Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trade Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded predominantly sideways on Friday. There was little macroeconomic data available on that day. Essentially, the only notable data was the Eurozone GDP, which neither disappointed nor pleased the market. Traders still lacked the most critical piece of information—macroeconomic data from the U.S. Individual reports are published occasionally, but they are far from the most significant. The key reports have yet to be released due to the "shutdown." The American government and federal structures resumed operations last week; however, gathering information and data will require considerable ti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin remains below $100,000, which is a concerning signal for traders. The recent price update to $93,000 and the lackluster buying activity that followed indicate that traders are not yet ready to return to the market, fearing further declines in BTC and the broader cryptocurrency market. Ethereum also nearly tested the $3,000 mark yesterday. According to the latest data from CryptoQuant, there has been a significant inflow of USDT and USDC (ERC20) onto exchanges. The last time such a large inflow was observed was before the massive BTC rally in November 2024. However, in November 2024, BTC was in a strong bullish trend following the excitement of Trump's election vi…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1631 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, which confirmed a good entry point to buy euros. As a result, there was a gain of about 20 pips. Recent comments from officials at the U.S. Federal Reserve, indicating uncertainty regarding future policy on the key interest rate, triggered a strengthening of the dollar in the afternoon. Traders always respond keenly to every statement and signal from the Fed representatives, as a shift in tone can precede a change in monetary policy. Clearly, the current uncertainty regarding the future trajectory of interest rates contin…
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Gold has been declining for the third consecutive day amid weakening expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. New data, after 43 days of silence, is expected to shed light on a clearer picture of the U.S. economy. The price of gold fell by 0.8%, after losing over 2% in the previous session. Traders continue to lose confidence in a potential rate cut in December, as Federal Reserve officials do not exhibit much confidence in the need to lower borrowing costs. Lower interest rates typically make non-yielding precious metals more attractive to investors. As mentioned earlier, before making any significant moves, investors and policymakers are waiting for a f…
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Japan is all set to classify cryptocurrencies as financial products under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA). Further to this, it also plans to introduce a new taxation regime for this sector as part of its crypto reform process. According to an article published by a local media, Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) wants to reclassify 105 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), under the FIEA, effectively putting crypto under the same umbrella as stocks and bonds. This expansion of the regulatory umbrella onto crypto aims to ensure that the sector falls under investor protection rules and is held up to a higher standard. Th…
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The global crypto market pulled back to about $3.23 trillion on Monday, down close to a percent from recent levels, and signs of weakness were visible across most top tokens. According to market trackers, investor mood is chilled — the Fear and Greed Index sits at 18, labeled extreme fear — and the average Relative Strength Index for major coins hovers near 41, a reading that leans toward oversold conditions. Bitcoin was trading around $95,400 while Ethereum hovered near $3,155, with many large-cap assets showing only small daily moves. Tom Lee Issues Long-Term Take According to Tom Lee, BitMine chairman and an early Bitcoin bull at Fundstrat, the current pullback do…
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A British man has been ordered to repay £4.1 million, or about $5.4 million, in Bitcoin after running one of the most infamous crypto scams ever seen on Twitter. The scam involved hijacking accounts belonging to some of the most recognizable figures in the world. A civil recovery order was granted by UK prosecutors to seize 42 Bitcoin, along with other digital assets linked to the fraud. A Cyberattack That Took Over the Biggest Names on Twitter The hacker, Joseph James O’Connor from Liverpool, admitted guilt in the US last year. He faced charges including wire fraud, computer intrusion, and extortion. Back in July 2020, he and his team managed to take over more than 130 …
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The Bitcoin price has recently stabilized above the $90,000 mark, sparking renewed optimism among bullish investors. Analysts at BTIG have suggested that this rebound could propel Bitcoin towards its ambitious target of $100,000. Bitcoin Price Positioned For ‘Reflex Rally’ Jonathan Krinsky, an analyst at BTIG, expressed confidence that the Bitcoin price is positioned for a continued “reflex rally,” potentially reaching $100,000 in the short-term. Historical data indicates that Bitcoin typically reaches a bottom around November 26, gaining momentum as the year comes to a close. This seasonal pattern further bolsters the prospects for the cryptocurrency in the coming we…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 28 Traders came back from their Thanksgiving break, and they came back with envy. While Stocks rose throughout the globe in muted fashion, Metals shook Markets again. Up between 1.30% (to $4,200) for Gold and to 6.50% (!) for Silver, all industrial and precious metals have shined strong in what feels like the beginning of another Debasement Trade wave. The culprits? A weaker dollar and increasingly more dovish December 10 FOMC pricing (finishing the week priced at 87.5%). They have been late bloomers of the recent pricing, but the way they all rose today was spectacular. Silver is closing around $57, a n…
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It’s the weekend again, and in today’s crypto update, the broader market remains oversold with the Fear and Greed Index climbing to 20, which is still better than the extreme fear at 13, I suppose, but still represents fear in the market. At the moment, major cryptocurrencies are consolidating, moving sideways, awaiting a catalyst that can help give momentum to their price action. (Source: CoinMarketCap) .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; …
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The Layer 1 blockchain Monad has grabbed the headlines in the past few days following its successful launch earlier last week. MON, its native token, enjoyed a significant 80% surge on the back of the launch, hitting an all-time high of 0.048 on Wednesday, November 26. While the Monad protocol has enjoyed significant attention since going live, it appears that not everyone is confident in its potential adoption. Most notably, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has put forward a pessimistic outlook for the project, saying its token value could fall as much as 99%. Monad Has No Real Use Case: Hayes In a YouTube interview with Altcoin Daily, Hayes stated that any other Layer 1…
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Binance founder Changpeng Zhao’s blunt reminder about buying low and selling high landed at a tense time for crypto traders. His line — “Sell when there is maximum greed, and buy when there is maximum fear” — was posted as markets showed fresh signs of strain and debate over whether now is a buying moment or another stall. CZ’s Message Meets Extreme Fear According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, sentiment recently climbed to 20, moving out of “Extreme Fear” after a streak of low readings. The index had hit a yearly low of 10 on Nov. 22 and the market had spent eighteen days stuck in extreme fear. Analysts called that stretch unusually deep. Matthew Hyland descr…
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Brazil has also taken the path of confrontation with Washington. Perhaps less openly and more cautiously, but confrontational. Brazil understands that America is somewhat dependent on it, as it exports numerous food products. In the U.S., prices are rising, and the greatest dissatisfaction among American voters stems from rising food prices. It is evident that increases in the prices of cars, furniture, and various metals concern only those Americans who consume (directly or indirectly) these categories of goods. However, everyone consumes food without exception. The cost of living in America is rising, and simultaneously, Trump is increasingly tightening the screws in th…
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The European currency will strive to advance further in the upcoming week. I want to remind you that situations often arise where the news background conflicts with wave analysis (or other types of analysis). In such cases, the stronger factor prevails. In my opinion, wave analysis is stronger right now, but some reports from the U.S. and the Eurozone could negatively affect the movement. In upcoming reviews, we will examine events that might cause the instruments' movements to deviate from desired behavior. There will be several events in the Eurozone. It will all start with business activity indices in the manufacturing sector on Monday, followed by an inflation report …
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The U.S. dollar will once again be the "trendsetter" in the upcoming week. More precisely, it will be the trendsetter of movements. In the last two weeks, demand for the U.S. currency has declined, but prior to that, the American currency had been rising in value for nearly two months on rather dubious news foundations. I would like to remind you that the dollar's rise coincided with the entire "shutdown" period in the U.S., which set a new record duration of 43 days. Therefore, the current decline in the American currency is, first, weak and, second, justifiable. However, in the upcoming week, several events in America could turn the market against the upward trend. The …
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Bitcoin price tumbled on Monday as weak ETF inflows and quiet trading in derivatives took the edge off any rally attempt, even while US stocks and gold pushed higher on rising bets that interest rates could soon fall. The world’s largest cryptocurrency again failed to reclaim $93,000, despite a supportive tone across traditional markets and fresh strength in precious metals. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time With the S&P 500 sitting less than 1% below its all-time high, traders kept asking the same question: what would it take to lift Bitcoin into a…
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EUR/USD Analysis: In the short term, the direction of the euro's price movement in the major pair has been shaped by an upward wave since February. Over the past six months, the pair has been forming a corrective section of the (B) wave pattern, which remains unfinished. The wave has the form of a contracting flat. The quotes are moving along the boundaries of a potentially reversal zone on the larger timeframe. Forecast: At the beginning of the upcoming week, the European currency is expected to continue its sideways movement. Near the support zone, price fluctuations may transition into a horizontal formation. A reversal and the start of an upward price trend are more l…
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis:Since the start of the year, the main British pound pair has been forming an upward trend. Within the wave structure, a downward correction has been developing since late April. The structure of the wave does not yet appear complete. The price is approaching the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. Weekly Forecast:At the beginning of the upcoming week, GBP/USD may come under pressure near the resistance zone. A short-term breakout above the upper boundary is possible. After that, a reversal and a downward move are expected. The support zone marks the most probable lower boundary of the weekly range. Potential Reversal ZonesResistan…
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What to Know: Bitcoin’s base layer still struggles with slow transactions, high fees, and limited programmability, creating a gap between its narrative and everyday usability. As demand for high-throughput DeFi and dApps grows, users increasingly expect instant confirmations and low fees, even when interacting with Bitcoin-linked assets. Bitcoin Hyper plans to introduce a Bitcoin Layer-2 with SVM integration, aiming to deliver faster-than-Solana performance while preserving Bitcoin’s settlement security. By combining low-latency execution, SVM-based smart contracts, and Rust tooling, Bitcoin Hyper targets wrapped $BTC payments, DeFi, NFTs, and gaming on a Bitcoin-secure…
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Trend AnalysisIn December, from the level of 1.3232 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.2886 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.2942 — the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart). Indicator Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible. Overall Summary for the Monthly GBP/USD Candle:The price will most likely show a downward tend…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1598, above the 21 SMA, and above the 200 EMA with an upward trend. The instrument is likely to continue rising in the coming days until it reaches the top of the upward trend channel around 1.1655. If the euro falls below 1.1587, we could expect a technical correction towards the bottom of the uptrend channel located at 1.1526. A sharp break of the uptrend channel and consolidation below 1.1560 could signal a trend reversal, and we could expect the euro to reach 6/8 Murray around 1.1474 in the coming days. The euro is expected to continue rising in the coming days, as ERUR/USD is likely to reach 1.1718, where the 8/8 Murray is located. The ins…
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Bitcoin is trading around $89,034 below the 21 SMA, going through a strong technical correction after breaking the uptrend channel formed since November 19. Bitcoin could find good support around $87,500, which is where Murray's 2/8 level is located, which could serve as a good point to open long positions if the price resumes its upward cycle. If the bearish force prevails, Bitcoin has another key support around $86,000 - $85,000. In other words, if a technical rebound occurs around this area, we could open long positions. Since last week, Bitcoin has entered an overbought zone. So, we warned you about a probable correction below $93,000 towards $85,000. Bitcoin will lik…
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Crypto analysts Nik and Doctor Profit have provided insights into why the Bitcoin price is crashing today. The flagship crypto has again dropped below the psychological $90,000 level, sparking bearish sentiments among market participants. Why The Bitcoin Price Is Crashing Today In an X post, Nik remarked that the Bitcoin price didn’t dump because of bad news but because the “clock flipped.” He noted that a large number of algos sold off at the same time with the daily close, and also considering that it is a new week and a new month. The analyst added that it is not traders making decisions but portfolios rebalancing in real time. Nik explained that with this Bitcoin…
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Michael Saylor’s recent post has stirred fresh buy speculation around Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings. He shared a portfolio chart and wrote, “What if we start adding green dots?” — a line that many investors read as a nudge toward new purchases. According to the chart, Strategy’s Bitcoin stash is valued at close to $60 billion, reflecting a total of 649,870 Bitcoins acquired across 87 distinct buys. Saylor’s Comment Spurs Market Talk The company’s tracker shows each past purchase as an orange dot. The idea of green dots implies new markers — new buys — could appear if Strategy chooses to add more Bitcoin. That signal comes at a time when volatility has returned to crypto m…
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According to market observers, this week could mark a turning point for XRP as five spot ETFs trade at the same time for the first full week. 21Shares’ XRP fund (TOXR) launched today, joining Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton and Canary Capital. Reports have disclosed that ETF inflows have already topped Over $660 million in less than a month, with zero outflows across 10 consecutive trading days. 5 ETFs Trade Together Bitwise recently increased its XRP holdings to 80 million tokens. ETF managers now hold more than $687 million in assets, which represents just over 300 million XRP on record. 21Shares debuted with a $500,000 seed basket and charges a 0.50% managemen…
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