Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim a crucial level as support after bouncing from the recent drop below $115,000. Nonetheless, some analysts warned that the cryptocurrency is entering a corrective phase with a potential 15%-25% drop. Bitcoin Risks Drop Below $110,000 On Monday, Bitcoin fell below the $115,000 level for the first time in nearly two weeks, retesting the $114,500 support before bouncing. The flagship crypto has been hovering between its local price range since August 7, hitting its latest all-time high (ATH) of $124,200 before ultimately being rejected from the range highs. Now, some market watchers have affirmed that BTC has entered a corrective phas…
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Bitcoin has faced a lot of resistance above $110,000, suggesting the bears are trying to keep the digital asset from reclaiming its all-time high levels. This has been obvious with multiple rejections above $110,000 over the last few days, while the bulls have held support above $108,000. This trend plays into an analysis published by crypto analyst TehThomas, who had forecasted the rejection from $110,000. But what’s more interesting is where Thomas sees the price going from here. Bitcoin Could Drop For Shallow Pullback In the analysis, Thomas explained what is happening with the Bitcoin price and why the pullback could happen. This begins with the breakout after fallin…
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Bitcoin edged higher today, breaching the key $119,000 mark, after a string of steady sessions, lifting prices above recent ranges and drawing fresh attention from big investors. According to Coinglass data, BTC rose about 2.50% in the last 24 hours, and is up 8% over the last seven days. Trading activity and inflows are being watched closely as traders size up the next move. Institutional Flows Drive Momentum Data shows the top crypto asset registered a second straight day of strong inflows, putting $430 million into Bitcoin spot ETFs. That kind of demand helps explain why Bitcoin’s market value has jumped from $870 billion to $2.34 trillion this year. Analysts say t…
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Data shows the 14-day Bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped into the oversold region. Here’s what this could mean for the asset. Bitcoin RSI Has Breached Below The 30 Mark In a new post on X, analyst Axel Adler Jr has talked about the latest trend in the RSI of Bitcoin. The “RSI” refers to an indicator from technical analysis (TA) that measures the speed and magnitude of changes occurring in any given asset’s price over a specific period. In the current case, the period is 14 days. This metric is generally used for spotting oversold or overbought conditions for the asset. When the RSI is greater than 70, it can be a sign that the price is heating up and may …
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Bitcoin’s available coins for trading have dropped sharply. That change could push prices higher if demand holds up. According to Sygnum Bank’s June 2025 Monthly Investment Outlook, the liquid supply of Bitcoin fell by about 30% over the last 18 months. In that time, nearly 1 million BTC left exchanges. That means fewer coins are ready to move at a moment’s notice. Liquid Supply Tightens Based on reports from Sygnum Bank, exchange balances dropped by around 1 million BTC since late 2023. That amount equals roughly 5% of Bitcoin’s total supply. When coins leave exchanges, they often go into cold storage or long-term funds. Some of these funds include new exchange-trade…
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The debate over whether the crypto market is in Bitcoin Season or on the verge of Altcoin Season has dragged on for many months, especially due to Ethereum’s price action in the past few days. LUCIE, Shiba Inu’s marketing lead, recently touched on the matter, sharing insights on what’s currently happening, what to expect for an altcoin season, and when to anticipate a breakout in the Altcoin Season Index. Altcoin Season Index Points To Bitcoin Dominance Many traders and analysts have been closely watching the Altcoin Season Index, with posts on the social media platform X and news reports increasing in anticipation of a market-wide move that could favor altcoins against …
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A growing number of Bitcoin and crypto market participants have fallen victim to a dangerous assumption: that summer in the crypto markets is synonymous with stagnation. However, crypto analyst Cristian Chifoi warns that this summer may follow a drastically different script. In a video analysis released on July 1, Chifoi lays out a compelling case that 2025 fits a historical pattern that has previously delivered some of Bitcoin’s strongest summer performances. Summer 2025 Could Flip Bitcoin’s Script Chifoi’s thesis is based on a concept he has long explored: Bitcoin seasonality—a recurring, cyclical behavior in Bitcoin’s price action across the calendar year, especially …
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On-chain data shows the supply held by new Bitcoin buyers has seen a jump recently, a sign that the latest price rally is backed by fresh capital. First-Time Bitcoin Buyers Have Increased Supply By 2.86% In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin ‘First Buyers.’ This cohort is part of Glassnode’s broader investor classification system that is based on behavior. The First Buyers include, as the name already hints, the holders who are buying the cryptocurrency for the first time. The supply associated with the group, therefore, can be considered as a proxy of the fresh capital entering into the sector. Other…
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Bitcoin has continued to show strength amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty, with surging U.S. bond yields and escalating global tensions keeping markets on edge. However, recent political drama has injected new volatility into the crypto space. The world’s leading cryptocurrency experienced a sharp 5% pullback after a highly publicized clash between Elon Musk and US President Donald Trump unfolded on the social platform X. The dispute, centered around the “Big Beautiful Bill” criticized by Musk, quickly triggered reactions across financial markets. According to top analyst Darkfost, last night marked the most significant shift in trader behavior on Binance so far in 2…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to set new all-time highs (ATH) – reaching $123,218 on Binance on July 13 – on-chain data reveals a shift in holder behavior that could threaten the cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum. Bitcoin Holder Rotation May Derail Rally According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor IT Tech, long-term Bitcoin holders (LTH) – those holding BTC for over 155 days – have transitioned into net distribution, suggesting seasoned investors are engaging in profit-taking. Meanwhile, short-term holders (STH) – those who have held BTC for less than 155 days — have recently turned net positive, indicating they are buying into BTC’s current rally in anticipat…
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Bitcoin has resumed a slow climb upward after a recent period of consolidation, briefly breaking back above the $106,000 mark earlier today. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading at $105,383, reflecting a 0.8% increase over the past 24 hours. While this upward move has not sparked a major breakout, analysts are paying close attention to on-chain and market structure indicators that suggest a cautiously balanced environment. On-Chain Data Points to Equilibrium, But Demand Wanes According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the market currently lacks extreme signals of profit-taking or panic. In a recent analysis, Darkfost explained that realized profits ove…
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As political tensions between US President Donald Trump and Elon Musk escalated yesterday, the Bitcoin (BTC) market experienced a sharp shift in sentiment, with the funding rate on Binance flipping from positive to negative within hours. Bitcoin Funding Rates Turn Negative On Binance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Darkfost, BTC funding rates on Binance have once again turned negative, even as the top cryptocurrency continues to trade above the $100,000 mark at the time of writing. The analyst attributed the sudden reversal in funding – from +0.003 to -0.004 – to the public spat between Trump and Musk on social media. This rapid shift reflects …
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to consolidate slightly below the $120,000 level, the dominance of new investors is steadily rising. However, on-chain data shows that BTC is still far from overheating, suggesting the premier cryptocurrency may have more room to run before a significant correction sets in. Bitcoin May Still Have Some Room To Run According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor AxelAdlerJr, new investor dominance in Bitcoin is gradually increasing – currently hovering around 30%, which is only halfway to the historical “overheated” threshold. The analyst shared the following chart, which highlights two past instances – marked in orange – when new inve…
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On-chain data shows exchanges have received heavy Bitcoin inflows over the last couple of weeks, a potential factor behind the asset’s bearish action. Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Has Been Trending Up Recently In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Supply on Exchanges for Bitcoin. The “Supply on Exchanges” here is an on-chain indicator from the analytics firm Santiment that keeps track of the total amount of BTC that’s sitting on the wallets connected to centralized exchanges. When the value of this metric rises, it means the holders are depositing a net number of tokens to these platforms. As one of the main reasons wh…
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There’s much ado about Bitcoin these days. After notching a new all-time of $111.9K on May 22, 2025, $BTC has been trading back and forth below that mark, never falling below $100K. But usually holding sideways between $105K-$110K. But Bitcoin sentiment is beginning to build again. Will it lead to a new push for the market? If so, then the aptly-named Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) presale could gain the most as Bitcoin’s first Layer-2 implementing the Solana Virtual Machine. Long-Time HODLers Selling at $100K One reason for the recent selling pressure might be long-term Bitcoin hodlers finally choosing to sell. Early investors who bought Bitcoin when the price was a few tho…
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Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped more than 7%, falling from around $117,400 on August 21 to a low of $108,666 earlier today. Despite the bearish slide, some encouraging exchange data suggests improving sentiment. However, analysts warn this could once again be a setup for institutions to trap retail buyers. Bitcoin Sentiment Improves, But Maintain Caution According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisD, the Binance vs. Other Exchanges BTC Volume Delta turned positive on August 25, registering $676 million. This indicates that Binance users have shifted decisively into spot buying mode. Notably, this trend has not been observed on other…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has retreated into the neutral territory as the BTC price has made recovery back above $114,000. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Exactly In The Balance Right Now The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The index uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: volatility, trading volume, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The metric represents the sentiment as a score lying between zero and hundred, where all values abov…
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A closely watched derivatives strategist expects Bitcoin’s next major move to begin with a violent short squeeze, only to flip into a punishing “long trap” as October opens—a sequence he argues rhymes more with late-2023 than with the euphoric blow-offs of March and December 2024. In a thread posted on September 12 and expanded over the weekend, analyst Nik Patel (@cointradernik) said the current positioning backdrop “is less like March and Dec ’24 crossovers and more like Dec ’23,” warning that the market is set up for a “multi-week whipsaw going into early/mid Oct.” He added a specific liquidation map: “Give me $1.5bn in shorts liqs on the weekly and then $2.8bn of lon…
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According to a report by digital asset firm CoinShares, Bitcoin could see a surge of more than 65% from today’s price if it wins just a small slice of major monetary pools. At its current level just above $113,500, that jump would take BTC up to about $189,000. It’s a simple idea with big implications. Potential Market Share Based on reports, global liquidity—known as M2—is sitting at roughly $127 trillion, while all mined gold adds up to almost $24 trillion. CoinShares applies a so-called Total Addressable Market (TAM) model to those figures. If Bitcoin captures 2% of global M2 and 5% of gold’s market cap, the sum points to a $189,000 price tag. It doesn’t assume BTC…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is currently stabilizing within the $116,000 to $120,000 range. However, fresh liquidity totalling $2 billion in stablecoins could help propel the flagship cryptocurrency to new all-time highs (ATHs). Bitcoin To Benefit From Fresh Liquidity According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr Taha, more than $2 billion worth of stablecoins – primarily Tether (USDT) – were deposited into major derivatives trading platforms earlier today. Taha believes that this surge in inflows signals increased appetite for leveraged positions among seasoned traders, many of whom are anticipating a potential breakout in BTC’s price. Notably, this fresh batch of US…
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As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local lows at the start of September. Amid the retracement, investors expected to see another “Rektember,” as it has historically been one of …
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Amid the tension in the Iran-Israel conflict, the cryptocurrency market experienced another daily pullback. Bitcoin (BTC), which had just recovered from Friday’s drop, erased its recent gains and recorded a 4.5% dip to the $103,000 mark in the past 24 hours. However, some analysts believe that the flagship crypto is preparing for a big move in the coming weeks. Bitcoin Could See Massive Move Soon On Monday, Bitcoin attempted to break its post-November range high but failed to hold the $108,000-$109,000 area as support for the fourth time in a month, falling back into its larger range. Market watcher Daan Crypto Trades noted that this resistance level remains a key area…
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The price of Bitcoin has dropped by nearly 4% over the last seven days, indicating the waning bullish momentum in the largest cryptocurrency market. This recent sluggishness has called into question the strength of the latest bull rally that saw the market leader climb to a new all-time high last week. According to an investment data platform, the price of BTC might not be done just yet with its bullish run, with the latest on-chain data suggesting room for further upside movement. Is BTC In An Overheated Market Condition Yet? Market analytics firm Alphractal took to the social media platform X to share an exciting on-chain insight into the current setup of the Bitcoin p…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-…
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Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the leading corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC), is on the verge of reaching a significant milestone as it approaches the acquisition of 600,000 tokens. In its latest move, the company purchased 4,980 Bitcoin between June 23 and June 29 for an average price of $106,801 each, totaling approximately $531.9 million. This latest purchase has brought the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 597,325, acquired for around $42.4 billion. Strategy Shares Surge 4.7% Despite Bitcoin’s price remaining relatively stable at around $107,000 and $107,500 over the past 24 hours, Strategy’s shares, MSTR, increased by 4.7% to $402.07 on Monday, reflecting …
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