Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11909 tópicos neste fórum
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Let's move on to the next tax—the dividend income tax. Starting April 6 next year, all rates will increase by 2%. Economists point out that for many small business owners, these 2% are significant. Previously, directors of small enterprises and firms could pay themselves a minimal salary while receiving the rest of their earnings as dividends, but now they will have to pay more taxes on that amount. An additional 2% tax on the company's overall income is quite substantial. The next tax is on the luxury housing tax. From 2028, owners of luxury apartments and houses will pay an annual rate on their property. The tax will apply to properties valued at over £2 million. The mi…
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In recent months, the British pound has been under pressure amid debate over the UK budget for the next financial year. Personally, I do not understand the panic in the markets, and I even allow for the possibility that the pound's decline was not due to uncertainty about the budget and taxes. However, Chancellor Rachel Reeves has repeatedly caused market participants to panic and sell the British currency with her statements about taxes and the budget. Thus, a logical pattern emerges without difficulty. To begin this extensive topic, it is essential to note that the Labour Party promised British voters during the election campaign not to raise taxes. On Wednesday, it bec…
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It is U.S. Thanksgiving Day, so American trading platforms are closed. Considering the short day on November 28 (which coincides with "Black Friday"), it can be stated that traders have gone on mini-vacations that will end on December 1. Ahead of the extended weekend, buyers attempted to enter the 16-figure16-figure area, testing the intermediate resistance level at 1.1610, which corresponds to the upper line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the four-hour chart. However, this attempt failed—the sellers took the initiative, and the pair drifted amid an almost empty economic calendar. Wednesday—important macroeconomic reports were supposed to be released in the United…
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Inflation in Australia is on the rise again, and this is perhaps the most important news that will influence the Reserve Bank of Australia's stance on rates and the Australian dollar's exchange rate. After inflation rose to 3.2% in the third quarter, the highest level in more than a year, forecasts for the RBA's rate changed. Before the publication, the market confidently predicted further rate cuts, but afterward, the likelihood of such a move decreased. The RBA did not disappoint—at the beginning of November, the rate was maintained at 3.6%, but this decision appeared to be only a temporary pause. However, on Wednesday, the October inflation index was published, showing…
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Why isn't EUR/USD rising? The Federal Reserve will be one of the few central banks to lower rates in 2026. The influence of Hassett is pressuring the U.S. dollar, while hopes for peace in Ukraine should support all European currencies, including the euro. Nevertheless, the main currency pair is moving in a "two steps forward, one step back" mode. Perhaps the crux lies in the greenback's ability to confront its fears? Dynamics of Swap Rate Expectations for the Fed After the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the cash rate, it adopted "hawkish" rhetoric. Most likely, the cycle of monetary expansion is over. The same can be said for the European Central Bank. The acce…
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) lowered the interest rate by a quarter of a point to 2.25%, a decision that fully aligned with expectations. Expectations for further actions from the RBNZ have shifted to a more hawkish stance; not long ago, the market saw a relatively high probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut in November following a disappointing GDP report. However, after the release of third-quarter data and inflation rising to 3%, sentiments changed. As indicated in the meeting minutes, the discussion regarding the appropriateness of lowering the rate no longer involved a 50-basis-point step; rather, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged increased. T…
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Karnalyte Resources announced the completion of an updated feasibility study for the Wynyard deposit in central Saskatchewan, which highlights a projected mine life of 70 years and reveals positive economics that establish a foundation for long-term, stable returns from the project. The Wynyard project is located 175 km east of Saskatoon, within a recognized potash belt. This area is in proximity to established producers and has access to infrastructure for serving North American and export markets. The unique project involves mining from a carnallite deposit, which includes both potassium chloride (KCl) and magnesium chloride (MgCl2), allowing for the production of p…
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XRP is under intense selling pressure as the broader crypto market enters a decisive stage marked by fear, uncertainty, and a rapid shift in investor sentiment. With Bitcoin struggling to recover and altcoins posting steep losses, many analysts are warning that XRP could face a continued decline in the coming days. Investors are bracing for more volatility as liquidity thins and market confidence weakens. Yet, despite the bearish narrative, the XRP ecosystem has shown unusual levels of activity—particularly on the institutional front. The arrival of the first US spot XRP ETFs has reshaped its market profile. Canary Capital was the first to launch on November 13, soon fo…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 27 American traders have taken a break after weeks of volatility, and when the US is off, the entire market feels off. Market participants from around the globe tend to take their day off when US markets are closed, due to a considerably lower amount of transactions, which generates a self-nourishing effect of market boredom. Still, a few pairs and names generated some movement today, counting the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) on a second day of gains after publishing a strong beat on their Retail Sales number yesterday evening. The Kiwi enjoyed the most recent RBNZ 25 basis point cut to 2.25%, as the market …
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A crypto analyst has issued a decisive projection that challenges the long timelines often associated with major price milestones for Bitcoin. His outlook was presented in response to the ultra-bullish forecasts from Michael Saylor and Jack Mallers, who have spoken openly about the possibility of Bitcoin reaching between $1 million and $20 million per coin. Rather than focusing on Bitcoin’s distant targets, the analyst directed attention to XRP, insisting that XRP will reach $100 long before Bitcoin touches the seven-figure mark. Analyst Says XRP Will Reach $100 Before Bitcoin’s Million-Dollar Target There have been many bullish predictions of Bitcoin breaking above th…
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Yesterday's rally in the pair encountered resistance around the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 156.70. This level has become a key barrier before further broad-based growth. A sustained move above this level would allow spot prices to overcome the round 157.00 level, continuing the rise toward intermediate resistance at 157.20, then 157.50, and eventually reaching the 158.00 round level — the highest value since mid-January, which was nearly reached last week. On the other hand, a decline below the Asian session low near 155.70, as well as the previous Asian session low around 155.65, will open the path to deeper losses, pushing USD/JPY toward the psychological…
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Solana (SOL) is showing remarkable resilience this week, holding firmly above the critical $140 support zone despite heightened market anxiety following a $37 million hack on South Korea’s Upbit exchange. The stability comes at a time when institutional interest in Solana is accelerating, highlighted by Franklin Templeton’s recent Form 8-A filing with the U.S. SEC to launch a Solana ETF. Franklin Templeton’s Solana ETF Fuels Institutional Momentum The global investment giant, which manages $1.67 trillion in assets, is positioning itself at the forefront of crypto-focused investment products. The proposed ETF would offer regulated exposure to Solana without requiring …
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Bitcoin has pushed back above the $90,000 level after several days of intense selling pressure, bringing a brief moment of relief to a market overwhelmed by fear and uncertainty. Despite the rebound, bulls remain under pressure as speculation of an incoming bear market continues to grow. Many investors are still digesting the sharp correction from October’s all-time high, and confidence has yet to fully return. According to top analyst Darkfost, one of the key indicators reinforcing this cautious environment is the Coinbase Premium Index, which remains negative. This metric compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase — the preferred exchange for US institutions and professiona…
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Guardian Metal Resources (LSE-A: GMET) is betting two tungsten projects in Nevada can help to revive United States mined supply of the critical metal as China tightens exports and Washington scrambles for alternative sources. Helped by a $6.2 million award from the US Department of Defense under the Defense Production Act Title III program, Guardian is carrying out a pre-feasibility study at its Pilot Mountain project that’s slated for completion in the first half next year. Pilot Mountain, located about 270 km southeast of state capital Carson City, hosts a historical resource. The past-producing Tempiute mine comes with a standing mill building, 3,000-kilowatt s…
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Crypto analyst NeverWishing has predicted that the XRP price will rally to as high as $1,115. He highlighted three paths for XRP to reach this target, in what the analyst described as the final bull run for the altcoin. Analyst Maps Out Final XRP Bull Run Rally To $1,115 In a TradingView post, the crypto analyst mapped out three paths for XRP to rally to the $1,115 target. They tagged the first path as the immediate delivery, the second as a normal delivery, and the third as one that will trigger only if the XRP price stays suppressed. For the third path, NeverWishing stated that a final backup execution could happen between January 1 and 6 next year. For path A, Neve…
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Panama could publish initial findings from the sweeping audit of First Quantum Minerals’ (TSX: FM) Cobre Panama copper mine as soon as next week, with the final report due by the end of February and expected to guide the government’s next steps for the stalled operation. The independent review, led by SGS Panama Control Services, examines environmental compliance, legal and labour issues, tax matters, operational processes and potential environmental liabilities. Authorities say the results could shape any future negotiations over the mine’s future. Alfredo Burgos, National Director of Mineral Resources at the Ministry of Commerce and Industries, told local media …
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The Historic Purpose of Coin Ridges and Why It Still Matters Today For centuries, coins were minted from metals that held real intrinsic value, and people quickly discovered that shaving tiny amounts from the edges of these coins was an easy way to exploit the system. Mint authorities introduced ridged edges so any attempt to clip or tamper with a coin became immediately visible. This simple mechanical feature protected purchasing power and kept the currency honest, which is a useful reminder for today’s retirees who are looking for secure ways to preserve long-term value. The principle behind ridged coins was always value preservation, which is still one of the most imp…
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The 4-hour wave pattern for EUR/USD has changed but still looks fairly clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure since July 1 has become significantly more complex and extended. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which has taken an unconventional form. Inside this wave, we observe exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not finished, and its targets extend all the way to the 1.25 level. The series of waves a-b-c-d-e appears complete; therefore…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom illustration), but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top illustration). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any major corrective wave, since it has a corrective rather than an impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe that the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken on a five-wave form a-b-c-d-e and may be complete. If this is indeed the case, then the instrument…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen The price test of 156.20 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly upward from the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. The second test of 156.20 happened when the MACD was in the overbought area, which triggered the implementation of Scenario No. 2 for selling. However, the trade resulted in losses. In the second half of the day, there are no important fundamental statistics from the US, so active trading in the USD/JPY pair is unlikely. Additionally, US markets will be closed due to Thanksgiving. This combination of factors …
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British Pound The price test of 1.3246 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by more than 30 points. The pound fell noticeably in the absence of UK statistics, partially offsetting yesterday's rise. This resembles the classic "swing" movement in currency markets, where short-term impulses are followed by corrective movements, reflecting the ongoing struggle between buyers and sellers. Yesterday's optimism was likely triggered by details of the budget, which investors viewed as positive for econo…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the European Currency The price test of 1.1595 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined by 18 points. The statistical data published in the morning on Germany and credit dynamics in the eurozone did not help restore demand for the euro. From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD currency pair is showing a correction while maintaining chances for further growth. However, today we are unlikely to see major market movements. Today is a holiday in the United States due to Thanksgiving, so active t…
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Ethereum is trading far below its modeled “intrinsic value,” according to a live valuation dashboard launched by Hashed CEO Simon Kim. On ETHval (ethval.com), the current snapshot shows Ethereum at a spot price of $3,034.0 while the reliability-weighted “Composite Fair Value” stands at $4,777.5, implying +57.8% upside versus the market. The median fair value across models is $4,026.68, or +33.8% above spot. The dashboard labels ETH “UNDERVALUED” and aggregates its eight models into five buy, one hold and two sell signals. How The Fair Value Of Ethereum Is Calculated Kim introduced the project on X with the explicit goal of shifting the discussion away from pure sentiment…
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Centerra Gold (TSX: CG) continued its investment spree in Canadian mining juniors this week, this time grabbing a 9.9% stake in critical minerals explorer Metal Energy (TSXV: MERG). In a press release issued on Thursday, Toronto-headquartered Metal Energy announced a C$9.3 million financing, in which Centerra would participate. Under the offering, the company intends to issue 8.8 million flow-through shares priced at C$0.73 per share, plus 6.2 million common shares priced at C$0.45 per share. Metal Energy’s stock opened at C$0.55, then surged by 15% to a 52-week high of C$0.60 apiece. This takes its market capitalization to approximately C$16.1 million ($11.5 mill…
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While US Markets are away for the Thanksgiving holiday, leaving the broader session fairly calm, the FX markets remain open and active, with all eyes turning to the Kiwi Dollar (NZD), posting yet another strong session. zoom_out_map 1-Day FX Performance – NZD demarks itself in the calm Thanksgiving Session – Source: Finviz The Antipodean currency has faced its share of struggles this year, weighed down by a slowing New…
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