Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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November 2025 was a reminder to Bitcoin that, even amid institutionalization and ETF inflows, the market remains highly volatile. After a sharp drop to seven-month lows, the largest cryptocurrency began a cautious recovery and, as of November 25, is trading around $88,000. Formally, this is a rebound; in reality, it's a phase of risk re-evaluation, where each new level is tested by liquidity, sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. From the outside, the picture does not seem so dramatic: +0.2% for the day, a consolidation just below the psychological level of $90,000, and a gradual pull-up of altcoins, with Ethereum gaining about 4%. However, within the market, capital redi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is sitting on its first true make-or-break support of the cycle, and the market is now in what crypto analyst Dom (@traderview2) calls a “fork in the road.” His message is direct: if Bitcoin cannot stabilize and reclaim key levels quickly, the structure that has defined this entire run breaks for the first time — and he’s positioning for downside. “This is the last chance for Bitcoin to hold this level and to push higher,” he said in a live analysis stream on October 29. “If Bitcoin does not see its footing here over the next week or two, I think that this is going to break down. And I think that we’re going to see the mid to low $90,000s again.” Final Stand For…
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The concept of a price battleground in Bitcoin markets refers to a critical price range where the forces of buying and selling pressure are in a fierce and decisive contest. This is where the outcome is expected to determine BTC’s overall direction and confirm a continuation of a bull market or bear market correction. Why This Zone Will Define Bitcoin’s Next Expansion Phase In an X post, an institutional-grade reporter, Bitcoin Vector, has highlighted that BTC has entered its decisive battleground between $110,000 and $115,000, which could determine the trajectory of the entire cycle. In the past week, spot demand, which is the engine of sustained rallies, was notably we…
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Bitcoin prices have returned above $105,000 in the past 24 hours following a sharp price decline on Thursday triggered by macroeconomic pressures. Notably, US President Donald Trump and former political ally Elon Musk had engaged in a public spat which spiked the volatility in a crypto market already undergoing a corrective phase. Amidst some level of renewed stability in the last two days, popular analytics firm Glassnode has now shared an important on-chain analysis highlighting the presently key price levels in the Bitcoin market. Bitcoin Ready For Breakout As Traders Eye $114K And $83K Levels In an X post on June 7, Glassnode provides an insight on potential Bit…
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As the market matures and the broader economic landscape shifts, Bitcoin has once again found itself at a thrilling crossroads, with the entire crypto market watching closely as momentum builds on both sides of the chart. This moment of market volatility is a profound inflection point, where the interplay of rising institutional adoption and changing global macroeconomic conditions is converging. Historical Breakout Zones Align With Price Structure Bitcoin is currently sitting at a thrilling crossroads. In an X post, an analyst known as CryptoCrewU has stated that BTC is witnessing the strongest bearish divergence in years, paired with a rare 2-week close below the 21-pe…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed how Bitcoin could be at risk of a further drawdown after trading at a significant discount to a key cost basis level. Bitcoin Could Retest Active Realized Price Next In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about how Bitcoin has dropped a notable distance below the short-term holder (STH) Realized Price. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain metric that tracks the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. To any investor, their break-even mark tends to be a level of particular importance, as retests of it can potentially flip their profit-loss situation. Due to this, Realized Price…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin is currently retesting a historically significant level that has often decided the course of the cryptocurrency’s price. Bitcoin Is Retesting The 0.85 Supply Quantile In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how Bitcoin is retesting a level that has historically been a “make-or-break” one for the asset. The level in question is part of Glassnode’s “Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model.” The model reflects price levels corresponding to important investor profitability thresholds. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows how the levels of this model have changed over the last few years. As is v…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover just below the $120,000 level, miners have increased transfers to Binance crypto exchange. According to analysts, elevated BTC transfers to Binance could signal an upcoming price correction for the top cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Price Correction Upcoming? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, there was a significant spike in BTC transfers from miners to Binance crypto exchange in late July – shown in the form of double tops in the following chart. These spikes were followed by several days of above-average flows to the exchange. Early August saw another surge, with transfers ranging from several thousand B…
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On-chain data shows the retail interest in Bitcoin has been waning as small-holder volume has gone down during the past month. Bitcoin Retail Investor Demand Has Seen A Negative 30-Day Change In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the latest trend in the “Retail Investor Demand” of Bitcoin. This indicator provides an estimate for, as its name suggests, the amount of demand that the smallest of investors, the ‘retail,’ have toward the cryptocurrency right now. The metric does so by referring to the transaction volume associated with this cohort. Considering the small wallet size attached to these holders, their transfers would typically remain under…
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Athena Bitcoin, the US-based fintech company operating Bitcoin ATM across the country, has rolled out a special Black Friday deal. Users can get a 10% discount on their Bitcoin purchases made on 28 November 2025. The deal only applies if the users buy Bitcoins through any of its Bitcoin ATM locations in the US. The users just need to use the promo code FRIDAY during their purchase. With the promo, Athena hopes that users will consider gifting Bitcoins to their loved ones, a modern twist on traditional presents. “As Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream adoption, we’re seeing more people interested in giving the gift of cryptocurrency during the holidays,” said Carlos Car…
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This week has been rough for risk assets, particularly tech. The Nasdaq has entered a correction phase, and the one for Cryptocurrencies is even steeper. Markets have been awaiting further news from Jerome Powell concerning any type of rate cuts, as seen in the signs of hesitancy in Equities and Crypto. He is about to speak in a few minutes at the Jackson Hole Symposium. You can access the speech right here. Digital assets have always been volatile, a given due to their youth compared to other asset classes: After stellar July and August trading, which took Bitcoin to a retest of its all-time highs and, more surprisingly, Ethereum from $2,500 on July 1st to $4,790 in l…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a 4% bounce from the lows to retest a crucial resistance level, which could determine whether a breakout or a breakdown is next. Meanwhile, an analyst suggested that BTC’s final leg up and cycle peak could come in the coming weeks. Bitcoin Key Attempts Key Level Reclaim Following its recent drop, Bitcoin is now attempting to break out of its local range high and reclaim the $111,000 zone as support. As September started, the flagship crypto retested the $107,000 range low before bouncing 4% to the local upper boundary. Analyst Ali Martinez noted that BTC has been trading in a descending channel on the 4-hour chart for the past two weeks. The cryp…
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Bitcoin thought it had found a bottom, only to be knocked from below. The tumultuous recovery of US stock indices extended a lifeline to BTC/USD; however, a series of bad news caused the token's prices to plummet. It wasn't alone. Ethereum dropped by 7%, and altcoins also faced a wave of sell-offs amid the downgrade of the largest stablecoin, USDT, to junk status. S&P Global Ratings believes that the falling value of Bitcoin will lead to insufficient backing for the token. Positive news on stablecoins, including Congress's approval of legislation on their use, had previously been one of the catalysts for the BTC/USD rally. By the same token, negative developments lea…
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With reports of US airstrikes on Iran nuclear facilities emerging on Sunday, crypto markets declined sharply amid rising geopolitical tensions, hurting demand for speculative digital assets. Despite falling to monthly lows over the weekend, and crucially below the key level of $100,000, Bitcoin has found support early in today’s session, trading +0.32% higher at around ~$101,319. US equities also trade higher, with the Dow Jones 30 rallying by +0.16, the Nasdaq 100 by +0.10%, and the S&P 500 by 0.26% respectively. Read more: Yen slides on oil supply jitters after US attack on Iran Key Takeaways from today’s session Developing tensions in t…
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On-chain data shows the veterans of the Bitcoin market are taking 89% less profits compared to the May peak, despite prices being similar now. Bitcoin Realized Profit For 1Y+ Hands Is Relatively Low Right Now In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Realized Profit of the seasoned hands on the Bitcoin network. The “Realized Profit” refers to an indicator that measures, as its name implies, the amount of profit that the BTC investors are realizing through their selling. The metric works by going through the transfer history of each coin being transacted or ‘sold’ on the chain to see what price it was moved at prio…
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After achieving its highest weekly close to date, Bitcoin (BTC) is now attempting to confirm two crucial levels as support before continuing its rally to new highs. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency may be experiencing a “calm before the storm” phase. Bitcoin Set For Key Support Confirmations Bitcoin managed to close above two crucial levels over the past few days, recording its highest weekly close in history. Last week, the flagship crypto positioned itself for a reclaim of its final major weekly resistance around $109,000 after nearing this area for four days. On Sunday, BTC surged above the key barrier and closed the week around the $109,200 mark…
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On-chain data shows key investors on the Bitcoin network have collectively participated in some selling recently, a potential reason behind the asset’s decline. Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Have Done Some Net Distribution According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin’s key investor tier is starting to show signs of slight profit-taking. The indicator of interest here is the “Supply Distribution,” which measures the total amount of the supply that investors belonging to a particular wallet segment are currently holding. Addresses or holders are divided into these groups based on the number of tokens present in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins cohort, …
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Bitcoin is once again testing a critical support zone, and speculation is whether September’s weakness will mark a turning point. With historical patterns often showing September dips followed by strong Q4 rallies, the market now faces a pivotal moment that could decide the next major move. Bitcoin Returns To The Bull Market Support Band In his latest update on X, Benjamin Cowen highlighted that Bitcoin recently touched the bull market support band just a few days before September officially began. This level has historically acted as an important pivot zone, where the bulls often attempt to hold the line and defend broader market structure. Maintaining strength above th…
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Bitcoin briefly fell below the critical $100,000 level over the weekend, reaching a low of approximately $98,200 and triggering a wave of panic selling across crypto markets. The sharp drop came after news broke of US military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, a move that significantly escalated the already volatile conflict between Israel and Iran. The geopolitical shock sent global markets into risk-off mode, with Bitcoin reacting quickly to the growing uncertainty. Despite the weekend dip, BTC has since reclaimed the $100K mark, but sentiment remains fragile. Investors are now watching key technical levels closely to determine the next move. According to top ana…
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Bitcoin’s price has spent the past week hovering within a tight band and bouncing between $108,000 and $112,000 without any clear direction yet. There have been multiple rejections at the $112,000 price level and technical analysis shows pressure around the 200-day moving averages on the four-hour chart. Notably, a technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Daan Crypto shows Bitcoin is at risk of a breakdown below $100,000, but bulls still have a chance to stage a recovery rally in the weeks ahead. Analyst Warns About Sweep Of Monthly Lows In his latest post on the social media platform X, Daan Crypto Trades noted that Bitcoin is currently indecisive, and its price ac…
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Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight rebound after reaching a near eight-month low of $87,500 on Wednesday. By Thursday, the leading crypto surged back toward $90,000. However, market expert Leshka warns that this brief increase may signal only the start of a new distribution phase for Bitcoin, as selling pressure continues to build. Possible Bottom Between $40,700 And $47,500 In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Leshka assessed Bitcoin’s position on the weekly chart, identifying critical demand zones between $40,700 and $47,500 that could take shape throughout 2026. She suggested that these levels might represent the bottom for Bitcoin during the anticipated bear m…
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What to Know: James Chanos closed his $MSTR/$BTC short position, a sentiment shift that often precedes broader risk-on phases for investors. Strategy added 397 $BTC last week, reinforcing the corporate DCA bid beneath Bitcoin’s price action. Bitcoin Hyper maps a canonical bridge + SVM design to bring speed to $BTC while anchoring settlement on L1 for added security. The presale has raised around $26.4M with 44% staking yields, and the price is at $0.013245. It will increase in the next seven hours. A closely watched bear bet just blinked. Renowned short seller James Chanos has closed his 11-month $MSTR/$BTC hedge, signaling a shift in the trade that’s defined the down…
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After months of uncertainty and sideways trading, fresh technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) may have finally exited its bear trap phase. A leading crypto pundit indicates the market has entered a classic cycle of emotions, transitioning from fear to optimism. If this trend continues, the next phase could spark a major rally, with altcoins set to explode. Bitcoin Bear Trap Ends, Altcoins Next Crypto analyst Ardizor posted on X social media on Wednesday that Bitcoin has officially reached the end of its bear trap stage. He argued that the recent downturns were not signs of further collapse but a final shakeout before the next stage of the cycle. To support h…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) tries to hold the $90,000 barrier, some analysts affirm that the flagship crypto’s bear market signals are becoming clearer, suggesting that a breakdown to new lows could be around the corner. Bitcoin Bear Flag Raises Concerns On Friday, Bitcoin shredded its Thursday gains, dropping 3.2% intraday to retest the $89,500-$90,500 support zone once again. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $84,500-$94,500 range for the past four weeks, briefly falling to a seven-month low of $80,600 during the late November correction. This week, the flagship crypto’s price has seen more volatility, fueled by the expectations of the Federal Reserve’s interest r…
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Bitcoin price is correcting gains from $116,500. BTC is now consolidating and might start a fresh decline if it stays below the $116,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $115,000 zone. The price is trading below $115,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $115,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Struggles To Continue Higher Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $113,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $114,500 and $115,000 resistance levels. The…
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