Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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While the euro is trying to gather strength for a new upward move against the US dollar, Chief Economist Philip Lane believes that the European Central Bank (ECB) will be able to keep inflation at the target level due to falling prices for non-energy goods. The Irish official remarked at an event in Paris that in order to maintain inflation at 2%, further slowing of non-energy inflation is necessary. He expressed confidence that this would happen, as all observed indicators suggest a continued slowdown in wage growth. Many economists expect that the ECB will keep borrowing rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting. Most officials are assured that inflation wil…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Holy ground cannot remain empty. With the US markets closed for Thanksgiving, investors are shifting their focus to other regions, Asia and Europe. At the same time, traders have an opportunity to ponder the future of the S&P 500. According to the consensus forecast by Reuters experts, the broad stock index is expected to rise by 12% in 2026 due to the easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, the resilience of the US economy, and the ongoing strength of the technology sector. Interestingly, in light of the closed US markets, investors prefer to buy shares of technology companies in other regions. Asian stock indices outperformed their American counterparts in…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Puell Multiple has gone through a decline recently, a sign that miner revenue has gone down relative to its baseline. Bitcoin Puell Multiple Has Dropped To 0.67 In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Puell Multiple. The “Puell Multiple” refers to a popular on-chain indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the daily BTC mining revenue (in USD) and 365-day moving average (MA) of the same. Miners earn their income through two sources: block subsidy and transaction fees. In the context of the metric, however, only the former part of their revenue is relevant. Block subsidy is a fixed…
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After Bitcoin returned to the $92,000 level yesterday, the price failed to make an active breakout of this range. However, it is fair to note that there were also no significant selling activities from major players. This keeps the chances for further market growth alive, but likely only after the weekend. Ethereum also remains stagnant at the $3,000 mark, maintaining its potential for further correction. While the cryptocurrency market is currently in a phase of rest, an interesting report from Syndica caught my attention. According to the data, the Solana blockchain currently dominates the market for tokenized stocks, holding over 95% market share for the past four mo…
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Yesterday, the US market was closed for Thanksgiving. However, futures for American stock indices continued to trade, losing momentum despite rising expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which allowed the global stock market to achieve its best performance since June of this year. Futures and options trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was suspended due to technical issues. The disruption specifically affected the trading of futures on US Treasury bonds and contracts on the S&P 500 index. Trading on the EBS currency platform was also interrupted due to the CME's outage. The MSCI All Country World Index showed little change. Nevertheless…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenDue to low volatility, the tests of the levels I marked did not occur in the second half of the day. As a result, I was left without trades. Today, the yen declined against the U.S. dollar on news that the Tokyo Consumer Price Index fell from 2.8% to 2.7%. Conversely, unemployment in Japan remained at 2.6%, despite economists' expectations of a decrease. On the one hand, the slowing inflation in Japan's capital may indicate reduced pressure on the Bank of Japan to tighten monetary policy. It should be noted that for a long time, inflation has been a key factor holding the central bank back from abandoning its ultra-l…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3238 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the pound, which resulted in a 17-pip rise. Today, significant movements in the GBP/USD pair are not expected, as there are no UK reports in the first half of the day. However, despite the absence of macroeconomic news from the UK, one should consider the indirect impact of events in the Eurozone and the USA. Any surprises in German data or US data may provoke fluctuations in the euro, which in turn will affect the British pound through cross rates. Technical analysis indicates the pa…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price test at 1.1599 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test at 1.1599 coincided with the MACD being in overbought territory, prompting the implementation of Scenario 2 to sell the euro. As a result, the pair dropped by 10 pips. In the first half of the day, market attention will be focused on several significant economic reports from Germany. The key focus will be on changes in retail sales and unemployment dynamics, including the overall unemployment rate. Following that, the Consumer Pri…
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Bitcoin, trading around $91,000-$92,000, maintains a positive outlook and has good potential for further correction. However, given the weekend conditions in the U.S. and low trading volume, it is unlikely that major players will make their presence felt until the beginning of next week. Ethereum has also clearly established its position above $3,000. According to a report from Glassnode, the breakthrough of supply clusters from large buyers is a key condition for restoring momentum to a new peak. The chart clearly shows that the nearest clusters are at $93,000–$96,000, a breakthrough of which will open the way to the $100,000–$108,000 range, where active seller resistan…
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Sellers of the dollar paused yesterday in the absence of new guidelines. Today, in the first half of the day, a considerable amount of important German data is expected, which could lead to a surge in volatility. The figures for changes in retail trade volume, the number of unemployed, the unemployment rate, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October will be released. These indicators will be key in assessing the state of the German economy and will determine short-term market sentiment. Retail trade figures are expected to provide insights into consumer activity, while unemployment data will shed light on the current employment situation. Inflation, as indicated by t…
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As the Bitcoin price exhibits signs of recovery, climbing back above $90,000, the cryptocurrency community finds itself sharply divided. Some analysts believe this movement is merely a relief rally preceding another downturn, while others maintain that a bull market is still in play despite a recent 30% correction. Current Data Suggests No Cycle Top Market analyst OxChain went on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), focusing on on-chain data to shed light on the current market dynamics and what investors might expect in the near future. He argues that the recent downturn does not exhibit characteristics typical of a cycle top. In October, Bitcoin reached the mid…
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In crypto news today, traders are fixating on the Federal Reserve’s growing rate cut odds, the viral resurfacing of the Space Quest Bitcoin imagery, and ongoing accumulation moves from Tom Lee. The jump to an 85% probability for a December rate cut has become one of the biggest catalysts discussed across crypto news today, and it fits neatly with the bullish positioning highlighted by Tom Lee. Going viral and trending around social media, the old-school Space Quest Bitcoin resemblance has resurfaced as a talking point, with many in crypto news today interpreting every signal, serious or fun, as long as the crypto talk is going on. Read the full story here. …
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[Cardano] With the appearance of a Bearish Divergence on the RSI indicates potential for a limited correction in the bullish bias of Cardano, although the overall direction of the cryptocurrency's bias remains upward. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 0.44529 2. Resistance. 1 : 0.44021 3. Pivot : 0.43298 4. Support. 1 : 0.42790 5. Support. 2 : 0.42067 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Cardano breaks out and closes above 0.43298, there is potential for it to continue strengthening to 0.44021. Momentum Extension Bias: If 0.44021 is successfully broken, Cardano may continue its strength up to 0.44529. Invalidation Level / Bias Revi…
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[Chainlink] With both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, then the overall bias direction of the Chainlink cryptocurrency is still strengthening Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 13.72443 2. Resistance. 1 : 13.58148 3. Pivot : 13.40688 4. Support. 1 : 13.26393 5. Support. 2 : 13.08933 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price successfully breaks out and closes above 13.40688, there is potential to test the level at 13.58148. Momentum Extension Bias: If 13.58148 is also broken, then Chainlink will try to test the level at 13.72443. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Chainlink declines and breaks down below …
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Bitcoin is showing new signs of strength after its sharp decline, with buyers stepping back in and momentum shifting upward. With price reclaiming key support levels, the path toward the major $98,000 imbalance zone is now back on the table, but bulls still need to prove this rebound has real conviction. FVG Filled, Bearish OB Tagged — What Comes After The Perfect Hit? Crypto analyst Crypto Patel, in a recent market update, noted that Bitcoin has now completed a key technical move by filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and tapping directly into the Bearish Order Block exactly as previously projected. He emphasized that traders who avoided shorting the $81,000–$85,000 region…
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Justin Sun faces a fast-escalating legal and reputational fight in Hong Kong over how large pools of stablecoin reserves were handled. At a press conference on November 27, the founder of Tron and an adviser to Techteryx repeated claims of fraud against Hong Kong trust firm First Digital Trust. The comments came as Sun is already dealing with a defamation case in the city and a widening court dispute over roughly $456 million tied to TrueUSD reserves. The row stretches across Hong Kong and Dubai. And it lands at an awkward moment, with the city working on a new ruleset for licensed stablecoins. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Is Hong Kong …
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, all from Germany. It is important to remember that Germany is considered the "locomotive" of the European economy—a "locomotive" that has been struggling in recent years. Therefore, reports from Germany on key indicators can be considered conditionally important. Today, data on unemployment, inflation, and retail sales will be published. These will not be released all at once, so throughout the first half of the day, the market may react to the incoming information. Analysis of Fundamental Events: No fundamental events are scheduled for Friday. However, recent speec…
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The Ethereum price is entering a decisive stage as bulls attempt to defend crucial support while global institutions quietly accumulate ETH behind the scenes. After weeks of turbulence, Ethereum now trades near $3000, still far from its ATH, but showing fresh signs of life as crypto technical indicators flip from extreme oversold conditions. With countries like Bhutan increasing their exposure to Ethereum, analysts say the next move could determine whether ETH regains its long-term uptrend or risks another corrective slide into the high $2000 range. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y …
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Dogecoin started a steady increase above $0.1550 against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline sharply if it trades below $0.1490. DOGE price started a fresh increase above $0.1480 and $0.150. The price is trading below the $0.1520 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.1495 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1490. Dogecoin Price Consolidates Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1450, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.150 resist…
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Ethereum (ETH) has joined Bitcoin (BTC) in a notable price recovery, managing to reclaim the $3,000 mark. This resurgence could signify a pivotal moment for the altcoin, suggesting a potential new upward trend. However, investors remain divided on whether ETH may face further declines or if a year-end rebound could reignite bullish sentiment. ETH’s December Struggles In order to anticipate Ethereum’s probable moves in December, Alex Carchidi, an analyst at The Motley Fool, notes that this month has traditionally been a difficult month for the cryptocurrency. Since 2016, Ethereum has only concluded December higher than it started in four of the nine years studied. In th…
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair corrected slightly on Thursday, retracing from Wednesday's highs. There were no macroeconomic or fundamental factors present, so traders found no grounds for new purchases of the British currency, which has been struggling to rise as of late. We continue to believe that a global downward correction is underway on the daily timeframe, and therefore, expect its completion and the resumption of the upward trend. The UK budget is no longer exerting pressure on the British pound, as it has already been accepted and the market has successfully absorbed its negative aspects over the past two months. …
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility, mostly sideways, on Thursday. Yesterday morning, we warned that such movements were to be expected, as there were no scheduled macroeconomic or fundamental events on Thursday. Only in the morning did a consumer confidence report come out in Germany, but it held almost no significance for traders, as it coincided with forecasted values. Thus, the formation of an upward trend on the hourly timeframe continues, but, as we can see, the European currency cannot currently display growth in the manner the dollar has shown in recent months, that is, rising out…
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The United Kingdom has signalled a major change in how it plans to tax DeFi, backing a “no gain, no loss” idea that could end so-called dry tax bills for everyday users. The government, through HM Revenue & Customs, says it is developing rules to treat many DeFi loans and liquidity-pool moves on a no-gain/no-loss basis. This would delay capital gains tax until there is a real sale or swap, not just when tokens move in and out of a protocol. The proposal was flagged alongside Wednesday’s Budget on 26 November and set out in a consultation outcome published this week. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Explaining HMRC’s “No Gain, No Loss” Pl…
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XRP price started a steady increase above $2.220. The price is now struggling to clear $2.280 and might start a fresh decline below $2.150. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.20 zone. The price is now trading near $2.180 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a near bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.2250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.150. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a decent upward move above $2.120 and $2.150, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $2.20 resistance. The bulls even p…
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Shares in Metaplanet climbed by roughly +7% on Thursday after the digital asset treasury company disclosed that it had provided a $130M loan tied to plans to purchase additional Bitcoin. (Source: TradingView) The Japanese firm, which began as a hotel operator before shifting into a Bitcoin-focused treasury business, was not the only company to benefit from the announcement. Shares across other digital asset treasury (DAT) firms also moved higher on the day, beating the wider Japanese equity market. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Which Japanese Firms Gained the Most From the Bitcoin-Linked Rally? The Nikkei 225, whi…
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