Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Last Friday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I pointed out the level of 1.1571 and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout near 1.1571 provided a buying point for the euro; however, after the pair rose by 10 pips, selling pressure on the euro returned. In the second half of the day, a false breakout near 1.1571 prompted selling of the European currency, but it did not trigger significant downward movement. To Open Long Positions on EUR/USD: The absence of U.S. data helped the euro recover against the dollar. Today…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The dollar is once again under pressure due to the increased likelihood of interest rate cuts in the U.S. this month. The euro, pound, and Japanese yen strengthened their positions at the end of last week, but during the Asian session today, pressure on many trading instruments has returned. Moving forward, everything will depend on fresh fundamental data. In the first half of the day, data is expected on the manufacturing sector business activity index for Germany, France, the Eurozone, and the UK. Experts' expectations lean towards the indicators remaining at their previous, quite low levels, which will not provide a significant impetus for strengthening the euro. Howev…
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Traders barely had a moment to catch their breath after Bitcoin hit $93,000 last week when active selling in the cryptocurrency market pushed the world's first cryptocurrency to around $85,500 at the opening of the Asian session. It seems that this is still far from the end of the bear market. Ethereum has also dropped below $3,000 and is currently trading around $2,820. Meanwhile, according to Farside data, outflows from spot BTC ETFs stopped last week, while inflows into spot ETH ETFs were recorded. Additionally, there have been continued inflows into spot SOL ETFs. After a period of relative stagnation and outflows from crypto funds, this could signal a shift in inves…
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The GBP/USD currency pair slightly corrected on Friday but retained its local upward trend. Currently, the pair may be at the very beginning of a new upward trend that will be part of the trend for 2025. From our perspective, the fundamental backdrop for the dollar has not changed in the second half of this year, and the dollar itself has extracted the maximum from local fundamentals and macroeconomic factors. It is also worth noting that the euro and the pound generally trade in the same direction and quite similarly. If the upward trend in the euro were to be reversed, we would have expected further declines in the British pound. However, as the euro remains in a flat r…
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The EUR/USD currency pair showed no interesting "movements" on Friday. Four trading days this week had volatility below 53 pips. The average volatility over the past month and week is also 53 pips. Thus, it can be confidently stated that the market continues to rest and prepare for a trend, while movements remain extremely weak. Can we expect any changes in the upcoming week? It is essential to remind traders that any flat period typically ends abruptly and unexpectedly. Many traders are waiting for a significant event that will shake the market and prompt more active trading. However, in reality, a flat can conclude on an empty day. A flat is merely a period during which…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.150 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1420. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.150 level. The price is trading below the $0.1450 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $0.1520 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.150 and $0.1450. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1520, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.150 and $0.1450 support …
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.150. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.10 pivot level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.150 zone. The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $2.180 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.150 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.120 and $2.10. There was a move below th…
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[Gold] With both EMAs which still intersects the Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish level, Gold has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4273.12 2. Resistance. 1 : 4254.94 3. Pivot : 4199.01 4. Support. 1 : 4171.83 5. Support. 2 : 4124.90 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of XAU/USD breaks out and closes above 4254.94, it may move toward 4273.12. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4273.12 is broken, Gold may continue its upward movement up to the level of 4320.05. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines and breaks below 4124.90. EMA(50) : 4198.…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] Although both EMAs of #NDX are still in a Golden Cross configuration, but with the RSI being in the Neutral-Bearish level may lead #NDX to decline toward its nearest support level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 25556.5 2. Resistance. 1 : 25486.4 3. Pivot : 25361.4 4. Support. 1 : 25291.3 5. Support. 2 : 25166.3 Tactical Scenario: Negative Reaction Zone: If the price of #NDX breaks down and closes below 25291.3, it may continue its decline to 25166.3. Momentum Extension Bias: If 25166.3 is broken, #NDX will likely continue to decline down to the level of 25096.2. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is weakened if …
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The question on every trader’s mind right now is simple: why did crypto crash while silver and gold launched into fresh territory? As Bitcoin price plunged from $92K range to the mid $80Ks, precious metals ripped to new all-time highs – triggering a wave of fear, forced liquidations, and talk of a looming recession. With Bitcoin experiencing a sharp decline and Silver printing levels not seen in modern history, markets are clearly shifting. But is this a structural rotation, a temporary panic, or a macro warning shot? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Di…
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Bitcoin price tumbled on Monday as weak ETF inflows and quiet trading in derivatives took the edge off any rally attempt, even while US stocks and gold pushed higher on rising bets that interest rates could soon fall. The world’s largest cryptocurrency again failed to reclaim $93,000, despite a supportive tone across traditional markets and fresh strength in precious metals. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time With the S&P 500 sitting less than 1% below its all-time high, traders kept asking the same question: what would it take to lift Bitcoin into a…
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China’s central bank has moved to shut down speculation that it may soften its tough position on digital assets, even as some voices inside the country argue that authorities should allow Bitcoin mining to resume. According to a report by Caixin, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) summoned officials from multiple state bodies, including government departments, internet watchdogs, and judicial system members, to reaffirm Beijing’s stance on cryptocurrency oversight. Despite steady claims within China and abroad that illicit mining activity is rising, there is little sign that the world’s second-largest economy is preparing to welcome Bitcoin back anytime soon. DISCOVER: …
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $2,950. ETH is down over 5%, trading below $2,880, and might continue to move down. Ethereum started a fresh decline below $2,950 and $2,900. The price is trading below $2,880 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $2,990 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,800 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Over 5% Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,000 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $2,880 to enter a bearish zone. There was a break below a key bullish tre…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh decline from $92,000. BTC is down over 5% and the bulls are struggling to keep the price above $86,500. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $90,000 zone. The price is trading below $88,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $89,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $86,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to settle above the $92,000 resistance zone and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped sharply below $90,500 and $90,000. There was a break below a key b…
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The U.S. dollar will once again be the "trendsetter" in the upcoming week. More precisely, it will be the trendsetter of movements. In the last two weeks, demand for the U.S. currency has declined, but prior to that, the American currency had been rising in value for nearly two months on rather dubious news foundations. I would like to remind you that the dollar's rise coincided with the entire "shutdown" period in the U.S., which set a new record duration of 43 days. Therefore, the current decline in the American currency is, first, weak and, second, justifiable. However, in the upcoming week, several events in America could turn the market against the upward trend. The …
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The review of the news background from the UK will be quite brief. Over the next five days, two reports will be released in Britain that cannot be considered capable of influencing market sentiment in the slightest. These are the business activity indices for the services and manufacturing sectors for November. However, I would like to remind you that preliminary estimates for these indices were published two weeks ago, and we will only see the final estimates in the upcoming week. They don't particularly interest me. The working scenario for the British pound also suggests an upward movement. If we are currently observing another corrective structure within the larger co…
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The European currency will strive to advance further in the upcoming week. I want to remind you that situations often arise where the news background conflicts with wave analysis (or other types of analysis). In such cases, the stronger factor prevails. In my opinion, wave analysis is stronger right now, but some reports from the U.S. and the Eurozone could negatively affect the movement. In upcoming reviews, we will examine events that might cause the instruments' movements to deviate from desired behavior. There will be several events in the Eurozone. It will all start with business activity indices in the manufacturing sector on Monday, followed by an inflation report …
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The only predictable trait of Trump is his unpredictability. Many economists note the complete absence of strategy or tactics in the actions and statements of the American president. Essentially, the leader of the White House operates like a true businessman: trying to push for better terms for himself, and if that doesn't work, he backs down. This is the approach Trump takes with all countries around the world. If he can gain additional income or improve trade conditions without making any concessions, why wouldn't he do it? In addition, many political analysts point out a certain "narcissism" in the U.S. president. In other words, some of Trump's actions are not even ai…
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Brazil has also taken the path of confrontation with Washington. Perhaps less openly and more cautiously, but confrontational. Brazil understands that America is somewhat dependent on it, as it exports numerous food products. In the U.S., prices are rising, and the greatest dissatisfaction among American voters stems from rising food prices. It is evident that increases in the prices of cars, furniture, and various metals concern only those Americans who consume (directly or indirectly) these categories of goods. However, everyone consumes food without exception. The cost of living in America is rising, and simultaneously, Trump is increasingly tightening the screws in th…
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The meaning of this phrase is probably known to everyone by now. It means that Trump always backs down and is used in cases when the American president initially makes loud statements (threats, ultimatums) or takes aggressive actions (sanctions, tariffs), only to forget them or ease the pressure on the opponent later. However, if this strategy didn't work, Trump would have stopped using it a long time ago. The thing is, it works well, but... not on everyone. Just consider this: Trump has imposed tariffs and sanctions on half the countries in the world. Most nations have deemed it better to negotiate peacefully with Washington. This even included representatives from Bruss…
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Spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) are one of the biggest narratives and have been a game-changer in the cryptocurrency space in the past two years. With these investment products, people get to participate in the cryptocurrency market without having to directly own the digital assets. Interestingly, one of the biggest winners—that often gets overlooked—has been the issuers, especially as the crypto industry has seen increased institutional adoption since the Bitcoin ETFs launched. According to the firm’s executive, the BTC exchange-traded funds becoming the major source of revenue for BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, was not envisioned. BlackRock’s …
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Binance founder Changpeng Zhao’s blunt reminder about buying low and selling high landed at a tense time for crypto traders. His line — “Sell when there is maximum greed, and buy when there is maximum fear” — was posted as markets showed fresh signs of strain and debate over whether now is a buying moment or another stall. CZ’s Message Meets Extreme Fear According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, sentiment recently climbed to 20, moving out of “Extreme Fear” after a streak of low readings. The index had hit a yearly low of 10 on Nov. 22 and the market had spent eighteen days stuck in extreme fear. Analysts called that stretch unusually deep. Matthew Hyland descr…
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The Layer 1 blockchain Monad has grabbed the headlines in the past few days following its successful launch earlier last week. MON, its native token, enjoyed a significant 80% surge on the back of the launch, hitting an all-time high of 0.048 on Wednesday, November 26. While the Monad protocol has enjoyed significant attention since going live, it appears that not everyone is confident in its potential adoption. Most notably, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has put forward a pessimistic outlook for the project, saying its token value could fall as much as 99%. Monad Has No Real Use Case: Hayes In a YouTube interview with Altcoin Daily, Hayes stated that any other Layer 1…
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Almost 70% of global institutional investors expect gold prices to post additional gains next year, Goldman Sachs said, citing the conclusions of a new poll. The biggest proportion of respondents — 36% — think gold will top $5,000 per oz. by the end of 2026, New York-based Goldman said Friday. Another third of participants said they expect the precious metal to trade between $4,500 and $5,000 over the same timeframe, while just over 5% of those polled see prices dropping to between $3,500 and $4,000. The investment bank surveyed more than 900 clients on its Marquee platform from Nov. 12 to 14. Rate cuts Buoyed in part by sustained central buying and expecta…
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The launch of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking Dogecoin in the United States was met with muted enthusiasm. Inflows into Grayscale and Bitwise’s ETFs were limited in their first week of trading, despite the hype around the first-ever Dogecoin ETFs. But even as ETF inflows sputter, some technical analysts argue that DOGE might still undergo a strong price rally, possibly all the way to $1, if important support levels hold. Spot DOGE ETFs Off To A Slow Start When Grayscale rolled out its Spot DOGE fund (GDOG) on November 24, inflow volume clocked in at just about $1.8 million on the first day, far below the estimates some market participants had forecasted. For …
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