Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
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Dogecoin fell sharply on Tuesday, losing a quarter of its value and retreating to the $0.19 mark after a recent run of gains ran out of steam. Traders said the move followed a failure to hold above the $0.23–$0.24 range and a break below a short-term rising channel that had been supporting prices earlier in October. Technical Weakness Deepens The price action on the daily chart points to weakening momentum. Dogecoin could not defend $0.22, and that breach opened the door to faster selling that sent the token to its lowest level in over three weeks. The 20-day and 50-day EMAs sit around $0.23 and are now acting as overhead resistance. The Parabolic SAR has flipped to a …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh recovery above $4,050. ETH is now showing positive signs and might rise further toward the $4,350 level. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels. The price is trading above $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,980 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,200. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $3,950 level, like Bitcoin. ETH price formed a base and was able to recover above the $4,000 level. The price cleared the 50% Fib retra…
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The U.S. government is preparing to add around 127,271 bitcoin, valued at roughly $14.2 billion, into what it now calls a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. During a joint operation with UK authorities, these coins were confiscated in connection with a massive crypto fraud operation led by Chen Zhi, a Chinese national tied to the Cambodia-based Prince Group. Instead of offloading the assets as it typically would, the government appears ready to hold the Bitcoin. The move marks a potential turning point in how states treat digital assets, suggesting that officials now see this stash as a long-term financial tool rather than something to liquidate. A Web of Scams, Trafficking, an…
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Bitcoin is trading around 112,800, retreating after reaching the 5/8 Murray level around 115,625 and encountering strong resistance around the 200 EMA, which pressured Bitcoin. We now believe BTC could continue its fall in the coming days, reaching the psychological level of $110,000. If Bitcoin consolidates above 112,500 and then breaks and consolidates above the 21 SMA located at 113,200, this will be seen as a clear buy signal with targets at the 200 EMA around 116,114. Conversely, if Bitcoin consolidates below the 4/8 Murray level, then the outlook could be negative. Thus, the price could even reach the bottom of the downtrend channel around 105,800. The eagle indicat…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1618, bouncing after forming a double bottom pattern around 1.1543. After bouncing above 1.1550, the euro is now consolidating above the 7/8 Murray and above the 200 EMA, suggesting it could continue its rise in the coming days, reaching the 200 EMA around 1.1670. EUR/USD is expected to rise in the coming hours until it breaks the downtrend channel and reaches the 8/8 Murray around 1.1718. The euro is expected to cover the bottom it left at around 1.1739. Therefore, we could look for opportunities to continue buying at current levels while the EUR/USD pair trades above 1.1580. Any pullback will then be seen as a buying opportunity. The outl…
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Early in the European session, gold is trading around 4,182, below the uptrend channel formed on September 15 and with a positive bias after a strong rebound above 4,100. In the coming hours, gold could continue its rise and reach the top of the uptrend channel around 4,205 and could even reach the 7/8 Murray around 4,218. If gold falls below the 7/8 Murray and fails to consolidate above this area, we can expect a pullback to reach the 21SMA around 4,080. The instrument could even get the 6/8 Murray at 4,062. Technically, the Eagle indicator has reached the overbought zone, so a strong technical correction is likely in the coming days, and gold could reach the psychologic…
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USD/JPY After two days of consolidation, the USD/JPY pair has exited the target range of 151.70–152.10 and is now, in our view, heading toward the closure of the price gap left on October 6. Along this path, the pair faces two key support levels: 150.50, represented by the MACD line, and 149.38, a target level marked by the peak from July 16. Once the gap is closed, the price may complete the current downward leg within the 146.29–146.59 target range — a strong support zone formed during three months of consolidation. The Marlin oscillator is leading price action lower, providing a strong indication of the market's current bearish direction. On the four-hour chart, the …
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GBP/USD On Tuesday, the British pound didn't even attempt to break through the resistance level at 1.3369. Instead, it worked through support at 1.3253, a level it previously approached but failed to reach on October 10. By the end of the day, the daily candlestick left a long lower wick, which adds another signal supporting a potential upward reversal. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is now pointing upward. The price must now complete two difficult tasks in succession: overcome the resistance of the 1.3369 target level, followed by the MACD line at 1.3400. A successful breakout through both would allow the market to aim for the next target at 1.3525. On the fo…
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EUR/USD By the end of the previous trading day, the euro gained 36 pips amid mixed performance in U.S. stock indices and a slight decline in government bond yields. There are external signs that bond yields may continue to decline. However, if that's the case, we shouldn't expect a strong euro rally in the medium term—such as a move to the upper boundary of the price channel on the daily chart at 1.1908. For now, the euro has two active targets: 1.1662 – the MACD line1.1779 – the highs from October 1 and September 9If the price suddenly falls below yesterday's low at 1.1543, it may attempt to consolidate under the 1.1495 support level, which would open the path toward th…
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The EUR/USD currency pair moved—once again—downward throughout Tuesday. At this point, it seems we could write the same story every day: the dollar strengthened yet again, with seemingly no apparent reason. Of course, with enough effort, a reason can always be found. Tuesday provided a weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment index for both Germany and the Eurozone. But here's the problem: why does the market treat all negative euro news seriously, while consistently ignoring negative dollar news? Let's recall: the U.S. government shutdown continues, the labor market is deteriorating, the Federal Reserve is more dovish than the European Central Bank, and President Trum…
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The GBP/USD currency pair once again traded lower on Tuesday. This time, there were actual reasons for the pound's decline—at least during the first half of the day. The UK releases macroeconomic data infrequently, but Tuesday was one of those rare days. The unemployment rate came in above expectations, while jobless claims exceeded forecasts by 2.5 times. These two reports were enough to trigger a further drop in the pound. Naturally, the market continues to ignore equally poor fundamental and macroeconomic data for the U.S. dollar—but that has now become business as usual in recent weeks. In the EUR/USD article, we suggested that the recent declines in both major curren…
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Ethereum appears to be entering a pivotal phase as the market stabilizes around a key support level near $3,800. After a period of correction, technical indicators, structural signals, and price action now suggest the potential for a renewed bullish move. Ethereum Slips Below Key $4,060 Support Ted, in a recent update shared on X, pointed out that Ethereum has slipped below its crucial $4,060 support level, a move that may hint at a short-term bearish phase for the asset. This breakdown has drawn traders’ attention to lower support regions, as Ethereum’s next moves will likely determine whether the market stabilizes or faces further pressure. According to Ted, the nex…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.50. The price is now showing positive signs and could aim for more gains above the $2.620 level. XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.50 zone. The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.60 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $2.60 resistance. XRP Price Set To Surge? XRP price found support and started a strong recovery wave above $2.220, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.320 and $2.40 levels to en…
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The United States has exposed a massive forced-labor and cyber-fraud network operating out of Cambodia, seizing nearly $15Bn in Bitcoin now held in federal custody. The unprecedented case raises a new question: could these funds eventually become part of Washington’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve? Prosecutors on Tuesday unsealed charges against Chen Zhi, chairman of Cambodia’s Prince Group, accusing him of running large-scale “pig-butchering” scam compounds that trafficked workers and defrauded victims around the world. At the same time, the Justice Department launched the biggest forfeiture action in US history, targeting roughly 127,271 BTC tied to the network. Th…
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Washington’s latest retirement push could send fresh 401(k) money toward Bitcoin sooner than expected. House Republicans on Tuesday introduced the Retirement Investment Choice Act, a bill that would turn President Donald Trump’s August executive order into law. The proposal formally opens the door for retirement plans to include “alternative assets,” such as funds investing in digital currencies. The move comes as regulators advance guidance on the issue, with Bitcoin trading near $113,000 in a volatile market. If passed, the legislation would give Executive Order 14330 the full force of law. It directs the Labor Department and Securities and Exchange Commission to …
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the latest Bitcoin selloff is different from the LUNA and FTX crashes of 2022. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Trend Is Structurally Different For The Latest Crash In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed how the recent bearish action in BTC compares against some of the past crashes. The analytics firm has used the Percent Supply in Profit to make the comparison. This on-chain indicator measures, as its name suggests, the percentage of the total Bitcoin circulating supply that’s sitting on some net unrealized gain right now. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to see what…
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Review of Tuesday's Trades:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair managed to trade in both directions. In the morning, the euro came under pressure due to weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment indices from both Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, the U.S. dollar faced pressure due to public remarks by Jerome Powell and Donald Trump. Chair Powell once again stated that the Federal Reserve will make decisions based solely on macroeconomic data and also signaled the end of the quantitative tightening program. Both statements could be interpreted in multiple ways. The market still lacks confidence in whether we will see one or two rat…
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Review of Tuesday's Trades:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair moved both upward and downward. However, the British pound had additional reasons to decline early in the session. In the morning, the UK released reports on unemployment and jobless claims, which triggered a sell-off in the pound. Contrary to forecasts and expectations, the unemployment rate increased by 0.1%, and the number of newly unemployed rose by 26,000—significantly above projections. As a result, the decline in sterling was entirely justified. In the second half of the day, Jerome Powell offered some relief for the pound. Once again, he stated that the Federal Reserve has no specific…
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Dogecoin started a fresh increase above the $0.20 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $0.2180. DOGE price started a fresh upward move above $0.20 and $0.2050. The price is trading above the $0.20 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.1980 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for more gains if it remains stable above $0.1880. Dogecoin Price Eyes Fresh Upside Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1880, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.20 resistance …
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday. The only notable report is industrial production in the Eurozone, which is once again unlikely to impress traders with a strong result. However, expectations for this indicator are already quite low, so exceeding them may be relatively easy. No other significant reports are expected throughout the day. Fundamental Event Overview: Several fundamental events are scheduled for Wednesday, but several important points should be noted straight away. Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde have both spoken frequently in recent weeks. As a result, the market now has a clear under…
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A discounted $50M Solana buy just collided with fresh tariff jitters, testing whether corporate demand can steady SOL in a risk-off week. Abu Dhabi–based Solmate Infrastructure (Nasdaq: SLMT) said on Oct. 14 that it purchased $50M worth of SOL directly from the Solana Foundation at a 15% discount. SOL was trading between $169 and $195 in a pattern of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that is commonly observed before a huge breakout. The upper resistance zone aligns near $195–$200, while key Fibonacci confluence levels sit just above. (Source: X) If Solana breaks above the upper boundary, the next Fibonacci extension (1.618) projects a potential rally toward th…
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After beginning the week above the critical $115,000 mark, Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market initially showed signs of recovery. However, BTC has resumed its downward trajectory, experiencing a 4% decline over the past 24 hours. This downturn has had a cascading effect on other altcoins, particularly Ethereum (ETH) and XRP. BTC, ETH, XRP’s Plunge Explained With the Bitcoin drop, Ethereum recorded a 5% drop, once again losing the pivotal $4,000 support level, while XRP has suffered even greater losses, plummeting by 7% during the same timeframe. This decline has pushed XRP closer to $2.40 as of Tuesday, highlighting the volatility affecting altcoins in t…
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Key takeaways The Hang Seng Index remains in a medium-term uptrend, despite a recent 9% pullback triggered by renewed US-China trade tensions.China’s core CPI rose to a 19-month high of 1% in September 2025, easing deflation fears and boosting market confidence.Technical indicators show bullish momentum, with key short-term support at 25,140 and upside resistance near 27,500.A sustained yuan appreciation continues to underpin Hong Kong’s equity market recovery. This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Hang Seng Index Technical: Bullish consolidation above 26,200 on China housing recovery”, published on 15 September 2025. The price action…
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The U.S. dollar collapsed against the euro, pound, and other assets following yesterday's interview with Jerome Powell. The Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, indicated that the U.S. central bank intends to lower the key interest rate by another 25 basis points, likely as early as the end of October. This statement served as a trigger for widespread dollar selling across global markets, as investors adjusted their expectations for future monetary policy easing. Powell noted that the U.S. economy continues to show resilience, but risks related to slowing employment growth and ongoing trade tensions require caution and may justify further policy accommodation. …
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Why is crypto down today? Did tariffs crush Uptober’s rally, or is this the perfect setup before the next breakout? Are traders panicking too early while smart money quietly loads up? As Bitcoin hovers around $ 113,000 (down 2% in 24 hours) and altcoins like Ethereum and Solana slip deeper, the total crypto market cap has fallen below $ 4 trillion again. But behind the red candles lies opportunity. From Trump’s tariff bombshells to CPI anticipation and a fragile Gaza peace deal, this dip may not be a crash; it could be the calm before Uptober’s comeback. Let’s break down exactly why crypto is down today, and why bulls might be ready to push again. …
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