Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11789 tópicos neste fórum
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The best times for the European currency are ahead. Since 2008, the euro has depreciated against the US dollar and concluded this process only in 2022, briefly falling below the price parity. Thus, the decline of the euro lasted a long 14 years. During this period, the European currency lost about 1.5 times its value. While this may seem modest, it is significant given the 14-year duration. However, it is believed that the upward trend began in 2022 and could also last a decade. Consequently, the long-term prospects for the euro appear bright. As traders, we are more interested in short-term trends. Over the past five months, we have witnessed the construction of correcti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound remains in a far more vulnerable position compared to the euro. If you compare any two charts of the euro and the pound over the past few months, you will see that the British pound has fallen more sharply than the euro. We will not discuss the reasons for this disparity now, as that is history. Instead, let's talk about the chances of the pound continuing to rise against the US dollar. In the euro currency outlook, I mentioned that the European Central Bank meeting should not be taken lightly. While it is possible that no significant decisions will be made and Christine Lagarde may refrain from issuing forecasts for 2026, the likelihood of a rate cut fo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US dollar and upcoming US reports will be the market's primary focus. However, this time, significant events also take place in the EU and the UK. In most cases, the market trades the dollar, while the euro and pound remain spectators in the theater, but there are important events everywhere. The Federal Reserve has lowered the interest rate three times at the end of 2025, but demand for the currency has weakened only slightly in response. In my opinion, the market has not yet fully absorbed these three monetary policy easings, and it seems to have forgotten about the potential "shutdown" and its possible resumption in February 2026. Therefore, I believe that the news…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The new week will be significant for traders of the EUR/USD pair. While the overall economic calendar is not packed with significant events, the market's focus will be on two reports capable of shaping the medium-term trend: the US NFP and the CPI growth report. Typically, these reports are not released in the same week. Nonfarm Payrolls are published at the beginning of each month, while inflation data comes about 14 days later. However, the 2025 shutdown has muddled the timelines. Due to the 40-day US government shutdown, the BLS is releasing statistics with delays. For instance, we'll only learn the October data on labor and inflation. Nonetheless, these reports hav…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair showed no notable movements on Friday, with overall volatility for the day at just 31 pips. The only macroeconomic event of note on Friday was German inflation, but we had already warned that market reactions to the report could be minimal. The reason is that inflation in many countries is published in two estimates. The market reacts to the first, while the second rarely differs from the first and is typically ignored. Thus, it can be concluded that there were no significant events on Friday, and the pair's movement throughout the day fully aligned with the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop. From a technical stand…
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As the new week begins, crypto news today continues to cause fear and uncertainty in the market, with Bitcoin dropping -0.8% overnight and losing its crucial $90,000 support level. The fear and greed index remains firmly in the ‘extreme fear’ zone at 16, as traders continue to lose hope amid this longstanding bearish price action. According to CoinGlass data, over $293M in leveraged positions has been wiped out over the last 24 hours, with $231M from long trades and $62M from short trades. This indicates bears are in control, but bulls remain optimistic and are still attempting to go long in the market. (SOURCE: CoinGlass) Many are left wondering whether this price a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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According to Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, Bitcoin’s familiar four-year cycle still exists, but what drives that rhythm has changed. He told listeners on The Wolf Of All Streets Podcast that the calendar timing of halvings is no longer the main force. Instead, election timing, central bank moves and where money flows now matter more. Shift From Halving To Politics And Liquidity Thielen highlighted that Bitcoin’s major peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021 all happened in the fourth quarter, and he believes these highs match up more closely with election cycles and political uncertainty than with the timing of the halvings. According to him, there is added m…
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The US mining sector enters 2026 at a pivotal moment as geopolitical pressures and 2025 policy shifts begin to reshape permitting, investment and national security priorities. While some expect a rapid rebound, Debra W. Struhsacker, consultant to the Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration (SME), cautions that decades of restrictive policy will slow the pace of recovery. More than 30 years of legislation and land-use limits, she says, have hollowed out the industry, making progress incremental rather than explosive. Momentum is building, but rebuilding foundations will take time. The effects of President Trump’s executive actions this year are expect…
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It couldn't get worse. Bitcoin's consolidation is dragging on, and time is not working in favor of the bulls in BTC/USD. According to Glassnode, unrealized losses have jumped from an average of 2% to 4.4%. This indicates that the cryptocurrency's rally is being exploited by trapped buyers near record highs to liquidate losing positions. The potential for a rebound in this digital asset is limited, while the likelihood of continued downward movement appears much more probable. Bitcoin's dynamics and unrealized losses The bulls' desire to get rid of losing long positions in BTC/USD can explain why Bitcoin is ignoring positive news. This includes Michael Saylor's record p…
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Crypto pundit Crypto Wimar has explained why the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices crashed, highlighting the continuous selling pressure. The crypto market is also at risk of further downward pressure due to macro factors such as the impending Japan rate hike. Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Crashed In an X post, Crypto Wimar revealed that Wintermute has dumped 40% of its holdings over the last three weeks, which has contributed to the crash in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices. The crypto pundit further noted that the market maker is still dumping millions in BTC and ETH on Binance, which puts these coins at risk of further declines. The Bitcoin, Ethereum,…
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The interest rate cut expected from the Bank of England this week is limiting the British pound's further upward potential and is also prompting investors and traders to consider whether the monetary policy easing cycle may be nearing its end, almost a year and a half after it began. The 25-basis-point rate cut expected on Thursday, which would bring the Bank of England's base rate down to 3.75%, could negatively affect the pound in the short term. However, the rate would already be one to two cuts below the level that a number of experts—including Governor Andrew Bailey—consider to be the UK's neutral interest rate. For this reason, attention will shift to the Bank of E…
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The yen strengthened again against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of Japan pointed to further progress on wages, a key factor that effectively confirms the need for an interest rate hike at the meeting scheduled for this week. The report shows that, despite U.S. tariffs, the trend toward rising wages remains intact. "In most reports from the head office and regional branches, it was noted that companies expect wage increases in fiscal year 2026 at roughly the same pace as in fiscal year 2025, when strong wage growth was recorded," the Bank of Japan said in a report published on Monday. The market reacted swiftly to these signals, interpreting them as a harbinger of furth…
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Li-FT Power (TSXV: LIFT) has significantly expanded its presence in Quebec with a proposed acquisition of Australia’s Winsome Resources (ASX: WR1) and a deal to grab a majority stake in a project held jointly by Azimut Exploration (TSXV: AZM) and SOQUEM. In a statement on Monday, the Canadian lithium developer said it has signed a binding scheme implementation deed to acquire all issued shares of Winsome, offering 0.107 of a common share for each Winsome share acquired. This exchange ratio implies a per-share value of A$0.501 for Winsome, calculated using a five-day volume-weighted average price for Li-FT shares on the TSX Venture Exchange. The per-share considera…
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