-largest cryptocurrency has struggled to build on this record-setting momentum in September. With September and the third quarter of 2025 almost done, the Ethereum price appears to be struggling to reclaim the psychological $4,000 support level. Below are the critical support levels to watch for should a deeper correction occur, according to the latest on-chain data. Is $3,500 The Next Stop For ETH Price? In a September 27 post on the X platform, popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified thre…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped from its mid-August high of $117,968, primarily due to $1.5 billion in forced sell-offs. For now, it is hovering near key support levels between $107,000 and $102,000.Is it still the best crypto to buy now? Despite this pullback, institutional investment to the tune of $60 billion is keeping hopes alive for a long-term rally towards $200,000. Currently, BTC is trading just below the $110,000 mark at $109,470, barely up by 0.05% after a volatile September. The market cap is about $2.17 trillion, with about $40.4 billion traded in the last 24 hours alone. Despite the heavy selloff, ETH stabilised above the $4000 mark for a little while and i…
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Over the last week, XRP slipped below the psychological $3 support level as it lost about 7.02% of its price value. Since then, the altcoin has maintained a steady price consolidation around the $2.78-$2.79 region, without retesting the newly formed resistance level. Meanwhile, recent on-chain data has provided some cautionary market insights, highlighting a key support zone. XRP Bulls Must Avoid Crash Below $2.73 – Here’s Why In an X post on September 27, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed the existence of a price gap sitting between the $2.73 and $2.51 price levels. Central to Martinez’s revelation is the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric, which speci…
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Crypto in Asia keeps gaining momentum. Another busy week in the Asian crypto landscape brings fresh partnerships, policy moves and cross-border shakeups. From Seoul to Abu Dhabi, crypto in Asia is setting new benchmarks for the cryptosphere. Here’s what transpired this week. Trump-Backed WLFI Expands Crypto In Asia Through South Korea’s Bithumb The South Korean crypto exchange Bithumb has partnered with World Liberty Financial (WLF), a US President Trump-linked crypto firm. The initiative aims to support the growth of decentralised finance (DeFi) worldwide. According to the official statement released on 23 September 2025, the deal aims to explore business opportunitie…
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Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, is stepping up its presence on the continent by joining the African Blockchain Summit as a platinum sponsor. Through this sponsorship, the exchange will likely expand its reach as more people consider the exchange. This is not the first time Binance is sponsoring a crypto event. In the past, the exchange sponsored a crypto conference in Kenya. Meanwhile, South African fund manager Syngnia Limited has urged diversification in Bitcoin investments. Bitcoin is a premier crypto exchange and is undoubtedly one of the best cryptos to buy. Public firms, especially in Europe, North America, and Japan, have bought BTC, adding the crypt…
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Aster Exchange said it has reimbursed users after a sudden price glitch sent the XPL perpetual contract soaring and wiped out leveraged positions. According to reports, the contract’s mark price briefly decoupled from markets on September 25, 2025, jumping from about $1.30 to nearly $4 on Aster while XPL elsewhere stayed near $1.30. The mismatch forced mass liquidations on the platform. Aster Issues Refunds According to Aster’s public messages and follow-up reports, the exchange moved fast to cover losses. Refunds were paid in USDT to accounts hit by the abnormal moves. A second round of payments covered trading and liquidation fees as well. One analysis put the total…
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