Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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USD/JPY On the weekly chart, the price has moved above the Balance and MACD indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator is speeding up its upward movement. The target along the embedded price channel line at 151.45 is open. A firm hold above this level will open the way to the 157.70 target. Despite the almost unequivocal outlook for this scenario, there is one powerful reason it might not materialize—a financial crisis in the US, accompanied by a deep drop in stock indices—something akin to what happened from February to April, when the S&P 500 plummeted by 21%. True, USD/JPY declined unevenly and unsynchronized during that period, but the crisis was not as systemic as i…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday, which is already starting to look at least somewhat unusual. Let's remember: explaining any move after the fact is easy if you want to. We try to avoid that kind of "analysis," where moves are merely explained after they happen, rather than predicted and properly analyzed. What's the point of telling people after a move has occurred why it happened? The pound sterling has been falling for about a week, losing around 300 pips from its latest high. That's quite a lot, but were there solid reasons for such a drop? Technically, yes. This is one of those cases where the market interpreted the information as…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Thursday, but had managed to consolidate below the moving average line the day before. In fact, everyone is now used to the constant back-and-forth around the moving average. Over the past month and a half, the pair's movement has been such that a 100-pip rise is followed by an 80-pip fall. In other words, the European currency rises steadily, but very weakly, with frequent corrections and pullbacks. Unfortunately, with such price action, moving averages are almost useless. Moreover, this kind of price movement displays signs of both a trend and a flat, which is important to understand. It's not exactly sideways moveme…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday. Recall that the "black streak" for the British currency began last week. Over this period, both news events genuinely worked against the pound, and events that could be interpreted in various ways. In almost all cases, traders chose to interpret the news unfavorably for the British currency. Yesterday, the fall of the GBP/USD pair was entirely justified, as US data turned out to be far better than forecasts. US GDP grew in the second quarter by 3.8% versus initial forecasts of about 3%, and durable goods orders increased by 2.9% despite negative expectations. From a technical …
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday, which was entirely justified this time. The day before, the European currency had been falling for inexplicable reasons, but on Thursday, everything was logical. In the US, important data on Q2 GDP and durable goods orders were published in the afternoon, and both reports delivered strong numbers. The American economy grew not by 3.3% as expected, but by 3.8%. Durable goods orders rose by 2.9% versus forecasts of -0.5%. As a result, the pair exhibited the expected movement. We believe that the growth of the American economy is somewhat artificial; however, the fact of grow…
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Bitcoin price extended losses after it traded below $112,500. BTC is now consolidating losses and might decline again to test the $108,500 support zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $112,500 zone. The price is trading below $111,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There are two bearish trend lines forming with resistance at $110,500 and $113,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it stays below the $113,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to start a recovery wave and stayed below $114,000. BTC declined below the $112,500 and $112,000 support levels to move…
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Earlier today, Ethereum (ETH) slid below the psychologically important $4,000 level for the first time since August 8. The fall in ETH’s price can be attributed to a mix of macroeconomic, structural, and crypto-specific factors. Ethereum Dips Below $4,000, Analyst Explains Why According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, ETH’s latest descent below $4,000 can be blamed on a complex mix of factors. First, a strong US dollar, coupled with the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious stance following its September rate cut, dampened risk appetite. Furthermore, rising bond yields and the increasing risk of a US government shutdown have spooked investors, dis…
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On-chain data shows a Dogecoin whale has made a significant withdrawal from cryptocurrency exchange Binance despite the decline in the memecoin’s price. Dogecoin Whale Has Made A Massive Move During The Past Day According to data from cryptocurrency transaction tracker service Whale Alert, a large move has been spotted on the Dogecoin blockchain over the past day. The transfer in question involved the movement of nearly 122.4 million DOGE, worth around $28.5 million at the time the network processed it. Considering the scale of the transaction, it’s likely that a whale entity was behind it. Whales refer to the big-money investors of the cryptocurrency, who can carry so…
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Dark Defender, a prominent XRP analyst, has drawn significant attention to the token, suggesting that XRP may be setting up a move that could take the market by surprise. Despite its struggle to decisively break above the $3 mark, XRP is now forming a Falling Wedge pattern that signals the potential for a powerful breakout by October. Falling Wedge Signals XRP Breakout By October In a recent XRP price analysis, published on Monday, Dark Defender noted that the third-largest cryptocurrency has once again respected its key support levels at $2.85, despite being rejected at $3.13. The XRP price tapped into the primary support trendline, highlighted in orange on the chart,…
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Smackover Lithium, a joint venture between Standard Lithium (TSXV: SLI) (NYSE.A: SLI) and Norway’s state-owned petroleum company Equinor (NYSE: EQNR), announced a maiden inferred resource for its Franklin project in the northeast region of Texas. The report for the JV’s first project in the East Texas region of the Smackover Formation highlights the size and quality of its brine position, the company said. Analysts estimate that the Smackover Formation could host more than 4 million tonnes of lithium, enough to power millions of electric vehicles and other electronic devices. Smackover said the project contains the highest reported lithium-in-brine grades …
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Crypto analyst Bobby A has published a four-panel roadmap that ties together Bitcoin dominance, US small-caps, XRP’s monthly price structure, and XRP’s total market capitalization. The overlapping signals, he argues, identify a well-defined take-profit band for XRP between roughly $8.43 and $13.58. “Four charts to rule them all,” he wrote, adding that the market is “clearly positioning itself for higher prices.” Four Charts Signal XRP $8.43–$13.58 Peak On the XRP/USD monthly chart, Bobby plots a multi-month consolidation which is built above “Base Camp 1” and, more recently, above “Base Camp 2.” The structure sits on top of a series of higher lows marked on the chart, wi…
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On Thursday, the Japanese yen was losing ground against the US dollar, with the USD/JPY pair reaching its highest level in seven weeks. At the time of writing, trading was taking place around 149.88—continuing to rise for the second consecutive day, thanks to strong US economic data that is supporting demand for the dollar. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, US GDP grew by 3.8% year-on-year in the second quarter, beating the preliminary estimate of 3.3% and surpassing market expectations. The growth was driven by strong consumer spending and a significant drop in imports. The core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, included in the GDP report, …
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Let me also highlight a few additional important points. First, the European currency is declining, but it has far fewer reasons than the pound sterling to continue falling. The pound faces several factors, including the Bank of England's weak position in combating inflation, potential budgetary issues for the UK in 2026, possible tax increases, and a potential slowdown in the labor market and economy. These factors also put pressure on the pound. The euro doesn't face similar issues. Second, the euro hasn't lost that much over the past few days to expect that the upward trend segment is over. In part, the dollar may be getting support for the following reasons. Donald Tr…
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In the past 5-6 days, the dollar has been resting on its laurels. As I have already mentioned, in 2025, there have been very few situations when the dollar has piqued the interest of market participants. Just a few days ago, I analyzed global factors and concluded that the dollar would continue to decline in value. However, that review was about the long term. In the short term, the factors are a bit different, and in this series of reviews, we will determine what's going on. There are plenty of reasons for the dollar's rise over the past week if you look for them. The rise of the American currency started last Wednesday after the Fed meeting. Honestly, I wouldn't want to…
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Donald Trump wanted to achieve high rates of economic growth through a sharp reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate. However, Jerome Powell did not agree to the deal, and the FOMC Committee openly refused to make politically driven decisions. Trump was unable to convince the central bank of the need to lower the interest rate to 1-2%. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also wonders why Powell did not promise a rate cut at the upcoming meetings. But Bessent and Trump are in the same boat, while Powell and the Fed's governors are in another. Therefore, the similarity in views on monetary policy between Trump and Bessent is not surprising. Since he failed to overpowe…
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The final US Q2 GDP data provided significant support for the dollar. Nearly all components of the report came in "in the green"—that is, revised upward. This result added to the already optimistic tone set by recent reports and paved the way for further dollar strength. Now, the last puzzle piece for dollar bulls is the release of the core PCE index (September 26). If this release also lands in the green zone, "dovish" sentiment in the market will be greatly diminished. Even one additional rate cut this year could be called into question. We will discuss inflation further below, but for now, let's return to the figures, which sparked a downward impulse in EUR/USD. Acc…
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One wonders if Donald Trump is kicking himself or patting himself on the back while reviewing the latest US macroeconomic statistics. The US economy grew by an impressive 3.9% in the second quarter, marking the best performance in nearly two years. Jobless claims dropped to their lowest level since mid-July, highlighting the strength of the labor market. All good, Madame Marquise? Should the President have a statue built in his honor? But is a falling EUR/USD part of his plan? Dynamics of the US Economy Did the labor market really deteriorate so much under the previous BLS leadership and turn upward so quickly with the new one? Bloomberg experts now forecast September non…
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The on-chain ecosystem of Ethereum has recently been rocked by a wave of scams and rug pulls, creating a period that many are describing as a bloodbath. While the underlying technology of the ETH blockchain remains robust and secure, the sheer volume of malicious projects and deceptive schemes is taking a significant toll on retail investor confidence. Is Ethereum Still The Home Of DeFi Innovation? The Ethereum on-chain ecosystem has been plagued by scams and rug pulls, resulting in significant financial losses and, more importantly, a decline in retail investor confidence. Analyst known as Fat Tony on X has expressed deep frustration that BOOE hasn’t gotten more suppor…
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When Stablecoin L1 Plasma goes live, billions in liquidity follow, putting new pressure on XPL’s first-month trading range. Plasma, a Bitfinex-backed Layer 1 blockchain built for stablecoins, launched its mainnet beta and native token XPL on Sept. 25. The rollout included integrations with major DeFi protocols and immediate listings on leading exchanges, signaling a strong market entry. Each resistance level at $0.90 and $1.00 gave way after short consolidations, a textbook sign of bullish momentum. Volume spikes near the $0.90 breakout suggest large players were involved, echoing the earlier $50M whale deposit. The move above $1.00 carried weight as a psychologica…
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Gate Builds Its Own Layer 2 with OP Stack Gate is stepping into the Layer 2 race with a new network called Gate Layer. It’s being built using the OP Stack, the same open-source tech used by Coinbase and Kraken. Instead of settling transactions on Ethereum like most L2s, Gate will settle on its own chain, GateChain. And instead of ETH for gas fees, users will pay in GT, the native token of the exchange. What Gate Layer Is Supposed to Do This new setup is meant to make things quicker and cheaper. By shifting activity off the main chain and handling it on Gate Layer first, the network should be able to cut down on traffic and bring fees down too. Once everything’s pro…
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Cloudflare is stepping into the world of digital currency with a new project called NET Dollar. It plans to launch this as a fully backed stablecoin tied to the U.S. dollar. According to CEO Matthew Prince, the idea is to help build a better foundation for how the internet handles payments and value. Why Cloudflare Is Entering the Stablecoin Space Although Cloudflare is known for its internet security and performance tools, the company sees a bigger role for itself. As AI and smart systems grow more common, there is a clear need for a faster and more efficient way to move money. NET Dollar is meant to handle payments in these new digital spaces, especially when smal…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 25 Today's market was marked by a surprising disconnect. Usually, when the US dollar strengthens, it puts downward pressure on commodities like metals. However, with both the USD and precious metals rising significantly, the correlation is mixed up. This environment would be seen in risk-off markets but with bonds selling off harshly, the story isn't just about this. In a rare and ominous move, the US Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, called for the assembly of all US Army generals across the world. Overall, participants are still scratching their head to understand what is preparing but a significant…
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The 48th British Columbia mine reclamation award ceremony took place Wednesday in Penticton as part of the annual Mine Reclamation Symposium. The Symposium spans several days and includes workshops, mine tours, technical presentations and concludes with an awards ceremony to recognize the efforts BC mining companies are undertaking relating to environmental protection and reclamation at mine sites. More than 270 people attended this year’s symposium, including biologists, engineers, mine workers and representatives, partners and members of First Nations communities, and students. Since 1969, mining companies are required by law to reclaim mine site lands when mi…
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Crypto analysts Kaleo and Mags have predicted that the Dogecoin price will witness a parabolic run, with the potential to reach the $1 mark. This comes amid the top meme coin’s downtrend, which puts it at risk of retesting the $0.2 mark. Dogecoin Price Eyes Parabolic Rally To $1 In an X post, Kaleo declared that the Dogecoin price will rip to new highs from its current level. He further remarked that it is only a matter of time before prices catch up with institutional interest coming from DOGE treasury companies and ETFs. In line with this, he advised market participants not to “sleep on the king of memes.” Meanwhile, crypto analyst Mags indicated that the Dogecoin p…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 26 Today saw penultimate session of the United Nations General Assembly, where speeches from France and Israel captured attention, though the tone soured as several delegates walked out during Prime Minister Netanyahu’s address. On the monetary front, Fed speak stayed in focus, with FED’s Barkin appearing twice, stressing that the key to consumer spending will hinge on whether “people lose their jobs or not,” while Governor Bowman, a dove, doubled down on her call for a more proactive, forward-looking Fed, pushing back against the risk of staying behind the curve. On the data side, Canada finally surpr…
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