Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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During the day, the US dollar ceded ground to the euro, the pound, and other risk assets at the end of last week. However, this did not lead to a major shift in the balance of power in the market. A sharp drop in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index weakened the US dollar. The index, which tracks consumer expectations regarding the economy, fell to 55 points. This raised concerns about a potential decrease in consumer spending in the future, putting pressure on the dollar. Lower consumer confidence also heightened fears of a possible slowdown in US economic growth. Consumer spending is a key driver of the American economy, and its decline could negatively i…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Overbought but bullish acceleration trend remains intact”, published last Tuesday, 9 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have traded sideways and managed to hold above the US$3,600 short-term pivotal support highlighted in our previous report. The latest speculative positioning and flows data in the gold futures market and exchange-traded funds are net positive, in turn, supporting the current short-term bullish acceleration trend of Gold (XAU/USD) since the bullish breakout above its former all-time high of US$3,500 on 2 September 2025. Let’s examine …
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Recent PEPE price performance has not lived up to the explosive rallies that the meme coin has become known by, slowing down over the last year. However, with the move toward the last quarter of the year, the meme coin’s luck looks to be turning after staging an over 10% rally over the weekend. The possibility of the PEPE price rally continuing is now even higher after the formation of a falling wedge pattern that points toward more bullish movements. PEPE Price Shows Bullishness With Falling Wedge Pattern A pseudonymous crypto analyst on the TradingView website has painted a rather bullish picture for the PEPE price in the near term. According to the analysis shared, th…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe first test of the 1.1712 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of this price occurred when the MACD entered the oversold area, enabling the implementation of buy scenario #2 and resulting in a 20-pip rise for the pair. Last Friday, the US dollar came under pressure due to an unexpected drop in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This indicator, which reflects the public's outlook on economic conditions, fell to a level of 55 (versus a forecasted rise to 58), spark…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3528 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The British pound rose against the dollar after last Friday's data showed a decline in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The unexpected drop in the index weakened the dollar and provided a boost for the pound. Markets reacted immediately, as investors revised their expectations towards a more dovish Federal Reserve policy. No major fundamental data are expected from the UK today, which is likely positive for the…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 148.06 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar, and this decision proved correct as the pair failed to continue rising. The Japanese yen strengthened against the dollar after last Friday's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 55.4 points, versus economists' forecast for an increase to 58. This unexpected slump in American consumer sentiment reinforced the market's belief in the need for monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The dollar, which had previously been…
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Demand for Bitcoin remains at a reasonably high level. Given that the weekend passed with no major corrections and that we have a Fed meeting and potential rate cuts ahead this week, the stage is set for further crypto market recovery and new local highs. Data from CryptoQuat support this theory. According to their report, whales continue to buy ETH and BTC actively. In fact, wallet balances holding 10,000-100,000 ETH have hit a record high. CryptoQuat notes that ETH is currently in one of its strongest cycles: institutional demand, staking, and on-chain activity are all approaching historic highs. The growth in whale balances—especially among those holding large amounts…
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The U.S. dollar continues to face problems, and the key question remains: how much more will it lose before the Federal Reserve meeting, and how much after. The main issue for investors this week is whether Fed officials will push back against market expectations of a series of rate cuts, which many economists believe could last into next year. Clearly, the Fed's decision on Wednesday will set the tone for global markets, including currencies, but it is not the only important event on the calendar. The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are also set to announce their monetary policy decisions. The spotlight will undoubtedly be on Fed Chair Jerome …
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The U.S. dollar may face significant turbulence this week. President Donald Trump recently stated in an interview that he expects the Federal Reserve to deliver a larger rate cut this week. Pressure from the White House comes ahead of a pivotal meeting where central bank officials are expected to ease policy for the first time in nine months. "I think it's time to act big," Trump told reporters on Sunday. "The time has come for the next step." Beyond Trump's remarks, markets have already priced in the likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut, while some analysts do not rule out a more aggressive move. Federal funds futures indicate growing confidence in easing, which is puttin…
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The crypto market remains steady but cautious ahead of the September 16–17 Federal Reserve meeting. Investors are closely watching for signals on monetary policy, with many asking the same question: what is the best crypto to buy in this environment? Bitcoin BTC ▼-0.45% is trading around $115,700 after briefly dipping under $115,000. On the daily chart, BTC has reclaimed the $112K support and now faces resistance near $120,000. A breakout above this level could open the path back toward $124,000, while failure to hold $112,000 risks a retest of $108,000. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.30T24h7d1y Ethereum ETH ▼-1.21% is hovering above $4,600 after a small dip, while altcoin…
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Crypto analyst Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) warned on September 14 that a familiar—and historically unfriendly—market pattern has reappeared: speculative leverage pouring into altcoins while Bitcoin’s derivatives positioning stays conspicuously muted. “History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes, and right now a major warning signal is flashing,” he said, stressing that his message is not to incite panic but to flag a shift in market climate that “any smart investor” should not ignore. At the core of Maartunn’s diagnosis is open interest, the notional value of active futures and perpetual positions across venues. “We keep throwing around this term, open interest. What is it? W…
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Banks lift European markets European stocks opened the week with modest gains, largely supported by bank shares. Investors are bracing for a pivotal series of central bank meetings in the coming days, with the US Federal Reserve at the center of attention. Rubis shines after takeover talk Shares of French energy retailer Rubis surged following reports of potential acquisition interest. According to market sources, both CVC Capital Partners and commodities trader Trafigura are considering a deal. The news sent Rubis stock up by 6.7 percent, making it the best performer within the STOXX 600 index. The company's market value is estimated at around 3.5 billion dollars. Bank…
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Last Friday, US equity indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 edged down 0.05%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.49%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.49%. At the start of this week, the indices remain close to all-time highs, as investors focus on the upcoming Federal Reserve decision on monetary policy. The global equity index held steady after closing at its highest on Friday. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index pared gains after briefly closing above its previous record from February 2021. Chinese indexes advanced 0.4%, despite weak data on manufacturing and consumption. French 10-year bond futures fell after Fitch Ratings downgraded France's credit rating from AA- to…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Edge Higher, Japanese Markets Closed Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones on a Tear as Fed Rate Cut Looms Asian stock markets rose, following a global trend, as investors expect the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon. Even with disappointing economic news from China—where business activity slowed and investment fell sharply for the second month in a row. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index, a measure of stocks across Asia, climbed 0.2% to surpass its previous record set in February 2021. Meanwhile, a global stock index held steady after hitting its own record high on Friday. Due to a holiday in Japan…
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Dogecoin jumped back into the spotlight on Monday after fresh price calls from market commentators and a clear technical move on charts. According to Ali Martinez, the meme token could head as high as $0.45, a level last seen at the end of 2021. DOGE was trading at around $0.29, more than 5% higher than it was yesterday, and traders are watching whether now-support at $0.27 holds. Technical Breakout And Volume Spike Trading activity around the breakout caught attention. Based on reports, DOGE pushed above the $0.27 zone that had capped rallies through the summer and then consolidated above it, a pattern traders view as healthy. The weekly chart showed a breakout f…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may continue upward toward 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward move toward 1.1747 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 12, 2025) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may continue…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may start moving upward toward 1.3593 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this line, the price may then move downward toward 1.3582 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 11, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may sta…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of the last weekly candle), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.1886 – the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.1828 – the upper fractal (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Monthly chart – upward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall summary of EUR/USD weekly candle calculation: during the week, the price is most likel…
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3787 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.3658 – the upper fractal (weekly candle of July 6, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Monthly chart – upward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall summary of GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: during the week, the price is most likely t…
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Bitcoin continues to gain bullish momentum. At the time of early European trading, it has once again returned to its weekly high around $116,800. Ethereum has also seen solid gains after ending last week on an optimistic note. As traders gear up for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting — which could push the crypto market even higher — Arthur Hayes gave a new interview, urging Bitcoin investors to remain patient, as the current bull market could last until 2026. Hayes expects Donald Trump to launch a major economic stimulus in mid-2026, potentially triggering explosive growth in the cryptocurrency market. Hayes' forecast is based on several key factors. First, he exp…
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Overview: The US dollar begins the important week quietly but heavier against all the G10 currencies, led by sterling. It is pushing against the $1.36 cap that has blocked the upside over the past couple of months. All but a few emerging market currencies also enjoy a firmer tone today. The Mexican peso has recorded a new high for the year as the greenback slips toward MXN18.40. The appeals court ruling on President Trump's firing of Federal Reserve Governor Cook may come today ahead of the tomorrow's start of the FOMC meeting, which is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bp for the first time this year. Equities are mostly higher. There were a few exceptions in the Asia …
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On the hourly chart, GBP/USD traded sideways on Friday just below the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3587. A rebound from this level would favor the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, which traders could then work through. A consolidation above the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620 would allow for further growth toward the next 127.2% retracement level at 1.3708. The wave picture continues to shift toward bullish. The last completed wave downward broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke through the last two peaks. Thus, at this point it can be assumed that a new bullish trend is starting after more than two month…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated ahead of a new and important week. Quotes remained throughout the day above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695, which preserves the prospects of growth toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. Thus, on Monday and Tuesday, in the absence of new signals, I expect the uptrend to continue. Likely weak growth, as the news background during these days will be light. A close below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. currency and a decline toward the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave picture on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous wave, while the last downward wave…
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Bitcoin remains quite resilient, following an uptrend. However, this growth is fragile, experts warn investors. Meanwhile, the outlook for the US dollar is unstable and leans negative. Against this backdrop, analysts believe that the dollar may require shock therapy for a meaningful recovery. On Monday, September 15, Bitcoin opened the day with a slight decline, trading near $115,670. At its daily peak, the leading cryptocurrency reached $116,181. According to analysts, BTC has launched a new upward wave, rising above $112,500 and breaking through resistance levels at $113,500 and $114,200. At the start of the new week, Bitcoin bulls managed to push the price above $115…
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