Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11729 tópicos neste fórum
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The Cardano price is once again in the spotlight after the latest FOMC decision, with ADA attempting to stabilize following another volatile macro week. With the Federal Reserve delivering its third consecutive 25-basis-point rate cut, traders initially rushed into risk assets, but the reaction faded quickly. The big question now is whether December will bring meaningful upside for Cardano crypto holders or more chop as the market processes the implications of the new policy direction. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time FOMC Cuts for the Third Time – What…
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Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood says Bitcoin’s long-running four-year pattern may be losing its grip as big financial players buy and hold more of the supply, a shift that could tame price swings and change how investors plan ahead. Institutional Buying Is Changing Markets According to Wood, large firms and spot ETFs are slowly locking up coins that used to flow in and out of retail hands. The most recent halving, on April 20, 2024, cut the miner reward to 3.125 BTC. On a daily basis, that reduction translated to about a 450 Bitcoin drop in supply each day, a figure some analysts call small compared with the trillions attributed to the market’s value and the billions moving…
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Discussions regarding the need for the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates rather than lower them have completely overturned market expectations for further monetary easing. However, a number of European officials, including Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau, were quick to dispel such talks. Villeroy stated that the European Central Bank has no grounds for an imminent interest rate hike, as it is likely to keep borrowing costs unchanged at the upcoming meeting next week. The head of the Bank of France noted that it would likely be prudent to maintain interest rates at the current favorable level while remaining flexible and open to fu…
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While Bitcoin currently shows no signs of upward momentum or any signs of life at all, which undermines its chances for future growth, I came across an interesting valuation model from Bitwise suggesting that a target price of $1.3 million for BTC by 2035 might even be too conservative. The model is based on the idea that Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to gold—often used as a benchmark—could rise from the current 9% to 25%. Even this increase would be sufficient to push the price above $1,000,000 per coin. Furthermore, the company does not account for the potential growth of gold's market capitalization, which is expected to continue increasing. If gold's p…
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Mining productivity has fallen for more than a decade and has improved only 1% a year since 2018, a trend the firm warns could threaten the sector’s ability to meet rising demand for critical minerals. In a new report released this week, McKinsey & Company says innovation once delivered major gains across the sector but has lost momentum over the past 20 years. Data from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) shows manufacturing productivity more than doubled from 1997 to 2023, while agriculture, forestry and fishing rose more than 1.5 times. Mining productivity, by contrast, dropped by half, a decline McKinsey’s analysis confirms Th…
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Gemini has received regulatory clearance to launch prediction markets in the US. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) granted a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license to Gemini Titan – a subsidiary of Gemini Space Station. What does this mean for US customers? It allows US customers to trade event contracts, simple yes/no bets on future outcomes, directly on Gemini’s web platform using USD balances. Gemini now joins the likes of Kalshi and Polymarket. On 10 December 2025, Gemini’s CEO Tyler Winklevoss said, “Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process and the beginning of a new chapter for Gemini.” “We thank President Trump for en…
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A recent post by crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards on X suggests that the current Bitcoin structure is giving bears “the perfect opportunity” to short the market down to $40,000. His message was paired with a chart showing Bitcoin falling below an important resistance ever since it broke below $100,000, creating what appears to be a clean continuation setup for traders expecting deeper losses. However, although the chart highlights a similar bearish structure in 2022, the analysis behind his post points to a more layered interpretation of what may come next for Bitcoin. The Setup Bears Believe Is Finally Here In the chart he shared, Stockmoney Lizards showed how Bitcoi…
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Market Insights Podcast (11/12/2025): In today's episode, TraderNick and podcast host Jonny Hart reflect on a decision to cut rates by the Federal Reserve and forward guidance. Otherwise, we touch base on the upside currently on display in silver pricing, the Bank of Japan, and the Swiss franc. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major econ…
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Traders have long sought the optimal time to trade crypto, and at different points over the years, European, US, and Asian time zones have all had their turn, offering the best returns. However, a newly proposed ETF now offers Bitcoin exposure with a twist. The Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF aims to trade Bitcoin-linked assets while Wall Street sleeps. According to a December 9 filing with the SEC, the AfterDark ETF plans to purchase BTC after US financial markets close and exit those positions shortly after the US market reopens each day. Bitcoin is trading at $90,090 at the time of writing, down 2.1% on the day after a period of volatility that began wi…
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The Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA) is breaking its preceding record after a huge rally from the open – It just reached 48,526 and is now stalling a bit from (minimal) profit-taking. zoom_out_map Dow Jones Index (DJIA) Daily Chart, December 11, 2025 – Source: TradingView Defensive Equities are ecstatic and the post-cut sector rotation is running. A detailed update on Major Stock indices is coming up at the top of th…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the euro The first test of 1.1697 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1697 shortly afterward coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario No. 2 (selling the euro) to play out. As a result, the pair fell only about 10 points. After yesterday's rise triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, the euro today showed growth in the first half of the day but failed to break above the upper boundary of the weekly range. However, despite this consolid…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The first test of 1.3373 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3373 shortly afterward coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario No. 2 (selling the pound) to play out. As a result, the pair fell by 20 points. In the absence of important fundamental statistics from the UK, the British pound made several attempts to continue its bullish momentum, but without much success. The pound's further movement will largely depend on the release …
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On December 14, Chileans elect a new president who will govern until 2030 and shape the country’s most important economic engine: mining. Voters face a stark choice between Jeannette Jara, a Communist Party stalwart and former labour minister under current President Gabriel Boric, and José Antonio Kast, founder of the ultra-conservative Republican Party. Security and illegal migration now dominate public concern, but the future of state copper giant Codelco sits at the centre of the economic stakes. The company, once the backbone of Chile’s modern economy, is drowning in debt, burdened by aging infrastructure and only beginning to rebound from years of production …
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The shift of rare earth elements to the centre of global trade negotiations is a leading trend in mining, according to a new report by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie. It’s number two on its list of mega-trends in energy and mining this year as governments try to chip away at China’s control of more than 80% of processing and the vast majority of high-performance magnet output. The 15 elements of the Periodic Table’s lanthanide series, plus scandium and yttrium, are considered rare earths. Beijing’s tightening of export controls in April 2025, including special licences for selected rare earths and magnets, sharpened the trade talks push, prompting a …
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The Dogecoin price has entered another period of volatility as traders attempt to weigh improving technical signals against renewed short-term weakness. The memecoin has been shifting between modest recoveries and sudden pullbacks, creating a landscape where both bullish and bearish narratives remain active. With macro uncertainty, DOGE ETF inflows, exchange outflows, and key chart patterns emerging at the same time, the market is now deciding which direction will dominate heading into late December. Mixed Trading Conditions Shape Short-Term Direction for Dogecoin The Dogecoin price slipped back below the $0.145 region after failing to hold above $0.150 earlier in t…
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Today's equity flows are largely prolonging what happened ahead of the FOMC: The Dow Jones extends its lead and recently broke all-time Highs, while the Tech Sectors and Nasdaq are struggling. Breaking News: Dow Jones (DJIA) breaks its record to 48,500 For those who missed the morning labor update, Jobless Claims regained their path higher at 236K vs 220K expected, catching up after the past week's low release (due to seasonal adjustments from Thanksgiving) – Forging the path to more rate cuts in 2026 After its strong outperformance throughout 2025 (currently at + ~22%), the Tech-heavy Nasdaq is getting dragged lower as peak-AI fears and elevated valuations leads to a …
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The potential ecological consequences of deep-sea mining gained urgent attention recently after a team of European researchers, through collecting data from an industrial trial, reported a sharp reduction in seabed animal abundance and species richness. The study — led by scientists from the Natural History Museum, University of Gothenburg and National Oceanography Centre — involved tracking a deep-sea mining machine in the depths of eastern Pacific Ocean to decipher its potential impact on marine species over a two-year period. With baseline data tracking 3,000 tonnes of polymetallic nodules at a depth of 4,280 metres, the study represents the largest ever condu…
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Copper shot up to a new all-time high on Thursday, as an improved growth forecast for the US economy gave further boost to the metal’s rally. Three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange advanced as much as 2.1% to $11,800.50 a ton, surpassing a record set on Monday. Click on chart for live prices. The move follows an upgraded economic outlook from the US Federal Reserve, which projects the world’s largest economy to grow 2.3% next year, up from 1.8% previously. This sanguine outlook provides a jolt to the demand outlook for industrial metals, in particular copper, as it is used in almost every key sector and is seen as vital to the clean energy transiti…
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The International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM) has re-appointed Iván Arriagada, chief executive officer of Chilean miner Antofagasta Plc, as its chair, effective immediately over a two-year term. He will succeed Tom Palmer, who became chair in October 2024 but is retiring from his role as CEO of Newmont, the world’s largest gold mining company, at the end of this year. ICMM is governed by its council comprising the CEOs of its 26 member companies. The chair is appointed from within this group and serves in the position for approximately two years. Arriagada previously served this role between 2022 and 2024. Arriagada’s return will bring continuity and e…
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XRP is going through the week under a renewed wave of speculation as two separate developments, a MoonPay purchase that revived a long-running community meme and the Cboe approval of a new spot ETF, pushed the token back into the spotlight. Related Reading: More Eurozone Countries Will Buy Bitcoin, Says Coinbase’s Institutional Chief Together, these events have fueled debate about whether XRP is on the cusp of new institutional momentum or simply caught in another cycle of community-driven enthusiasm. Community Signals Collide With Market Memes A routine Apple Pay purchase posted by MoonPay, showing a buy of exactly 589 XRP, triggered renewed excitement across XRP c…
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The latest analysis circulating is that the Canadian fintech analysts are becoming increasingly bullish on XRP, pointing to a surge in real-world utility that could reshape the digital payments landscape. The financial institutions have continued to adopt blockchain-based settlement systems. This growing utility has led several Canadian researchers to issue an explosive new forecast. How XRP’s Real-world Utility Is Expanding Faster Than Market Valuations Canada’s fintech landscape is shifting, and XRP is rapidly emerging as one of its most influential digital assets. According to a video shared by crypto analyst Skipper_xrp, a Canadian news article highlighted that XRP c…
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On Wednesday, I conducted a thorough analysis of the upcoming FOMC meeting and predicted that the U.S. central bank would lower interest rates, followed by a prolonged pause. Overall, the Federal Reserve conveyed its plan for further actions. Indeed, Jerome Powell reiterated that there is no action plan at the Fed; everything will depend solely on incoming economic information. However, it is precisely this information (of which there has been critically little in recent months) that led me to believe that a new cycle of easing is coming to an end. I remind you that the blame for the "cooling" of the U.S. labor market can be placed squarely on Donald Trump and his new imm…
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After three rounds of monetary policy easing, it is still impossible to say for certain whether the "cooling" of the U.S. labor market has stopped. There is still no economic data regarding unemployment and payrolls, and the ADP and JOLTs reports are far from the most accurate, relevant, and timely. Therefore, the first conclusions cannot be drawn until next week. However, even those conclusions will not impact the situation. Let me explain what I mean. For example, the next Nonfarm Payrolls report will show an average figure of around 70,000-80,000 new jobs. Consequently, it can be concluded that the labor market has begun to recover and that further monetary policy easi…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 11 The session following an FOMC rate decision is always a fascinating one. FOMC days tend to be truly chaotic, due to the flurry of incoming orders, algorithms driving markets up and down, and a general sense of confusion over whether events were already priced in, and if so, whether they were priced in enough. The best example of this is the spectacular squeeze in Silver. Up above 10% since the beginning of the week, the COMEX decided to coincidentally up margins in Silver... by 10%. The flows are getting interesting in this most confusing rate cutting cycle from the Fed and confirms that 2025 has bee…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.080. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.040 resistance level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.050 zone. The price is now trading below $2.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.040 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Struggles Near Resistance XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.150 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.080 and $2.050. There was a…
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