Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The EUR/USD pair started the current week on a positive note, holding above the 1.1730 level. In the event of a pullback, the downward potential appears limited, given the divergence in expectations for European Central Bank and Federal Reserve policy, as well as ahead of key central bank events scheduled for this week. As expected, last Thursday the ECB left interest rates unchanged, maintaining optimism about economic growth and inflation. In addition, the regulator emphasized that it would be guided by incoming data at its meetings, without making specific commitments in advance regarding the future path of rates. This approach reduced expectations of further borrowing…
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The GBP/JPY pair remains above the psychological level of 200.00, attempting once again to break through 200.35, which it surpassed on Friday. On Thursday, the Bank of England will publish its monetary policy decision, and it appears the main rate will remain unchanged at 4%. In addition, the regulator is expected to maintain a cautious wait-and-see stance through the end of 2025, given the recent rise in inflation expectations. These factors continue to support the British pound, providing a tailwind for the GBP/JPY pair. The Japanese yen, in contrast, continues to struggle to attract significant buyers amid expectations that domestic political turmoil may give the Bank …
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The Australian dollar is coming off its best week since April, posting gains of 1.4%. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6657, up 0.12% on the day. China's industrial production, retail sales slip in August China posted disappointing data in September, as the second largest economy in the world continues to cool. Industrial production expanded 5.2% y/y, down from 5.8% in August and below the market estimate of 5.7%. This was the lowest pace of growth since August 2024, as manufacturing activity slowed and domestic remained weak. China's retail sales rose 3.4% y/y in September, below 3.7% in August and the market estimate of 3.8%. This was the slowest pace…
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Canadian miner Alamos Gold (TSX, NYSE: AGI) is selling its Turkish subsidiary for $470 million to Middle East-based Tumad Madencilik Sanayi, a unit of conglomerate Nurol Holding, ending a billion-dollar legal battle with Ankara. The deal hands over the Kirazlı, Ağı Dağı and Çamyurt projects in northwestern Turkey to Tumad. It also sets out that arbitration proceedings launched in 2021 by Alamos’ Netherlands units against Turkey will remain suspended and be permanently discontinued once contractual milestones are met. Alamos entered Turkey in 2010 but faced persistent setbacks. Its most high-profile clash came in 2019, when mining concessions for the Kirazlı gold p…
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Dogecoin sits at a technically pivotal juncture, according to crypto analyst CantoneseCat (@cantonmeow), who argues that the next decisive inflection arrives at $0.54—“the final boss”—if the coin can translate an increasingly constructive multi-timeframe structure into weekly acceptance above the Ichimoku cloud. Recording just hours ahead of the weekly close on September 14, he framed DOGE’s backdrop as a steady, methodical rebuild powered by higher-timeframe support retention rather than headline-driven spikes. “I am bullish on Dogecoin,” he said. “There is nothing that I’m really too bearish about here.” Dogecoin Charge Stalls At Ichimoku Wall The crux of his view is …
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Savannah Resources (LON: SAV) has boosted the reserve estimate for its Barroso lithium project in northern Portugal by 40% after completing additional prospecting work, further cementing its status as Europe’s largest spodumene deposit. The London-listed company now pegs reserves at more than 39 million tonnes, up from a previous estimate of 28 million tonnes. Shares in Savannah rose 2.4% on the news, giving the company a market capitalization of £104 million ($141.5 million). Strategic role for Europe’s EV supply chain Savannah plans to develop four open-pit mines at Barroso, with the capacity to produce enough lithium each year to supply batteries for ab…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Hang Seng Index Technical: Recent sell-off overdone, bullish trend remains intact”, published on 5 September 2025. The Hong Kong 33 CFD Index (a proxy of the Hang Seng Index futures) has staged the expected bullish breakout above its prior 4-week “Ascending Wedge” range resistance of 25,890 and hit the next intermediate resistance at 26,120, as highlighted in our prior report. Thereafter, it extended its gains and scaled up to a 4-year high of 26,583 on 12 September 2025, a rally of 4.7% on the backdrop of a stronger Chinese yuan and robust bullish sentiment in China's Big Tech, such as Alibaba, Bai…
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What should you expect from the FOMC meeting this week? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on September 16–17, with traders betting heavily on a 25-basis-point rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s a 92% probability of easing, a near certainty. The case rests on cooling inflation and weakening labor data. TLDW: FOMC meeting will likely lower interest rates, effectively turning on money printers. Expect long bond yields to GO UP! “The probability of a quarter-point cut is almost baked in,” analysts at CME noted, pointing to CPI at 2.9% year-over-year and PPI softening below 3%. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.29T24h7d1y This will mark the Fed’s …
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Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after a quiet weekend, with bulls managing to defend key supports but struggling to generate fresh upside momentum. The market remains tense as investors await the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision scheduled for this Wednesday. A potential 25-basis-point cut is widely anticipated, which many see as a sign of a gradual pivot rather than an aggressive measure. Such a move could spark optimism across risk assets, including crypto, as it signals a more supportive monetary environment without triggering fears of economic distress. For Bitcoin, the focus is on whether it can sustain its position above critical price levels whil…
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Bitcoin distribution via miners takes a step back, Japan lowers Bitcoin taxes, Cameron Winklevoss believes in a 10x Bitcoin, while $BTC’s profitability hits historic highs. These are just some of the recent developments in the crypto world and we’ll discuss all of them. The first to touch on is Bitcoin’s profitability retesting a historical point after reaching a 92% threshold in Supply in Profit. This matters because, every time Bitcoin pushed above 90%, a bull rune followed. And the same thing is likely to happen now, as Bitcoin stagnates between $114K and $116K. An October bull run would push Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) up the charts faster than ever. The presale is a…
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Newmont Corp (NYSE: NEM) has agreed to sell its Coffee gold project in Yukon to Fuerte Metals (TSXV: FMT) for up to $150 million, completing a year-long divestment plan. Under the deal, Newmont will receive $10 million in cash at closing and $40 million in Fuerte shares. The company will also retain a 3% net smelter return royalty on the project, which Fuerte can repurchase for up to $100 million. The sale finalizes Newmont’s exit from eight non-core assets it put on the block in early 2024, including the Éléonore mine in Quebec, the Musselwhite and Porcupine mines in Ontario and its 70% stake in the Havieron project in Western Australia. Newmont chief…
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The Ethereum Foundation’s Privacy and Scaling Explorations team has rebranded as Privacy Stewards of Ethereum (PSE). Such a name change reflects its push to make end-to-end privacy an essential part of the network. As highlighted on PSE’s new roadmap, the team’s role ‘isn’t to own every solution in the space, but to drive clarity, focus, collaborations, and outcomes across the ecosystem.’ This way, they can ensure ‘privacy is treated as a first-class feature at the application layer.’ Alongside these developments, Best Wallet emerges as an excellent combo. The non-custodial crypto wallet gives you full control of your assets on Ethereum and beyond with top-notch safegua…
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Dogecoin recently faced a slight pullback after hitting a fresh high, yet its overall momentum remains firmly intact. Key Ichimoku indicators continue to align in favor of the bulls, reinforcing the strength behind the trend. Pullback Fails To Shake Bullish Structure Trader Tardigrade, an analyst on X, noted in a recent update that Dogecoin (DOGE) has seen a pullback after reaching its recent high. Despite this retracement, the overall structure remains firm, suggesting that the market still favors strength on the higher timeframes. According to the analysis, the Ichimoku indicators continue to show strong alignment. This setup reinforces the bullish outlook, as the cl…
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones on a Tear as Fed Rate Cut Looms Oil prices have risen as much as 1.17% at the start of the week following claims by Ukrainian forces that their recent drone attacks have hit two major Russian oil centers in the Baltic Sea. According to reports, these strikes temporarily halted crude oil shipments at Primorsk, Russia's biggest oil port, late last week. There are also claims that three pumping stations that send oil to another port, Ust-Luga, were also attacked. Russia Sanction Calls Grow Add to this growing calls for harsher sanctions on countries and entities which are still purchasing Russian Oil.…
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The British pound has started the new trading week in positive territory. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3591, up 0.26% on the day. Earlier, the pound hit a daily high of 1.3620, its highest level since July 10. UK claimant count change expected to jump The UK releases employment data on Tuesday. Claimant counts is expected to jump to 20.3 thousand in August, after a rare decline in July which saw claimant counts decline by 6.2 thousand. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.7% for a third straight time, its highest level in four years. Wage growth including bonuses is expected to rise to 4.7%, up from 4.6% in the previous release, which wa…
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LINK crypto, the token powering the leading decentralized Oracle platform, Chainlink, has been on a tear in recent weeks. Not only has LINK USD marched from outside the top 20, but Chainlink has found government endorsement that could power LINK USDT higher, breaking the LINK crypto above key resistance levels. At spot rates, LINK crypto is perched at 13th, behind the resurgent Dogecoin, Tron, and Cardano. However, looking at the performance of LINK USD, it is likely that LINK crypto will break into the top 10, flipping TRX and ADA, respectively. According to Coingecko, LINK is up +110% year-to-date but relatively stable in the past 24 hours. The local resistance is at $…
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Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, connected the dots during a CNBC interview with a new Bitcoin price prediction: “I think bitcoin can easily get to $200,000 before year-end. I know it’s a big move. It’s almost a double.” His case rests on historical stock precedent that in both 1998 and 2024, Fed easing cycles reignited equities in Q4, and Lee argues that top cryptocurrencies, as “beta to equities,” should follow suit. Lee added, “Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies like Ethereum are super sensitive to monetary policy. So, I think that September 17th is an important catalyst. Crypto typically does really well in the fourth quarter.” – Tom Lee, Fundstrat.…
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The euro is trading around 1.1759, below +1/8 Murray and showing signs of weakening bullish momentum. The euro could continue its bullish cycle if it breaks and consolidates above 1.1780, then it could reach +2/8 Murray, located at 1.1840.Conversely, recent trading shows strong bearish pressure on EUR/USD. So, we believe a break below 1.1740 and below the uptrend channel formed since September 10 could accelerate its decline to reach 6/8 Murray, located at 1.1596. The key to a reversal in EUR/USD is trading below the 200 EMA and below the 8/8 Murray around 1.1718. Below this area, EUR/USD could increase bearish pressure and will be seen as a clear sell signal. The Eagle…
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First Nordic Metals (TSXV: FNM), which includes Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX, NYSE: AEM) among its backers, has agreed to acquire Mawson Finland in an all-share deal that will bring together some of the most advanced gold properties in Scandinavia. The transaction declared on Monday creates new gold exploration and development company NordCo Gold focused on Sweden and Finland with a combined market capitalization of about C$259 million ($187 million). It highlights a broader trend in the junior sector as companies consolidate to gain scale and attract capital in a tight gold exploration market. With fewer discoveries being made and investors demanding larger, de-risked pro…
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Gold is trading around 3,671, below the 7/8 Murray level and above the 21SMA, with a bullish bias and within an uptrend channel formed since September 11. Gold is facing a barrier around 3,657. This level could offer strong resistance for gold. If the price consolidates below this area, it could be seen as a signal for a technical correction. A consolidation above 3,660 could lead to a gold price reaching 7/8 Murray around 3,671, and possibly even surpassing its high around 3,673. A price drop below 3,644 could signal the start of a trend reversal. Thus, the price could reach the 200 EMA around $3,600, or even reach 6/8 Murray around 3,593. The Eagle indicator is showing …
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Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of September, showing renewed strength after weeks of uneven price action. Yet, the market is bracing for heightened volatility in the coming days as attention shifts to this Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors widely expect a rate cut, but the size of the move remains the key question shaping sentiment. If the Fed opts for a 25 basis point cut, many analysts see it as a measured and healthy pivot that could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, without sparking fears of deeper economic weakness. Such a move would likely reinforce confidence in a controlled transition toward easier monetary policy. On the other hand, a…
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Equinox Gold (TSX, NYSE-A: EQX) has made its first pour at the Valentine mine located in Newfoundland and Labrador, a milestone that the company says would firmly place it amongst Canada’s gold mining elites. The first pour, says chief executive officer Darren Hall, was achieved earlier than expected on Sept. 14, due to the process plant operating at nearly half (47%) of its nameplate since its commissioning. The facility first began processing ore at the end of August and has a capacity of 2.5 million tonnes per annum. Hall adds that the mine will ramp up to its nameplate in the second quarter of 2026 as planned. Equinox’s shares rose on the news, with the st…
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Brent crude oil futures rose to $67.2 per barrel on Monday, continuing the upward trend that began on Friday due to concerns over Russian oil supply disruptions, caused by intensified Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure and difficulties in peace negotiations. This has increased the risk of further sanctions from the West. Overall, Brent remains in a broad sideways range, fluctuating between $65 and $67.4 per barrel. The current dynamics reflect the contradictions shaping the market. On the one hand, geopolitics: fires at Russian oil refineries, Trump's statements about potential serious sanctions against Russian oil, and pressure on India and China via the G7 form…
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France crypto industry is once again in the spotlight, as Reuters revealed that France is again positioning itself at the center of Europe’s crypto debate, signalling it may move to block companies licensed in other EU jurisdictions from operating domestically. The regulatory warning, delivered Monday by Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) chair Marie-Anne Barbat-Layani, underscores the deep fractures already emerging under the European Union’s landmark Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). MiCA, which formally took effect for service providers in December 2024, was billed as the world’s first comprehensive digital asset rulebook. The framework allows crypto fi…
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Can I work part-time and still withdraw from my retirement accounts? Executive summary Yes. You can work part-time and take withdrawals from IRAs or 401(k)s at the same time. The real question is how to do it tax-efficiently. Your plan should account for the Social Security earnings test before full retirement age, required minimum distributions (RMDs), Medicare and ACA rules, and how Roth and traditional accounts are taxed. Done well, part-time work can reduce portfolio withdrawals, extend savings, and keep your options open. Quick answer: what changes when you earn wages again Traditional IRA/401(k) withdrawals remain taxable as ordinary income. Working does not block…
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