Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, September 25, 2025] Although both EMAs have not yet formed a Death Cross, but the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish zone, which may bring the Nasdaq 100 index down to its nearest support level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24801.4 2. Resistance. 1 : 24652.3 3. Pivot : 24518.9 4. Support. 1 : 24369.8 5. Support. 2 : 24236.4 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If #NDX breaks down and closes below 24,518.9, it is likely to continue its decline down to 24,369.8. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24,369.8 is breached and closes below, it has the potential to further weaken down to 24,236.4. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The dow…
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The US dollar continued its rise against a range of risk assets, indicating sustained demand and trader concerns about future Federal Reserve policy. Strong data on US new home sales contributed to further dollar strength. Traders revised their forecasts on future Fed policy, expecting the central bank to keep rates higher for longer than previously thought. This increased the dollar's appeal as a more profitable and reliable asset. Meanwhile, the impact was strongly felt on European markets. The euro noticeably declined against the dollar, raising concerns among European exporters. A stronger dollar makes European goods more expensive for American consumers, potentially …
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Why is crypto down today? Why did the BTC USD price slide below 112K, and Ethereum break under 4K? The entire crypto market shed more than $162 billion in value overnight, with total market cap now at $3.81 trillion. Liquidations have surged to over $400 million overnight, with the biggest loss of $29 million in ETH ▼-3.38% long. (source – Coinglass Liquidation Data) The current situation could be a textbook flush as overleveraged traders are wiped out in a classic shakeout. It could be the end, but it could be just another chapter in crypto’s volatile cycles. But as we predicted yesterday, the current slump is not over. EthereumPriceMarket CapETH$485.90B24h7d30d1…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin long-term holders locked in a significant amount of gain around the time of the latest price plunge. Bitcoin HODLer Whales Have Shown Profit-Taking Spree Recently As explained by analyst Ali Martinez in a new post on X, long-term holder whales have participated in some profit-taking recently. “Long-term holders” (LTHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins since more than 155 days ago. This cohort is considered to represent the HODLers of the market, who rarely sell even in the face of volatility. That said, there are times when these investors do participate in selloffs, and one such instance seems to hav…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are only a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, but some of them are truly important. Most notably, the US reports on durable goods orders and the third estimate of Q2 GDP. The third estimate is the final one, and the first and second releases are often revised—thus, the last release carries the most weight. The durable goods report is also significant, as it reflects changes in US consumer demand for major, high-value goods. In Germany, the GfK consumer confidence index will be published, but this is far from the most critical release. Fundamental Events Analysis: Among Thursday's fundamental events, Federal Res…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.250 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might dip further if it stays below $0.2550. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.250 level. The price is trading below the $0.250 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2450 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if there is a move below $0.230. Dogecoin Price Turns Red Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.2550, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.250 and $0.2450 support levels. T…
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Stellar (XLM) is showing signs of resilience after weeks of consolidation, with the cryptocurrency defending the crucial $0.37 horizontal support level. At the time of writing, XLM trades around $0.36, down 0.56% on the daily charts and 4.2% weekly. Despite the short-term weakness, analysts suggest that the altcoin’s recent bounce could set the stage for a move toward $0.50 and beyond. The $0.37 level has historically acted as both resistance and support, making it a decisive zone for future price action. A reclaim above this mark could push XLM toward the long-standing descending resistance near $0.48, with a breakout potentially triggering a stronger rally. Technica…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair dropped sharply and unexpectedly once again. There was no macroeconomic or fundamental news yesterday, but over the last two days, speeches from the heads of the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve may have prompted the fall of the British pound. We believe the issue was not so much in the rhetoric of Bailey or Powell, but in the market's interpretation of their statements. For example, many think Powell "closed the door" to aggressive monetary easing. Maybe he did—but the Fed never really opened that door in the first place. The market came up with this narrative on its own, and then became disappointed.…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair fell unexpectedly and even consolidated below the ascending trendline. In fact, the recent decline in the pair occurred for no clear reason. We didn't see and still don't see any solid fundamental or macroeconomic grounds for the euro's drop, especially yesterday. Nevertheless, the technical picture is now bearish, but not everything is so straightforward. The 1.1737 level has halted the euro's decline for the second time. Therefore, we believe the fall may finish here. Traders are in a favorable position now: if the price breaks below 1.1737, everything will become clear—the trend has …
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The euro is trading around 1.1744 under bearish pressure after an unsuccessful attempt to break out of the downtrend channel. EUR/USD is now trading below the 38- and 200-period moving averages. The euro could find strong support around the 8/8 Murray level for a recovery. If the price falls below this level, the euro could continue its decline to the bottom of the downtrend channel around 1.1630. Conversely, if the euro breaks and consolidates above 1.1773, we could expect it to resume its long-term bullish cycle, which could push EUR/USD up to +1/8 Murray level around 1.1840. The Eagle indicator is showing a negative signal, so we believe the euro could continue its …
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Bitcoin is trading around 112,500, an important support area where we believe it could resume its bullish cycle in the coming hours, only if the price consolidates above this area. If Bitcoin sharply breaks the bearish trend channel, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around 114,253 and even reach the 5/8 Murray level around 115,625. Since September 16th, Bitcoin has been trading within a bearish trend channel formed between the high of 118,000 and the low of 111,000. Bitcoin will likely continue to fall in the coming days until it reaches the 3/8 Murray level around the psychological level of $110,000. The Eagle indicator is showing overbought signals and pointi…
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Yesterday, the euro dropped by 76 pips on rising volumes, as the S&P 500 fell by 0.28%. Market participants paid closer attention to Jerome Powell's remarks and realized there would be no two rate cuts by year-end. Investors, out of inertia, kept October cut expectations high (97.4%), but reduced the probability for December from 81.3% to 72.5%. US Treasury yields increased slightly. Today, data will be released on August durable goods orders (forecast: -0.3%), the final Q2 GDP estimate (expected unchanged at 3.3% y/y), weekly jobless claims (expected up from 231k to 233k), and the core personal consumption expenditures price index for Q2 (forecast 2.5% versus 3.5% pr…
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The pound sterling has forcefully reversed downward from the 1.3525 level. Yesterday's candle closed below the balance line, and the Marlin oscillator has moved deeper into negative territory. The nearest target at 1.3364 is now open, and the pound continues to weaken. Consolidating below this level would open the way to the next target at 1.3253. On the four-hour chart, price and oscillator have formed a divergence. This does not signal a trend reversal (given the broader context), but it does suggest a possible correction of some kind. However, since Marlin has spiked upward and is likely to lose momentum soon, any correction is unlikely to be deep, so we expect a p…
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Natural Gas (NG) Natural gas quotes are hovering around the 2.847 level (the April 28 low), with some risk of an upward move, as yesterday's daily candle closed above this level. However, this is just one sign of potential growth—and a weak one—since the candle body is small. This consolidation could turn out to be a false breakout. Stronger downward pressure on price comes from its development below the MACD line and the continued position of the Marlin oscillator in negative territory. A return and close below 2.847 will pave the way for a target support level at 2.643. Below that, price could head for the 2.145–2.223 range (the October 2024 low). On the four-hour cha…
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XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.850 zone. The price is now struggling to clear $3.00 and might decline again below the $2.80 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.920 support zone. The price is now trading near $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.850. XRP Price Faces Hurdles XRP price found support near $2.680 and recently started a recovery wave, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.80 and $2.85 resistance leve…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to remain range-bound between $110,000 – $115,000, data from crypto exchanges seems divided toward the leading cryptocurrency. While Binance traders are exhibiting a bullish stance, traders from other exchanges are still showing a degree of hesitation. Binance Traders Expecting Bitcoin Price Surge According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, fresh derivatives data from Binance is signaling shifting market dynamics – specifically, the recent BTC funding rate on Binance points toward traders taking a bullish stance. On the contrary, the BTC funding rate from other exchanges, such as OKX, Bybit, and Deribit, suggests th…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,120. ETH is now struggling and might decline further if it breaks the $4,050 support zone. Ethereum failed to extend gains and declined below the $4,150 zone. The price is trading below $4,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $4,050 and $4,000. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price remained in a bearish zone after it settled below $4,450, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,320 and $4,300 support levels. The bears even pus…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 24 Today’s session saw a softer tone across equities, with decent profit-taking emerging as Rosh Hashanah (Shana Tovah!) holidays wind down, volumes come back and the Jewish calendar year begins. The pullback comes after a strong week for risk assets, with traders opting to lock in gains before fresh catalysts arrive. In terms of news flow, markets are still digesting the latest speeches from Powell and Trump’s UN appearance. Powell’s balanced remarks reinforced that the Fed is not rushing deeper into dovish territory, while Trump’s address sharpened focus on global energy and trade — with the most rec…
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American Tungsten (CSE:TUNG) (OTCQB:TUNGF) announced Wednesday it has signed a Letter of Intent (LOI) with its US-based offtake partner, Global Tungsten & Powders, one of the largest tungsten processors in the world. The company is advancing its Ima tungsten project in Idaho, a past-producing underground tungsten mine situated on 22 patented claims located in east central Idaho. Between 1945 and 1957, the property produced approximately 199,449 metric ton units of tungsten trioxide (WO3). It was subsequently explored for molybdenum and tungsten by various operators between 1960 and 2008. In July, American Tungsten secured preliminary approval for its site rem…
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Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says The U.S. stock market slipped on Wednesday, just a day after it had closed higher for three straight sessions. Traders seemed to be weighing what Fed Chair Jerome Powell said, and they also were waiting for more data later in the week. Investors are moving carefully, because the central bank tries to juggle inflation worries while a softening job market looms. Powell noted on Tuesday that asset prices look fairly over‑valued. His peers split on the policy path, and the chair kept stressing the tightrope the Fed must walk. The S&P 500 energy sub‑index rose about 2%, helped by ris…
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Kraken is making headlines after donating $1 million to the Digital Freedom PAC, a group that supports pro-Trump causes. The company is also matching that donation with another $1 million to America First Digital. Arjun Sethi, the co-CEO of Kraken, says this isn’t just about politics. For him, it’s part of a wider fight to protect the core values behind crypto. That includes keeping control of your own funds, using privacy tools freely, and pushing back against regulations that seem unclear or unfair. Sethi Calls It a Battle for Financial Freedom Sethi explained the donation by pointing to what he sees as growing threats to crypto. He says some regulators are trying to s…
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Seedify’s bridge has been hit by yet another major crypto exploit, and this time, it’s being tied to hackers from North Korea. Around $1.2 million in funds were drained after attackers found a way to mint fake SFUND tokens. Once they had those tokens in the system, they moved quickly, draining liquidity pools across different chains and swapping the fake assets for real ones. Most of the stolen value ended up on BNB Chain, making it tougher to follow. How the Attack Unfolded It started with a compromised private key. That was all the hackers needed to create unauthorized SFUND tokens, which they then pushed into liquidity pools on Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Base. After extr…
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Gold at Record Highs XauUsd Technical Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) has surged an astonishing 44.4% in 2025, climbing from a year-end close of $2,624 to reach fresh record high at $3.791. For traders, investors, and central banks alike, the question is simple: what’s driving this runaway train, and what could bring it to a halt? What Is Spot Gold? Spot gold refers to the current price of one troy ounce of pure gold for immediate delivery (typically settled within two business days). Unlike futures contracts, it reflects real-time supply and demand in the physical and financial markets. What’s Driving Gold’s Meteoric Rise? Expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve Rate Cuts The a…
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XRP can finally plug into DeFi, but will FXRP’s launch on Flare be enough to lift the token in October? Flare Network announced on Sept. 24 that its FAssets protocol is now live on mainnet, beginning with FXRP v1.2. The token is a one-to-one, over-collateralized representation of XRP that can be used in Flare’s decentralized finance stack. The rollout marks the first time XRP holders can tap into lending, liquidity, and, soon, liquid staking on Flare. If the pattern holds, the next resistance levels are near $3.20 to $3.30, possibly extending toward $3.60 to $3.80. Traders say a daily close above $2.95 would strengthen the bullish case. On the downside, a break …
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The Group of Seven (G7) nations and the European Union are said to be discussing the idea of imposing price floors on rare earths to counter China’s dominance in the supply chain, Reuters reported on Wednesday. A price floor, if imposed, would provide greater incentives for producers of rare earths and related products in those regions, which for decades have relied on Chinese supply. Rare earths, which are difficult to extract and expensive to process, are key to many high-tech products, including cell phones, EVs and defense applications. China currently dominates the global mine supply of rare earths and controls over 90% of their total processing capacity. Thi…
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