Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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What to Know: Bitcoin’s base layer still struggles with slow transactions, high fees, and limited programmability, creating a gap between its narrative and everyday usability. As demand for high-throughput DeFi and dApps grows, users increasingly expect instant confirmations and low fees, even when interacting with Bitcoin-linked assets. Bitcoin Hyper plans to introduce a Bitcoin Layer-2 with SVM integration, aiming to deliver faster-than-Solana performance while preserving Bitcoin’s settlement security. By combining low-latency execution, SVM-based smart contracts, and Rust tooling, Bitcoin Hyper targets wrapped $BTC payments, DeFi, NFTs, and gaming on a Bitcoin-secure…
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis:Since the start of the year, the main British pound pair has been forming an upward trend. Within the wave structure, a downward correction has been developing since late April. The structure of the wave does not yet appear complete. The price is approaching the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. Weekly Forecast:At the beginning of the upcoming week, GBP/USD may come under pressure near the resistance zone. A short-term breakout above the upper boundary is possible. After that, a reversal and a downward move are expected. The support zone marks the most probable lower boundary of the weekly range. Potential Reversal ZonesResistan…
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XRP’s derivatives market has undergone a marked regime shift, with leverage collapsing and funding normalising in a way that signals a clear retreat from aggressive speculative positioning. The strongest evidence comes from Glassnode’s latest post on November 30, which frames the current phase as a structural, not merely tactical, pause in XRP leverage. XRP Derivatives Unwind Accelerates “XRP’s futures OI has fallen from 1.7B XRP in early October to 0.7B XRP (~59% flush-out). Paired with the funding rate dropping from ~0.01% to 0.001% (7D-SMA), 10/10 marked a structural pause in XRP speculators’ appetite to bet aggressively on upside,” Glassnode’s CryptoVizArt wrote on X…
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EUR/USD Analysis: In the short term, the direction of the euro's price movement in the major pair has been shaped by an upward wave since February. Over the past six months, the pair has been forming a corrective section of the (B) wave pattern, which remains unfinished. The wave has the form of a contracting flat. The quotes are moving along the boundaries of a potentially reversal zone on the larger timeframe. Forecast: At the beginning of the upcoming week, the European currency is expected to continue its sideways movement. Near the support zone, price fluctuations may transition into a horizontal formation. A reversal and the start of an upward price trend are more l…
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The Japanese yen rose sharply after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda gave a clear hint today that his board may soon raise interest rates, emphasizing the possibility of such a decision being made at the Bank of Japan's December meeting. Investors reacted instantly, beginning to actively buy the yen, which led to its strengthening against the US dollar and other major currencies. The market interpreted Ueda's comments as a signal that the ultra-loose monetary policy pursued by the Bank of Japan for many years is continuing to come to an end. All of this is happening against the backdrop of rising inflationary pressure in the country and concerns about further significan…
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The European currency continues to withstand the pressure placed on it, thanks to the regulator's effective actions. In an interview today, Governing Council member Joachim Nagel stated that he is satisfied with the parameters of the European Central Bank's monetary policy. "Our forecasts suggest that interest rates are currently at a good level," the Bundesbank president said on Monday in his speech in Seoul, repeating the standard position of ECB representatives in recent months. "The Eurosystem's monetary policy is currently broadly neutral." Nagel's statement came amid growing concerns about slowing economic growth in the euro area. Some analysts argue that with curr…
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The European currency continues to show strong potential for growth. On one hand, it is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will ease its monetary policy. On the other hand, the European Central Bank's firm stance on interest rates also opens the door for new highs for the euro against the US dollar. The influence of these factors, however, should not be viewed separately from the broader economic picture. The European economy is showing signs of slowing, which could put pressure on the ECB in the future, forcing it to also consider loosening its policy. However, as long as inflation remains slightly above target levels, the ECB will adhere to a restrictiv…
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As expectations for a rate cut in the federal funds rate align with the onset of a seasonally strong period for US equities, the S&P 500 finds itself poised for growth. The broad stock index has erased much of the losses incurred during the autumn sell-off and managed to close November in positive territory, a stark contrast to the Nasdaq Composite, which recorded its first monthly decline since March. Nasdaq Composite Monthly Performance What transpired at the intersection of October and November? Investors are suggesting that the recent downturn represents a healthy correction. Since the anticipated collapse of the artificial intelligence bubble has yet to materi…
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With the onset of the new month, Bitcoin has dropped over 6% within just a few hours, reaching a new level of $85,500. This indicates that the market correction may have concluded, and we are likely to see new local lows with significant support being tested in the $75,000 and $70,000 ranges. As Bitcoin and other altcoins "roll into the abyss," the market are actively speculating on the pace of tokenized assets. According to the head of the cryptocurrency department at the exchange, the American stock exchange Nasdaq considers the SEC's approval of its proposal for tokenized versions of listed stocks a top priority. "We will move as quickly as we can," said Matt Savar…
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Despite the bearish trend that has dominated the crypto market, the meme coin PIPPIN has stood out, flying green while others stalled. Over the weekend, the meme coin emerged as one of the top gainers, rising by more than 50% and doubling its value in only a few days. Interestingly, one crypto analyst had previously called out the PIPPIN rally, predicting that the price would rise. But even with the major rally so far, the analyst’s total prediction is yet to play out completely. The Breakout That Started It All In the analysis, Edoardo Telve points to the first breakout that began all of this for the PIPPIN price. This had come after the meme coin had suffered an extend…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3218 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound, which led to a 30-pip rise. Today, attention will focus on the release of several economic indicators from the UK: the manufacturing PMI, the number of approved mortgage applications, and data on changes in the M4 money supply. The PMI index traditionally serves as a key indicator of the health of the UK manufacturing sector. Given the current economic situation, forecasts for this indicator are cautiously pessimistic. A deterioration in PMI values might f…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price test at 1.1570 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose by more than 25 pips. Today, important data will be released regarding the business activity index in the manufacturing sectors of Germany, France, and the Eurozone. Weak PMI data could heighten concerns about an economic slowdown in the Eurozone, especially given recent economic indicators pointing to slowing growth. The European Central Bank is closely monitoring these indicators to determine its future monetary policy. If the PMI figures come i…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.54%, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.65%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.61%. However, today, futures for American stock indices have fallen. Cryptocurrencies also crashed, indicating a risk-off sentiment ahead of several important economic data releases, even though expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December remain quite high. Futures contracts on the S&P 500 fell by 0.8%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dropped by 1%. The yen strengthened after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda gave the clearest hint yet of a potential interest rate hike this month. Ahead of his…
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Last Friday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3211 level and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout near 1.3211 led to a buying point for the pound. However, after a 14-pip rise, selling pressure returned to the pair. In the second half of the day, a false breakout in the area of 1.3211 provided an excellent opportunity to open new long positions, resulting in a rise of over 40 pips. To Open Long Positions on GBP/USD:The lack of data from the UK has sustained demand for risk assets, despite all attempt…
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Last Friday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I pointed out the level of 1.1571 and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout near 1.1571 provided a buying point for the euro; however, after the pair rose by 10 pips, selling pressure on the euro returned. In the second half of the day, a false breakout near 1.1571 prompted selling of the European currency, but it did not trigger significant downward movement. To Open Long Positions on EUR/USD: The absence of U.S. data helped the euro recover against the dollar. Today…
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The dollar is once again under pressure due to the increased likelihood of interest rate cuts in the U.S. this month. The euro, pound, and Japanese yen strengthened their positions at the end of last week, but during the Asian session today, pressure on many trading instruments has returned. Moving forward, everything will depend on fresh fundamental data. In the first half of the day, data is expected on the manufacturing sector business activity index for Germany, France, the Eurozone, and the UK. Experts' expectations lean towards the indicators remaining at their previous, quite low levels, which will not provide a significant impetus for strengthening the euro. Howev…
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Traders barely had a moment to catch their breath after Bitcoin hit $93,000 last week when active selling in the cryptocurrency market pushed the world's first cryptocurrency to around $85,500 at the opening of the Asian session. It seems that this is still far from the end of the bear market. Ethereum has also dropped below $3,000 and is currently trading around $2,820. Meanwhile, according to Farside data, outflows from spot BTC ETFs stopped last week, while inflows into spot ETH ETFs were recorded. Additionally, there have been continued inflows into spot SOL ETFs. After a period of relative stagnation and outflows from crypto funds, this could signal a shift in inves…
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The GBP/USD currency pair slightly corrected on Friday but retained its local upward trend. Currently, the pair may be at the very beginning of a new upward trend that will be part of the trend for 2025. From our perspective, the fundamental backdrop for the dollar has not changed in the second half of this year, and the dollar itself has extracted the maximum from local fundamentals and macroeconomic factors. It is also worth noting that the euro and the pound generally trade in the same direction and quite similarly. If the upward trend in the euro were to be reversed, we would have expected further declines in the British pound. However, as the euro remains in a flat r…
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The EUR/USD currency pair showed no interesting "movements" on Friday. Four trading days this week had volatility below 53 pips. The average volatility over the past month and week is also 53 pips. Thus, it can be confidently stated that the market continues to rest and prepare for a trend, while movements remain extremely weak. Can we expect any changes in the upcoming week? It is essential to remind traders that any flat period typically ends abruptly and unexpectedly. Many traders are waiting for a significant event that will shake the market and prompt more active trading. However, in reality, a flat can conclude on an empty day. A flat is merely a period during which…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.150 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1420. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.150 level. The price is trading below the $0.1450 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $0.1520 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.150 and $0.1450. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1520, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.150 and $0.1450 support …
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.150. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.10 pivot level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.150 zone. The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $2.180 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.150 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.120 and $2.10. There was a move below th…
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[Gold] With both EMAs which still intersects the Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish level, Gold has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4273.12 2. Resistance. 1 : 4254.94 3. Pivot : 4199.01 4. Support. 1 : 4171.83 5. Support. 2 : 4124.90 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of XAU/USD breaks out and closes above 4254.94, it may move toward 4273.12. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4273.12 is broken, Gold may continue its upward movement up to the level of 4320.05. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines and breaks below 4124.90. EMA(50) : 4198.…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] Although both EMAs of #NDX are still in a Golden Cross configuration, but with the RSI being in the Neutral-Bearish level may lead #NDX to decline toward its nearest support level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25556.5 2. Resistance. 1 : 25486.4 3. Pivot : 25361.4 4. Support. 1 : 25291.3 5. Support. 2 : 25166.3 Tactical Scenario: Negative Reaction Zone: If the price of #NDX breaks down and closes below 25291.3, it may continue its decline to 25166.3. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25166.3 is broken, #NDX will likely continue to decline down to the level of 25096.2. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is weakened if …
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The question on every trader’s mind right now is simple: why did crypto crash while silver and gold launched into fresh territory? As Bitcoin price plunged from $92K range to the mid $80Ks, precious metals ripped to new all-time highs – triggering a wave of fear, forced liquidations, and talk of a looming recession. With Bitcoin experiencing a sharp decline and Silver printing levels not seen in modern history, markets are clearly shifting. But is this a structural rotation, a temporary panic, or a macro warning shot? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Di…
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Bitcoin price tumbled on Monday as weak ETF inflows and quiet trading in derivatives took the edge off any rally attempt, even while US stocks and gold pushed higher on rising bets that interest rates could soon fall. The world’s largest cryptocurrency again failed to reclaim $93,000, despite a supportive tone across traditional markets and fresh strength in precious metals. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time With the S&P 500 sitting less than 1% below its all-time high, traders kept asking the same question: what would it take to lift Bitcoin into a…
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