Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11729 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin has failed to return to its weekly peak around $94,600, indicating the caution with which buyers currently view the cryptocurrency market. The main reason for this hesitance is the Federal Reserve meeting, the results of which will be announced this evening. In the meantime, another disappointing aspect for the market may be Trump's new national security strategy, which does not mention cryptocurrencies or blockchain—despite his previous calls to make the US a global crypto hub. The strategy emphasizes the priority of artificial intelligence and quantum technologies for protecting national interests. It highlights the United States' intention to secure global …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Rep. Keith Self, a Republican from Texas, filed a last-minute amendment to the Must-Pass $900 billion US Defence Bill that would ban the Federal Reserve from creating or piloting a US central bank digital currency (CBDC). On 9 December 2025, the Republican took to X to say, “Promises were broken to include this language in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). My amendment would fix the bill.” Self’s “Anti-CBDC Surveillance State” proposal would bar the Fed from testing, developing or launching any CBDC. He submitted an amendment to add a full ban on CBDCs to the 2026 NDAA. He argued that the earlier leadership promises to include similar language were broken in…
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Ripple’s most recent funding round has become one of the biggest crypto-related deals of the year, mainly because of who joined in and how the deal was structured. According to details shared in Bloomberg’s report, major Wall Street names, including Citadel Securities, Fortress Investment Group, Brevan Howard, and Galaxy Digital, put $500 million into Ripple, giving the company a valuation of around $40 billion. This instantly turned the round into one of the strongest signs yet that traditional finance is taking a serious interest in the XRP ecosystem. How Wall Street Structured The Deal To Protect Themselves In early November 2025, Ripple closed a major private equit…
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When Strategy disclosed its acquisition of more than 10,000 Bitcoin worth $1 billion, market watchers anticipated an immediate rally. Instead, Bitcoin’s price barely moved. The muted response was not a reflection of weak demand but the result of how the purchase was executed. In response to the confusion surrounding the stagnant price action, Quinten Francois explained the mechanics behind the transaction, clarifying why such a large buy left no visible impact on the chart. The Invisible Plumbing Behind Institutional Bitcoin Accumulation On 9 December 2025, Andrew Tate questioned why a massive 10,000 BTC buy failed to nudge the market. The answer, as analyst Francois exp…
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History repeats itself. Literally, the last four days have been reminiscent of twin brothers. EUR/USD rose during the European session on positive signals from Europe, then fell during the U.S. session amid expectations of a "hawkish" Federal Reserve rate cut. The main currency pair increasingly resembles a compressed spring, ready to shoot off at any moment. Will Jerome Powell give the signal? According to Christine Lagarde, the European economy has proven to be much more resilient to Donald Trump's tariffs than previously assumed. The euro rose, even though skeptics argued that the import duties would weaken it. As a result, the European Central Bank will likely raise G…
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The name of the new Federal Reserve Chair, who will take office in May 2026, is effectively already known. At least, economists do not doubt that it will be current Trump economic advisor Kevin Hassett. So far, Donald Trump has appointed only one governor to the FOMC—Stephen Miran. Mr. Miran has immediately begun to fully utilize the leverage given to him. At each meeting, he proudly votes for a 50-basis-point easing of the Fed's monetary policy all by himself. Therefore, many expect Hassett to also start making "ultra-dovish" statements, signaling what to expect from the Fed in 2026. However, Hassett holds a different position. He verbally supports Jerome Powell and the …
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XRP remains under the weight of its long-standing downtrend, but recent price action suggests the bears may be losing their grip. Upward moves are becoming sharper and more impulsive, while downward momentum slows, hinting that buyers are quietly stepping in. With a decisive breakout above key resistance, the bulls could be gearing up for a significant counterstrike. Overarching Bearish Structure: The Red Trend Line Cap According to the latest XRP chart update by MakroVision Research, the broader market structure remains firmly within a downward trajectory, clearly outlined by the steeply declining red trend lines. These trend lines continue to cap every attempt at recov…
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On-chain data shows the Solana Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has dipped into the loss-taking zone recently, a sign that SOL liquidity has thinned. Solana Liquidity Back At Levels Associated With Bear Markets According to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, Solana liquidity has recently contracted to levels that are typically witnessed in a bear market. There are many ways “liquidity” of a cryptocurrency can be assessed, but here, Glassnode has used the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio. This indicator measures, as its name already implies, the ratio between the amount of profit and loss that the SOL investors as a whole are realizing through their transactions. The met…
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Solana (SOL) is still stuck in a tight range, moving between $124 and $145 with no strong push in either direction. On-chain analyst Ali said the token has held this sideways pattern for several days, bouncing between the same levels without showing real strength. This creates a tight structure that often appears before a breakout. A close above $145 would be the first strong move beyond the trendline and could open the way toward the next supply zone between $175 and $190. The analyst said volatility will likely rise if buyers reclaim this level. A clean breakout above $145 could pull momentum toward $180 as the broader downtrend begins to lose strength. The cha…
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XRP whales have offloaded a large amount of tokens ahead of today’s FOMC meeting, a move that may have slowed the token’s recovery. But long-term holders are still staying put, and their steady behavior continues to support a bullish outlook for XRP. Why Have XRP Whales Sold Over $700M Since December 5? Santiment data shows that wallets holding between 100M and 1Bn XRP have sold close to $600M worth of tokens since December 5. (Source: Santiment) And the selling has not stopped. Since December 7, whales have offloaded another $100M, suggesting that major holders are still taking profits even as the market tries to stabilize. This pressure helps explain why XRP has st…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum are moving in a tight market today, with traders adding more leverage even as prices sit near recent highs. As of December 11, Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $92,585. The price is flat over the past 24 hours, and its weekly performance shows a slight decline, based on CoinGecko data. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Ethereum (ETH) sits near $3,354. It is up about 0.8% on the day and nearly 6.9% over the week, giving it stronger short-term momentum compared to Bitcoin. Market Cap…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1450 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1420. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1450 level. The price is trading below the $0.140 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $0.1450 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1420 and $0.1450. Dogecoin Price Dips Further Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.150, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1450 and $0.1420 supp…
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ETH/USD (Ethereum) is trading around $3,194 below the 21 SMA and around the 200 EMA, showing overbought levels and undergoing a strong technical correction after reaching the 3/8 Murray. After reaching the top of the uptrend channel and the 3/8 Murray zone, both levels acted as strong resistance. Unable to find more demand above $3,437, Ether made a sharp technical correction and is now likely to continue falling in the coming days until it reaches the psychological level of $3,000. If ETH/USD consolidates above the 200 EMA and above the 21 SMA in the coming hours, we can expect a recovery, and it could return to the 3/8 Murray resistance zone and even reach its weekly hi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $90,000 after a sharp technical correction that occurred after attempting to break above the 200 EMA and, in turn, after testing the top of the uptrend channel around $94,600. According to the H4 chart, Bitcoin appears to be overbought. So, if a technical rebound occurs in the coming hours and the price consolidates below 3/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA, it will be seen as an opportunity to take short positions with a short-term target around $85,000. Bitcoin is trading below the 200 EMA and below the 21 SMA, which means that the leading cryptocurrency could remain under bearish pressure in the coming days. A reasonable strategy could be to wait…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is trading around $4,214 within the downtrend channel formed since November 27 and is likely to continue falling in the coming hours as it encountered strong resistance around $4,248. If gold attempts to break through the top of the downtrend channel around $4,250, it will be seen as a signal to open short positions with short-term targets around $4,160. The Eagle indicator is showing a negative signal, so we will look for opportunities to sell gold in the coming hours below the 7/8 Murray located at $4,218 or even if the price falls below the 21 SMA with a target at $4,170. If the price rebounds and attempts to reach resistance levels around $4,230 - $4,245, this zo…
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The euro experienced a strong upward movement following consolidation within the secondary downtrend channel formed since early December, which led EUR/USD to reach a high of 1.1707. We are now seeing a technical correction in the euro, but this could be seen as an opportunity to open long positions if the price reaches the 3/8 Murray support around 1.1658. Above this zone, it could be seen as an opportunity to buy in the coming days. On the H4 chart, we can see that the euro left a gap on September 25 around 1.1740. We believe that the euro could continue its rise in the coming days and cover this gap, so any pullback will be seen as a signal to buy. The Eagle indicator …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.67%, while the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 0.33%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 1.05%. The rally in the stock market, driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, has come to a halt as disappointing results from Oracle Corp. exerted pressure on tech stocks. Investors are also reassessing their positions in light of the reality of a more cautious approach to future rate cuts. Oracle's earnings report, which fell short of expectations, raised concerns about the overall resilience of the technology sector, which has been the primary driver of market growth in recent months. The decline in…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1645 came at a moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 60 pips. The day before, the Federal Open Market Committee voted, with a majority (9 to 3), to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%, establishing a target range of 3.5%-3.75%. This action resulted in a weakening of the US dollar and a strengthening of the euro. Proponents of monetary policy easing insisted on the need to stimulate the economy amid a slowdown in labor-market growth. However, the long-term effects …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 156.63 price coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve voted 9 to 3 to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. This led to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of the Japanese yen. The Fed's decision aligned with the expectations of many analysts. The dollar's weakening after this news was immediate. Investors redirected their assets toward currencies with higher yields, leading to an increase in demand for the ye…
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Yesterday, gold prices rose for the third consecutive day after the Federal Reserve announced the widely anticipated rate cut. Silver also soared to record highs. The price of gold increased by 0.5% and approached the mark of $4,248 per ounce, as treasury yields and the dollar declined following the last FOMC meeting of the year. The US central bank lowered interest rates for the third meeting in a row, maintaining the probability of only one rate cut in 2026. It is worth noting that the Fed's dovish stance favorably impacts precious metals, which typically benefit from low interest rates since they do not pay interest. Despite the cautious stance of the Fed, investors s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The latest FOMC of the Federal Reserve meeting put a clear spotlight on Jerome Powell hawkish tone, and it’s already shaping market sentiment across crypto assets. In the first few minutes of his remarks, Powell’s comments set the stage for how we should evaluate the implications for crypto. The FOMC decision was expected to trim rates by 25 basis points, which happened, combined with reminders that inflation is still “somewhat elevated,” which reflects a cautious shift. In support of our goals, and in light of the balance of risks to employment and inflation, today the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by 1/4 percentage point.” Ev…
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Crypto markets lurched lower after the Federal Reserve delivered exactly what everyone said they wanted: the third straight 25bps cut to close out 2025. Santiment’s latest deep dive makes a simple, slightly uncomfortable point: retail treated it as a green light, whales treated it as exit liquidity. Bitcoin shortly rallied to $94,044, Ether surged to $3,433, XRP hit $2.10 and Solana managed to reach $142, but the momentum was short-lived. The BTC price fell by more than 5% at one point, ETH even fell by more than 8.5%. What Caused The Crypto Market Plunge? On 11 December, the FOMC confirmed another quarter-point reduction, completing what Santiment calls the “trifecta o…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] With all technical indicators condition showing weakness in the NDX, such as the Death Cross formation and the RSI(14) being in the Neutral-Bearish level, sellers are quite dominant in the Nasdaq 100 Index today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 26037.7 2. Resistance. 1 : 25904.1 3. Pivot : 25700.9 4. Support. 1 : 25567.1 5. Support. 2 : 25364.1 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of #NDX breaks down and closes below 25700.9, there is potential for it to continue declining to 25567.1. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25567.1 is broken, then #NDX could test the level at 25364.1. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside …
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[#USDX] With all technical indicators condition which indicating the weakness, then #USDX has the potential to decline toward its nearest support level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.47 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.05 3. Pivot : 98.80 4. Support. 1 : 98.38 5. Support. 2 : 98.13 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.38, it is likely to continue its decline to 98.13. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.13 is broken, then it could test the level at 97.71. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if #USDX strengthens and breaks above 99.47. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.84 EMA(200): 99…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Expectations within the crypto community were high when the news broke that the Fed (Federal Reserve) again cut interest rates by 25 bps, bringing the federal fund rate to its lowest level in more than three years, but today, the enthusiasm has died down a bit as the broader crypto market failed to get back its momentum. With the Fed announcing the rate cut, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .c…
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