Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair began on Wednesday with a sharp decline. This drop in the British currency was entirely justified, as the only important report of the day—the UK inflation report—came in significantly below forecasts. While a slowdown in inflation is generally positive for the economy (or at least for consumers), it also greatly increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England at its upcoming meeting, happening today. Consequently, the market priced in monetary policy easing, and in the second half of the day the pound unexpectedly began to recover, returning to its initial levels. We believe the pair's growth in the secon…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair has been more active over the past two days than the EUR/USD pair. However, it has not shown any super-interesting movements. Essentially, we witnessed a new surge upward on somewhat weak U.S. labor-market data, followed by a correction on a weaker-than-expected inflation report from the UK—and that was it. It is worth noting that inflation figures are not currently significant for the European Central Bank, which has managed to stabilize its rate around 2%. However, they are very important for the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve. The U.S. inflation report will be released today, while the UK report was released yesterday. We will focus o…
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The idea that Bitcoin’s halving operates on a fixed four-year timetable has become one of the most oversimplified narratives in the crypto markets. While the halving still reduces new supply, its influence is no longer confined to predictable timelines or uniform outcomes. As BTC matures into a globally traded asset, the forces shaping its market behavior have expanded beyond the event. How The Cycle Narrative Became Oversimplified In an X post, an analyst known as Deg_ape revealed that the Bitcoin halving cycle was never a rigid four-year clock. BTC’s cycle has always been about phase transitions, shifting liquidity conditions, and market behavior, but never about buyin…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There aren't many macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, but one on U.S. inflation is highly significant. Recall that the employment data from the U.S. labor market this week has once again proven to be weak and contradictory, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may continue to lean towards making dovish decisions. This is only hindered by the rising inflation seen in recent months. If the Consumer Price Index for November shows a new acceleration, it will be a positive sign for the dollar, as the Fed may then take a prolonged pause on easing monetary policy. However, if inflation slows, the Fed could lower the key rate as early …
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With only two weeks left of 2025, market participants wonder whether the Bitcoin (BTC) and the rest of the crypto market will continue to struggle or begin recovering. An analyst discussed the current market sentiment and the impact it may have on market performance. The Four-Year Crypto Cycle Is ‘Like Faith In God’ As we approach the end of the year, concerns about the crypto market’s performance continue to mount. Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a 30% decline from its early October peak. As the volatility persist and the flagship crypto trades below its yearly opening price of $93,500, some investors questioned the four-year cyc…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3336 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming an appropriate entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair increased by 20 pips. The sharp decline in UK inflation led to a decline in the British pound. However, bulls managed to reclaim their positions in the second half of the day. Several factors likely triggered the sudden reversal. Firstly, the decline in the pound reached critical levels, prompting stop-loss orders to trigger and attracting short-term buyers looking to capitalize on a rebound. Secondly, traders may have concluded t…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 fell by 1.16%, and the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 1.41%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.87%. Asian stock indices followed suit, reacting to losses in the US market as investors sold shares of technology companies amid concerns that their valuations had become excessive. Oil prices decreased after President Donald Trump, in a televised address, avoided escalating geopolitical tensions with Venezuela. This week, Washington imposed a blockade on tankers under sanctions from the South American country, with Trump accusing Caracas of depriving the United States of its "energy rights." The regional MSCI index …
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The crypto market is moving in a way we don’t expect, as we focus on the price of Bitcoin and Ethereum, and steady inflows into XRP ETFs. Bitcoin is trading just above $86,000, while Ethereum price slipped under $2,900 after a sharp pullback in the last 24hours. At the same time, XRP ETFs pulled in $18.99 million in net inflows, pushing total assets above the $1 billion mark. Since these three assets have held up better than most of the market, which continues to struggle under tightening financial conditions, we are here to break them down. We are to read every sign and predict what comes next. According to the analyst, the speed and scale of the move made it a te…
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The price of gold continues to hover near record highs as investors monitor the escalating tensions in Venezuela and await U.S. inflation data. Platinum also continued its rapid rally yesterday, increasing by 4%. The price of the precious metal rose to $4,330 per ounce, up 0.8% on Wednesday. This is approximately $50 below the historical peak reached in October. The inflation data to be released today will be closely watched as it may provide insight into the Federal Reserve's willingness to implement further interest rate cuts. The escalation of tensions between Venezuela and the U.S. is supporting gold prices. Geopolitical uncertainty is typically seen as a factor that…
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[#USDX] With all technical conditions indicating a strengthening bias, then #USDX has the potential to rise today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.64 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.60 3. Pivot : 98.38 4. Support. 1 : 98.14 5. Support. 2 : 97.92 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #USDX breaks above 98.38, there is potential to test the 98.60 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.60 is broken, then #USDX may move toward 98.64. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of #USDX declines and breaks below 97.92. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 98.35 EMA(200): 98.39 RSI(14) : 53.58 Economic News Release Agenda…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair first declined and then rose on Wednesday. At the moment, the pound has consolidated above the 1.3352–1.3362 level. A rebound from this area today would allow traders to anticipate renewed growth toward the 1.3425 level. A consolidation below the 1.3352–1.3362 level would favor the US dollar and a continuation of the decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure shifted to a "bullish" one several weeks ago, but this week it has shifted back to "bearish." The most recently completed upward wave exceeded the previous peak by only a few points, while the latest downward wave managed to break the previous low. …
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The market showed mixed price action on December 18, with heightened volatility, especially during the late session. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .c…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Hits Three-Week Lows Most Read: Bank of England (BoE) Preview: A Hawkish Cut in a Stagnating Economy? Implications for the GBP & FTSE 100 Japan's Nikkei dropped to its lowest point in three weeks on Thursday. The decline was driven largely by falling prices in major technology companies, as investors grew worried about the future of artificial intelligence and data center businesses. Overall, the Nikkei index fell by roughly 1%, while the broader Topix index saw a smaller decline. SoftBank Group was hit particularly hard, losing nearly 4% of its value. This happened after its partner, Oracle, saw its own stock drop due to reports that a ma…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has entered an extreme oversold phase, with momentum indicators dropping to levels that historically signal market exhaustion and a trend reversal. Researchers tracking macro conditions and long-term price behavior say that the current drawdown reflects a reset in positioning, not the end of the bull market. Based on past recovery patterns, the analyst believes that Bitcoin could soon forge a path toward a new all-time high. Bitcoin Enters Extreme Oversold Territory Thomas Lee, Co-founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Fundstrat Capital, has flagged Bitcoin’s latest market condition as a key technical development. He pointed to data from Bittel Jul…
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The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are down today as the crypto market remains in a phase of extreme fear. This latest crash came amid BlackRock’s move, which sparked fear of a sell-off from the world’s largest asset manager. The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are down today following BlackRock’s transfer of 2,257 BTC and 74,973 ETH to Coinbase, indicating plans to offload these coins. Notably, the BTC and ETH ETFs recorded outflows on December 16, likely why the asset manager moved these coins to redeem shares for its IBIT and ETHA ETFs, which were sold that day. Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices Decline Amid BlackRock’s Transfer These Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have continued to…
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BNB has slipped below its long-standing bullish trendline, raising fresh concerns about a deeper pullback. However, the selloff is unfolding right into a key support zone, where multiple technical signals hint that buyers may be preparing for a counter-move. With breakdown risk clashing against early rebound signs, BNB now sits at a pivotal moment that could define the next major move. Bullish Trendline Break Signals A Change In BNB Market Character According to crypto analyst Marcus Corvinus, BNB has just experienced a significant structural shift by losing its long-held bullish trendline. This technical break is a critical development that is rapidly changing the marke…
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BHP (ASX, LON, NYSE: BHP) faces a demand for at least £189 million ($253 million) in legal costs after a UK court found last month that the world’s largest miner was liable for Brazil’s 2015 Mariana dam collapse, which killed 19 people and caused the country’s worst environmental disaster. Lawyers for victims told the High Court in London on Wednesday that they were the “clear overall winner” in a November liability ruling and that BHP should make an immediate interim payment toward costs. The claim ranks among the largest cost demands in British legal history, according to Financial Times. The request includes legal fees and about £44 million (nearly $60 million)…
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Large Bitcoin whales reportedly bought around $4.6 billion worth of BTC in a single week, even as the price slid toward the mid-$80,000s. That means big money stepped in while many smaller investors backed away. The move occurs in a year where Bitcoin continues to swing wildly after each rally, while everyone waits to see if one last big push comes before 2026. Luckily, here at 99Bitcoins, we have years of experience cutting through on-chain data, so you don’t have to – let’s take a look. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What Does This Bitcoin Whales Bu…
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Brazil has postponed a long-awaited auction of mineral exploration areas rich in critical minerals after its mining regulator said it lacks the resources to move forward. The National Mining Agency (ANM) had planned to approve the tender rules in December, with the auction scheduled for March 2026, but has now suspended the process indefinitely. Speaking during a board meeting, ANM director José Fernando Gomes Júnior said the agency could not proceed because the auction involves several embedded costs and would only resume once its financial situation improves. The delay comes as Brazil works to position itself as a major supplier of minerals critical to the …
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Sierra Madre Gold & Silver (TSXV: SM) is buying another past-producing mine First Majestic Silver (NYSE, TSX: AG) to bolster its Mexico-focused mine portfolio. In a press release on Wednesday, the Vancouver-headquartered silver miner said it has agreed to acquire First Majestic’s 100%-owned Del Toro silver mine in Zacatecas state to in a deal worth up to $60 million. The company currently has one mine in Mexico, La Guitarra, which it also bought from First Majestic. Sierra Madre will pay $30 million upfront at closing, comprising $20 million cash and $10 million in shares, and another $10 million, paid in cash or shares, within 18 months. Two additional $10 mi…
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CME Group expanded its crypto lineup again, this time with new “spot-quoted” futures for XRP crypto and Solana (SOL) that trade in much smaller sizes and track real-time prices more closely. XRP USD and SOL USD prices barely reacted on the day, but the real story lies in who now gets an easier way to trade them: big institutions that prefer regulated venues. This move occurs at a significant moment in my decade-long derivatives trading career, 2025, a year of record crypto derivatives volume on CME, which has seen professional traders shift from offshore exchanges to regulated US markets and adopt more institutional market structures as a result. …
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The crypto market similarly opened on December 18, following the day prior, amid fear and uncertainty, and Bitcoin has remained between $86,000 and $87,000. Market liquidity continues to thin heading into year-end, with the combined crypto market cap precariously above $3 trillion and at risk of losing this key level before 2025 ends. Surprisingly, memecoins have shown the most significant gains in recent days, with PIPPIN and TROLL posting overnight gains of +5% and +6%, respectively. These Pump.fun coins are surging after a federal court recently allowed a second amended class-action complaint to move forward involving Pump.fun, Solana Labs, and multiple Solana-linked …
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Equity Markets welcomed a large miss on the US Inflation report from this morning. While the weekly labor Jobless Claims report continued to affirm a softening but not crashing employment picture, high concerns on US Inflation and its prospects for 2026 were hurting Appetite for Stocks. Combined with quite gloomy reports from Fed Members, US NFP and the latest Bank of America Survey, it seemed that the trading days leading to the end of the calendar year would not be as joyful as early 2025 was. But the huge miss in this morning's CPI report helped to ease the uncertainty. A 0.4% miss on the 3.1% high expectations have largely helped Swap Traders to price in higher o…
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At present, the GBP/JPY pair has entered a phase of bullish consolidation, remaining stable above the round level of 208.00 amid the upcoming interest rate decisions by the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. Later today, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision, while on Friday the results of the Bank of Japan's two-day monetary policy meeting are expected to be published. After the pause in November, it is assumed that the Bank of England may move toward cutting rates amid signs of easing inflationary pressures. This backdrop is reinforced by a rise in the UK unemployment rate to the highest levels seen since 2021, as well as a slowdown in wage gr…
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Today, only the Canadian dollar was traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded the British pound and the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. The euro and the pound edged lower ahead of the European Central Bank's and the Bank of England's interest rate decisions. Investors are holding their breath, waiting for signals regarding future monetary policy. The ECB is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but particular attention will be paid to Christine Lagarde's press conference. The Bank of England, however, is preparing to cut interest rates, which could extend the decline of the British pound. In addition, the economic calendar is set to be quite busy,…
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