Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin just broke key resistance and crashed, right after the $1.7 billion total crypto liquidation four days ago, followed by another crypto liquidation clocking at $1.12 billion. However, ETH is leading the liquidation numbers with $425M long liquidations over the $272M BTC. More than 250.000 traders were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation happening on Hyperliquid, an ETH-USD pair with a value of $29.12 million. Is this going to be the bottom that traders are looking for in October, or is this the start of the bear market? Let’s find out. (Source – Coinglass) Bitcoin Crash or Generational Entry? Bitcoin was rejected from the $114K level, baiting ma…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue its downward movement from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1608 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 3, 2025). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.1645 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, the price from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's da…
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For a long time, markets have operated in a tug-of-war mode: signs of US economic weakness have pulled the S&P 500 down, but expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and faith in artificial intelligence technology have tipped the balance in the other direction. The broad equity index repeatedly hit record highs. However, by the end of September, everything seemed to turn upside down. A three-day decline became its longest losing streak in a month. S&P 500 Dynamics It's as if the actors switched roles. Impressive data on GDP, jobless claims, and durable goods orders did not help the S&P 500 "bulls." Meanwhile, the odds of a Fed rate cut in October only fell sl…
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Dogecoin (DOGE), the leading memecoin in the cryptocurrency space, has faced significant challenges this week, experiencing a 22% decline. According to data from CoinGecko, DOGE is nearly 70% lower than its all-time high of $0.73. Despite these setbacks, analysts remain optimistic about Dogecoin’s future price performance. Dogecoin On Track For Major Rally The anticipated onset of an altcoin season in the last quarter of the year, combined with critical support levels, has contributed to a bullish sentiment among market watchers. Analysts at Bitcoinsensus have boldly asserted on social media site X (formerly Twitter), that Dogecoin is on the cusp of a significant up…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of the 148.95 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the upside potential for the pair. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed the entire upward move. The upward revision of US Q2 GDP to 3.8% from 3.0% acted as a catalyst not only for dollar strength but also triggered a real storm across currency markets—most notably seen in the sharp sell-off of the Japanese yen. This unexpected acceleration in the US economy has given the dollar's sails a boost, propelling it confidently forward, while the yen has suffered the brunt of the move. Investors, b…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundTesting the 1.3441 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by more than 100 pips. The pace of US economic growth, revised upward to 3.8%, delivered a strong boost to the US dollar and, as a result, triggered a weakening in the British pound. This unexpected GDP growth for Q2 signals more resilience in the American economy than previously expected. The strengthening of the dollar, driven by favorable economic data, inevitably put pressure on other currencies, particular…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1738 level occurred just as the MACD indicator was starting to move down from the zero line, confirming a suitable entry point for a euro short. As a result, the pair moved down to the 1.1708 target area. Yesterday's upward GDP revision for the US (Q2) to an impressive 3.8% triggered strong buying of the US dollar. The U.S. economy displayed unexpected resilience, despite the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. This, in turn, boosts investor confidence that the US economy can continue to grow after rate cuts, which already began in September this year. Today, there is no significant fundamental news from…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin plunged below $109,000, triggering panic in the market. Ethereum also remained below $4,000, indicating ongoing active selling that has been seen recently. It's clear that BTC began to see heavy selling right after the FOMC, and a couple of failed attempts to rise above $118,000 only encouraged even more short positions from speculators. The overall market structure now points to fading momentum. According to Glassnode data, there is currently heavy selling from long-term holders, but these sales are not being absorbed, as inflows to ETFs have slowed significantly lately. This is worrisome, since long-term holders are traditionally seen as the most sta…
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The gold price traded around 3,744, bouncing within the upward trend channel formed since September 10 and attempting to break the strong resistance at 3,753. If the gold price consolidates above 3,753 in the coming hours, it could resume its upward cycle, and gold could reach 3,828 around +1/8 Murray. If the gold price falls below 3,730, we could expect a strong breakout of the uptrend channel, and the price could return to the 7/8 Murray price levels around 3,671. The outlook remains bullish for the XAU/USD as the eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, so we will wait for a positive buy scenario to occur only if the price consolidates above 3,753. Conversely, as …
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Bitcoin is trading around 109,607, rebounding after reaching a low of 108,659. If Bitcoin consolidates above 3/8 Murray in the coming hours, we could expect it to return to the $110,000 level, and could even reach 4/8 Murray at 112,500. When Bitcoin unsuccessfully attempted to break the bearish trend channel resistance around $114,000, it initiated a strong bearish sequence, reaching the key support at 3/8 Murray. If the Bitcoin price consolidates below $109,375, it could continue its bearish sequence and reach the 2/8 Murray level around $106,250. The eagle indicator has reached oversold levels, so it's likely that the Bitcoin price will consolidate above $108,000 in the…
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The euro is trading around 1.1676, below the 200 EMA, below the 21 SMA and within the bearish trend channel formed on September 16. The euro managed to break below the strong support of Murray's 8/8 and the 200 EMA during yesterday's American session. This is likely to be the beginning of a bearish sequence, provided that the EUR/USD pair remains below 1.1840. If the euro recovers and tests the support at 1.1718, which has now become resistance, and if it fails to break above it, the bearish cycle could resume. On the other hand, if bearish pressure continues, we expect the euro to reach 1.1596. Then, EUR/USD could even fall to the psychological level of 1.1500. If the in…
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[Solana] – [Saturday, September 26, 2025] With both EMAs forming a Death Cross, accompanied by the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone and confirmed by the appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence, Solana is likely to weaken today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 219.88 2. Resistance. 1 : 208.08 3. Pivot : 200.83 4. Support. 1 : 189.03 5. Support. 2 : 181.78 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 189.03, Solana has the potential to continue weakening down to 181.78. Momentum Extension Bias: If 181.78 is breached and closes below, Solana could weaken further down to 169.98. Level Invalidation / Bias Revision The downside bi…
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Solana started a fresh decline from the $232 zone. SOL price is now showing bearish signs and might even decline toward the $180 support. SOL price started a fresh decline below $232 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $204 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $204 and $212. Solana Price Dips Sharply Solana price failed to stay above $232 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL traded below the $220 and $212 support levels to enter a bearis…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has explained how a Chainlink triangle breakout setup could point to a massive $100 target for the asset’s price. Chainlink Is Coiling Inside A Triangle Right Now In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a triangle pattern forming in the weekly price of Chainlink. Triangles refer to consolidation channels from technical analysis (TA) that involve an asset trading between two converging trendlines. Like any other consolidation channel, the upper trendline acts a source of resistance, while the lower one that of support. In other words, tops can be likely to occur on retests of the former and bottoms at the latter. There are a f…
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The US dollar continued its growth against a range of risk assets, indicating sustained demand and the prospect of more cautious action from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts. Yesterday's upward revision of Q2 US GDP to a strong 3.8% was the trigger for dollar buying and a selloff in risk assets. Clearly, after contracting in Q1, the US economy is showing unexpected resilience despite the Fed's tight monetary policy. This, in turn, strengthens investors' confidence in the US economy's ability to withstand future challenges. Yesterday's sharp drop in jobless claims also points to a labor market that is once again showing strength, despite some signs of cooli…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are only a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, but some of them may trigger a market reaction. First and foremost, attention should be paid to the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. Many consider the PCE index to be the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator, though we don't necessarily agree. Besides, significant deviations from forecasts for the PCE are extremely rare. Thus, in both cases, a market reaction is likely only if the actual readings significantly diverge from expectations. Fundamental Events Analysis: Among Friday'…
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Wall Street Ends Lower Amid Fed Uncertainty U.S. stocks closed Thursday with modest losses as most sectors of the S&P 500 slipped. Investors grew cautious, reassessing expectations about how quickly the Federal Reserve may proceed with further interest rate cuts. Jobless Claims and Economic Growth Labor Department figures showed that initial jobless claims fell by 14,000 to 218,000 for the week ending September 20, after seasonal adjustments. Revised estimates also revealed stronger second-quarter economic growth than previously thought, driven by resilient consumer spending and rising business investments. Fed Officials Urge Caution Austan Goolsbee, president of th…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also plunged on Thursday. Recall that the British pound had grounds for its latest downward move. We cannot say these reasons were unambiguous—many factors were interpreted by the market against the pound, though they could've been seen the other way around. However, on Thursday, the US GDP and durable goods orders reports could only be interpreted as favorable to the US dollar. Q2 GDP came in at +3.8%, while durable goods orders rose by 2.9%—in both cases, much stronger than forecasts. Thus, more positive reports triggered growth in the US currency, fully supporting the current downward trend, now reaffirmed …
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair resumed its downward movement on Thursday after consolidating below the ascending trend line. Thus, from a technical analysis perspective, this was an entirely logical move. The trend has shifted to bearish, so a decline is expected. However, Thursday's drop did not result solely from technical factors. During the US trading session, reports were published that we had previously advised paying attention to: durable goods orders and the third estimate of Q2 GDP. Both reports delivered much stronger results than traders and experts had expected, which triggered a sharp strengthening of the dollar. Thus,…
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XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.850 zone but failed. The price is again moving lower and might decline again below the $2.720 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.850 support zone. The price is now trading below $2.840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.720. XRP Price Dips Below Support XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.90 level, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.90 and $2.92 resistance leve…
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SUI is attempting to hold a crucial area as support amid the recent market downturn. Some analysts suggest the altcoin’s price is retesting a make-or-break level that will determine the direction of its next big move. SUI Hits Two-Month Low On Thursday, SUI is retesting the local range lows after an 8% daily drop from the $3.40 area to a key support level. The recent market pullbacks have momentarily halted most bullish rallies, sending leading cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH) to an eight-week low of $3,800. Now, SUI’s rally, which was fueled by institutional interest, Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs), and positive developments for the network, has declined over 21%…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,050. ETH is now struggling and might decline further if it breaks the $3,850 support zone. Ethereum failed to extend gains and declined below the $4,000 zone. The price is trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,050 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $3,880 and $3,850. Ethereum Price Dips Further Ethereum price remained in a bearish zone after it settled below $4,250, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,120 and $4,050 support levels. The bears even p…
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Despite recent fluctuations that saw the Bitcoin price retrace nearly 6% on a weekly basis, market expert Timothy Peterson remains bullish on the leading cryptocurrency’s future. The expert, also a Bitcoin author and economist, predicts that there is at least a 50% chance that the Bitcoin price could reach a new all-time high of $200,000 by June 2026, a forecast he shared on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) on Thursday. Optimistic Projections For The Bitcoin Price Peterson’s optimistic outlook is grounded in his analysis of the Median Bitcoin Yearly Price Path chart, which suggests that October typically marks the beginning of a new upward trend for the Bitco…
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EUR/USD Yesterday's U.S. economic indicators came in better than expected. Q2 GDP was revised up from 3.3% to 3.8%, August durable goods orders increased by 2.9% versus forecasts of -0.3%, the core personal consumption expenditures price index for Q2 came in at 2.6% versus the 2.5% estimate, and even the trade balance improved to -$85.5 billion from -$103.6 billion, with a forecast of -$95.7 billion—this is the best figure in the past two years. The dollar index rose by 0.71%, the euro lost 71 pips, and broke through the daily timeframe support indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator settled in bearish territory. The price is approaching the target support at 1.1605. A fir…
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GBP/USD Against the backdrop of yesterday's 0.71% rise in the US dollar index, the British pound, which was already experiencing additional pressure from the policy divergence between the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve, lost 102 pips. On the weekly chart, the price has broken below the MACD line. The Marlin oscillator has also consolidated in the territory of a downward trend. The pound is likely to face a prolonged decline ahead. The nearest significant target is the embedded price channel line around the 1.3000 mark. On the daily chart, the price has broken below the nearest support at 1.3364. The next target at 1.3253 is now in play. The decline may continue…
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