Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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EUR/USD began the week with a recovery, rising above the important round level of 1.1600. The euro continues to receive support thanks to hopes that the European Central Bank has completed its rate-cutting cycle. In the Friday minutes of the last ECB meeting, the unanimous decision to keep all key rates unchanged was highlighted, and the Governing Council described this policy as positive. Traders have almost fully priced in the likelihood of a possible rate cut in 2025 and currently assess the probability of such a scenario by the end of 2026 at around 40%. These factors are helping to maintain and strengthen the EUR/USD pair, confirming the likelihood of further growth.…
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Trend AnalysisIn December, from the level of 1.3232 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.2886 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.2942 — the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart). Indicator Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible. Overall Summary for the Monthly GBP/USD Candle:The price will most likely show a downward tend…
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Trend AnalysisIn December, from the level of 1.1598 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.1252 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). From this level, the market may show a corrective upward move toward 1.1315 — the support line (thin blue line). Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart). Indicator Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible. Overall Summary for the Monthly EUR/USD Candle:The price will most likely show a downward tendency…
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Kazakhstan’s central bank has signaled plans to place up to $300 million into crypto and crypto-linked assets, a move that would mark one of the clearest examples yet of a sovereign institution putting reserve money into this market. Based on reports, the funds would come from the country’s gold and foreign-exchange reserves rather than its social or oil wealth funds. Central Bank Moves Cautiously According to central bank briefings and market reporting, the investment will not be made all at once. Initial tranches could be modest — figures discussed publicly include amounts like $50 million and $100 million as possible early steps, with larger allocations of $250 milli…
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The crypto market opened December under heavy selling pressure. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Bitcoin thought it had found a bottom, only to be knocked from below. The tumultuous recovery of US stock indices extended a lifeline to BTC/USD; however, a series of bad news caused the token's prices to plummet. It wasn't alone. Ethereum dropped by 7%, and altcoins also faced a wave of sell-offs amid the downgrade of the largest stablecoin, USDT, to junk status. S&P Global Ratings believes that the falling value of Bitcoin will lead to insufficient backing for the token. Positive news on stablecoins, including Congress's approval of legislation on their use, had previously been one of the catalysts for the BTC/USD rally. By the same token, negative developments lea…
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Trend AnalysisThis week, from the level of 1.3232 (the close of the last weekly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3012 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3079 — the lower fractal (weekly candle of November 23, 2025). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart). Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardMonthly chart — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall Summary for the Weekly GBP/USD Candle:The price will most likely s…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)This week, from the level of 1.1598 (the close of the last weekly candle), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.1391 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1488 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart). Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardMonthly chart — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall Summary for the Weekly EUR/USD Candle:The price will most likely…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Monday, from the level of 1.3232 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.3178 — the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may start moving upward toward 1.3200 — the lower fractal (daily candle of November 28, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardWeekly chart — downwardOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:From the level of 1.3232 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may c…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Monday, from the level of 1.1598 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.1556 — the historical support level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may start moving upward toward 1.1575 — the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardWeekly chart — downwardOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:From the level of 1.1598 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin mo…
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What to Know: Bitcoin’s base layer still struggles with slow transactions, high fees, and limited programmability, creating a gap between its narrative and everyday usability. As demand for high-throughput DeFi and dApps grows, users increasingly expect instant confirmations and low fees, even when interacting with Bitcoin-linked assets. Bitcoin Hyper plans to introduce a Bitcoin Layer-2 with SVM integration, aiming to deliver faster-than-Solana performance while preserving Bitcoin’s settlement security. By combining low-latency execution, SVM-based smart contracts, and Rust tooling, Bitcoin Hyper targets wrapped $BTC payments, DeFi, NFTs, and gaming on a Bitcoin-secure…
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis:Since the start of the year, the main British pound pair has been forming an upward trend. Within the wave structure, a downward correction has been developing since late April. The structure of the wave does not yet appear complete. The price is approaching the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. Weekly Forecast:At the beginning of the upcoming week, GBP/USD may come under pressure near the resistance zone. A short-term breakout above the upper boundary is possible. After that, a reversal and a downward move are expected. The support zone marks the most probable lower boundary of the weekly range. Potential Reversal ZonesResistan…
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XRP’s derivatives market has undergone a marked regime shift, with leverage collapsing and funding normalising in a way that signals a clear retreat from aggressive speculative positioning. The strongest evidence comes from Glassnode’s latest post on November 30, which frames the current phase as a structural, not merely tactical, pause in XRP leverage. XRP Derivatives Unwind Accelerates “XRP’s futures OI has fallen from 1.7B XRP in early October to 0.7B XRP (~59% flush-out). Paired with the funding rate dropping from ~0.01% to 0.001% (7D-SMA), 10/10 marked a structural pause in XRP speculators’ appetite to bet aggressively on upside,” Glassnode’s CryptoVizArt wrote on X…
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EUR/USD Analysis: In the short term, the direction of the euro's price movement in the major pair has been shaped by an upward wave since February. Over the past six months, the pair has been forming a corrective section of the (B) wave pattern, which remains unfinished. The wave has the form of a contracting flat. The quotes are moving along the boundaries of a potentially reversal zone on the larger timeframe. Forecast: At the beginning of the upcoming week, the European currency is expected to continue its sideways movement. Near the support zone, price fluctuations may transition into a horizontal formation. A reversal and the start of an upward price trend are more l…
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The Japanese yen rose sharply after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda gave a clear hint today that his board may soon raise interest rates, emphasizing the possibility of such a decision being made at the Bank of Japan's December meeting. Investors reacted instantly, beginning to actively buy the yen, which led to its strengthening against the US dollar and other major currencies. The market interpreted Ueda's comments as a signal that the ultra-loose monetary policy pursued by the Bank of Japan for many years is continuing to come to an end. All of this is happening against the backdrop of rising inflationary pressure in the country and concerns about further significan…
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The European currency continues to withstand the pressure placed on it, thanks to the regulator's effective actions. In an interview today, Governing Council member Joachim Nagel stated that he is satisfied with the parameters of the European Central Bank's monetary policy. "Our forecasts suggest that interest rates are currently at a good level," the Bundesbank president said on Monday in his speech in Seoul, repeating the standard position of ECB representatives in recent months. "The Eurosystem's monetary policy is currently broadly neutral." Nagel's statement came amid growing concerns about slowing economic growth in the euro area. Some analysts argue that with curr…
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The European currency continues to show strong potential for growth. On one hand, it is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will ease its monetary policy. On the other hand, the European Central Bank's firm stance on interest rates also opens the door for new highs for the euro against the US dollar. The influence of these factors, however, should not be viewed separately from the broader economic picture. The European economy is showing signs of slowing, which could put pressure on the ECB in the future, forcing it to also consider loosening its policy. However, as long as inflation remains slightly above target levels, the ECB will adhere to a restrictiv…
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As expectations for a rate cut in the federal funds rate align with the onset of a seasonally strong period for US equities, the S&P 500 finds itself poised for growth. The broad stock index has erased much of the losses incurred during the autumn sell-off and managed to close November in positive territory, a stark contrast to the Nasdaq Composite, which recorded its first monthly decline since March. Nasdaq Composite Monthly Performance What transpired at the intersection of October and November? Investors are suggesting that the recent downturn represents a healthy correction. Since the anticipated collapse of the artificial intelligence bubble has yet to materi…
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With the onset of the new month, Bitcoin has dropped over 6% within just a few hours, reaching a new level of $85,500. This indicates that the market correction may have concluded, and we are likely to see new local lows with significant support being tested in the $75,000 and $70,000 ranges. As Bitcoin and other altcoins "roll into the abyss," the market are actively speculating on the pace of tokenized assets. According to the head of the cryptocurrency department at the exchange, the American stock exchange Nasdaq considers the SEC's approval of its proposal for tokenized versions of listed stocks a top priority. "We will move as quickly as we can," said Matt Savar…
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Despite the bearish trend that has dominated the crypto market, the meme coin PIPPIN has stood out, flying green while others stalled. Over the weekend, the meme coin emerged as one of the top gainers, rising by more than 50% and doubling its value in only a few days. Interestingly, one crypto analyst had previously called out the PIPPIN rally, predicting that the price would rise. But even with the major rally so far, the analyst’s total prediction is yet to play out completely. The Breakout That Started It All In the analysis, Edoardo Telve points to the first breakout that began all of this for the PIPPIN price. This had come after the meme coin had suffered an extend…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3218 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound, which led to a 30-pip rise. Today, attention will focus on the release of several economic indicators from the UK: the manufacturing PMI, the number of approved mortgage applications, and data on changes in the M4 money supply. The PMI index traditionally serves as a key indicator of the health of the UK manufacturing sector. Given the current economic situation, forecasts for this indicator are cautiously pessimistic. A deterioration in PMI values might f…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price test at 1.1570 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose by more than 25 pips. Today, important data will be released regarding the business activity index in the manufacturing sectors of Germany, France, and the Eurozone. Weak PMI data could heighten concerns about an economic slowdown in the Eurozone, especially given recent economic indicators pointing to slowing growth. The European Central Bank is closely monitoring these indicators to determine its future monetary policy. If the PMI figures come i…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.54%, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.65%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.61%. However, today, futures for American stock indices have fallen. Cryptocurrencies also crashed, indicating a risk-off sentiment ahead of several important economic data releases, even though expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December remain quite high. Futures contracts on the S&P 500 fell by 0.8%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dropped by 1%. The yen strengthened after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda gave the clearest hint yet of a potential interest rate hike this month. Ahead of his…
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Last Friday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3211 level and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout near 1.3211 led to a buying point for the pound. However, after a 14-pip rise, selling pressure returned to the pair. In the second half of the day, a false breakout in the area of 1.3211 provided an excellent opportunity to open new long positions, resulting in a rise of over 40 pips. To Open Long Positions on GBP/USD:The lack of data from the UK has sustained demand for risk assets, despite all attempt…
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