Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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No matter how many warning signs emerge, people always seem to find new ways to believe that the good times can last forever. Right now, the rules of the game in the US stock market are as clear as day: the S&P 500 is hitting record highs, boosted by a rally that has added $16 trillion in market cap since the start of 2025. Oil prices are near four-year lows, while risk is abundant everywhere — from equities to crypto. Expected volatility is at a one-year low. Investors keep buying at the top, and it's almost impossible to tell which high will actually be the last. In the 1990s, it was the Internet that propelled American stocks. In 2021, it was zero interest rates. …
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Overview: After finishing last week with a bid tone, the US dollar's gains were initially extended against most G10 currencies before a mild bout of profit-taking emerged. It was extended in the European morning but may stall in North America. Several pairs have options near today's highs that expire at 10:00 AM ET. The US announcement that dramatically raises the prices of H-1B visas is a key talking point, with India seen particularly exposed. The US tariffs make it more expensive to import goods and now the administration will make it more difficult to import skilled labor. Meanwhile, Argentina's drama continues, and it is seeking a US loan on top of the IMF. Although…
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The Australian dollar is coming off its best week since July, with gains of close to 1%. In Monday's European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6589, down 0.07% on the day. Bullock says inflation in good place but China a concern RBA Governor Bullock testified before a parliamentary committee on Monday. Bullock said that inflation was in a "very good position" as higher interest rates had curbed demand. Still, she warned that there inflation risks remained on "both sides". Bullock was less positive about the geopolitical environment, warning that the significant change in the global trading system which had created massive uncertainty. The Reserve Bank was particularly …
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline after bouncing off the 1.1789–1.1802 zone. The decline in the euro may continue toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1695, but I believe that the euro's fall is a coincidence. I'll explain why below. A rebound from the 1.1695 level will work in favor of the euro and the restoration of the "bullish" trend. A consolidation above the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802 will increase the probability of continued growth toward 1.1896. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous one, and the last downward wave did not break the previous low. Thu…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its decline on Friday after consolidating below the 1.3587–1.3620 zone and ended the day with a close below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. This suggests that the pound's decline may continue toward the next support zone of 1.3416–1.3425. A consolidation above the 1.3482 level would work in favor of the British pound and could lead to some growth toward the 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587. The wave pattern has shifted to a "bearish" one. This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The last upward wave broke the previous high, but the following downward wave easily broke the last low. The information backdrop was mostl…
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The cryptocurrency market faced a brutal shake-up as Bitcoin slipped below the $115,000 mark and Ethereum dropped under $4,500, erasing weeks of bullish momentum. What started as a period of cautious optimism quickly turned into a wave of panic selling, leaving bulls struggling to regain control. The sharp correction has pushed the market into a new, uncertain phase where confidence is being tested, and short-term volatility is dominating sentiment. Top analyst Maartunn highlighted one of the key drivers behind the downturn: an overleveraged derivatives market. In the last 24 hours alone, the crypto market witnessed $597 million in BTC and ETH long liquidations, marking…
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The upcoming week will be packed with various events—including the release of important economic data, primarily from the U.S., speeches by influential central bank officials, and the Swiss National Bank's final monetary policy decision. This week promises to be eventful, featuring key economic reports—especially from the United States—alongside remarks from major central bank figures and the Swiss National Bank's monetary policy decision. Let's assess how these events may influence the markets. Let's begin with an assessment of key U.S. statistics, which, unsurprisingly, play a leading role in global markets, given the current geopolitical landscape and financial market …
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Trend Analysis This week, from the 1.3466 level (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue to decline toward the target of 1.3270 – a historical support level (light blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall forecast for the GBP/USD weekly candle: the price will most likely follow a downward trend throughout the week, with no …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) This week, from the 1.1745 level (the close of the last weekly candle), the market may begin moving down with a target of 1.1536 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may bounce upward toward the target of 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall candle projection for the EUR/USD pair on the weekly ch…
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Last Friday, US equity indices closed higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.49% and the Nasdaq 100 gaining 0.72%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.47%. Asian indices moved higher, following the rally on Wall Street, while Japanese stocks advanced after concerns eased about the Bank of Japan's plans to divest its large ETF holdings. The regional MSCI equity index rose 0.2%, and the Nikkei 225 jumped 1.6%. The yen weakened against the dollar, typically benefiting exporters. The dollar advanced 0.1%, marking a fourth consecutive day of gains. US Treasuries eased slightly, with the 10-year yield up one basis point to 4.14%. Oil climbed 0.6% after last week's small declin…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the 1.3462 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.3528 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may then start moving down toward the 85.4% retracement level at 1.3516 (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3462 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the 1.1745 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward, targeting 1.1794 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a possible downward movement may follow, targeting 1.1779 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the 1.1745 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may continue to move downwar…
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The European Central Bank (ECB) officials have taken a wait-and-see approach and are eagerly anticipating the next release of their economic forecasts. It is quite possible that these new forecasts will help determine whether interest rates are sufficiently low to ensure a stable 2% inflation rate. Policymakers speaking on the sidelines of the European financial leaders' meeting in Copenhagen last week were confident that a deposit rate of 2% is currently appropriate to achieve this goal. However, opinions were divided over the severity of risks affecting the outlook for further inflation growth. President Christine Lagarde stated that the ECB has achieved its goal of cu…
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Crypto markets are under heavy pressure today, raising the big question: why is crypto crashing today? Bitcoin BTC ▼-2.36% dropped below $112K, now trading at $112,660, dragging the total market cap to $3.9 trillion. According to Coinglass, over 402,000 traders were liquidated in the last 24 hours, wiping out $1.7 billion in positions. Longs bore the brunt, accounting for $1.62 billion in losses, while shorts only lost about $85.8 million. Ethereum ETH ▼-5.82% saw $483 million liquidated, while Bitcoin traders lost $276 million. The selloff comes as traders brace for over $517 million worth of token unlocks in the next seven days, sparking fears of further selling pressu…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trade Review and Tips on Trading the Japanese Yen The price test at 147.92 occurred as the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. However, a significant drop in the pair did not materialize. The absence of key fundamental data from the U.S. had a positive effect on the outlook for the U.S. dollar, which strengthened quite well against the Japanese yen at the end of last week. However, one should not forget that the situation in the currency markets can change very quickly. In the coming weeks, close attention should be paid to the publication of new economic data — especially on inflation a…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Eyeing a new all-time high above US$3,675, supported by positive flows and positioning”, published on 15 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD have shaped the expected bullish move and printed a fresh all-time intraday high of US$3,707 on Wednesday, 17 September, during the onset of the release of the FOMC’s monetary policy outcome and latest summary of economic dot plot projections. Thereafter, the precious yellow metal staged a minor corrective decline of 2.2% to hit an intraday low of US$3,628 on Thursday, 18 September 2025, in line with a rebound in t…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British Pound The price test at 1.3463 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair. Pound buyers failed to offer anything significant at the end of last week in the GBP/USD pair. The negative dynamics of the pound were reinforced by several factors, among them — investor caution ahead of key economic publications from the UK and ongoing uncertainty about the prospects for continued growth in the British economy. Today, there are no UK economic releases; however, speeches are expected from Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member …
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The AxCNH, a Chinese Yuan-pegged stablecoin issued by AnchorX, was officially launched on September 17, 2025 in Hong Kong. BDACS also launched KRW1, a South Korean Won-pegged stablecoin, the following day. Why do these moves matter? Because the crypto race is heating up. While America’s new federal stablecoin framework (the GENIUS Act in 2025) sets strict issuance and transparency rules, countries like Hong Kong and South Korea are also accelerating regulatory frameworks to oversee stablecoin activity. Retail users also stand to gain. Putting fiat on-chain enables near-instantaneous 24/7 cross-border settlement and brings smart contracts into the mix. This not only red…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Start Week on the Front Foot Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - PMI and PCE in the Spotlight as US Dollar Remains Sensitive to US Labor Data Asian stock markets rose, following a strong performance on Wall Street. Japanese stocks, in particular, saw a significant boost as worries eased about the Bank of Japan's recent plan to sell its large holdings of exchange-traded funds. As a result, the region's overall stock index, the MSCI, went up by 0.2%, and Japan's Nikkei-225 index jumped by as much as 1.6%. Meanwhile, in India, stocks for IT companies declined as traders began to evaluate the potential negative effects of a sharp increas…
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Technical analyst ALLINCRYPTO has reiterated a high-beta roadmap for XRP, arguing that chart structure and pattern symmetry could propel the token to roughly $19.20 within the next six months—while specifying a precise model target of $19.27. XRP Explosion Ahead? In a September 21 video address, he framed the move as a classic continuation sequence following a run at all-time highs and a corrective “falling wedge” that has now been retraced. “I think something like this is what you’re going to see once again… this actually could take you to that $19.27 mark,” he said, adding that his “price prediction remains the same.” The crux of the thesis is historical rhyme and pat…
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Over the weekend, Binance Coin ($BNB) surged by more than 10%, rallying up to $1,087 before leveling off slightly below that mark. While other cryptocurrencies remained largely flat, $BNB remains in a ‘price discovery’ phase, and it could reach new highs soon with strong-enough momentum. While history suggests another potential rebound, the market’s upside momentum is spilling over into altcoins. This season, the best altcoins, such as Best Wallet Token ($BEST), Pepenode ($PEPENODE), and Binance coin ($BNB), are quickly gaining traction. BNB On-Chain Signals Turn Bullish — Is This the Spark for the Best Altcoins? $BNB has already dipped slightly from its ATH and could …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro Currency The price test at 1.1764 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The second test of 1.1764 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which activated Sell Scenario #2 and resulted in a 20-point drop in the pair. Thanks to the lack of key macroeconomic data from the U.S., the position of the U.S. dollar improved at the end of last week. Investors interpreted the absence of news as an opportunity to stabilize their portfolios following the volatility caused by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Today, d…
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The Dogecoin price has since retraced after its run to $0.3 as sell-offs had grown stronger over the last week. There is also the fact that the Fed had cut interest rates by a quarter of a point last week, but because it was already priced into the market, there was barely any reaction to it. As such, the Dogecoin price stalled and continued to follow the established downtrend. But as the meme coin ushers in a new week, there is the possibility of a recovery and even a rally from here. The Current State Of Dogecoin Crypto analyst MadWhale outlined some notable developments surrounding the Dogecoin price and what could trigger the next wave of price action. Besides the Fe…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.2650 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might dip further below $0.2450. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.2620 level. The price is trading below the $0.260 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2550 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a fresh upward move if it stays above the $0.2450 zone. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after there was a close below $0.2720, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.2620 and $0.2550 sup…
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