Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.080. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.040 resistance level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.050 zone. The price is now trading below $2.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.040 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Struggles Near Resistance XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.150 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.080 and $2.050. There was a…
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Bitcoin is trading around $92,506 below the 200 EMA and below the 3/8 Murray, showing signs of exhaustion. BTC has been consolidating around this area for more than three weeks. Bitcoin could continue its rise in the coming hours and could reach the top of the uptrend channel around $95,000. If this scenario occurs, we could expect it to be a strong barrier and could be seen as a signal to open short positions. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $93,713, we could look for opportunities to sell, as it is expected to reach the 2/8 Murray around $87,500 in the coming days. A consolidation below $90,000 could change the Bitcoin scenario, and we could expect it to reach the bo…
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ETH/USD is trading around $3,235, consolidating above the 200 EMA and around the 21 SMA, which means we could expect an upward movement in the coming days, reaching 3/8 Murray around $3,437 and even returning to the top of the upward trend channel around $3,500. After reaching $3,440, ETH/USD underwent a technical correction and could extend its downward movement. However, it is showing positive signs, so we must be careful when selling. Short positions could only make sense if the price of Ether falls below the 200 EMA and $3,190. In this case, we could expect it to reach the 2/8 Murray at 3,125 and could even reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around $3,070. Techni…
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Deal Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart for GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Thursday amid the Federal Reserve meeting. In previous articles, we mentioned that the market could react to such an important event for up to 24 hours. This time, there were no drastic fluctuations, but overall, the market reaction to the US central bank's meeting was not extraordinarily tumultuous. Rather, the GBP/USD pair resumed its upward trend, which has been forming for three weeks. As we warned, the British pound is expected to rise after a long five-month correction on the daily timeframe. Therefore, regardless of the Fed meeting, we only anticipate growth. The…
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The crypto market started the day with three stories dominating the headlines: Do Kwon 15 years sentence, the new YouTube PayPal stablecoin payout option, and the bullish Bitcoin price after a depressing few weeks. These tidings intersect more than people think. Sentiment, regulation, and tech adoption all move markets. Do Kwon’s confirmed 15 years sentence closes a long chapter that began with the 2022 Terra Luna collapse, a $40 billion meltdown many still consider the black swan event of that cycle. His punishment is somehow lighter than Sam Bankman-Fried’s 25-year term, and there are reasons for it. This follows Google Cloud’s earlier acceptance of PYUSD, a good …
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Crypto pundit NoLimit has explained why the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices have been dumping recently. He specifically raised claims of manipulation, with these crypto prices recording gains and then fully retracing those gains. In an X post, No Limit stated that the Bitcoin price is dumping because Binance is buying and that Coinbase is dumping a large amount of BTC. The Bitcoin decline has also sparked declines for the Ethereum and Dogecoin prices, which are known to mirror the flagship crypto. Meanwhile, the crypto pundit raised claims of BTC being manipulated. Pundit Explains What Is Happening With The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices NoLimit pointed…
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Ecuador-focused miner SolGold (LON: SOLG) has opened the door to a takeover from China’s Jiangxi Copper (JCC), which returned with a higher all-cash proposal valuing the company at about £842 million ($1.13 billion). JCC, already SolGold’s largest shareholder with 12.2%, first approached the company in November 23 with a non-binding proposal that was rejected. On November 28, it came back with a 26-pence offer that the board also rebuffed. The latest 28-pence bid marks JCC’s third attempt and lifts the price by 7.7%. SolGold said it would recommend shareholders accept the fresh bid if JCC tables it as a firm offer on those terms. Earlier interest from BHP (A…
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The XRP price could be on the verge of a massive crash, as a crypto analyst has identified a key technical pattern in the cryptocurrency’s structure that signals a potentially severe downturn. According to the analyst, this formation has appeared only twice in XRP’s history, and each time has preceded a devastating loss. If the pattern were to repeat, the cryptocurrency could be headed for more pain. The analyst warns traders and investors to stop buying XRP at this time, citing heightened risk. Analyst Advices Against Buying XRP As Price Crash Looms An urgent warning from market analyst Steph is Crypto has spread across the community, as he advises traders and investor…
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According to the latest report, the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) is no longer opposed to cryptocurrencies and other digital assets, which were previously considered a threat to national security. The cryptocurrency sector has been removed from the annual list of financial risks for the US system compiled by FSOC. Established in the aftermath of the 2008 mortgage crisis that devastated the global economy, FSOC was created as an early warning tool, allowing regulatory leaders to collectively identify emerging hazards. For years, the digital asset industry appeared on this list. It was previously believed that products such as stablecoins and cryptocurrenc…
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair is once again accelerating, attracting buyers as it moves toward the highest level reached earlier this week, which was last seen in August 2008. Despite the negative data on UK GDP and industrial production, the pound did not react to the bad news. At the same time, a combination of factors continues to weaken the Japanese yen, providing a supportive tailwind for the British pound. Investors remain concerned about Japan's deteriorating fiscal stability due to the large-scale government spending program promoted by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. At the same time, the prevailing risk-on sentiment — reflected in the generally positive performance of …
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Today, the British pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded only the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. Inflation data from the eurozone matched economists' forecasts, which kept volatility in the EUR/USD pair at a low level. However, despite stable macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment remains on the side of euro buyers. The British pound did not face major difficulties after the release of weak UK GDP data for October of this year. During the U.S. trading session, there will be no economic statistics from the U.S. at all, so attention will shift to the speeches by FOMC members Beth M. Hammack and …
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Week in review – The Debasement Trade shines again after the Fed Cut Markets were salivating for the FOMC rate decision, and they got exactly what they wanted. The Fed delivered a highly expected 25 bps cut on Wednesday, taking rates from the 3.75%-4.00% range down to 3.50%-3.75%, officially shutting the door on the 4% policy rate era. While Chair Powell presented neutral remarks overall, investors interpreted them with optimism. The Dow Jones traded at new all-time highs in consecutive sessions, marking a strong shift higher. Its record price is now at 48,886. However, the rising tide did not lift all boats. The US Dollar took a huge hit following the cut, despit…
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The Bitcoin’s behavior around US Federal Reserve announcements has become one of the most consistent market patterns of the year. After every FOMC update, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has reacted with a noticeable downside move, underscoring how closely the asset is now tied to shifting interest-rate expectations and broader macro sentiment. What Future FOMC Meetings Could Mean For Bitcoin In an X post, analyst CryptoMichNL has mentioned that the Federal Reserve (FED) is preparing to update the printer from 2021 liquidity settings toward a more supportive 2025 stance. However, this doesn’t mean it will have an immediate impact on the markets, as these things take …
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Young Hoon Kim — the social-media personality who styles himself as the “IQ 276” record holder — just gave the XRP crowd a fresh piece of rocket fuel. “I buy XRP from now on,” Kim wrote on X on Friday, in what appears to be his first straight-up XRP shoutout after days of near-constant Bitcoin evangelizing. Why The XRP Endorsement Now? And, yeah, the XRP Army did what it always does: it treated the post like a mini event. “The smartest man in the world is buying XRP,” one account, Gordon (@GordonGekko), replied — then immediately stapled the other big narrative of the day onto it: “XRP is now on Solana too. Is this the start of an XRP rally?” That second line isn’t ju…
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As market news today continues to puzzle investors, the very same question dominates every social media. Why is crypto down just as the US market opens? The timing feels almost scripted. Bitcoin’s sudden $2,000 drop in just 35 minutes wiped nearly $40 billion off its market cap, while $132 million in long positions were liquidated within an hour. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time The jeetery events like this naturally revive concerns about crypto manipulation, especially when traditional assets remain relatively stable. When we ask why crypto is down durin…
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Encouraged by the Federal Reserve's rate cut and its T-bill purchases, the dollar was sold. The Dollar Index fell for the fourth week in the past five. Leaving aside the Bank of England, which will most likely cut rates in the week ahead, the easing cycle of most of the other G10 central banks appears complete. The median dot in the Fed's new Summary of Economic Projections remained at one cut next year, while the market, perhaps with eye toward the personnel changes, anticipates at least two cuts next year. We have anticipated this divergence in the trajectory of monetary policy, which has driven our dollar bearish outlook. However, as we discuss below, the market has ab…
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Is Bitcoin Really a Currency or a Ponzi Scheme? Bitcoin Trading When cryptocurrencies first appeared on the scene, it was easy to dismiss them as a passing fad. The idea of a digital asset with no government backing, no physical form, and no established role as a medium of exchange felt at best speculative and, at worst, similar to a Ponzi-like financial scheme. Although my skepticism about crypto as a true currency hasn’t changed, the market clearly disagrees. Prices have surged, collapsed, and surged again. Bitcoin alone jumped more than 35% this year to above $126,000 before erasing the gains just as quickly. Markets speak, even if we don’t always agree with the mess…
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Last week, the EUR/USD pair ended with a slight 0.10% decline but posted a weekly gain of 0.51%, amid reduced risk appetite amid speculation that the Federal Reserve will pause its monetary easing cycle in December. Nevertheless, the pair closed above the round level of 1.1600, opening the prospects for further growth. However, most Federal Reserve officials maintained a hawkish tone. The heads of regional Feds—Beth Hammack, Raphael Bostic, Alberto Musalem, Susan Collins, Neel Kashkari, and Jeffrey Schmid—advocated for moderately restrictive monetary policy. On the dovish side are Fed Chair Stephen Miran, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, and governors Christopher Wa…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. Therefore, it can be immediately assumed that high volatility and trending movement are unlikely to be expected today. Overall, the market continues to ignore much of the macroeconomic and fundamental information. We believe that traders are still trading purely based on technical analysis. Both the euro and the pound have been correcting for several months against the global upward trend. It may be time to resume that trend now. Analysis of Fundamental Events: Several fundamental events are scheduled for Monday. The European Central Bank will hear speeches from Vice Presi…
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Bitcoin remains below $100,000, which is a concerning signal for traders. The recent price update to $93,000 and the lackluster buying activity that followed indicate that traders are not yet ready to return to the market, fearing further declines in BTC and the broader cryptocurrency market. Ethereum also nearly tested the $3,000 mark yesterday. According to the latest data from CryptoQuant, there has been a significant inflow of USDT and USDC (ERC20) onto exchanges. The last time such a large inflow was observed was before the massive BTC rally in November 2024. However, in November 2024, BTC was in a strong bullish trend following the excitement of Trump's election vi…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.61 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to turn downward from the zero mark, providing a good entry point to sell the dollar, which led to a decline of more than 100 pips for the pair. Uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's future actions at the end of last week prompted investors to offload excess U.S. dollars against the Japanese yen. The inability to break above the significant resistance at the 155.00 level was also a reason for the pair's correction. The uncertainty with the Bank of Japan's policy and the new government's differing views on future fiscal policy continues to…
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According to CoinWarz, the next difficulty adjustment is expected at block 927,360, moving the target from 149 trillion to close to 150 trillion. That is a modest rise, but it matters because Bitcoin miners are already working with very thin margins. Hashpower is strong enough to push difficulty up even while returns stay near record lows. Hashprice Sits Near Break-Even Hashrate Index data shows hashprice is hovering around $38.3 PH/s per day, a touch up from a recent trough below $35 PH/s on November 21. Reports indicate that $40 PH/s is roughly the break-even level for many operations. When revenue per petahash drifts under that mark, some miners face a hard choice a…
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Binance founder Changpeng Zhao’s blunt reminder about buying low and selling high landed at a tense time for crypto traders. His line — “Sell when there is maximum greed, and buy when there is maximum fear” — was posted as markets showed fresh signs of strain and debate over whether now is a buying moment or another stall. CZ’s Message Meets Extreme Fear According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, sentiment recently climbed to 20, moving out of “Extreme Fear” after a streak of low readings. The index had hit a yearly low of 10 on Nov. 22 and the market had spent eighteen days stuck in extreme fear. Analysts called that stretch unusually deep. Matthew Hyland descr…
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Brazil has also taken the path of confrontation with Washington. Perhaps less openly and more cautiously, but confrontational. Brazil understands that America is somewhat dependent on it, as it exports numerous food products. In the U.S., prices are rising, and the greatest dissatisfaction among American voters stems from rising food prices. It is evident that increases in the prices of cars, furniture, and various metals concern only those Americans who consume (directly or indirectly) these categories of goods. However, everyone consumes food without exception. The cost of living in America is rising, and simultaneously, Trump is increasingly tightening the screws in th…
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According to market observers, this week could mark a turning point for XRP as five spot ETFs trade at the same time for the first full week. 21Shares’ XRP fund (TOXR) launched today, joining Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton and Canary Capital. Reports have disclosed that ETF inflows have already topped Over $660 million in less than a month, with zero outflows across 10 consecutive trading days. 5 ETFs Trade Together Bitwise recently increased its XRP holdings to 80 million tokens. ETF managers now hold more than $687 million in assets, which represents just over 300 million XRP on record. 21Shares debuted with a $500,000 seed basket and charges a 0.50% managemen…
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