Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Most Read: Santa Claus Rally Strategy: How to Trade the S&P 500's Most Reliable Seasonal Pattern Wall Street Indexes and more specifically the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, experienced a decline on Friday. This downward pressure was largely caused by Broadcom's recent financial results, which added to worries that the current high valuations around Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology might be creating a market bubble. This negative sentiment reduced the optimism that had been generated the previous day by the Federal Reserve's less aggressive signals about potential interest rate cuts in 2026.Shares of the chipmaker Broadcom dropped 8.4% after the company warned tha…
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The crypto market has shown a modest price rebound in the last three weeks, returning to a total market cap of $3.07 trillion. During this time, Bitcoin has climbed by 11% from its local bottom at $80,700, while Ethereum has been more aggressive, gaining by 18% within the same period. Despite these reassuring performances, a market analyst with the username PelinayPA postulates that the bear market has commenced, considering certain technical parameters. BTC & ETH Moving Averages, Trading Volumes Signal Bear Season Bear market speculations have been at a heightened level in Q4 2025, as the crypto market suffered extensive price corrections, during which Bitcoin al…
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Solana price is still trading in a narrow band above the $120–$130 support area. The market has held this range for several sessions, and analysts are watching to see whether the next move will break the pattern or extend the pause that followed its broader 2025 pullback. After falling from its 2025 highs, SOL slipped into a tight structure that has barely changed. Traders now want to know if this zone will become a base for recovery or if it’s simply another stretch of sideways movement inside a larger correction. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time The …
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XRP’s recent pullback to $2 has not changed the broader technical picture, according to a new analysis shared on X by crypto analyst Egrag Crypto. Despite the lack of bullish price action in recent weeks, the technical analysis proposes that the market structure continues to favor an upside continuation rather than the trend ending. This outlook places the next three to six months in a constructive zone for XRP’s price action, where the probability of further upside is higher than the risk of a downward move. XRP Currently In Consolidation, Not Distribution The assessment of Egrag’s technical analysis is based on XRP’s price action currently ticking a list of boxes th…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded much more calmly on Friday than on Wednesday and Thursday, as shown in the illustration below. The volatility on the last trading day of the previous week was a mere 31 pips. Essentially, we once again witnessed a complete lack of movement in the market. This is not surprising, as there were virtually no significant events on Friday, and traders had already fully adjusted to the Federal Reserve meeting results by Thursday. Moreover, it cannot be said that volatility was excessively high on Wednesday and Thursday; yes, it was above average, but not extraordinarily so. Hence, we reiterate that market activity is currently quite low. Can anyt…
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The GBP/USD currency pair experienced a slight pullback on Friday after rising on Wednesday and Thursday, but overall, we can draw similar conclusions as for the EUR/USD pair. The defining moments will take place next week, not the previous one. Firstly, this is due to the macroeconomic data coming from the US. Secondly, it is related to the Bank of England meeting. Unlike the European Central Bank, the BoE has not succeeded in bringing inflation down to its target level, which is nearly the same across central banks at 2%. Inflation in the UK is almost double the target level, and assessing the trend based on a single report is considered inappropriate. Yes, last month t…
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Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $90,000 support zone. BTC is now rising and might struggle to clear the $90,500 zone. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $92,500 zone. The price is trading below $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $90,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $90,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Aims Fresh Increase Bitcoin price failed to gain strength for a move above the $92,000 and $92,500 levels. BTC started a downside correction and traded below the $90,500 support. The p…
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Deal Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility and exclusively sideways on Friday. This market behavior is not surprising, as we see a prolonged upward trend on the hourly timeframe, while the daily timeframe remains in a flat range. Consequently, movements in general remain weak. Last week, on Wednesday and Thursday, we witnessed a notable rise in the pair, which was driven by significant events such as the FOMC meeting and its subsequent implications. During those two days, volatility inevitably increased. However, on Friday, we observed a return to the previous state. Once again, there were no movements in …
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Deal Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart for GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair experienced a slight correction on Friday, within an upward trend that has been developing for several weeks. The macroeconomic and fundamental backdrop was absent, as the market rested after the important Fed meeting and prepared for an even more significant week, during which the long-awaited reports on the labor market, unemployment, and inflation will be published in the US, along with the inflation report, unemployment report, and the Bank of England meeting in the UK. As we can see, this week will feature not just important, but super-important events, so there are good grounds to expect higher vol…
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The euro and the British pound maintain their prospects for further gains against the US dollar. The Japanese yen appreciated significantly today, as traders believe the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates this week. Meanwhile, statements from Federal Reserve officials at the end of last week did not help the US dollar, so the chances of further growth in risk assets remain quite good. Traders are closely monitoring any signals that may indicate a change in the Fed's monetary policy, and in the absence of convincing arguments for maintaining a tight stance, the strengthening of risk assets may continue. Technical analysis also indicates potential for growth. The break…
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Bitcoin fell back to around $87,500, but it once again saw strong buying interest, keeping the chances of a bullish BTC rally alive for the end of this year. Ethereum also remained above $3,000, which allows for hopeful sentiment, though these hopes are fading day by day. Meanwhile, Strategy is expected to report new BTC purchases today. Yesterday, Michael Saylor published a BTC purchase tracker, after which Strategy typically reports BTC purchases the following day. It's worth noting that publicly traded companies that are actively buying Bitcoin now hold over 5% of its total supply on their balance sheets, with Strategy alone holding 3%. Against the backdrop of a decli…
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3362 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the pound. As a result, the pair decreased by more than 17 pips. Long positions on the bounce from 1.3345 allowed for an additional profit of about 20 pips from the market. The pound only slightly declined against the US dollar. This relative stability of the British currency can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the market has already partially priced in expectations regarding a further pause in the Bank of England's rate-cutting cycle, as high inflation in the UK…
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 155.85 coincided with the MACD indicator beginning to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the dollar. However, after a decline of 10 pips, the pressure eased at the end of the week. The US dollar showed resilience against the Japanese yen at the end of last week amid cautious remarks from Federal Reserve officials. These statements essentially kept the possibility of further monetary policy easing open, although the timing of the next easing has become unclear. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains in demand, as was evident during today's Asian session. The …
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The Australian dollar started the new trading week on a negative note. This time, it was let down by China, which published relatively weak macroeconomic data today. It's worth noting that last week, the Aussie came under pressure following a disappointing employment report. The total number of employed people in Australia unexpectedly decreased by more than 20,000, contrary to optimistic forecasts (most analysts had predicted a gain of 20,000 jobs). The structure of this component only exacerbated the situation: the full-time employment indicator plummeted to -56,500, while part-time employment increased by 35,000. This is a negative signal, as full-time positions of…
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Hashdex is out with its 2026 crypto investment outlook, and the vibe is pretty clear: stop treating crypto like a weird side-bet and start treating it like… an allocation. The firm’s CIO Samir Kerbage says “most investors” should be thinking in the 5–10% range, framing it as a pragmatic response to a messier macro regime (sticky inflation risk, debt burdens, the 60/40 portfolio looking less like a law of nature and more like a historical artifact). Look, you can debate the exact number, but Hashdex’s point is that the underweight has become the active decision. Crypto is now “well above $3 trillion” in market cap and about 1% of the global investable market by its math—m…
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Precious metals have been trusted stores of value for thousands of years because they offer beauty, scarcity, and durability. Unlike paper assets that can lose value during inflation, market volatility, or currency weakness, physical precious metals provide intrinsic value that cannot be printed or diluted. For many Americans preparing for retirement, this stability makes metals like gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and rhodium attractive additions to a diversified portfolio or a self-directed Gold IRA.Below are the five most expensive precious metals in the world, along with an overview of why each has maintained enduring demand. Gold: Gold is the most recognized and …
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Bitcoin thought it had found a bottom, only to be knocked from below. The tumultuous recovery of US stock indices extended a lifeline to BTC/USD; however, a series of bad news caused the token's prices to plummet. It wasn't alone. Ethereum dropped by 7%, and altcoins also faced a wave of sell-offs amid the downgrade of the largest stablecoin, USDT, to junk status. S&P Global Ratings believes that the falling value of Bitcoin will lead to insufficient backing for the token. Positive news on stablecoins, including Congress's approval of legislation on their use, had previously been one of the catalysts for the BTC/USD rally. By the same token, negative developments lea…
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Final Full Trading Week of the Year Until Christmas As markets enter the last full trading week of the year, many traders treat it like business as usual. But seasoned professionals know that the pre-Christmas period follows its own playbook. Liquidity thins as the week winds on, real-money flows dominate, and market behavior becomes anything but predictable. Understanding these dynamics can help traders avoid unnecessary risks—and capitalize on unique year-end opportunities. A Pre-Christmas Market Driven by Real-Money Flows Unlike typical trading weeks where speculation and new positioning drive price action, the final trading stretch before Christmas is shaped by a d…
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A recent technical analysis shared on X by crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader presents Ethereum’s price action on the 2-day candlestick chart as a textbook example of Wyckoff accumulation. In his assessment, Ethereum has already moved through several key stages of the model and is now approaching a powerful expansion phase, provided the structure stays intact. Wyckoff Accumulation Structure Taking Shape On Ethereum Chart Over the past several days, Ethereum has traded between roughly $3,050 and $3,400, repeatedly failing to secure a sustained move beyond either boundary. At the time of writing, Ethereum’s price action is trading around $3,100. This prolonged standoff ha…
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Equinox Gold (TSX, NYSE-A: EQX) has sold its Brazilian operations to China’s CMOC Group in a deal worth over $1 billion, the company announced in a press release on Sunday. The assets included in the sale are Equinox’s 100% interest in the Aurizona mine in Maranhão, the RDM mine in Minas Gerais, and the Bahia complex, consisting of the Fazenda and Santa Luz mines. Together, they are expected to deliver 250,000–270,000 oz. of gold production this year, according to company guidance. The total consideration comprises an upfront cash payment $900 million due on closing, plus a contingent cash payment of up to $115 million linked to the mines’ production, due one year…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,120. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to start a recovery wave above $3,200. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $3,250 zone. The price is trading below $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,175 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $3,050 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Toward Support Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,180 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,150 and $3,120 to enter a short-term bearish zone. T…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.00. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.020 resistance level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.00 zone. The price is now trading below $2.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $1.950. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.120 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.050 and $2.020. There was a move below the $…
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On Friday, stock indices closed sharply lower. The S&P 500 fell by 1.07%, while the Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.69%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged by 1.51%. Futures on US stock indices have risen slightly with the start of a new week after concerns about tech company profits and significant investments in AI prompted another sell-off on Wall Street last Friday. However, this rebound should be viewed with caution given the ongoing uncertainty regarding interest rates and the economic outlook. Investors remain concerned that the Federal Reserve may be slow to lower rates, especially if inflation does not continue to decrease steadily toward the target level. …
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price level at 1.1736 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose by 15 pips. Statements from Federal Reserve officials at the end of last week did not support the US dollar, leaving the euro well-positioned for further gains. Overcoming significant resistance levels will allow the upward trend to continue today, as the overall picture suggests favorable conditions for further strengthening of risk assets. Today, fresh data on the German wholesale price index and information on changes in industrial produ…
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If anyone believes in symbols, now is the time to sell the S&P 500. Shares of Cisco, a leader among Internet companies in the 1990s, have returned to their record levels. Its collapse became emblematic of the dot-com bubble. Since then, the stock has struggled to recover, and only in 2025 did it find its moment again. The fundamental valuation of today's tech companies is as high as that of their predecessors. Will history repeat itself, causing the broad stock index to plunge into another wave of sell-offs? S&P 500 Price-to-Forward Earnings Dynamics Disappointing earnings reports from Broadcom and Oracle continue to stir investor sentiments and prompt exits fr…
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