Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
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Silver On the monthly chart, two hyperchannel price lines converge at a single point—at the psychological level of 56.000. This convergence is expected to occur either in the final days of October (possibly coinciding with the next Federal Reserve meeting) or in the first days of November. At this price level, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator will reach the Fibonacci reaction level of 361.8%. After attaining the projected target, a correction is likely, with a pullback toward the nearest line of the green channel in the 43.545 area. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator's signal line has twice attempted to break above the upper boundary of its own channel. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD The euro is rising for the fourth consecutive day. The gap at 1.1741 is close to being filled, and slightly above it lies the key target level at 1.1779. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator's signal line is breaking into the territory of an uptrend. The current outlook appears optimistic, but correlated markets are signaling a possible reversal: yesterday, the S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, oil dropped by 1.48%, and the yield on 5-year U.S. Treasuries fell from 3.61% to 3.53%. If this trend continues, even at a slower pace, the euro is unlikely to reach 1.1908 (the upper boundary of the price channel). Today, eurozone inflation data for September will be re…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is once again testing critical support above $111,000, with traders debating whether the recent pullback marks the start of a deeper correction or a healthy consolidation before the next leg higher. After touching an all-time high above $126,000, the world’s largest crypto asset has shed nearly 9% on the weekly charts, reflecting waning momentum amid broader market uncertainty and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions. Bitcoin Tests Key Support as Momentum Fades Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $111,300, down roughly 1% in 24 hours, after briefly dipping to an intraday low of $110,292. Technical indicators show the asset under pressure, with the 20-day…
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Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Thursday, EUR/USD continued its upward movement, which was clearly visible on the hourly timeframe. On the 5-minute chart, however, the pair was completely flat. It was a tranquil day in terms of macroeconomic and fundamental events. More accurately, the pair has entered a stagnation phase that requires major catalysts to spur renewed volatility. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, many key October reports were never released. As a result, traders still don't fully understand how the Federal Reserve will approach its rate decision at the end of the month. The market is pricing in a near-100% probability of another rat…
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Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair continued moving upward after breaking through the descending trendline. As we can see, the market is now in an upward trend, and we continue to expect further growth in the British pound. Yesterday, the U.K. published reports on industrial production and GDP for August, both of which returned better-than-forecast results. However, as before, British data had little impact on traders. Market attention remains focused on the U.S. dollar, U.S. politics, Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve, and the escalating trade war. From our perspective, none of the major global fundamental factors favor the U.S. …
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Macroeconomic Report Overview: Once again, Friday's calendar contains very few macroeconomic reports. In earlier reports, we mentioned that there were no releases scheduled at all, but that isn't entirely accurate. Today, the eurozone will publish its second estimate for September inflation. However, this is a secondary report: second estimates almost always match the initial reading and are not marked as "high-impact." Beyond that, there are no notable releases scheduled in the U.K., Germany, or the U.S. Fundamental Event Overview: A number of fundamental events are scheduled again for Friday, but nearly all of them are insignificant in terms of market im…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.50. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses below $2.280. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.40 zone. The price is now trading below $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.40 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.50 resistance. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price remained below the $2.60 barrier and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below $2.420 and $2.40 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spike…
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On October 10, the crypto market experienced its largest liquidation event in history, prompting experts like MartyParty to predict a surge in lawsuits and class action claims against what he describes as “market manipulators.” Expert Claims Manipulation Led To October 10 Crypto Crash The aftermath of this crash has seen Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies continue their downward trend this week, with BTC recently falling below the critical $110,000 threshold. Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Binance Coin (BNB), the largest altcoins, recorded losses of 10%, 17%, and 7%, respectively, in the weekly time frame. The events of October 10 led to total crypto liquidations…
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A Coinbase-linked wallet sent 140,033,123 Shiba Inu tokens to a burn address on October 15, removing those coins from circulation in a single on-chain move. According to records published by community burn tracker Shibburn, the wallet that carried out the transfer was newly created and had only that one visible SHIB transaction. Etherscan data shows the address was funded by a wallet tied to Coinbase, and it currently holds 0.002 ETH, worth roughly $9. Largest Single Burn In Months The 140 million SHIB moved on Wednesday stands out as the largest one-off burn in nearly three months. Reports show the last big single send happened on July 28, when an anonymous actor des…
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BNB price is consolidating losses below the $1,200 zone. The price is now facing hurdles near $1,250 and might start another decline in the near term. BNB price is correcting gains and traded below the $1,200 support zone. The price is now trading below $1,180 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,180 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $1,120 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Dips Below Support After a steady increase, BNB price failed to clear the $1,375 zone. There was a downside correction below the $1,300…
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Ethereum (ETH) may be nearing the end of its price correction, as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap continues to trade slightly above $4,000, following a strong sell-off last week when it almost crashed to $3,400. Ethereum Price Correction May Be Over According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum funding rates on Binance crypto exchange have remained positive, despite being in a narrow range. This shows that long positions on ETH still dominate the market. ETH funding rates fluctuating normally on Binance – despite the digital asset’s recent extraordinary price appreciation – implies that futures traders are not exhibiting …
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Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the EuroThe test of the 1.1666 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already climbed significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's bullish potential. For this reason, I did not open long positions on the euro. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve officials confirmed market expectations of a key rate cut at the end of the month. Most analysts agree that such a move by the Fed is justified against the backdrop of slowing economic growth and continued labor market weakness. Today's upward momentum in the euro may face resistance due to the release of eurozone inflation data. Forecasts suggest the annual inflation …
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Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3419 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The British pound continues to show steady growth. However, this rise is more a consequence of U.S. dollar weakness than pound strength. The dollar is under significant pressure due to the Federal Reserve's rhetoric. Dovish remarks from Fed officials suggest further interest rate cuts, which negatively affect the dollar's position. There are no major economic releases scheduled for the U.K. today, so market attention will be foc…
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Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.06 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. A second test of this price coincided with the MACD being in oversold territory, which triggered Buy Scenario No. 2; however, the pair ultimately failed to rise from that level. The Japanese yen continues to show stable strength. However, the decline in the USD/JPY pair is due more to weakness in the U.S. dollar than to inherent strength in the yen. The yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, and during periods of global economic instability—such as…
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The U.S. dollar continues to lose ground against a range of risk-sensitive assets, and this comes as no surprise. Yesterday, Federal Reserve officials once again delivered coordinated messages, preparing the market for upcoming interest rate cuts. It's clear that lowering rates would be a logical step in response to slowing global growth and persistent uncertainty surrounding international trade relations among major powers. The Fed's goal is to stimulate investment, boost consumer demand, and support the U.S. labor market. Further growth of the euro remains in question as markets await eurozone inflation data. Economists expect a modest increase in consumer prices. If in…
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[Ripple] – [Monday, October 1, 2025] Seeing the two EMAs intersecting the Death Cross has given an indication that Ripple has the potential to weaken today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 2.5295 2. Resistance. 1 : 2.4118 3. Pivot : 2.3481 4. Support. 1 : 2.2304 5. Support. 2 : 2.1667 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 2.2304, Ripple has the potential to move toward 2.1667. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.1667 is breached and closes below, this cryptocurrency is likely to test 2.0490. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is held as long as Ripple does not strengthen and break above 2.5295. Technic…
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[Litecoin] – [Friday, October 17, 2025] With all technical conditions supporting weakness in the Litecoin cryptocurrency, today #LTC has the potential to move lower. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.53 2. Resistance. 1 : 94.82 3. Pivot : 92.19 4. Support. 1 : 87.48 5. Support. 2 : 84.85 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If 87.48 is broken and closes below, this cryptocurrency is likely to test the 84.85 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 84.85 is reached, Litecoin has the opportunity to move further down to test 80.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias reverses if Litecoin suddenly strengthens and reaches 99.53. Technical Summ…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to lose ground. It now appears likely that the scenario involving a move down to $106,000 for Bitcoin will play out in the coming days. All focus is now on this level. A breakout below $106,000 could lead to a decline toward the $100,000 area—a critical test for the long-term bullish trend. Ethereum has fallen below the $4,000 mark and could easily retreat to $3,500. Meanwhile, Florida has withdrawn two state-level bills aimed at creating a strategic BTC reserve. With this, Florida joins other states such as Wyoming, Pennsylvania, and Oklahoma, where similar initiatives related to Bitcoin investment failed to pass legislative approval. The …
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An analyst has pointed out how Dogecoin could see a strong surge if the support level of this technical analysis (TA) pattern holds. Dogecoin Is Retesting The Support Line Of An Ascending Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a pattern forming in Dogecoin’s 12-hour price chart. The pattern in question is an Ascending Channel from TA, a type of Parallel Channel. Parallel Channels form whenever an asset’s price observes consolidation between two parallel trendlines. The upper line of the pattern provides resistance, while the lower one acts as support. When these trendlines are sloped upward, the Parallel Channel is known as an Ascending Channel. A…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.45%. The industrial Dow Jones dropped by 0.55%. Indices continued to weaken as investors shifted toward safety in government bonds after shares of US regional banks fell amid concerns over lending standards. Gold is on track for a ninth consecutive week of gains. Futures on US stock indices dropped by 0.7%, pointing to further weakness after Thursday's regular session decline. Regional bank stocks came under pressure following the fallout from subprime auto lender Tricolor Holdings, which rippled beyond Wall Street. European indices also indicate a softer open. …
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Texas’s battle with Bulgaria is more than a headline; it’s a flashpoint in the evolving world of stablecoin crypto diplomacy. When Tether froze $44.7M in SDT at the behest of Bulgarian police, alleging illicit activity, Riverstone Consultancy (a Texas-based firm) responded with a U.S. lawsuit claiming procedural violation and loss of opportunities. The case puts stablecoin issuers, law enforcement, and cross-border jurisdictions into direct conflict, and it could reshape how global stablecoin freezes are handled going forward. What Triggered the Texas vs Bulgaria $44.7M Stablecoin Crypto Battle? The dispute began in April 2025, when Tether froze $44.7M USDT from eight w…
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Tensions between the U.S. and China remain unresolved. "If we don't get a deal, there will be a trade war," said Donald Trump. And if it weren't for a 100% tariff, he added, "America would be treated like a doormat." The president, as usual, made his statements after market close—but even without aggressive rhetoric like this, the S&P 500 had enough reasons to turn lower. Any financial system relies not only on its largest players. While major institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America posted strong corporate earnings, mid-sized and smaller banks disappointed. Several regional institutions revealed issues with fraudulent lending activity, reawakening inves…
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BitMine’s Chairman, Tom Lee, has shared his perspective on the recent surge of crypto-focused treasury companies and the future of this multi-billion-dollar trend. Crypto DATs Bubble Already Burst On Thursday, BitMine’s Chairman Thomas “Tom” Lee joined Fortune’s Crypto Playbook Podcast to discuss the surge of Digital Assets Treasury (DAT) companies and why he thinks the bubble surrounding these vehicles may have already burst. Discussing the need for this alternative type to get exposure to crypto assets, Lee argued that DATS “are not just passive vehicles,” and properly executed companies will get capital and be supported by investors. He noted that companies like St…
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While the U.S. dollar is actively losing ground against risk assets, the International Monetary Fund has stated that it sees significant risks to global growth due to renewed tensions between the United States and China. "If these risks materialize in the form of higher tariffs and disruptions to supply chains, global GDP growth could decrease by 0.3 percentage points," said Krishna Srinivasan, Director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific Department, on Friday. According to the IMF, this geopolitical factor, paired with domestic economic problems in several countries, is putting pressure on global supply chains, undermining business confidence, and increasing uncertainty about…
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Yesterday, the euro rose following another speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, who stated that interest rates are in a good place, a view supported by nearly all of her colleagues. This has boosted optimism about the continued stability of the European currency, despite ongoing risks related to geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. Markets interpreted Lagarde's remarks as a signal that the ECB is not inclined to change its monetary policy course anytime soon. Investors viewed this as confirmation of the central bank's intention to keep interest rates at their current level — a positive sign for the euro, as it supports returns on euro…
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