Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11939 tópicos neste fórum
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Solana started a fresh decline below the $180 zone. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $175 and might decline further below $165. SOL price started a fresh decline below $180 and $175 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $175 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $191 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $165 or $162. Solana Price Dips Further Solana price failed to remain stable above $185 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $182 and $180 support lev…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, November 04, 2025] With all technical indicators indicating bullish conditions for Natural Gas, today #NG has the potential to move toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4.418 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.329 3. Pivot : 4.208 4. Support. 1 : 4.119 5. Support. 2 : 3.998 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Natural Gas rises above 4.329, it may have the opportunity to test 4.418. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4.418 is breached, the next target will be 4.539. Invalidation Level/ Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of #NG falls and closes below 3.998. Technical Summary: E…
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[Crude Oil] – [Tuesday, November 04, 2025] Although the RSI remains in the Neutral-Bearish zone, but with both EMAs intersecting the Golden Cross, it gives an indication that there is an opportunity for upward movement today toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 61.99 2. Resistance. 1 : 61.50 3. Pivot : 61.01 4. Support. 1 : 60.52 5. Support. 2 : 60.03 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #CL rises above 61.01, it may have the opportunity to test 61.50. Momentum Extension Bias: If 61.50 is breached and closed above, #CL will target 61.99. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens…
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Michael Saylor sent a short, cryptic message on X on November 2, 2025: “Orange is the color of November.” The post included a chart tied to Strategy’s (formerly MicroStrategy) Bitcoin tracker. Reports have disclosed that crypto outlets and market watchers quickly read the line as a hint at another corporate Bitcoin buy. Bitcoin Buy: Orange Dot Signals According To screenshots and media coverage, the post echoed past Saylor posts that used orange imagery to flag Bitcoin moves. Some outlets called it a tease for a 13th straight purchase by Strategy. That description comes from reporters tracking the firm’s buying pattern, not from an official Strategy statement. The twee…
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Trade Review for Monday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement with minimal volatility. The low volatility observed in recent weeks did not raise any concerns, as important macroeconomic reports have been scarce. However, yesterday, the US ISM manufacturing activity index was released, published as a single estimate. Regardless of the report's importance, more significance lies in the relationship between the forecast and the actual value. We learned that manufacturing activity in the US declined again, despite forecasts predicting an increase. Thus, the report turned out to be much worse than market expect…
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Trade Review for Monday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair On Monday, the GBP/USD pair made yet another attempt to break through the level of 1.3107, resulting in a third bounce. However, traders are not giving up and will attempt a fourth try to push lower today. The recent movement of the British pound can best be characterized as "paradoxical." There are no legitimate grounds for the pound to decline, yet the price continues to drop almost daily. On Monday, the only somewhat significant report fell short for the US dollar. Thus, based solely on this report, one could have anticipated a rise in the pair. We note that in recent weeks, there have been virtually no correct…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday, and on Monday, even significant reports did not provoke any market reaction, let alone the expected movements. Both currency pairs remain "at the bottom" but show no desire to move upward, even within the framework of a correction. Therefore, today, with an effectively absent macroeconomic backdrop, strong trending movements are unlikely—unless Donald Trump throws in another "information bomb." Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are several fundamental events scheduled for Tuesday, but they do not generate much interest. In the morning, Christine Lagarde, the Presi…
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The US dollar experienced slight pressure after the data; however, this did not lead to significant changes in the positioning of pairs with risk assets. Weak data from the US ISM manufacturing index pressured the dollar yesterday. The index remained below 50 points, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity and raising concerns about the US economy's prospects. Traders perceived this as a signal of a potential slowdown in economic growth, which further pressured the dollar. Many fear that deteriorating conditions in the manufacturing sector could negatively impact overall economic growth. Today, in the first half of the day, there will be a speech by European Ce…
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Bitcoin continues to lose ground and, at the time of writing, is trading around $104,000, with a high likelihood of testing support at the psychological $100,000 level. The fact that the month started with an active sell-off comes as no surprise. The question remains: when will the first major buyers step in? According to CoinShares, last week saw a net outflow of $360 million from cryptocurrency investment products managed by firms such as BlackRock, Bitwise, Fidelity, Grayscale, ProShares, and 21Shares, a significant drop from the $921 million net inflow recorded the previous week. Despite the recent US interest rate cut, traders have been spooked by comments from Fede…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1528 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had risen significantly above the zero mark, limiting the upside potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not buy euros. Yesterday's publication of disappointing data from the ISM manufacturing activity index in the US negatively impacted the dollar. The index remained below the 50 mark, indicating a decline in industrial activity and raising concerns about the state of the US economy. The market interpreted this as a potential signal for a softer approach from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates. This had a noticeable effect on curre…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3118 occurred when the MACD indicator had significantly fallen from the zero mark, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. Weak US manufacturing data for October supported the pound. This short-term spike was driven by hopes that a slowing US economy would compel the Federal Reserve to continue easing its monetary policy. However, fundamental factors that determine the British currency's trajectory, such as high inflation, recession risks, and uncertainty about fiscal policy, quickly brought the pound back down. This morning, there are no economic rep…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 154.26 price coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly above the zero line, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. The second test of this price occurred when the MACD was in the overbought area, enabling the implementation of Scenario No. 2 for selling dollars. As a result, the pair fell by 20 pips. Weak US manufacturing data for October supported the Japanese yen in the afternoon, but it did not lead to a significant shift in the balance of power. The brief surge of optimism sparked by hopes for a more dovish Federal Reserve policy quickly waned, un…
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Gold prices have fallen again as three Federal Reserve policymakers have voiced support for a more cautious approach toward lowering interest rates next month. The price of gold dropped below $3,985 per ounce, and Federal Reserve Chair Lisa Cook stated that she believes the risk of further weakening in the labor market outweighs the risk of accelerating inflation, but she refrained from hinting at further rate cuts in December this year. These comments resonate with statements from her two colleagues, Mary Daly and Austan Goolsbee. As a result, investors who were previously optimistic about imminent monetary policy easing are reassessing their positions. The strengtheni…
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Amid the bearish pressure that has rocked the market, the Bitcoin price continues to fluctuate around the $110,000 support, especially with selling pressure building up. This has led to predictions that the Bitcoin price is headed for another crash amid the weakness. One analysis that stands out comes from crypto analyst Toby Dawson, who pointed out the formation of a bearish Heads and Shoulders pattern that could trigger a cascade below $100,000. Head And Shoulders Pattern Points Downward In the analysis shared on the TradingView website, Dawson outlines the formation of the head and shoulders pattern. The first shoulder here, the left shoulder, was created at around $1…
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Yesterday, stock indices ended mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.17%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.46%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.48%. However, today, pressure on the market has returned, as uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's policy outlook has made investors more cautious. S&P 500 futures contracts declined by 0.8% after the base index showed a slight increase on Monday. Nasdaq 100 futures dropped by 1.1%. European indices are also preparing for a weak opening. The factor of uncertainty has intensified following the publication of US macroeconomic data, which also failed to clarify the situation. Production data indicated further contract…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).On Tuesday, the market from the level of 1.1518 (the close of yesterday's daily candle) may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.1560 — the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly pull back downward toward the 5-period EMA — 1.1545 (thin red line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1518 (the close of yesterday's daily candle), the price may begin moving upwar…
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On Thursday, November 6, the Bank of England will hold its next monetary policy meeting. Currently, markets are pricing in only about a 30% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut to 3.75%, but as the meeting approaches, expectations for a cut are becoming more pronounced. The decline in consumer inflation supports the prospect of a rate cut, as it was recorded at 3.8% in September, below the Bank of England's forecast of 4%. The reduction in inflation was due to slower price growth in the services sector. Another important factor influencing the decision-making process will be the labor market. Job losses accelerated by 10,000 in September, and the previous two months w…
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Everything is understood in comparison. The higher the S&P 500 climbs, the more alarming warnings come from banks and investment firms, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Investors often draw parallels to the dot-com crisis and speculate about a bubble that is about to burst. However, the main difference between today's tech giants and the internet companies of the late 20th century is that the former are generating substantial profits. Investors are intently watching developments surrounding artificial intelligence and are buying the dips in the S&P 500. No one wants to wait for the current uptrend to end and a new one to start. The slightest pullback p…
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Arthur Hayes thinks Zcash can move an order of magnitude faster than most investors expect—and he spelled out why in a Coin Bureau interview released on November 3. The former BitMEX CEO ties the new Zcash bull case to a three-part story that mixes technical maturation, visible shifts in on-chain behavior, and a looming supply inflection. “I think that 10% to 20% of the value of Bitcoin quite quickly is something that Zcash could achieve,” he said—an estimate that, at current Bitcoin prices, translates to roughly $10,000–$20,000 per ZEC. Why Zcash Could Skyrocket To $10,000-$20,000 For Hayes, the technology is no longer the 2016 experiment that divided the market over c…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).On Tuesday, the market from the level of 1.3136 (the close of yesterday's daily candle) may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.3077 — the 176.4% target level (red dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly begin an upward movement toward 1.3148 — a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3136 (the close of yesterday's daily candle), t…
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Bitcoin’s pullback on Monday sent a quick chill through crypto markets, pulling sentiment down to levels not seen in months. Prices dipped to a 24-hour low of $103,938 after earlier trading above $109,000, and gauges of market mood turned sharply negative as investors reassessed risk. Crypto Fear Hits Extreme Readings According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, the score fell to 21 out of 100 on Tuesday, a move that registers as “Extreme Fear.” That mark is the lowest in nearly seven months; the index previously hit 18 out of 100 on April 9, when markets reacted to US President Donald Trump’s global tariff measures. Reports have disclosed that the index has been s…
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The U.S. dollar faced a number of challenges yesterday following the release of weak manufacturing data. However, remarks from Federal Reserve representative Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, helped ease the pressure. The policymaker stated that he wants to see more data before deciding how to vote at the December central bank meeting but warned that he is currently more concerned about inflation than the labor market. "I haven't made a decision ahead of the December meeting," Goolsbee said Monday in an interview with Yahoo Finance. "I'm concerned about inflation, since it has been above the target for four and a half years, and the trend…
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Just last week, the market first heard expressions of dissatisfaction from Japanese politicians who were unhappy with the current exchange rate of the yen. Today, Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued another round of verbal warnings regarding currency movements, once again emphasizing the serious need for urgent action. "I'm observing one-sided and rapid movements in the foreign exchange market," Katayama told reporters on Tuesday. "Our stance on assessing these developments with a high degree of urgency remains unchanged," she added. These statements continue to exert some pressure on the currency market, making speculators more cautious in their bets agains…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair traded horizontally on Monday within the support level of 1.3110–1.3139. Thus, as of Tuesday morning, the price has not yet performed either a rebound from this zone or a consolidation below it. If a rebound occurs, a reversal in favor of the pound and some growth toward the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3186 will take place. A consolidation of the pair below this zone will increase the likelihood of a continued decline toward the next Fibonacci level at 200.0% – 1.3024. The wave situation remains bearish. The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak, while the most recent downward wave (still forming) has long …
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline — one that no longer follows any "rules." Yesterday, we saw that the information background was once again ignored, and now even chart-based factors such as Fibonacci retracement levels are being disregarded. The price pays no attention to key support and resistance levels — and that's what traders need to understand right now. Therefore, today's close above the 76.4% Fibonacci level (1.1517) could be used as a signal to open buy positions, though traders should exercise caution. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the high of the previous wave, …
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