Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11825 tópicos neste fórum
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On Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair updated its 8-month price high, firmly settling within the 152 range for the first time since February this year. The yen remains under intense pressure following the internal party elections within Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), in which Sanae Takaichi emerged victorious. This means she is now the most likely candidate to become the next Prime Minister of Japan. However, the leader of the ruling party does not automatically become head of government. Takaichi's nomination must still be approved by parliament — and the LDP does not hold a majority in either chamber. A failed attempt by her predecessor, Shigeru Ishiba, who …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Demand for the European currency continues to decline, but from my perspective, there is nothing alarming about that. We all want to see ideal wave patterns or perfect technical setups that provide clear entry opportunities and consistent profits. However, in practice, things often turn out differently. Currently, the euro's decline contradicts the wave structure. Wave 4 (if that's truly what it is) is taking on a five-wave form. This is possible within the a-b-c-d-e correctional formation. If the wave count is incorrect, the trend section that began on September 17 (right after the FOMC meeting) still doesn't appear impulsive in nature. Therefore, I don't expect a new do…
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Palladium surged nearly 10% on Wednesday to a two-year high amid a relentless rally in precious metals that propelled both gold and silver prices to records. The metal, used primarily in catalytic converters in car exhaust systems, traded as high as $1,482.65 per ounce, the highest since May 2023. Over the past month, palladium has risen by more than 20%, riding the momentum of investment demand for safe-haven metals, in particular during a period of heightened political and economic uncertainty. In comparison, gold has gained 11% during that period, while silver rose by nearly 17%. Year to date, palladium is up by nearly 49%, almost mirroring the performance …
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The beginning of October 2025 has brought a storm of significant developments across global financial markets — equity corrections, gold surging to historic highs, and conflicting macroeconomic signals. Traders and investors are navigating a highly unusual environment where the U.S. dollar is strengthening, Treasury yields are falling, and haven assets are soaring — all driven by political and monetary uncertainty. Multivariable Uncertainty: Why Markets Are Pulling in Different DirectionsThis week's macro triggers are familiar, but their simultaneous force and impact are exceptional. The key political backdrop is yet another extension of the U.S. government shutdown. The…
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Mantle (MNT) is bucking the broader market downturn, jumping 4% daily and 31% weekly to trade near $2.44 after printing a new all-time high at $2.47 (Oct. 7). The catalyst stack is clear: Mantle unveiled a compliance-first Real-World Assets (RWA) “Tokenization-as-a-Service” suite at Token2049, positioning the L2 as one of the few ecosystems building institutional-grade RWA rails. Momentum accelerated as World Liberty Financial confirmed its USD1 stablecoin, currently the #6 stablecoin with $2.6 billion cap, will launch on Mantle, a credibility boost for the network’s DeFi and payments footprint. A deeper “Mantle × Bybit Roadmap” adds distribution as Bybit processes ov…
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A prominent macro-crypto commentator argues that digital assets are transitioning from a greed-driven cycle to a “fear bubble,” with Bitcoin poised for a more powerful and more parabolic phase in 2026 than the euphoric surge of 2017. In a post on X from October 8, the analyst known as plur_daddy (@plur_daddy) contends that two narratives—monetary debasement and artificial intelligence—are now the dominant behavioral drivers, and that they operate less on promise than on anxiety. 2017 Vibes: Trump And AI Could Ignite Next Bitcoin Rally “We are in a bubble, and the most parabolic leg is approaching. The true fireworks will be next year but this Q4 we shall get a taste,” he…
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Changpeng “CZ” Zhao’s family office, now operating as YZi Labs after rebranding from Binance Labs, has revealed a $1 billion builder fund to boost long‑term growth on BNB Chain. The initiative is aimed at founders working in areas like trading, real‑world assets, artificial intelligence, decentralized science, and DeFi. The goal is to strengthen the ecosystem by providing capital and support where it can have the most impact. Expanding the Builder Base The fund will target projects building infrastructure and applications on BNB Chain. This includes trading systems, AI tools, wallet solutions, payments, decentralized science, and real‑world asset tokenization. YZi …
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Jupiter, a DeFi aggregator built on Solana, is working with Ethena Labs to roll out its own stablecoin called JupUSD. The launch is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2025, and it is not being treated like a side feature. Jupiter plans to make JupUSD a core part of how its platform works, tying it into everything from swaps and lending to perps trading and beyond. What’s Holding It Together on Day One At launch, JupUSD will be backed entirely by USDtb, a stablecoin that is itself tied to short-term U.S. Treasuries. This gives it a clean, traditional kind of collateral to start with. Later on, Ethena’s other stablecoin, USDe, will be added to the mix. That will int…
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According to Coach JV, XRP could become “one of the greatest assets of our lifetime,” a view he has repeated in recent posts. He pointed to his decision in December 2020 to back the token when the US Securities and Exchange Commission filed a suit against Ripple, saying he went all-in while many others were selling. That moment, when XRP slipped to $0.17, is central to his claim that patience and discipline pay off. Coach JV’s Early Bet He says intuition and calm guided his call. Reports have disclosed that he credits those traits for building systems he expects to last. Back then, panic pushed prices down. He chose to hold and add. That move, according to his accoun…
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Bitcoin is entering a critical phase, preparing for a decisive move that will determine its short-term trajectory. After weeks of volatility and record-breaking highs, BTC now faces a pivotal test — it must either reclaim its all-time highs and enter a new phase of price discovery, or continue its correction to establish a stronger base of consolidation around current levels. The market appears finely balanced, with traders watching closely for signs of direction. Recent onchain data highlights a surge in new buyers, marking one of the strongest inflows of fresh capital seen in months. This trend suggests renewed bullish momentum, as investors increasingly view Bitcoin’…
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Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $125,000 pivot level. BTC is now consolidating near $122,200 and might struggle to rally above $125,000s. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $124,000 level. The price is trading below $123,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $122,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $122,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price extended gains above the $125,000 zone. BTC climbed above the $125,250 and $125,500 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A new …
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, declining steadily without major pauses, even overnight. This drop has been swift and persistent. So, let's ask an important question: do traders really understand that such a move requires major fundamental justification? And do they realize that it's not enough to isolate a single event—they need to consider the entire spectrum of macroeconomic and fundamental signals? Reading various expert commentaries brings to mind the classic line from the film "Casablanca": "Round up the usual suspects." At the moment, the euro does not have any serious reasons to be falling, yet many analysts are pointing fi…
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On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair again traded slightly lower — but only marginally so. In our accompanying article on EUR/USD, we discussed the reasons for the euro's decline (spoiler alert: there are hardly any). Here, we take a closer look at the pound's behavior and ask — why is it falling at all? After all, the political crisis in France has nothing to do with the British currency. In fact, the answer is already clear. The pound has even fewer reasons to fall than the euro. The situation in France, which can hardly be called a genuine crisis, has no bearing on GBP. Suggesting that the pound is falling due to a political reshuffle in France makes as much sense a…
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GBP/USD On Wednesday, the British pound reached the target support level of 1.3369, corresponding to the June 23 low. Previously, this level was slightly lower, based on the July 16 low. A rebound occurred from this support zone, which could potentially lift the price above the MACD line (at 1.3434), thereby opening the path toward the next target at 1.3525. However, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, suggesting that the anticipated upward movement will not be easy — especially considering that the entire 1.3369–1.3525 range represents a long-term zone of free movement. On the four-hour chart, the MACD line at 1.3430 is the immediate resistance. The Ma…
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Natural Gas (NG) Over the past two weeks, the price of natural gas has made two unsuccessful attempts to break above the weekly balance and MACD indicator lines. As of today, the price has returned below the key support level of 3.333. The Marlin oscillator has also failed to enter positive territory and is now indicating a potential downward reversal. The nearest target at 3.086 is open. With a high degree of probability, the decline could extend well below this initial target — toward 2.643. On the daily chart, the price held above the 3.333 level for six consecutive sessions, but all attempts to build upward momentum were thwarted by technical resistance from higher …
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EUR/USD Yesterday, the euro reached and tested the target support level at 1.1605 before reversing upward, likely with the intention of closing Monday's price gap. The immediate growth target is the signal-interim level at 1.1779. A breakout above this level would open the path toward the upper boundary of the price channel near the 1.1910 mark. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has formed its own upward channel, and the current reversal is occurring from its lower boundary — a technical confirmation of bullish momentum building. The first growth target is the MACD line at 1.1687, followed by 1.1779. On the four-hour chart, the resistance from the MACD line coinci…
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Ethereum’s treasury stocks are starting to exhibit early signs of a potential market reversal, sparking renewed optimism across the cryptocurrency landscape. This movement among treasuries often serves as a leading signal of shifting sentiment within the broader ETH ecosystem. A Look At The Data Behind Ethereum On-Chain Recovery In a subtle shift that suggests the broader market may be stabilizing, Ethereum treasury stocks are beginning to flash early signs of reversal. Despite these encouraging signals, Ethereum remains well below its all-time high (ATH). Investor Ted Pillows pointed out on X that the institutional interest will only return once the charts show sustaine…
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Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,600 and declined. ETH is now moving lower and might extend losses below $4,400 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,600 and $4,550. The price is trading below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $4,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,400. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price extended gains above $4,620 and $4,650, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,750 resistance zone before there was a fresh decline. A low was formed at $4,414 and t…
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Binance Coin (BNB) extended its hot streak, trading above $1,310 (up 3% on the day and 30% on the week), as it flipped XRP to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market value. BNB’s market cap now hovers near $182–185 billion, capping a seven-day run that outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum. The surge followed a clean breakout above $1,100 and $1,200, with bulls now eyeing $1,360 and the psychological $1,500 handle if momentum holds. On the downside, $1,200–$1,240 is the first support zone traders are watching for a healthy retest. Record On-Chain Activity and Meme-Season Tailwinds Currently, BNB Chain is printing cycle-high activity. Daily transactions have ranged…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.90. The price is now struggling and might continue to move down if it trades below $2.820. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $2.90 zone. The price is now trading below $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.820. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price failed to stay above $3.00 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $2.950 and $2.920 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price tes…
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[USDX] – [Thursday, October 09, 2025] Although both EMAs are still in a Golden Cross, but with the appearance of a Bearish Divergence along with the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish area indicates potential weakness in #USDX today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.29 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.05 3. Pivot : 98.80 4. Support. 1 : 98.56 5. Support. 2 : 98.31 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If #USDX breaks down and closes below 98.56, it has the potential to continue its decline toward 98.31. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.31 is breached and closes below, the 98.07 level will likely be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is held if #USDX rem…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, October 09, 2025] Given the Golden Cross between EMA(50) and EMA(200) and the RSI(14) being in the Neutral-Bullish zone, #NDX is likely to strengthen toward its nearest resistance level in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25381.4 2. Resistance. 1 : 25265.9 3. Pivot : 25044.8 4. Support. 1 : 24929.3 5. Support. 2 : 24708.2 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If #NDX breaks out and closes above 25,044.8, it has the potential to test 25,265.9. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25,265.9 is surpassed, the next target to be tested would be 25,381.4. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if #NDX …
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Wednesday Trade Breakdown:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded in both directions while maintaining a downward bias on the hourly timeframe. The main decline occurred during the Asian session, so even the one major macroeconomic report — Germany's industrial production, which disappointed significantly — had virtually no impact on the euro. In the evening, the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting revealed that about half of the committee members expect further monetary easing. The key interest rate could be cut two more times by year-end. However, this information had already been public knowledge since September 17, the date of the Fede…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Wednesday (and into Thursday), the GBP/USD pair continued a weak downward movement — despite having virtually no fundamental reason for doing so. Let's recall that the trend for the pound turned bullish after the downward trendline was broken. There's been no meaningful macroeconomic or fundamental news for the British currency this week. On the other hand, U.S. developments — including the ongoing government shutdown and unrest in Chicago — clearly don't favor dollar strength. Last week's U.S. economic data fell short of expectations, and the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates two more times before year-end. All of…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins is forming a setup that previously led to a market downturn. Bitcoin & Altcoins Have Seen A Jump In Open Interest Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has discussed about the latest trend in the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins. This indicator measures the total amount of positions related to a given asset or group of assets that are currently open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. It takes into account both long and short positions. When the value of the Open interest rises, it means speculative interest in the market is goin…
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