Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitwise Asset Management’s European research arm argues that the sharp sell-off that followed last week’s military escalation between Iran and Israel is likely to give way to a powerful relief rally in Bitcoin, echoing the cryptocurrency’s behaviour after earlier geopolitical shocks. In its 16 June weekly newsletter Bitwise Europe points to a “Chart of the Week” that lines up the twenty most significant geopolitical risk events since July 2010 and finds that, on average, Bitcoin was “up 31.2 percent fifty days after the event, with a median gain of 10.2 percent.” According to the authors, “major geopolitical risk events tend to be good buying opportunities for bitcoin an…
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Arthur Hayes believes the long arc of US policy now points toward money creation on a scale that could push Bitcoin into “multi-million” territory—and, in a more extreme scenario, as high as $15 million per coin. In a wide-ranging interview hosted by CoinFund’s Chris Perkins, the BitMEX co-founder and noted macro commentator tied the path of Bitcoin explicitly to a looming political and institutional showdown at the Federal Reserve, arguing that Jerome Powell can delay—but not ultimately prevent—the return of aggressive stimulus under a Trump administration. Bitcoin To $15 Million Possible Under Trump? From Jackson Hole, where markets are braced for Powell’s remarks, Hay…
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In an interview with Dutch host Paul Buitink published on September 4, Henrik Zeberg, Head Economist at SwissBlock, set out a two-stage roadmap for Bitcoin and crypto: a final, powerful “melt-up” driven by liquidity and momentum, followed by a dot-com-style bust that he says will be catalyzed by a surging dollar and tightening financial conditions. “We do have the largest bubble ever,” Zeberg said, arguing that equities, crypto and real estate will first climb further before the cycle turns. “The music is still playing and you can still get a drink at the bar,” he quipped, extending his Titanic metaphor to explain why he believes sentiment and macro signals have not yet …
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Tom Lee, the Managing Partner of Fundstrat Global Advisors, CNBC, stated that Bitcoin could reach $200K by the end of this year. Known for making bold financial predictions in the past, Lee anticipates that the U.S. central bank’s upcoming interest rate cut on September 17, 2025, will trigger a surge in $BTC prices. Lee added that assets like Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum can be very sensitive to changes in monetary policy, and the upcoming interest rate cut could serve as a major catalyst for driving the price increase. According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin has risen by 1.37% in the past 24 hours, rounding off the price of one token to $112,510.63. The co…
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The price of Bitcoin has had a mixed performance so far in 2025, falling to a low of around $74,000 in the first quarter of the year. The premier cryptocurrency has since set multiple all-time highs above the $120,000 mark over the past few months. However, while the Bitcoin price seems to have fallen into a consolidation phase in recent weeks, the general feeling in the market has always been that there remains an upside potential for the market leader. Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz has come forward to echo these sentiments while identifying the “biggest catalyst” to kickstart a potential rally. ‘Exceptionally Dovish’ Fed Chair Could Guide BTC To $200,000: Novograt…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim a crucial level as support, which could propel its price to its local range high. A market watcher suggests that this week’s performance could set the tone for the rest of the month. Bitcoin Retest Eyes Massive Rally After losing the $106,800 level last week, Bitcoin has been trying to reclaim this crucial area as support. This recently lost level served as a key support for BTC following its rally to a new all-time high (ATH), with its price hovering between $106,800 and $109,700 before the market retracement. However, the flagship crypto dropped over 8% from its $111,980 high amid last week’s pullback, hitting a 10-day low near…
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Bitcoin dipped to $103,450 yesterday, wiping out about $1 billion in leveraged bets over the past 24 hours. Many traders hurried to sell, but the fall was short-lived. Bitcoin found its footing and climbed back to $104,400 by the time this report was filed. According to a recent analysis by crypto researcher Klarch, this pullback was expected and might just be a pit stop before another run to fresh highs. Recurring Cycle Patterns Based on examination by Klarch, Bitcoin tends to follow a familiar path after each halving. One year after the 2016 halving, it rose about 280%. After the 2020 halving, it jumped roughly 550% in 367 days. Right now, Bitcoin has only moved up …
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Bitcoin is currently on the path to holding a strong footing above $109,000 after reclaiming the $108,000 price level in the past seven days. Notably, Bitcoin’s price has gained more than $3,000 over the past week, with bullish momentum building steadily across the broader crypto market. Bitcoin is once again flirting with all-time highs, and popular crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader recently shared a technical analysis on social media that claims Bitcoin has now entered its third parabolic phase. His chart places Bitcoin right on track for another historic climb to crazy price targets even in 2025. Bitcoin Following Familiar Price Schedule According to Merlijn’s anal…
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After hitting a one-week low on Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim the key $104,000-$105,000 area as support, but some analysts have warned that a visit to its range’s lows could be in BTC’s short-term future if volatility continues. Bitcoin to Continue Choppy Performance On Thursday afternoon, Bitcoin dropped 5.5% to the $102,000 support fueled by the news of the Iran-Israel conflict. Amid the market pullback, the flagship crypto failed to hold its $108,000-$110,000 three-day range, falling to the mid-zone of its post-November breakout range. Notably, BTC had just recovered from last week’s retest of the $100,000 level, reclaiming the key $106,800 area a…
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After a week of volatile price action, Bitcoin has once again returned to familiar territory around the $106,000 price level. However, on-chain data shows that investors are still cautious, with the crypto Fear & Greed Index now in the neutral zone. On the other hand, technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart shows that its price behavior has completed a significant correction, one that’s paving the way for a major rally to $130,000. Bitcoin’s Wave 2 Correction Might Be Complete According to XForceGlobal, a crypto analyst who posted a detailed Elliott Wave chart on the social platform X, Bitcoin’s recent correction fits…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin investors who purchased near the price top are choosing to hold even after the latest pullback. Bitcoin Cost Basis Distribution Shows Supply Still Firm Above $118,000 In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed the latest trend in the Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap of Bitcoin. This indicator tells us about how much of the asset’s supply was purchased at the various spot price levels. In on-chain analysis, supply cost basis is considered a key concept, as investor behavior is often more pronounced when the cryptocurrency is trading at or near its acquisition level. When the market mood is bullish, investors in pro…
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Bitcoin has observed a recovery surge toward $117,000 as on-chain data shows Binance users have been making consistent withdrawals recently. Binance Bitcoin Netflow Has Been Negative Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a Quicktake post, BTC has been flowing out of Binance recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Exchange Netflow,” which keeps track of the net amount of Bitcoin that’s entering into or exiting out of the wallets connected to a given centralized exchange. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the inflows are overwhelming the outflows on the platform. Generally, one of the main reasons why inv…
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After rising rapidly over the weekend to hit new all-time highs, the Bitcoin price seems to have hit a brick wall above $120,000, sparking a correction. While this is expected to be a short correction, a notable development involving an 8-year trendline that has marked the top of previous cycles has emerged. If this trendline resistance holds and Bitcoin fails to break it, then it could mean that the top is in, and what usually follows is a drawn-out bear market. 8-Year Trendline Suggests Bitcoin Top Is In Crypto analyst MartyBoots, in an analysis on TradingView, caught a test of a an 8-year trendline which began back in the 2017-2018 cycle, marking the top of multiple b…
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Bitcoin has continued to trade within a tight range just below its previous all-time high, showing recent signs of upward movement but falling short of reclaiming its peak price. The asset recorded a seven-day high of $110,307, but it has since cooled, with current trading levels around $108,311, representing a slight 0.3% drop over the last 24 hours. While the broader market maintains cautious optimism, several indicators suggest that market participants remain split on where Bitcoin is headed next. Bitcoin Shorts Increase on Binance Despite Price Climb Despite the price strength seen in recent days, certain signals hint at increasing friction between bullish price a…
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Bitcoin continues to maintain upward momentum despite a recent pullback from its all-time high. Currently trading at $117,847, the asset has recorded nearly a 10% gain over the past week. The dip from peak levels, approximately a 4.1% decline, has not dampened broader investor sentiment, with several on-chain indicators suggesting renewed buying interest and reduced selling pressure. Bitcoin Whale Withdrawals Decline, While Stablecoins Flow In In a recent analysis posted to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, analyst Amr Taha shared insights pointing to a strategic change in behavior among key Bitcoin holders and investors. The report, titled “Stablecoin Flood and Whale…
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Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a moderate price rebound last week, rallying to around $113,000 before witnessing a minor setback. The crypto market leader now trades near the $111,000 price level and stands 10.46% away from its all-time high. Meanwhile, recent data from blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant has highlighted an intriguing trend in the accumulating activity of Bitcoin treasuries. Bitcoin Treasury Holdings Hit 840K In 2025 In a weekly report posted on September 5, CryptoQuant reports that Bitcoin treasury holdings by public and private companies have reached a new record of 840,000 BTC in 2025, representing the overwhelming institutional interest seen in the pr…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the Bitcoin price trend remains constructive as long as the asset trades above the short-term holder cost basis. Bitcoin Is Still Maintaining Above Short-Term Holder Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the Realized Price of the Bitcoin short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the value of the metric is greater than BTC’s spot price, it means the investors as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the asset’s value implies t…
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Bitcoin remains under the $120,000 price mark following a pullback triggered by remarks from the US Treasury that the federal government will not be purchasing the cryptocurrency. At the time of writing, BTC is valued at approximately $118,612, representing a 4.1% decline from its record high above $124,000 reached earlier this week. The market seems to be currently assessing whether this consolidation phase will lead to renewed upward momentum or extend the correction. Recent blockchain data has brought attention to activity on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Bitcoin Exchange Inflows and Potential Impact According to CryptoOnch…
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Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high (ATH) yesterday, climbing to $111,999 on Binance exchange before dipping slightly to around $110,000 at the time of writing. While the broader trend remains bullish, some analysts now anticipate a short-term pullback. Bitcoin Remains Bullish But Some Pullback Expected According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, early warning signs suggest that BTC may face a brief correction. The analyst noted that if momentum doesn’t pick up soon, Bitcoin could struggle to maintain its bullish trajectory. Binance taker buy/sell volume has shown a noticeable spike in aggressive buy orders – usually a bullish signa…
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According to the latest on-chain data, Bitcoin has been witnessing an interesting change in its holder behavior, further intensifying the bullish speculation in the market. Bitcoin UTXO Count Declines As Price Surges In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed that long-term Bitcoin investors seem to be changing their investment strategy by increasingly holding on to their coins. This on-chain observation is based on the Bitcoin UTXO Count metric, which tracks the total number of individual unspent transaction outputs on the blockchain. For context, an unspent transaction output is an amount of a cryptocurrency (in this case, Bitcoin) th…
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Bitcoin surged to a fresh all-time high of $124,500 just hours ago, but the celebration was short-lived as the price quickly retraced to the $121,500 level. The sudden pullback has split market opinion: some analysts interpret the drop as a sign of waning momentum, while others see it as a healthy pause before another breakout attempt. Adding to the intrigue, key data from CryptoQuant reveals that BTC volatility — measured by the 30-day Price High & Low metric — has compressed to its lowest point in two years. This metric tracks the range between Bitcoin’s rolling 30-day high and low, and its current tight squeeze suggests a rare balance between supply and demand. L…
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Bitcoin’s volatility just hit its lowest point since September 2023. This event could be a signal that a major shift in Bitcoin and crypto market conditions is unfolding. According to the BVIV index by Volmex, Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility fell to a low of 36.11%. These levels haven’t been seen since September 30, 2023, back when BTC was trading below $30,000. And then, it was just days away from aggressively breaking out to the upside. Fast forward to today: Bitcoin is holding strong well above $114K, and yet, volatility has all but collapsed. This divergence is a big deal: it suggests that $BTC is starting to behave more like a TradFi asset, where bull runs are…
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Following the steep corrections seen in late July, the Bitcoin market made a modest recovery in the past week, rising by 2.73% according to data from CoinMarketCap. However, another rejection amidst this price resurgence forces the premier cryptocurrency to now trade within the $116,000 price region. While the crypto market awaits the token’s next move, cumulative trading activity signals potential for a major price surge to a new all-time high. Golden Ratio In Sight: Bitcoin Targets $131K After Volume Shelf Hold In an X post on August 8, popular financial market analyst Donald Dean shares an interesting bullish price prediction on the Bitcoin market. Based on the exis…
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Amid the chaos that was sparked by Israel’s attack on Iran, Bitcoin has climbed again, shaking off the losses triggered by the conflict. Not only has the price seen an increase from its last week’s lows, but there has also been a notable change in the cryptocurrency’s daily trading volume. This points to continued interest despite global factors and could mean that the expectations of war are already getting priced in for the crypto market. Bitcoin Sees Almost 100% Jump In Volume According to data from Coinglass, there has been a turn in the tide for the Bitcoin trading volume after starting out the new week in a slow trend. Sunday and Monday had seen the Bitcoin daily t…
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Bill Barhydt, the founder and chief executive of crypto-banking platform Abra, set Crypto-X alight over the weekend by reposting a collage of global M2-versus-Bitcoin charts first popularised by macro investor Raoul Pal and researcher Julien Bittel. “I’ve seen over a dozen posts with different versions of the global liquidity M2 vs Bitcoin price chart – I’ve attached several here. Credit @RaoulGMI and his colleague @BittelJulien for discovering the trend,” he wrote. “Most of these charts predict a dip over the coming days to around $100 k and then a move to new ATH of $130 k in August/September … Or this could all be horseshit. Whatever.” Will Bitcoin Follow M2? Expand…
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