Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11776 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price level at 1.1715 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Contrary to analysts' expectations, the number of new jobless claims in the United States exceeded forecasted figures. This situation led to a decline in the value of the US currency and a strengthening of the euro's position. Today, market participants will focus on the consumer price index reports from leading Eurozone countries. Special attention will be paid to the German inflation data release. Unexpected deviations from fo…
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Bitcoin faced some challenges around $89,000 yesterday but recovered well to the $93,000 level, around which trading is currently taking place. Ethereum also showed growth in the afternoon, firmly establishing itself above the $3,200 mark. At the same time, according to CoinGecko data, publicly traded companies that are actively buying Bitcoin now hold over 5% of its total supply on their balance sheets. Notably, the company Strategy holds a full 3%. This trend, gaining momentum over the past few years, indicates increasing recognition of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and a means of storing value. The significant increase in the share of Bitcoin controlled by publi…
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In finance, there's a saying that a sacred place is never empty. The rotation of securities in investment portfolios is leading to mixed dynamics in stock indices. The Nasdaq Composite is declining, the S&P 500 is inching towards record highs, while the Dow Jones is exhibiting its best performance relative to the S&P 500 since January. Interest in yesterday's leaders is rapidly dwindling, and laggards are transforming from ugly ducklings into beautiful swans. While women are fighting, it's best not to get involved in the brawl. This is also true for technology companies. In November, Google announced its powerful AI model, Gemini 3, which outperformed the latest …
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Yesterday, stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.21%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.25%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 1.34%. Global stock indices reached new records as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week and its optimistic assessment of the US economy boosted investor sentiment. The MSCI All Country World Index, one of the broadest indicators of the stock market, increased by 0.2% after closing at a historic high in the previous session. The S&P 500 also hit a new weekly peak, while the volatility index (VIX) declined to a three-month low. The MSCI Asian stock index surged by 1.3%, nearing its highest level in a month. …
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While the Fed continues lowering interest rates, the Bank of Japan will likely resume cutting its own rates — something the regulator's chairman, Kazuo Ueda, hinted at quite explicitly. Previously, the Japanese central bank had taken measures aimed at gradually tightening monetary policy. But with the arrival of the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, the tightening process essentially halted, as she expressed the opposite view — that monetary policy should be eased. This led to a weakening of the yen against the dollar, despite the fact that the Fed resumed rate cuts this year. Now, given the current situation in both the global and national (Japanese) economies and the …
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair is once again accelerating, attracting buyers as it moves toward the highest level reached earlier this week, which was last seen in August 2008. Despite the negative data on UK GDP and industrial production, the pound did not react to the bad news. At the same time, a combination of factors continues to weaken the Japanese yen, providing a supportive tailwind for the British pound. Investors remain concerned about Japan's deteriorating fiscal stability due to the large-scale government spending program promoted by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. At the same time, the prevailing risk-on sentiment — reflected in the generally positive performance of …
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Today, the British pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded only the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. Inflation data from the eurozone matched economists' forecasts, which kept volatility in the EUR/USD pair at a low level. However, despite stable macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment remains on the side of euro buyers. The British pound did not face major difficulties after the release of weak UK GDP data for October of this year. During the U.S. trading session, there will be no economic statistics from the U.S. at all, so attention will shift to the speeches by FOMC members Beth M. Hammack and …
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Despite the ecstatic rallies around all assets, some notable divergences emerged across sectors in the Stock and global Markets. Fed's Goolsbee, a dissenter of the recent 25 bps cut, came in hot throughout several rounds of interviews earlier this morning, warning about the damaging effect of pre-emptive "Front-Loaded" cuts from the Federal Reserve. The first comments after FOMC Meetings are always essential for traders and investors to track, as they look to learn more about who voted, for what, and why. This becomes particularly interesting around this point of the cycle, where inflation and employment balance risks for the world's largest economy. In the past 30 m…
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Week in review – The Debasement Trade shines again after the Fed Cut Markets were salivating for the FOMC rate decision, and they got exactly what they wanted. The Fed delivered a highly expected 25 bps cut on Wednesday, taking rates from the 3.75%-4.00% range down to 3.50%-3.75%, officially shutting the door on the 4% policy rate era. While Chair Powell presented neutral remarks overall, investors interpreted them with optimism. The Dow Jones traded at new all-time highs in consecutive sessions, marking a strong shift higher. Its record price is now at 48,886. However, the rising tide did not lift all boats. The US Dollar took a huge hit following the cut, despit…
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The Association for Mineral Exploration (AME) on Friday called on British Columbia Premier David Eby to appeal the Gitxaala Nation v. British Columbia (Chief Gold Commissioner), 2023 BCSC 1680 decision to the Supreme Court of Canada. On Dec. 5th the British Columbia Court of Appeal (BCCA) determined in a new ruling that the province’s Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples Act (DRIPA) incorporates the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP) and creates legally enforceable obligations. The BCCA case was a partial appeal by the Gitxaala and Ehattesaht First Nations, following the 2023 BCSC decision that ruled the province’…
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Beijing and Washington’s competing – and occasionally adversarial – critical mineral policies have turned resource security into a new type of battleground where traditional shipping models are tested. Beijing still accounts for around 70% of global rare earth mining and roughly 90% of processing as well as a dominant share of advanced magnet manufacturing – the highly sought after and valuable end product for crucial industries. In April this year, China imposed export controls on seven rare earth elements (REEs) and related products, a move that caused disruptions across valuable industries, including the EV, defense and AI sectors. Those controls still rema…
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Ethereum is trading above the $3,200 level as bulls attempt to push the price back toward higher resistance zones, but market sentiment remains fragile. Fear and uncertainty continue to dominate as several analysts warn that the broader trend may still point toward a potential bear market. Yet, beneath the volatile price action, key on-chain data is revealing a development that could shape Ethereum’s next major phase. According to a new report from CryptoQuant, a historic signal tied to the realized price of whales holding more than 100,000 ETH has emerged once again. This metric, which tracks the average cost basis of the largest holders, has only been tested a handful…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) tries to hold the $90,000 barrier, some analysts affirm that the flagship crypto’s bear market signals are becoming clearer, suggesting that a breakdown to new lows could be around the corner. Bitcoin Bear Flag Raises Concerns On Friday, Bitcoin shredded its Thursday gains, dropping 3.2% intraday to retest the $89,500-$90,500 support zone once again. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $84,500-$94,500 range for the past four weeks, briefly falling to a seven-month low of $80,600 during the late November correction. This week, the flagship crypto’s price has seen more volatility, fueled by the expectations of the Federal Reserve’s interest r…
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XRP has struggled to create any upside traction over the past few days, with the price rejecting above $2.15 in the middle of the week and now back to lingering just above the $2 level. A new long-term technical comparison shared by crypto analyst ChartNerd places XRP’s price behavior since its July all-time high of $3.65 into an interesting context, implying that what XRP is doing now resembles a phase from its 2016 market cycle that points to an incoming huge rally. Repeating 2016 Rejection And ABC Crash Structure According to crypto analyst ChartNerd, XRP’s current structure matches a similar price action that unfolded in late 2016. when price rejected an accumulat…
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Hashdex is out with its 2026 crypto investment outlook, and the vibe is pretty clear: stop treating crypto like a weird side-bet and start treating it like… an allocation. The firm’s CIO Samir Kerbage says “most investors” should be thinking in the 5–10% range, framing it as a pragmatic response to a messier macro regime (sticky inflation risk, debt burdens, the 60/40 portfolio looking less like a law of nature and more like a historical artifact). Look, you can debate the exact number, but Hashdex’s point is that the underweight has become the active decision. Crypto is now “well above $3 trillion” in market cap and about 1% of the global investable market by its math—m…
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At the start of the new week today, the GBP/USD pair is attempting to attract buyers, although it lacks bullish confidence, despite holding above the key support levels of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). The U.S. dollar failed to extend its modest rebound from a more-than-two-month low on Friday and remains the key factor supporting the GBP/USD pair. Dollar bulls have been reluctant to open new long positions amid expectations of further easing of U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy. Despite the Fed's cautious hints last week, traders continue to price in the possibility of two rate cuts next year, as signs of weakenin…
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Most people are familiar with gold and silver as symbols of wealth, but fewer understand the science behind the metals that safeguard retirement portfolios. Alloys play a central role in the strength, durability, and purity of precious metals, especially those used in a Gold IRA. Understanding how metals are combined and refined helps retirees choose the highest quality bullion for long-term protection against inflation and market uncertainty. Understanding Alloys and Why They Matter for Precious Metals Investors An alloy is a mixture of two or more metals that are combined to enhance specific characteristics, such as hardness, color, or corrosion resistance. When metals …
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Insuring physical gold is one of the most important steps pre-retirees and retirees can take to protect their retirement savings. Whether your precious metals are stored at home, in a private vault, or inside a self-directed Gold IRA, proper insurance helps preserve long-term wealth. In a world marked by inflation pressure, market volatility, and growing economic uncertainty, insured physical precious metals give retirement portfolios a level of stability that paper assets often fail to deliver. Why Insuring Physical Gold Matters for Retirement Security Retirement planning today requires more than simply choosing a mix of stocks and bonds. Many individuals approaching or …
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Gold prices are poised to reach new heights in 2026 with leading forecasters projecting levels between $4,400 and $5,300 per oz. as investors double down on hard assets amid geopolitical turmoil, looser monetary policy and surging central bank demand. JPMorgan sees gold topping $5,055 in the final quarter of 2026, while Goldman Sachs forecasts the same target supported by an average annual price of $4,275. Morgan Stanley projects gold at $4,400 by year-end 2026. The forecasts reflect a rare consensus among Wall Street analysts, who cite macroeconomic instability and record central bank buying as the key pillars of a secular bull market. The structural force…
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United States-based Chilean Cobalt (US-OTC: COBA) said Thursday it has signed a life-of-mine offtake with a Glencore (LSE: GLEN) subsidiary for all the cobalt and copper from the La Cobaltera and El Cofre projects in northern Chile. The parties expect most intermediate products to be shipped to privately held US Strategic Metals’ hydrometallurgical battery metals processing facility in Fredericktown, Missouri. The facility is to produce about 3,000-5,000 tonnes cobalt per year compared with the 8,000-10,000 tonnes of current US imports. “We believe that working with Glencore, one of the world’s leading producers and marketers of cobalt and copper, will sati…
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Over the last two years, the performance of the US-based Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) has been a fair reflection of the current market sentiment. With consecutive weeks of capital outflows, there is no doubt about the predominantly bearish climate of the market. This worsening sentiment can be seen in BTC’s dip below the psychological $100,000 price level. While selling pressure from various investor classes has been identified as one of the major factors behind BTC’s price decline, it is difficult to overlook the concurrent woeful performance of the Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin ETFs Record $492 Million Outflow To Close Week According to the latest market data, the US…
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Stephen Miran, a key "protege" of Donald Trump within the Federal Reserve, stated on Friday that the central bank must reduce the interest rate by 50 basis points in December. He warned that failure to do so would lead to an economic slowdown. Miran does not take into account that the economy could be slowing not because of the Fed's inaction, but because of the White House's new immigration and trade policies. It would be more logical to slightly adjust the policies themselves rather than demand that the Fed tries to sit on two chairs at once. It is worth remembering that the Fed continues to oscillate between two fires. To prevent the labor market from "cooling," a redu…
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Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran also stated that the central bank should not focus solely on current indicators. He believes that actions should be based on the conditions expected in 12-18 months, as this is how long it takes for changes in monetary policy to fully manifest in the economy. If rates are lowered too slowly now, tightening will be necessary in a year or a year and a half. Miran also reported that current data already indicates a slowdown in inflation, which should prompt the FOMC committee to adopt a more "dovish" stance at the December meeting. Meanwhile, the likelihood of a third consecutive round of easing in December has decreased to 44%, accordi…
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Looking at the event calendar for the upcoming week for the U.S. dollar, one might get the impression that the "shutdown" is still ongoing. At least, no news has been added to the calendar following its official conclusion. Undoubtedly, the Bureau of Statistics will require considerable time to resume operations and gather all necessary data to compile missing and future reports. However, this does not alleviate the situation for market participants. The most interesting event of the coming week will be the FOMC minutes, commonly referred to as the "FOMC minutes." I label this event as "the most important" (though it is not truly so) because the remaining reports and even…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded sideways on Friday and throughout the current week with low volatility. Recently, significant differences have emerged in the technical picture between the euro and the pound. For instance, the euro has been maintaining a clear and strong consolidation on the daily timeframe, while the British pound is more in a descending correction. On the 4-hour timeframe, the euro is rising, but the pound has been stagnant throughout the week. Why have these differences arisen? The problem lies within the British pound itself, specifically within the British economy. What have we learned about its condition over the past week? The unemployment rate con…
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