Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11845 tópicos neste fórum
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday after rebounding from the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3294 and consolidated above the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362. Thus, the upward movement may continue today if the price rebounds from this zone from above, aiming for 1.3425. Consolidation below the 1.3352–1.3362 level will favor the US dollar and a moderate decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure turned "bullish" two weeks ago. The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the last downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bullish" at this time. The news…
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Discussions regarding the need for the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates rather than lower them have completely overturned market expectations for further monetary easing. However, a number of European officials, including Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau, were quick to dispel such talks. Villeroy stated that the European Central Bank has no grounds for an imminent interest rate hike, as it is likely to keep borrowing costs unchanged at the upcoming meeting next week. The head of the Bank of France noted that it would likely be prudent to maintain interest rates at the current favorable level while remaining flexible and open to fu…
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Key takeaways Post-FOMC optimism faded fast, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures reversing sharply on renewed US–China tensions and concerns over AI-related export violations tied to DeepSeek. Sentiment worsened after Oracle’s 11.5% after-hours plunge, as weak revenue reignited worries over stretched AI valuations and dragged index futures lower. Despite the pullback, Nasdaq 100 technicals remain constructive, with improving market breadth and key supports holding, keeping the medium-term bullish reversal bias intact. The post-FOMC rally quickly fizzled in today’s Asia session, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures falling -0.8% and -1.1%, effectively …
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Struggles, Ends the Day Down 0.9% Most Read: The Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 3.75% – Market Reactions The Nikkei finished lower on Thursday, primarily because of a large drop in SoftBank Group shares. SoftBank's decline mirrored the steep fall of the US tech giant Oracle, which disappointed investors by predicting sales and profit below what Wall Street analysts expected. Although the Nikkei briefly rose by 0.5% earlier in the day, it closed down 0.9% at 50148.82. The broader Topix index also fell by 0.94% after opening at a record high. SoftBank Group was the biggest drag, plummeting 7.69%. Other Japanese technology companies also lost ground…
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What’s going on with SpaceX and its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings? The privately held company has been in the news for a while regarding its BTC reshuffling activities, and has once again made the news for the same reason. On-chain data suggests that the company shifted a massive chunk of its .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive {…
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ACG Metals (LON:ACG) said Thursday it will not make an offer for Anglo Asian Mining (LON:AAZ) after a “thorough review” found the move would not create value. The company said its analysis of Anglo Asian’s assets did not support a transaction, noting its disciplined approach to capital allocation and its focus on protecting shareholder equity. ACG had disclosed last month it was in the early stages of considering a bid. Anglo Asian Mining, a gold, copper and silver producer operating in Azerbaijan, has been expanding its portfolio. It opened the Gilar and Demirli mines this year and said the additions were delivered on time and on budget as part of its plan to bec…
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American Bitcoin Corp. reported a fresh addition to its Bitcoin reserve after buying 416 BTC, bringing its total holdings to around 4,783 coins. According to company disclosures and market reports, American Bitcoin (NASDAQ: ABTC) acquired about 416 BTC in the week ending December 8, increasing its on-balance stash to roughly 4,783 BTC. The purchase came from a combination of mined coins and selective market acquisitions, the company said. American Bitcoin Boosts Holdings The cash value of the latest pick-up was roughly in the $38 million range when reported, based on market prices at the time. That addition places the firm among the larger corporate BTC holders and inc…
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The Federal Reserve concluded its December meeting with another rate cut—this time reducing the federal funds rate by 25 basis points. The new target range is now between 3.50% and 3.75%. This marks the third easing of the year, following steps taken in September and October, and the market had already priced in this scenario. In essence, rates have returned to their lowest levels since 2022. However, the outward smoothness of this decision hides a significant divide within the regulator itself. For the first time since 2019, three Fed representatives opposed the final decision: Of the 12 voting members, three voted against it. Kansas City Fed President Esther George an…
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As usual, the market reacted sharply to the results of the last FOMC meeting, then began to reassess the Fed's agenda before shooting up again. As a result, the bears in EUR/USD showed no signs of counterattacking, and the initiative was completely seized by the bulls. The major currency pair soared to its highest level since mid-October, and I fear this might not be the limit. At first glance, everything unfolded just as expected. The federal funds rate fell from 4.00% to 3.75%, and Jerome Powell stated that the Fed feels comfortable. Borrowing costs shifted to neutral levels that neither stimulate nor cool the economy. Everything went according to plan; however, the sw…
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Bitcoin’s price action in the past two weeks has opened a new phase of stress among traders, with on-chain data showing realized losses climbing to heights last observed in 2022. Glassnode’s latest Week-On-Chain report shows Bitcoin is trading above an important cost-basis level but is also visibly straining under intensified loss realization, fading demand and weakening liquidity, which has placed short-term investors in a difficult position. Realized Losses Return To Deep Territory According to Glassnode, realized losses among Bitcoin entities have risen massively, and is now almost at the same magnitudes recorded during the deep retracements of the 2022 bear market…
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A recent post by crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards on X suggests that the current Bitcoin structure is giving bears “the perfect opportunity” to short the market down to $40,000. His message was paired with a chart showing Bitcoin falling below an important resistance ever since it broke below $100,000, creating what appears to be a clean continuation setup for traders expecting deeper losses. However, although the chart highlights a similar bearish structure in 2022, the analysis behind his post points to a more layered interpretation of what may come next for Bitcoin. The Setup Bears Believe Is Finally Here In the chart he shared, Stockmoney Lizards showed how Bitcoi…
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Market Insights Podcast (11/12/2025): In today's episode, TraderNick and podcast host Jonny Hart reflect on a decision to cut rates by the Federal Reserve and forward guidance. Otherwise, we touch base on the upside currently on display in silver pricing, the Bank of Japan, and the Swiss franc. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major econ…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The first test of 1.3373 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3373 shortly afterward coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario No. 2 (selling the pound) to play out. As a result, the pair fell by 20 points. In the absence of important fundamental statistics from the UK, the British pound made several attempts to continue its bullish momentum, but without much success. The pound's further movement will largely depend on the release …
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Copper shot up to a new all-time high on Thursday, as an improved growth forecast for the US economy gave further boost to the metal’s rally. Three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange advanced as much as 2.1% to $11,800.50 a ton, surpassing a record set on Monday. Click on chart for live prices. The move follows an upgraded economic outlook from the US Federal Reserve, which projects the world’s largest economy to grow 2.3% next year, up from 1.8% previously. This sanguine outlook provides a jolt to the demand outlook for industrial metals, in particular copper, as it is used in almost every key sector and is seen as vital to the clean energy transiti…
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After three rounds of monetary policy easing, it is still impossible to say for certain whether the "cooling" of the U.S. labor market has stopped. There is still no economic data regarding unemployment and payrolls, and the ADP and JOLTs reports are far from the most accurate, relevant, and timely. Therefore, the first conclusions cannot be drawn until next week. However, even those conclusions will not impact the situation. Let me explain what I mean. For example, the next Nonfarm Payrolls report will show an average figure of around 70,000-80,000 new jobs. Consequently, it can be concluded that the labor market has begun to recover and that further monetary policy easi…
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Bitcoin has retraced below the $91,000 level following the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, a move that initially generated volatility across risk assets. While the market’s reaction has leaned bearish in the short term, on-chain data tells a very different story beneath the surface. According to new insights from CryptoQuant, one of the most striking signals comes from the Exchange Inflow Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric on Binance, which has fallen sharply to 380, its lowest reading since September 2017. CDD is one of the most important indicators for understanding long-term holder behavior because it assigns greater weight to olde…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,150. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim for a clear upside break above $3,350. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $3,450 zone. The price is trading above $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a new connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $3,180 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,150 zone. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price managed to stay above $3,150 and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,300 and $3,320 resistance le…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Stellar has just seen a TD Sequential buy signal. Here’s what happened the last time the pattern surfaced. Stellar Shot Up The Last Time A TD Buy Signal Appeared At Current Prices In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a Tom Demark (TD) Sequential signal that has appeared in the 1-week price of Stellar. The TD Sequential is a technical analysis (TA) indicator that’s used for pinpointing locations of probable reversal in an asset’s price. The indicator involves two phases. In both of them, it works by counting up candles of the same polarity (that is, whether red or green) in the asset’s chart. These candle…
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Meanwhile, the European currency is rising, and more economists are predicting that the next move in the eurozone will indeed be an interest rate increase by the European Central Bank. This aligns with the views of influential board member Isabel Schnabel. According to a survey, over 60% of respondents believe that officials are more likely to raise borrowing costs rather than lower them. However, they do not expect this to happen anytime soon; it is projected that the deposit rate will remain at 2% for the next two years. On the one hand, rising rates may help contain inflation—which the ECB currently seems to have under control—but on the other hand, they pose risks of…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.21%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.25%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 1.34%. Global stock indices reached new records as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week and its optimistic assessment of the US economy boosted investor sentiment. The MSCI All Country World Index, one of the broadest indicators of the stock market, increased by 0.2% after closing at a historic high in the previous session. The S&P 500 also hit a new weekly peak, while the volatility index (VIX) declined to a three-month low. The MSCI Asian stock index surged by 1.3%, nearing its highest level in a month. …
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Bitcoin continues to demonstrate stability, bouncing back excellently from the $90,000 level and returning to the vicinity of $93,000. Ethereum also remains above $3,000, maintaining fairly positive upward prospects. Meanwhile, a positive development for the market has come from SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, who announced that US financial markets are actively transitioning to on-chain systems. Against this backdrop, the regulator is prioritizing innovation and the implementation of new technologies to ensure an on-chain future. This statement is undoubtedly seen as a sign of support from the regulator, which could attract more institutional investors who were previously …
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Trade analysis and guidance on trading the British pound The first test of the 1.3386 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped toward the target level of 1.3366. According to the data, UK GDP declined by 0.1% in October this year, which led to the pound's fall during the first half of the day. Although the contraction in GDP is not catastrophic, it is yet another signal of the economic slowdown that began several months ago. It is important to note that this decrease occurred amid a relatively stable global economy and the absen…
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair is once again accelerating, attracting buyers as it moves toward the highest level reached earlier this week, which was last seen in August 2008. Despite the negative data on UK GDP and industrial production, the pound did not react to the bad news. At the same time, a combination of factors continues to weaken the Japanese yen, providing a supportive tailwind for the British pound. Investors remain concerned about Japan's deteriorating fiscal stability due to the large-scale government spending program promoted by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. At the same time, the prevailing risk-on sentiment — reflected in the generally positive performance of …
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Despite the ecstatic rallies around all assets, some notable divergences emerged across sectors in the Stock and global Markets. Fed's Goolsbee, a dissenter of the recent 25 bps cut, came in hot throughout several rounds of interviews earlier this morning, warning about the damaging effect of pre-emptive "Front-Loaded" cuts from the Federal Reserve. The first comments after FOMC Meetings are always essential for traders and investors to track, as they look to learn more about who voted, for what, and why. This becomes particularly interesting around this point of the cycle, where inflation and employment balance risks for the world's largest economy. In the past 30 m…
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Week in review – The Debasement Trade shines again after the Fed Cut Markets were salivating for the FOMC rate decision, and they got exactly what they wanted. The Fed delivered a highly expected 25 bps cut on Wednesday, taking rates from the 3.75%-4.00% range down to 3.50%-3.75%, officially shutting the door on the 4% policy rate era. While Chair Powell presented neutral remarks overall, investors interpreted them with optimism. The Dow Jones traded at new all-time highs in consecutive sessions, marking a strong shift higher. Its record price is now at 48,886. However, the rising tide did not lift all boats. The US Dollar took a huge hit following the cut, despit…
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