Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin has experienced a sharp price drop in recent days, but one well-followed crypto analyst remains undaunted. Popular chartist Egrag Crypto says Bitcoin is still in a bull market, even with the pullback. He believes what is happening now is only part of a larger repeating pattern that has played out since the end of 2022. According to him, this cycle is not over yet, and the market still has another strong upward move before an actual bear phase begins. Bitcoin Holds Strong Above Key Levels Egrag Crypto explains that Bitcoin follows a clear pattern that has been in place since December 2022. First, the price surges upward, then it retests support, bounces back, cor…
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Indonesia’s government has reached an agreement with Freeport Indonesia to halt operations at the Grasberg mine to prioritize the search for workers trapped after a recent accident, Reuters reported, citing the country’s mining minister. Two workers have died and five remain missing following a large mudflow earlier this month at the Grasberg Block Cave underground mine. Production at Freeport Indonesia has not resumed since the incident, with the suspension impacting both output and revenue, Minister Bahlil Lahadalia told reporters. Asked when operations would restart, he said the government and Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) would discuss the matter. Freeport did …
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Up 56% since the onset of 2025, Silver is putting on a performance unseen in more than 15 years. The metal has finally broken out of the monthly upward channel that began in February 2020 during the Covid-era peak of fear and volatility, adding further fuel to the ongoing fire. With prices stretching back into April 2011 territory, the question is no longer whether buyers have what it need to reach preceding highs, but what—if anything—can slow it down from here. A piece published shortly after the FOMC had emitted the idea that the follow-up press conference hadn't expressed enough dovishness for metals to keep rising higher, amid some form of slowdown in the rally.…
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BlackRock has filed for a $12.5 trillion Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, sending digital asset markets and institutional circles abuzz. Unlike BlackRock’s previous offering – iShares Bitcoin Trust (iBIT), its proposed Bitcoin Premium ETF is built around a covered-call strategy designed to generate yield for its investors. By employing options on Bitcoin, BlackRock aims to deliver regular income distributions which appeal to yield-seeking investors who want exposure to Bitcoin but prefer to temper volatility. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas took to X to say, “Given all the other coins about to ETF-ized, it’s notable BlackRock is going another bitcoin product, which sig…
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Investors are awaiting the release of the PCE indices. If the PCE figures come in weaker than forecast (and especially weaker than the previous readings), signaling a slowdown in inflation, the dollar will almost certainly resume its decline. On the other hand, a stream of positive macroeconomic data from the US and lingering risks of further inflation growth are contributing to dollar strength. Therefore, both a renewed decline and a continuation of the upward correction are possible. Meanwhile, a downward correction continues on the crypto market, partly due to the strengthening of the dollar. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) yesterday dropped below 3,900.00 for the first …
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Aster has been in the spotlight since last week, drawing intense attention as the broader crypto market shifted into a corrective phase. Launched on September 17, the token has staged an extraordinary rally, surging by more than 6,000% in just days—a move that has quickly established it as one of the most talked-about projects in the industry. Traders and investors worldwide have taken notice, with many pointing to Aster’s rapid rise as a reflection of the strong appetite for innovative projects in decentralized finance. What sets Aster apart is that its surge isn’t solely speculative hype. The project is backed by Yzi Labs (formerly Binance Labs) and enjoys the public …
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US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August YoY (ex. Food & Energy): +2.9% vs +2.9% expected, meets consensusUS Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August MoM (ex. Food & Energy): +2% vs +0.2% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August YoY: +2.7% vs +2.7% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August MoM: +0.3% vs +0.3% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Income August MoM: +0.4% vs +0.3% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Personal Spending August MoM: +0.6% vs +0.5% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Report (August 2025): …
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Many analysts believe that next summer, the leading cryptocurrency could reach a staggering $200,000. They estimate the likelihood of this scenario at 50%. This forecast may come true if the asset rides the wave of growth. Throughout this week, the price of Bitcoin has risen by almost 6%. This has given hope to analysts and market participants for a further upward move in the first cryptocurrency. According to crypto analyst Timothy Peterson, by June 2026, the BTC price could reach a new all-time high of $200,000. The expert puts the odds of hitting such a peak at 50%. By the end of this week, Bitcoin has remained stable: on Friday, September 26, it started sideways tra…
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The Japanese yen has stabilized on Friday. In the North American session, US/JPY is trading at 149.61, down 0.11% on the day. The yen has taken a beating over the past two days, falling 1.5%. Tokyo Core CPI remains unchanged at 2.5% Tokyo Core CPI held steady in September at 2.5% y/y. This matched the downwardly revised August reading and was lower than the market estimate of 2.8%. Tokyo Core CPI excluding food and energy dropped to 2.5%, down sharply from 3.0% in August. Food inflation remains high but eased to 6.9% in September from 7.4% in August. The Bank of Japan will include this data in the mix when it meets next on October 29-30. Aside from inflation, BoJ polic…
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US stock market closes in red amid Fed policy uncertaintyThe US stock market ended the day in the red, with the S&P 500 index falling amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's next steps in monetary policy. The US Labor Department reported a decline in initial jobless claims, signaling a stable labor market. At the same time, analysts note that the persistent gap between strong employment data and investor sentiment is contributing to heightened market volatility. Read more at the link. S&P 500 and Nasdaq under pressureOn Thursday, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq indices dropped by 0.50%, as investor concerns grew over elevated stock valuations …
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Jobless Reincarnation A potential U.S. government shutdown on October 1 could not come at a worse time for financial markets. Just two days later, the September employment report. the most closely watched piece of economic data, is scheduled for release. With traders laser-focused on U.S. job growth as a guide for Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, any delay would leave markets sailing without a rudder. Why the Timing Matters The Fed is walking a tightrope: despoite Trump’s Pressure on the Fed Jobs market: Data shows signs of softening, raising recession concerns. Inflation: Remains sticky, keeping the Fed cautious on cutting rates too quickly. The non-farm payro…
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Dogecoin’s weekly chart is flashing one of technical analysis’ most recognizable continuation structures, with crypto analyst badger (@badger0102) mapping a potential macro cup-and-handle that spans the entire 2021–2025 cycle and projects upside far beyond prior peaks. “DOGE 1W – Potential macro cup and handle forming,” the trader wrote alongside a TradingView screenshot of DOGE/USD (Binance). At the time of the chart, price printed around $0.2268, sitting squarely between the 0.50 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements of the measured move. Dogecoin Cup And Handle Signals Explosive Potential The “cup” portion traces a multi-year basing arc from the euphoric 2021 blow-off thro…
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NexGold Mining has secured a $24-million royalty agreement with Appian Capital Advisory and signed a non-binding deal for as much as $175 million in project financing to advance its Goldboro gold project in Nova Scotia, Canada. Appian will pay NexGold upfront cash for a 2.9% net smelter return (NSR) on all minerals from Goldboro until 1.25 million ounces of gold or gold equivalent are produced. After that threshold, the royalty will apply only to gold. NexGold can repurchase 1.9% of the royalty under certain conditions. The company said proceeds will go toward repaying a $12-million debt facility with Nebari and buying back a 0.6% NSR, leaving NexGold debt-free. T…
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Polkadot is back in the spotlight as traders hunt for the next 1000x crypto heading into Q4 2025. Known for its innovative parachain ecosystem and focus on blockchain interoperability, Polkadot is making a lot of fundamental upgrades and partnerships. DOT has shown signs of stabilization after a turbulent start to the year, with investors cautiously optimistic about its long-term potential. With crypto price volatility still high and retail investors swinging between FOMO and FUD, the coming months could prove decisive for DOT’s trajectory. But can Polkadot really deliver life-changing returns in 2025, or is the 1000x dream out of reach? Let’s break down recent developm…
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Key takeaways SPX 500 pullback: Index fell -1.9% over three sessions from its all-time high, testing key support at 6,580/6,560 near its 20-day moving average.Bullish setup intact: price remains within its short- and medium-term uptrend, with momentum indicators pointing to easing bearish pressure.Sector rotation support: Consumer Discretionary’s outperformance over Consumer Staples signals potential for a bullish reversal in SPX 500.Key levels to watch: a rebound above 6,635 could extend gains to 6,670/6,680 and 6,730/6,745; failure below 6,560 risks a deeper slide to 6,530/6,460. Since hitting the latest fresh all-time high of 6,710 on Monday, 22 September 2025, t…
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The crypto market isn’t exactly in great shape today, with BTC USD and ETH USD pairs still stuck in a brutal slump. However, not everything is in red. Newer players like Plasma(XPL), ASTER, Stable (SBTL), and Avantis(AVNT) are drawing USD liquidity in. While BTC slipped below 110K USD and ETH dropped over 2.5%, those newer coins are recording more than 100% gains at least. XPL USD pair is hitting $1.5 after launching, and ASTER USD pair is posting 3-digit percentage gains to $2.4, before correcting these past 2 days. (source – XPL/USD, TradingView) On social media, especially Twitter, the sentiment is bumping up. Posts about ASTER are wildly climbing by 190% weekly. …
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The Canadian dollar is calm on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3947, up 0.05% on the day. Canada's GDP expected to post 0.1% gain Canada's economy hasn't looked all that sharp, with three straight monthly declines in GDP. The markets are expecting a slight improvement in July, with a consensus of 0.1% y/y. The economy has been hurt by the trade war with the United States, with trade talks ongoing but no breaktrhough in sight. US tariffs have been particularly detrimental to the manufacturing sector, which slipped 1.5% y/y in June. The Bank of Canada lowered rates by a quarter-point earlier this month, bringing the benchmark rate to 2.5%, …
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Ethereum has fallen below the $4,000 level for the first time since early August, marking a significant shift in market sentiment. After weeks of strong performance, ETH has now lost nearly 20% of its value since September 13, leaving many traders concerned about the next move. The broader market correction has fueled uncertainty, but some analysts argue this is a necessary reset that could prepare the ground for renewed growth. Top analyst Darkfost highlights that Ethereum’s Open Interest is experiencing one of its biggest resets. He notes that after an extended period of bullish momentum, excess leverage has been punished, leading to a sharp contraction in positions. …
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On September 25, 2025, nine European banks formed a consortium to develop a euro-backed stablecoin, set to launch in the second half of 2026. The consortium has created a new Netherlands-based company to issue the token. The central European banks forming the consortium include UniCredit (Italy), ING (Netherlands), DekaBank (Germany), Banca Sella (Italy), KBC Group (Belgium), Danske Bank (Denmark), SEB (Sweden), CaixaBank (Spain), and Raiffeisen Bank International (Austria). The goal is to challenge dollar dominance in stablecoins. The current stablecoin market is almost entirely dominated by the US dollar via $USDT ($173B market cap) and $USDC ($74B). Thus, most global …
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From a technical standpoint, repeated bounces from the key support zone of 1.3725–1.3720 and yesterday's breakout above the psychological level of 1.3900 can be viewed as a new catalyst for the bulls in the USD/CAD pair. Oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory and are far from the overbought zone. A break above the resistance level at 1.3850 would confirm the likelihood of continued upward momentum toward the psychological level of 1.4000. This level also coincides with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), and a successful breakout above it would open the path for further continuation of the bullish trend observed over the past two weeks. In the ev…
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As of yesterday's close, major US stock indices ended lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.50%, while the Nasdaq 100 lost 0.50%. The industrial Dow Jones retreated by 0.38%. Global equities continue to slide for the fourth straight day, as concerns over high valuations and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rates have dampened investor sentiment. Traders are digesting the latest economic data and Fed commentary as they try to gauge the future course of monetary policy. Uncertainty is mounting due to diverging opinions within the Fed about the timing and scope of future rate cuts. Some officials emphasize the importance of further data analysis b…
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Overview: The dollar rallied in North America yesterday and the foreign exchange market seems to be waiting for its leadership again today. Against the G10 currencies, the greenback is consolidating in narrow ranges near yesterday's best levels without advancing. The dollar is mixed against the major currencies but is not much more than +/- 0.15%. Emerging market currencies are mixed with most of Asia Pacific currencies a little lower and central Europe slightly firmer. The news stream is light. Besides the unexpected flat Tokyo September CPI, the market is digesting a rash of new tariff announcements by the US. They include 100% on non-generic pharma (with an exemption f…
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If you’re a TRX holder, it’s time to start worrying. Get ready to wrap your head around major changes unfolding in the multi-billion-dollar stablecoin space, a court Tron has dominated for years. Yesterday, the Plasma mainnet launched, and contributors, even those who supplied just $1, received over 9,300 XPL tokens for free. It was a classic airdrop, the kind designed to spark FOMO, of which Plasma delivered in spades. At press time, those 9,300 XPL tokens are worth more than $10,000, with the XPL USD price defying gravity and climbing higher. Patient HODLers could emerge as big winners in the weeks ahead. For the less patient, selling might be the path of least res…
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XRP contracts by 6% in a week after failing to break the psychological barrier at $2.80. The bearish performance erased over $18B in value as a result of heavy selling, much of which took place yesterday. A failure to maintain the $2.75 support level could cause a crash to $2.70, further fueling the bear sentiment. The dire performance comes despite the recent inclusion of XRP, alongside Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, and Stellar, in the Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF, the ‘first multi-asset spot crypto ETP in the United States’. However, this bearish sentiment may be misplaced and a strong correction may arrive this coming October, which could set $XRP on track to a new …
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XRP fell about 8% since last week and dropped below the $3 psychological mark, trading near $2.74 after a sell-off that followed rejection at $2.95. According to Sistine Research, a pattern of tightening price action — known as a compression phase — is forming again, and that pattern could set the stage for a sharp move once buyers or sellers push price out of the narrow range. Compression Phase Returning Based on reports from Sistine Research, XRP has entered its third major compression phase since the US election last November. In plain terms, price swings have grown smaller as trading has concentrated into a tighter band. That shrinking range can build pressure. Wh…
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