Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trend Analysis This week, from the 1.3466 level (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue to decline toward the target of 1.3270 – a historical support level (light blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall forecast for the GBP/USD weekly candle: the price will most likely follow a downward trend throughout the week, with no …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) This week, from the 1.1745 level (the close of the last weekly candle), the market may begin moving down with a target of 1.1536 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may bounce upward toward the target of 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall candle projection for the EUR/USD pair on the weekly ch…
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Last Friday, US equity indices closed higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.49% and the Nasdaq 100 gaining 0.72%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.47%. Asian indices moved higher, following the rally on Wall Street, while Japanese stocks advanced after concerns eased about the Bank of Japan's plans to divest its large ETF holdings. The regional MSCI equity index rose 0.2%, and the Nikkei 225 jumped 1.6%. The yen weakened against the dollar, typically benefiting exporters. The dollar advanced 0.1%, marking a fourth consecutive day of gains. US Treasuries eased slightly, with the 10-year yield up one basis point to 4.14%. Oil climbed 0.6% after last week's small declin…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the 1.3462 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.3528 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may then start moving down toward the 85.4% retracement level at 1.3516 (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3462 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the 1.1745 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward, targeting 1.1794 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a possible downward movement may follow, targeting 1.1779 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the 1.1745 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may continue to move downwar…
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The European Central Bank (ECB) officials have taken a wait-and-see approach and are eagerly anticipating the next release of their economic forecasts. It is quite possible that these new forecasts will help determine whether interest rates are sufficiently low to ensure a stable 2% inflation rate. Policymakers speaking on the sidelines of the European financial leaders' meeting in Copenhagen last week were confident that a deposit rate of 2% is currently appropriate to achieve this goal. However, opinions were divided over the severity of risks affecting the outlook for further inflation growth. President Christine Lagarde stated that the ECB has achieved its goal of cu…
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Crypto markets are under heavy pressure today, raising the big question: why is crypto crashing today? Bitcoin BTC ▼-2.36% dropped below $112K, now trading at $112,660, dragging the total market cap to $3.9 trillion. According to Coinglass, over 402,000 traders were liquidated in the last 24 hours, wiping out $1.7 billion in positions. Longs bore the brunt, accounting for $1.62 billion in losses, while shorts only lost about $85.8 million. Ethereum ETH ▼-5.82% saw $483 million liquidated, while Bitcoin traders lost $276 million. The selloff comes as traders brace for over $517 million worth of token unlocks in the next seven days, sparking fears of further selling pressu…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trade Review and Tips on Trading the Japanese Yen The price test at 147.92 occurred as the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. However, a significant drop in the pair did not materialize. The absence of key fundamental data from the U.S. had a positive effect on the outlook for the U.S. dollar, which strengthened quite well against the Japanese yen at the end of last week. However, one should not forget that the situation in the currency markets can change very quickly. In the coming weeks, close attention should be paid to the publication of new economic data — especially on inflation a…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Eyeing a new all-time high above US$3,675, supported by positive flows and positioning”, published on 15 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD have shaped the expected bullish move and printed a fresh all-time intraday high of US$3,707 on Wednesday, 17 September, during the onset of the release of the FOMC’s monetary policy outcome and latest summary of economic dot plot projections. Thereafter, the precious yellow metal staged a minor corrective decline of 2.2% to hit an intraday low of US$3,628 on Thursday, 18 September 2025, in line with a rebound in t…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British Pound The price test at 1.3463 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair. Pound buyers failed to offer anything significant at the end of last week in the GBP/USD pair. The negative dynamics of the pound were reinforced by several factors, among them — investor caution ahead of key economic publications from the UK and ongoing uncertainty about the prospects for continued growth in the British economy. Today, there are no UK economic releases; however, speeches are expected from Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member …
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The AxCNH, a Chinese Yuan-pegged stablecoin issued by AnchorX, was officially launched on September 17, 2025 in Hong Kong. BDACS also launched KRW1, a South Korean Won-pegged stablecoin, the following day. Why do these moves matter? Because the crypto race is heating up. While America’s new federal stablecoin framework (the GENIUS Act in 2025) sets strict issuance and transparency rules, countries like Hong Kong and South Korea are also accelerating regulatory frameworks to oversee stablecoin activity. Retail users also stand to gain. Putting fiat on-chain enables near-instantaneous 24/7 cross-border settlement and brings smart contracts into the mix. This not only red…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Start Week on the Front Foot Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - PMI and PCE in the Spotlight as US Dollar Remains Sensitive to US Labor Data Asian stock markets rose, following a strong performance on Wall Street. Japanese stocks, in particular, saw a significant boost as worries eased about the Bank of Japan's recent plan to sell its large holdings of exchange-traded funds. As a result, the region's overall stock index, the MSCI, went up by 0.2%, and Japan's Nikkei-225 index jumped by as much as 1.6%. Meanwhile, in India, stocks for IT companies declined as traders began to evaluate the potential negative effects of a sharp increas…
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Technical analyst ALLINCRYPTO has reiterated a high-beta roadmap for XRP, arguing that chart structure and pattern symmetry could propel the token to roughly $19.20 within the next six months—while specifying a precise model target of $19.27. XRP Explosion Ahead? In a September 21 video address, he framed the move as a classic continuation sequence following a run at all-time highs and a corrective “falling wedge” that has now been retraced. “I think something like this is what you’re going to see once again… this actually could take you to that $19.27 mark,” he said, adding that his “price prediction remains the same.” The crux of the thesis is historical rhyme and pat…
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Over the weekend, Binance Coin ($BNB) surged by more than 10%, rallying up to $1,087 before leveling off slightly below that mark. While other cryptocurrencies remained largely flat, $BNB remains in a ‘price discovery’ phase, and it could reach new highs soon with strong-enough momentum. While history suggests another potential rebound, the market’s upside momentum is spilling over into altcoins. This season, the best altcoins, such as Best Wallet Token ($BEST), Pepenode ($PEPENODE), and Binance coin ($BNB), are quickly gaining traction. BNB On-Chain Signals Turn Bullish — Is This the Spark for the Best Altcoins? $BNB has already dipped slightly from its ATH and could …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro Currency The price test at 1.1764 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The second test of 1.1764 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which activated Sell Scenario #2 and resulted in a 20-point drop in the pair. Thanks to the lack of key macroeconomic data from the U.S., the position of the U.S. dollar improved at the end of last week. Investors interpreted the absence of news as an opportunity to stabilize their portfolios following the volatility caused by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Today, d…
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The Dogecoin price has since retraced after its run to $0.3 as sell-offs had grown stronger over the last week. There is also the fact that the Fed had cut interest rates by a quarter of a point last week, but because it was already priced into the market, there was barely any reaction to it. As such, the Dogecoin price stalled and continued to follow the established downtrend. But as the meme coin ushers in a new week, there is the possibility of a recovery and even a rally from here. The Current State Of Dogecoin Crypto analyst MadWhale outlined some notable developments surrounding the Dogecoin price and what could trigger the next wave of price action. Besides the Fe…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.2650 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might dip further below $0.2450. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.2620 level. The price is trading below the $0.260 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2550 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a fresh upward move if it stays above the $0.2450 zone. Dogecoin Price Dips Again Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after there was a close below $0.2720, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.2620 and $0.2550 sup…
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Today, Monday, marks the fourth consecutive day of negative sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, although it is attempting to reverse the trend by trading around the 1.1730 level. The pair's weakness is linked to continued dollar strength following last week's Federal Reserve rate cut. While the Fed did lower the rate for the first time, it did not emphasize the need for an accelerated pace of easing in the coming months. Investors are now awaiting eurozone consumer sentiment data, as well as speeches from a European Central Bank (ECB) representative and members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for today. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted at the pos…
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair continued its downward movement on Friday, even though a rise in the pound would have been more logical. Let's recall that on Friday morning, the UK released a fairly positive retail sales report, which traders completely ignored. Overall, last week's economic statistics in the UK were quite solid, but it didn't prevent the pound from falling due to renewed concerns over the national budget. The pound has declined not because of the Fed or Bank of England meetings, but due to more budget-related issues. From our point of view, this factor has already been priced in—how long can the market keep selling off the …
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H EUR/USD Chart The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday and may break through the ascending trend line as early as today. The euro has been falling for three consecutive days now, which is somewhat puzzling. Most recent data and news have not been negative for the euro or particularly positive for the dollar. The pair began its decline last Wednesday evening, right after the Fed announced the dovish results of its meeting. The fall continued through Thursday and Friday, driven in part by strong pressure on the pound sterling due to renewed budget and debt issues in the UK. However, this process should come to an end s…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward trend on Friday, and it was much more pronounced than what we saw with the EUR/USD pair. This allows us to immediately conclude that it was the British pound that started the decline first — and it had specific reasons for doing so. The euro simply followed. Why did the British pound fall? The meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England had absolutely nothing to do with it, as the British central bank decided to maintain its monetary policy parameters, did not signal any upcoming rate cuts, and only slightly trimmed its quantitative easing (QE) program. Meanwhile, the Fed lowered its key rate and hinted at the p…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement throughout Friday, which began Wednesday evening. After these 2.5 days, it's difficult to say the euro depreciated significantly or that the dollar strengthened dramatically. Nonetheless, the price has consolidated below the moving average line, which at the very least prevents us from considering long positions in the near term as the most logical approach. Despite the pair's decline in the final days of last week, our expectations remain entirely unchanged. We still see no fundamental reason for the dollar to grow in the medium term. It's just that the upward movement is no longer as strong as it was in the first…
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[USDX] – [Monday, September 22, 2025] With the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area and supported by both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, #USDX is likely to strengthen to its nearest Resistance in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.09 2. Resistance. 1 : 97.85 3. Pivot : 97.55 4. Support. 1 : 97.31 5. Support. 2 : 97.01 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks out and closes above 97.85, #USDX has the potential to strengthen to 98.09. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.09 is breached and closes above, it has the potential to continue its rally to 98.39. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if the price declines an…
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[Crude Oil] – [Monday, September 22, 2025] Although the RSI is in the Neutral-Bullish area, but with both EMAs crossing in a Death Cross configuration, #CL is likely to weaken in the near term down to its closest support level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 64.04 2. Resistance. 1 : 63.35 3. Pivot : 62.98 4. Support. 1 : 62.29 5. Support. 2 : 61.92 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If price breaks down below 62.98, it has the potential to move towards 62.29. Momentum Extension Bias: If 62.29 is breached and closed below, it is likely to continue down to 61.92. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is contained if the price strengthens and bre…
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