Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11917 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from around $108,000 on September 1 to above $115,000 at the time of writing – recording a gain of roughly 4% over the past two weeks. However, fresh on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a fresh rally that could propel it to new all-time highs (ATH). Bitcoin Rises Above Mid-Term Holders’ Realized Price According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Bitcoin’s recent rebound from $107,000 to just above $114,000 has lifted the digital asset over the Realized Price of mid-term (3-6 months) holders. For the uninitiated, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price is the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin held …
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Bitcoin is showing early signs of strength as it attempts to reclaim the $115,000 level. After weeks of mixed sentiment and heavy selling pressure, momentum appears to be turning slightly bullish. The recent weekly close above $114,500 has confirmed a reclaim of the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price, a key on-chain threshold currently sitting near $113,000. This metric represents the average cost basis of recent market participants and often serves as a pivotal line separating bullish from bearish sentiment. Top analyst Darkfost shared that this reclaim is an encouraging signal, reflecting renewed buyer confidence after a volatile October. However, he also cautione…
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Bitcoin price is again declining below $110,000. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $110,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $109,500 support. The price is trading below $109,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $109,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $107,400 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Rejection Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $110,500 pivot level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $110,000 and $109,500 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was such that…
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Bitcoin just hit a fresh all-time high, crossing $120,000 for the first time. This new record is being driven by strong inflows into U.S.-listed spot bitcoin ETFs, which have seen a renewed wave of interest from both institutional and retail investors. ETF Demand Pours In As of Monday morning, Bitcoin was trading just above $120,000, gaining over 4 percent in 24 hours. The move caps off a sharp climb that began earlier this month when ETF inflows turned positive again. Just last Thursday, Bitcoin ETFs saw their largest day of inflows in 2025, at $1.18 billion. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust saw some of the highest inflows, followed closely by Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bi…
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Bitcoin has surpassed its previous all-time high, reaching $118,254 and marking a notable milestone in its price trajectory. This latest milestone comes after BTC’s former high at $111,000 levels in May, representing a 10% gain over the past week and roughly 5.9% in the last 24 hours. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $117,584. The sharp price increase appears to be giving strength to activity among both miners and leveraged traders, prompting a closer examination of current market behavior. Analysts monitoring on-chain activity have flagged a resurgence of miner activity alongside a rise in derivative positions, suggesting multiple forces may …
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December 1st became a black day for the cryptocurrency market: at the start of the Asian trading session, Bitcoin sharply dropped below the $88,000 mark, erasing all weekly gains and sending the market into freefall. The price crash triggered a mass liquidation of leveraged positions amounting to around $400 million within just one hour. Thousands of traders worldwide suffered losses, particularly holders of long positions, which accounted for 90% of the liquidated bets. Causes of the collapse and consequences According to Bloomberg, during the Sunday crash (which has unofficially been dubbed this on crypto forums), Bitcoin lost up to 4.3% of its value, falling to $87,0…
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Bitcoin’s upward momentum has returned, with the asset briefly crossing the $110,000 threshold before pulling back slightly. After hitting a 24-hour high of $110,117, Bitcoin now trades at $109,386, reflecting a 1.8% increase in the past day. This recent push places the asset about $2,000 surge away from its all-time high of $111,814, recorded in May 2025, prompting renewed attention from traders and analysts. While price movements often attract headlines, on-chain data has started signaling deeper market activity. Binance Sees 3,400 Bitcoin in Outflows as Spot Volume Surges According to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, a substantial volume of BTC has recently been moved …
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Bitcoin has broken out of the orange bull flag on the 1-hour chart. After consolidating within a tight range, the breakout suggests that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls, and potentially setting the stage for a rapid push toward higher resistance levels. Pullback Or Launchpad? What Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Look Like According to MaxFINEancial’s latest analysis on X, he highlighted that a large green double bottom is forming within an orange bull flag on the 1-hour chart, which is a bullish continuation setup. The local high was a test of the trigger line of the double bottom, which signaled intent from the bulls. BTC is retesting the upper edge of the b…
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In a post shared on TradingView, crypto analyst Xanrox argues that the current bullish cycle is nearly over, pointing to a potential downtrend that would see the Bitcoin price crash to $60,000. This analysis comes as Bitcoin is trading within a very quiet phase, prompting many crypto traders and crypto analysts to start reassessing its next direction. Xanrox Predicts Bitcoin Top At $122,000 And Crash To $60,000 The world’s largest cryptocurrency has been hovering just above the $118,000 price level for several days now, struggling to break decisively above this zone but also showing no major signs of a breakdown. Despite this consolidation, market sentiment remains upbea…
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Over the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin price top for each bull cycle. These have become quite popular due to their success rates during this time. As such, the Coinglass website collates all of these to form a progress chart that could tell when the Bitcoin price is nearing its peak. This progress chart is barely halfway gone, but the Bitcoin price is seeing major crashes, so what’s going on? Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untriggered A total of 30 Bitcoin bull market peak indicators are being tracked on the Coinglass website, and so far, not a single one has been triggered. This means that none of these 30 indica…
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CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn used today’s price weakness to publish a granular, 10-part “Bitcoin Market Analysis” on X that dissects the post-ATH landscape with on-chain detail and a clear technical line in the sand. “Bitcoin broke its all-time high, but here’s the catch: long-term holders are [starting] to sell into the strength,” he wrote, adding that what matters now is how the market digests that supply above and around the breakout zone. In his framing, the first stress test is underway. Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? The thread anchors around one headline-grabbing datapoint: “the LTH selling pressure includes the 80,000 BTC sold by the Satoshi-era wallet.” That desc…
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After failing to decisively break above the $120,000 level in mid-July, Bitcoin (BTC) could face further price corrections as whales continue to increase BTC inflows to the Binance crypto exchange. Is Bitcoin Losing Its Bullish Momentum? According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from the Binance Whale-to-Exchange Flow indicator suggests that BTC may soon experience additional downside pressure. The analyst noted that despite growing retail participation in the BTC market, persistently high whale inflows into Binance – combined with a declining Bitcoin price – signal that the market could be entering a technical correction ph…
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After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days. He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 day…
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Bitcoin’s grinding tape, tamed volatility and repeated, incremental all-time highs are not symptoms of a failed cycle but evidence of a market changing hands and changing character, according to Alex Thorn, Galaxy’s head of firmwide research in an interview released October 23. Bitcoin Bull Run Gone Quiet: Here’s Why The researcher argues that the driver capping bitcoin’s near-term upside is exogenous—US–China tariff risk—rather than any structural deterioration in the asset’s fundamentals or adoption. “I don’t yet think it’s more existential than that for the bull market,” he said, describing the current price action as “sort of crab,” with the market “still” climbing a…
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Bitcoin’s next major leg higher may depend less on halving lore and more on personnel politics in Washington. In an August 18 market note on X, economist and crypto analyst Alex Krüger argued that the cycle’s duration will be set by the Federal Reserve’s leadership change—specifically, who President Trump nominates to replace Jerome Powell—rather than by any fixed four-year pattern. “I have a high degree of confidence this cycle is not over because I am expecting changes in the Fed to bring on considerably more dovish monetary policy, which is not priced in at the moment; this would start to get priced in once Trump announces his nominee to replace Powell,” Krüger wrote. …
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Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a critical phase in its cycle, prompting analysts to debate whether the long-standing bull run is finally nearing its peak. With volatility tightening and historical cycle data indicating a potentially explosive breakout, market experts are closely watching the next few weeks for signals that reveal the market’s current position and future direction. Bitcoin Bull Run Cycle Nears Endgame Market analyst, ‘CRYPTOBIRD’ has warned that the Bitcoin bull run could end within 30 days. In a thread on X social media, he noted that this current cycle has now reached 1,038 days since the November 2022 bottom, which is equivalent to 97.5% of a standard cycl…
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As the Bitcoin (BTC) price momentum begins to wane, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has retraced to the $110,000 mark, raising concerns about a potential shift into a new bearish cycle. CryptoBirb, a noted trader and analyst, suggested in a recent social media analysis that Bitcoin has only about 60 days of growth left, indicating that it is currently 93% into its cycle, which has lasted 1,007 days. This analysis aligns with the ongoing Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, hinting at a critical juncture for the leading cryptocurrency as it approaches the conclusion of its current bullish phase. Potential Peak And Bear Market Timing In examining historical cycles, Cryp…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has recently reached a new weekly high above the $112,000 mark, signaling a potential new uptrend for the leading cryptocurrency. This movement may represent the final phase of the current cycle for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. Market analyst CryptoBirb has indicated that this uptrend could last for approximately 50 more days, emphasizing that Bitcoin is now 95% through its cycle, which has spanned 1,017 days since the lows of November 2022. 50 Days Until Possible Bitcoin Peak Historically, Bitcoin’s bull markets have peaked between 1,060 and 1,100 days after significant lows, suggesting a target timeframe for this cycle’s peak could fal…
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Many in the crypto space have echoed a familiar sentiment over recent months: “The four-year crypto market cycle is dead.” Experts from the Bull Theory assert that while the four-year cycle may have come to an end, the Bitcoin bull run itself is merely delayed and could stretch until 2027. Why The Four-Year Cycle May Be Ending In a recent post on social media platform X, formerly known as Twitter, the Bull Theory analysts noted that the concept of Bitcoin adhering to a neat four-year cycle is weakening. They highlighted that significant price movements over the last decade weren’t solely driven by Halving events; rather, they were influenced by shifts in global liquidi…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has continued to face resistance below the $120,000 level, with price action showing little momentum to push the asset toward a new high. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is trading above $118,000, reflecting a slight pullback of around 3.6% from its most recent all-time high. With the asset still in a tight range, investors are watching whether Bitcoin can establish a breakout or if a price correction is more likely in the near term. Meanwhile, recent on-chain analysis has highlighted an area of potential concern in Bitcoin’s price history that may point to a retest of lower levels before further upward movement. Analyst Highli…
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In a new episode of Coin Stories with host Nathalie Brunell, investor and podcaster Preston Pysh offered a structurally grounded answer to a question many Bitcoin holders have been asking all summer: if corporate treasuries keep announcing big buys, why does price keep chopping and fading? Pysh’s diagnosis is not about a sudden loss of conviction from long-term holders, but about market-structure dynamics introduced by sophisticated “fast-money” firms that are designed to suppress volatility while extracting basis and funding premia. Why Is Bitcoin Not Rising Much Higher? Brunell framed the dilemma bluntly, asking why spot Bitcoin has gone sideways despite momentum from …
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Bitcoin’s on-chain picture is flashing a rare combination: substantial profits across cohorts, rising realized capitalization, and record network hashrate—yet none of the price-accelerating euphoria that typically marks late-stage bull legs. That is the central takeaway from CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju’s latest thread, which parses holder cost bases, cohort profitability, leverage, and the evolving role of ETFs and corporate treasuries in setting the tape. Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? The headline number is startling on its face. “Bitcoin wallets’ avg cost basis is $55.9K, meaning holders are up ~93% on average,” Ju wrote, adding that realized capitalization climbed by …
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Bitcoin is trading at a pivotal level after losing momentum from the $120,000 zone and slipping into deeper volatility. The price is now testing the $112,000 support level, a key zone for bulls to defend in order to avoid further bearish pressure. While the broader trend remains constructive in the long term, the short-term outlook has tilted toward weakness, with momentum indicators showing a leaning toward the downside. Analysts highlight this moment as a potential inflection point for the market. A strong defense of current levels could reset sentiment and allow Bitcoin to consolidate before another breakout attempt. However, failure to hold above $112K may trigger a…
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CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped from 20 to 50 in just four days, suggesting a swift shift out of bearish territory for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Back In Neutral Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has talked about the latest trend in the analytics firm’s Bull Score Index. This indicator basically tells us about which phase of the market Bitcoin is in right now. The index combines the data of several key on-chain metrics to determine its value. Some of these indicators include the Market Value to Realized Cap (MVRV) Ratio, keeping track of average investor profitability on the network, and the Stablecoin Liq…
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The Bitcoin market continues to experience high levels of investor uncertainty, as indicated by the unstable price action of the past week. In the last month alone, the leading cryptocurrency has lost about 14% of its value, strengthening fears of an impending bear market. Notably, renowned market expert Ali Martinez has shared some insight on this speculation, highlighting a key technical development that historically precedes an extended downtrend. Bitcoin Winter Phase To Start Only When Price Loses 730-Day SMA – Analyst In an X post on Friday, Martinez presents an on-chain analysis that identifies a key price zone for determining Bitcoin’s price trajectory amid cur…
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