Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
-
As the start-of-week momentum slows, Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 5.5% on the daily timeframe, falling to the recent lows once again. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a massive short-term and mid-term rally if the retests of current levels hold. Dogecoin Prepares For $1 Milestone On Thursday, Dogecoin followed the rest of the crypto market and retraced to the $0.136-$0.138 levels. The cryptocurrency has retraced around 50% following the Q4 market downturn, trading within the $0.130-$0.155 price range over the past few weeks. Amid this week’s recovery, DOGE’s price briefly tested the local range highs, trying to break out of this …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair surged on Wednesday and continued its rally on Thursday. Recall that in yesterday's articles, we did not discuss the FOMC meeting, its results, and Jerome Powell's speech. We believe that enough time should pass after the meeting for the market's passions to settle. It often happens that the pair moves in one direction immediately after the FOMC meeting, only to return to its original position by morning. However, this time was different. This time, the market reacted exactly as it should have. The key interest rate was cut, so the dollar's decline was entirely reasonable. It is important to note that the market often loves to price in the Federa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair resumed its upward movement on Wednesday and Thursday. This marks the market's almost first logical reaction to an important fundamental event in recent months. Remember that on Wednesday evening, the Federal Reserve announced its decision to lower the key interest rate by another 0.25%, which, naturally, was expected to provoke a decline in the US dollar. However, starting from September, the market had been engaged in various activities, excluding a logical response to macroeconomics and fundamentals. The explanation for this is quite simple — the sideways movement on the daily timeframe. Based on this same sideways trend, we have predicted a r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair moved only in one direction – upwards – during Wednesday and Thursday. The volatility was quite high this time, unlike what we have been accustomed to in recent months. In principle, it is clear to all traders where this movement is coming from. On Wednesday evening, the Federal Reserve held a meeting, announcing its decision to lower the key interest rate (which was quite expected) and outlining "neutral" prospects for monetary policy for the upcoming year. We do not consider the Fed's meeting results to be definitively "dovish," as the decision to reduce the key interest rate in December was known a few weeks earlier.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement initiated a few weeks ago on Wednesday and Thursday. We do not associate the new rise of the British currency with the Federal Reserve's meeting, as we believe its results are not definitively "dovish." Yes, the rate was lowered for the third consecutive time, but traders were aware of this a month ago and were openly expecting this decision. For 2026, Jerome Powell announced a pause, and the FOMC committee indicated a maximum of one easing of monetary policy. It is probably unnecessary to say that this is not the most "dovish" outcome of a meeting possible. Thus, this time, the U.S. dollar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On this Friday (December 12), as we head into one of the final weekends of 2025, the crypto market is flashing positive signs that a strong end to the year could be on the cards. The crypto market is up +2% on the day, back over $3.2 trillion, driven mainly by a boom in the Solana ecosystem, particularly its memecoin sector. A bullish performance from the Solana memecoin space has led traders to seek the best crypto to buy heading into the weekend. Major caps such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are all in the green, with modest daily gains of +2.2%, +1.5%, and +5%, respectively. This week, the US Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by 25 bps, followed by Powell taki…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
How has Monero Crypto been doing so well throughout this whole bear market? Although Zcash has been mooning, the entire privacy narrative, including .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Pi Crypto slid again, drifting under $0.21 even as the wider market found its footing. The sell pressure traces back to a fresh 2 Mn PI transfer from the Core Team’s reserve wallet; it’s the kind of movement that has repeatedly knocked the token off balance in past cycles. On-chain data shows the latest transaction mirrors a September event, when the team moved 50 Mn PI, later sending multiple tranches to OKX exchange. The receiving wallet now holds under 48 Mn PI after routing another 3Mn tokens to the exchange this week. Here’s what you need to know: DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 New Pi Crypto Developments Fuel Suspicion: Are We Being Scammed? (Source: Coin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A new study by Korean researchers says global market forces and domestic politics explain why Latin American countries have taken sharply different paths in governing their lithium industries. The research, published in The Extractive Industries and Society journal, examines lithium governance in Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia and Mexico as global demand for the mineral accelerates. Latin America holds some of the world’s largest lithium reserves, making the region central to efforts by governments and companies to secure future supply. Despite similar external incentives for state intervention, countries in the region have taken divergent paths. Chile has …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Sam Altman’s “World” -the biometric identity and crypto project- has turned its controversial biometric ID wallet into a full-blown crypto “super app.” The 11 December 2025 release adds end-to-end encrypted chat, in-chat crypto payments, and virtual accounts that look a lot like a Web3 version of Venmo or Revolut. The company is positioning it as a social, payments, and identity hub for “verified humans.” “Today, that network becomes even more powerful,” the company PR said. “The new World App is a complete reimagination of how humans connect, move digital assets and participate in the global economy.” Tools for Humanity, the company behind World, launched the original …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As highlighted in our overnight session rewind, Gold has quickly breached above $4,300 and is now racing towards new all-time highs. The Fed's cutting cycle and overall 2025 US Exceptionalism from the Trump Administration have had a considerable effect on the demand for non-fiat assets, and Gold is the primary beneficiary of such demand. The financial world order since the early 2000s has been characterized by high demand for US Treasuries. As the US maintained higher rates relative to others, even during the Global Financial Crisis, and consequently recovered much more solidly than its OECD peers, it absorbed the flows from the entire globe. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP has spent the past 48 hours grinding lower, with its price gradually retreating to $2 after failing to sustain the rally above $2.10 at the beginning of the week. Selling pressure has been mostly controlled rather than aggressive, but each attempt to push higher has been met with a local trendline resistance near $2.165. Technical analysis shared by crypto analyst CasiTrades outlines an important macro support level that may determine whether XRP can stabilize and attempt another bullish recovery or fall into another bearish corrective phase below $2. XRP Defends An Important Macro Support Zone Around $2.03 According to CasiTrades’ analysis, XRP is still defending t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and guidance on trading the euro The first test of the 1.1730 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro — especially in such a bullish market. The fact that actual inflation in the eurozone matched analysts' expectations helped keep EUR/USD relatively stable. Despite the lack of surprises in macroeconomic data, market sentiment remains on the side of risk-asset buyers. During the U.S. trading session, no economic data releases are scheduled, so attention will shift to public speeches by FOMC members Beth M. Hammack and Austan D…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and guidance on trading the British pound The first test of the 1.3386 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped toward the target level of 1.3366. According to the data, UK GDP declined by 0.1% in October this year, which led to the pound's fall during the first half of the day. Although the contraction in GDP is not catastrophic, it is yet another signal of the economic slowdown that began several months ago. It is important to note that this decrease occurred amid a relatively stable global economy and the absen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and guidance on trading the Japanese yen The test of the 155.64 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of 155.64 happened when the MACD indicator was in the oversold zone, which triggered the implementation of Buy Scenario #2. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 points. During the U.S. trading session, the main focus will shift to speeches by FOMC representatives Beth M. Hammack and Austan D. Goolsbee. A dovish tone from these officials could negatively affect the U.S. dollar. If expectations of further rate cuts increase, downward pressure o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After nearly five years of dormancy, a cluster of Silk Road–linked wallets just moved 33.7 Bitcoin—roughly $3 million—in a sudden on-chain resurgence that immediately brought the BTC price back into focus. While the volume is modest, the combination of its origin, timing, and institutional destination gives it an outsized narrative impact. With Bitcoin already navigating a fragile price range, this development raises concerns about renewed downward pressure. The 33.7 BTC Silk Road BTC Transfer And Its Potential Impact On Bitcoin’s Price The movement began with a series of small outputs originating from early-era Silk Road addresses, all using the old “1…” legacy format. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Sirios Resources (TSXV: SOI) shares soared after it announced its acquisition of private explorer OVI Mining in a northwest Quebec-focused deal worth about C$23 million ($17 million). The acquisition of OVI, backed by Osisko Development (NYSE, TSXV: ODV) as the company’s largest shareholder, is to combine Sirios’ Cheechoo gold project with OVI’s Corvet Est and Plex, all district-scale assets. All three are located in the Eeyou Istchee James Bay region, about 725 km north of Montreal. “I see an excellent opportunity to combine forces and put our experience in project development to support Cheechoo, which is a greatly under-appreciated gold project,” Osisko CEO Sea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
BMC Minerals (ASX: BMC), the Canadian subsidiary of UK-based BMC Ltd., made its trading debut on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) on Friday following an A$100 million ($66 million) initial public offering. The company’s CHESS Depository Interests (CDIs) began trading at noon in Sydney at an initial price of A$2.00 each. By market close, they traded A$0.50 or 25% higher at A$2.50. The IPO, which was oversubscribed, gives BMC Minerals a total market capitalization of approximately A$550 million ($365 million). Major polymetallic project BMC said it will use the funds of this offering to further advance its sole asset: the 100%-owned polymetallic Kudz …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto markets saw a modest lift after the US Federal Reserve made another move on rates, and traders are watching for a clearer follow-through. According to reports, the Fed has carried out three consecutive interest rate cuts totaling 0.75% from September to December. The move was widely expected. Still, market responses have been mixed and somewhat choppy. Fed Moves And Market Takeaway According to CoinEx chief analyst Jeff Ko, much of the Fed’s action was already priced in, and the updated dot plot leaned a bit more hawkish than some had hoped. Ko pointed to $40 billion in short-term Treasury purchases as a technical step to ease liquidity and lower short-term rate…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A/TECK.B) has acquired a 9.9% equity stake in Metal Energy (TSXV: MERG) following its participation in the critical mineral explorer’s latest financing round. On Friday, Toronto-based Metal Energy announced Teck’s acquisition of approximately 4.44 million flow-through shares at C$0.73 per share and 6.2 million common shares at C$0.45 per share. Teck’s investment mirrors that of Centerra Gold (TSX: CG), which bought the other half of allotted shares for a 9.9% stake, as announced by the companies last month. Stephen Stewart, chairman of Metal Energy, welcomed the addition of Teck as its second strategic investor. “Having one major mini…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: Santa Claus Rally Strategy: How to Trade the S&P 500's Most Reliable Seasonal Pattern Wall Street Indexes and more specifically the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, experienced a decline on Friday. This downward pressure was largely caused by Broadcom's recent financial results, which added to worries that the current high valuations around Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology might be creating a market bubble. This negative sentiment reduced the optimism that had been generated the previous day by the Federal Reserve's less aggressive signals about potential interest rate cuts in 2026.Shares of the chipmaker Broadcom dropped 8.4% after the company warned tha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Newsquawk Highlights include US NFP, CPI and Retail Sales, BoJ, BoE, ECB, UK Jobs, UK CPI, and Japan CPI US Debt Clock MON: Chinese Activity Data (Nov), EZ Industrial Production (Oct), Canadian CPI (Nov) TUE: NBH Announcement, UK Jobs Report (Oct), EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Dec), German ZEW Survey (Dec), Japanese Trade Balance (Nov), US Jobs Report (Nov) WED: UK Inflation (Nov), EZ CPI Final (Nov), US Retail Sales (Oct) THU: ECB Announcement, BoE Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, Riksbank Announcement, CNB Announcement, US CPI (Nov), Japanese CPI (Nov), US Real Earnings (Nov) FRI: BoJ Announcement, CBR Announcement, Quad Witching, UK PSNB (Nov), UK Retail Sales (Nov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin traders have heard the “five-cent” call before. It’s the kind of number that sounds like bait until price action starts behaving like it might actually get there. On Friday, DOGE was changing hands around $0.140, up slightly on the day, while bitcoin hovered near $92,300. That’s the backdrop for a fresh warning from YouTube analyst VisionPulsed, who told viewers his “base case” is that Dogecoin revisits the $0.05–$0.06 zone over the next 12 months — a window that drags the target straight into 2026. Will Dogecoin Crash To $0.05 In 2026? In the video posted on December 11 and titled “WHY IS DOGECOIN CRASHING!? BITCOIN RALLY COMING OR BULL TRAP FOR 5 CENT DOGE in…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For the GBP/USD pair, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4—or any large corrective wave—since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal subwaves. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken the form of a five-wave sequence a–b–c–d–e and should be considered complete. If this is indeed the case, the instrument is now in the phase of forming a new upward wave sequence. Naturally, any wave structure c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has transformed, but overall remains quite clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure since July 1 has become significantly more complex and extended. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took a very unconventional form. Inside this wave, we saw exclusively corrective structures, so there was no doubt regarding the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not complete, and its targets may extend up to the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e wave series appears finishe…
Last reply by Ben Graham,