Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On-chain data shows the large Bitcoin investors have added to their holdings in the past week, a sign that could be bullish for BTC’s price. Bitcoin Investors With 10 To 10,000 BTC Have Added To Their Holdings In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin supply held by the 10 to 10,000 BTC investors. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” which tells us about the total number of tokens that a particular wallet group is carrying right now. Addresses or investors are placed into these cohorts based on the size of their balance. For example, the 1 to 10 coins group includes all h…
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The liquidity engine that has supported risk assets, including Bitcoin, since the beginning of 2025 is now shifting into reverse. According to macro analyst Tomas (@TomasOnMarkets), the six-month upswing in Federal Reserve liquidity has ended, and a potentially destabilizing wave of debt issuance by the US Treasury is about to begin. In a post published on X late Sunday, Tomas warned: “ Federal Reserve Liquidity set to fall… The Fed liquidity upswing that began on January 1 2025 is now over.” Bitcoin Enters Danger Zone The catalyst behind this reversal is the recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase passed by Congress last week. That legislative decision gives the Treasu…
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Bitcoin’s price movements often reflect broader macroeconomic trends. Analysts have uncovered a consistent pattern where BTC’s price follows these shifts with a roughly 12-week delay. With global liquidity now picking up steam, the macro-level signal now points toward a potential bullish phase ahead for BTC. How Liquidity Trends Fit Into Bitcoin’s Long-Term Cycle In an X post, Crypto expert MartyParty pointed out a compelling pattern in Bitcoin’s price behavior, stating that its high-timeframe follows global liquidity, indicated on the chart as the blue line following the red line lagged 12 weeks. Currently, the global liquidity curve is on the rise, and the US has no…
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Bitcoin’s recent climb to $105,000 has done little to shake off the worries piling up around its momentum. The world’s biggest cryptocurrency eked out a 0.03% gain in the last 24 hours but still sits 3.5% lower than it did a week ago. According to analyst Captain Faibik, this mix of flat gains and fading strength could mean traders are buying Bitcoin at the top. Bearish RSI Divergence Signals Weakness Based on data, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has drifted downward after peaking near 80, even as Bitcoin’s price pushed to fresh highs. The RSI now sits at 61.88, a clear sign that buyers are losing steam. Traders often watch for this kind of mismatch—when price goes…
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The Hash Ribbon “buy” trigger – a signal embedded in Bitcoin’s network hashrate dynamics – has flashed again, and technical analyst Astronomer Zero believes it could pave the way to at least $170,000 per coin. A chart the analyst posted on X on 12 June overlays every prior weekly‐time-frame Hash Ribbon entry since 2020 on the BTC/USDT perpetual contract at Binance, illustrating why the signal is treated with almost talismanic respect by some quantitative traders. Bitcoin Surge To $170,000 Imminent? The graphic shows five earlier occurrences of the capitulation-to-recovery crossover embedded in the Hash Ribbon algorithm. Each is marked on the price pane by a cobalt-blue “…
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Bitcoin long-term holders aged between 5 to 7 years old have lost $6.4 billion in Realized Cap over the past year, but selling isn’t behind the fall. 5 To 7 Years Old Bitcoin Holders Have Been Maturing To Even Older Bands In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how the Realized Cap associated with the 5 to 7 years old Bitcoin investors has changed over the past year. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an indicator that basically measures the amount of capital that the investors of the cryptocurrency have put into it. As such, changes in the metric correspond to the exit or entry of capital into the network. In the context of the current t…
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According to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, what used to be a near‑perfect four‑year Bitcoin pattern now looks less reliable. Supply cuts, rate moves and crash risks once drove big swings. Now, fresh forces are taking over. Halving’s Impact Shrinks Every Cycle Hougan points out that each Bitcoin halving still cuts new coins by 50% but matters less over time. In early cycles, that shock fueled parabolic runs. Today, with a market cap in the hundreds of billions, the same supply cut is half as important every four years. Back in 2016 and 2020, prices jumped more than 150% around halving events. Now, moves hover under 50% in similar windows. Based on a…
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Bitcoin (BTC) remains within a tight trading range following a recent pullback from its all-time high. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is priced at $118,570, reflecting a 0.3% increase over the past 24 hours. Recent analysis shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform by market contributor ShayanMarkets highlights a noticeable change in Bitcoin’s futures market activity. According to the analyst, while previous price surges in the $70,000–$90,000 range were marked by significant speculative pressure and leverage buildup, the current trend shows signs of cooling despite elevated price levels. This shift could play a key role in determining Bitco…
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On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed the five key Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to keep an eye on in the coming week. Bitcoin Is Observing Developments On These Metrics In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has discussed about some Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to watch amid the consolidation phase in the cryptocurrency’s price. The first indicator shared by the analytics firm is the 60-day change in the market cap of USDT, the number one stablecoin. As is visible in the above chart, the 60-day change in the USDT market cap has continued to sit at a notable positive level recently, implying the stablecoin has been witnessing growth. Stablecoi…
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to face resistance just under the $120,000 mark, struggling to build enough momentum for a breakout. Over the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency has remained in a tight trading range above $118,000, representing a slight decline of nearly 4% from its most recent all-time high. Despite the lack of upward movement, analysts suggest that Bitcoin may be entering a phase of energy consolidation rather than signaling an imminent downturn. According to data from CryptoQuant, two separate market analysts have shared their perspectives on BTC’s current cycle, focusing on long-term valuation metrics and investor activity patterns that could influence the ne…
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Bitcoin spent about nine months stuck below $110 K before finally pushing past that ceiling this month. The move up to $123,000 shows real buying power. According to EliteOptionsTrader, a crypto expert, many investors see this as the start of something bigger. Key Catalysts Driving The Surge Based on examination by EliteOptionsTrader, one of the biggest factors is the potential approval of a spot Ethereum ETF. Bitcoin’s own ETFs have pulled in billions from major institutions, and a greenlight for Ethereum could send more money into crypto overall, lifting Bitcoin further. The US election is now behind us, and talk of Federal Reserve rate cuts in late 2025 is fueling …
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Bitcoin remains under pressure after sliding from its all-time high above $124,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $110,219, reflecting a weekly decline of about 2% and a broader drop of more than 10% from its peak. Despite the correction, analysts continue to examine on-chain data for signs of the market’s next direction. Among the latest insights, CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain highlighted the significance of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Price Bands, a long-observed metric used to assess market cycles. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s current positioning above key support bands suggests the uptrend remains intact,…
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The chief executive officer of SOL Strategies has a strong belief in the potential of Bitcoin, despite recent setbacks by the top crypto asset. Leah Wald told members of the press she expects bitcoin to make a steep move before year end. Her baseline? The vaunted $175,000 mark – a price she called a conservative read compared to some loftier forecasts. The market has already surprised a lot of people — bitcoin hit about $124,000 recently — so big swings are not impossible. Institutional Interest Drives Momentum According to Wald, part of the push comes from big money moving in. She pointed to companies like BlackRock and high-profile investors such as Cathie Wood, and…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) resumes recording new all-time highs (ATH), focus is back on key price levels that could provide investors with an idea about the next possible resistance levels that may see a sell-off in BTC. Fresh on-chain data offers a map of BTC’s most important price levels. Bitcoin May Face Resistance At These Levels According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the cost basis (Realized Price) of BTC Short-Term Holders (STH) provides a snapshot of important support and resistance zones. Notably, the STH Realized Price highlights the aggregate price at which recent market participants acquired their BTC. This information can give analysts…
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Bitcoin has climbed 250% since BlackRock’s IBIT launch. But those massive green candles—spikes traders chase—could become a thing of the past. According to Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, the era of sudden jolts up or down may be ending. He says that spot ETFs and big companies piling in will smooth out those drawdowns. Spot ETF Approval Era Balchunas pointed out that IBIT just passed $100 billion in assets under management. Based on his view, that landmark tells you everything. Bitcoin traded between $116,000 and $120,000 after Galaxy Digital sold 80,000 coins. No panic sell‑off followed. Before ETFs, a sale like that could send prices tumbling by double‑digit perc…
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Bitcoin appears to be quietly gathering strength beneath the surface. After a healthy pullback that shook out weak hands, the market is showing signs of renewed momentum. Key technical signals suggest this correction may have been a setup for the next major rally, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high. Healthy Correction Within A Dominant Uptrend EtherNasyonaL, in a recent post, highlighted that Bitcoin continues to maintain its upward trajectory despite recent market fluctuations. The analyst described the latest movement as a healthy correction within the broader bullish trend, emphasizing that such retracements are natural in a sustained rally. Followin…
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Bitcoin’s price is beginning to recover after a brief period of stagnation, trading at $118,945 at the time of writing. This marks a 1% increase over the past 24 hours, with the asset briefly reaching a high of $119,754 during the same period. The recent upward movement suggests a cautious return of buying interest, though analysts warn that market participants should remain aware of deeper trends influencing price action. Among the key voices weighing in is CryptoQuant contributor Yonsei Dent, who highlighted a familiar pattern in Bitcoin’s current on-chain metrics. MVRV Ratio Signals Possible Peak by Late August According to Dent, the 365-day moving average (DMA) of…
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On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has explained how there aren’t any signs of a Bitcoin price peak yet, based on this indicator. Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss Is Still At Moderate Levels In a new post on X, CryptoQuant has shared the latest trend in the Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss. This indicator tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors are selling their coins at a net profit or loss. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token being spent to see what price it was moved at before this. If this previous selling price for any coin was less than the spot price it’s now being transacted at, then the token’s sale is assumed to be lea…
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According to Anthony Pompliano, Bitcoin is still the clear leader in the crypto market and it’s not likely to give up that spot soon. He made the point during an appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box, where he pushed back against the old “blockchain, not Bitcoin” line that was popular in the 2016-2017 cycle. He said Bitcoin has proven itself, and he framed the debate as one about what people want to own, not just what the technology can do. Bitcoin Maintains Market Lead Pompliano argued that the idea blockchain alone would outshine Bitcoin has been tested and found wanting. Based on reports from his CNBC interview, he stressed that while blockchain has useful cases, Bitcoin …
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Bitcoin’s price action this month has left traders watching closely as big players double down on bullish calls. According to VanEck’s research, the investment firm has reaffirmed a $180,000 year-end target even after Bitcoin slid from a recent high, a sign that some institutional buyers are not backing away despite a pullback. Institutional Buying Remains Heavy Reports have disclosed heavy accumulation in July. Exchange-traded products bought 54,000 BTC while Digital Asset Treasuries added 72,000 BTC, giving clear evidence that large holders continue to pile in. VanEck first laid out its bullish view in November 2024 when Bitcoin traded around $88,000. At the same tim…
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The Bitcoin market remains in an intense corrective phase after prices registered a significant 6.7% price decline in the past week. The premier cryptocurrency is presently valued at around $108,000, which recent on-chain data describes as a rather volatile state. Notably, there is a need for an immediate price rebound or Bitcoin risks a further downside. Bitcoin Faces Danger Of Sliding To $100,000 Support In an X post on August 29, Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, shares an important on-chain update on the Bitcoin market. Data from CryptoQuant’s Trader On-chain Realized Price Bands indicates that the leading cryptocurrency is trading at a critical junctu…
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Bitcoin is currently undergoing a period of downward movement after briefly setting a new all-time high earlier last month. Over the past week, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has declined by nearly 4%, trading at $113,993 at the time of writing. This represents a drop of approximately 7.2% from the peak price of above $123,000 reached in July. The decline has sparked renewed discussion among analysts about the asset’s current price discovery phase and what it could mean for the remainder of 2025. Bitcoin Price Discovery and the Potential for Q4 Gains CryptoQuant analyst Oinonen shared his latest assessment of Bitcoin’s market performance, noting that while the rece…
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Bitcoin’s climb past $110,000 this week has reignited a fresh round of bullish calls. Prices hit $110,150 on July 3 and traded a little past $108,000 level at last check, showing a small 0.41% dip in 24 hours but a 1.20% rise over seven days. This steady move higher has drawn voices from social media, stirring debate on whether Bitcoin is truly underpriced or in danger of slipping back below key levels. Undervalued At $110K According to Altcoin Daily, Bitcoin at $110,000 is “undervalued,” with the analysts arguing there’s plenty of room to run. That bold claim has fans cheering, and some even dream of $1,000,000 down the road. Other users have pushed back, asking wh…
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Bitcoin’s upward price trajectory has slightly cooled, with the asset now trading just below the $119,000 mark, reflecting a 3% decline over the past week. The dip follows a sustained upward trend that has seen significant interest from both institutional and retail participants in recent months. The current pause in momentum may suggest a temporary rebalancing, with market participants potentially reassessing their positions. As price movement stabilizes, on-chain analysts have begun to highlight deeper structural shifts within Bitcoin’s blockchain activity. According to CryptoQuant contributor Avocado onchain, one key trend gaining attention is the continued decline i…
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Fifteen years ago today, Satoshi Nakamoto typed out a short, almost casual statement on a Bitcoin forum that would end up sounding prophetic: “The utility of the exchange made possible by Bitcoin will far exceed the cost of electricity used. Therefore, not having Bitcoin would be net waste.” It traded for a mere $0.07 at the time — Aug. 7, 2010 — and largely among a small group of early adopters. It could be mined on a desktop computer. Today, Bitcoin exchanges near $117,000, after reaching a high this year of $123,000. The token is no longer an esoteric experiment by an unknown programmer but the linchpin of a $2.3 trillion crypto space that has captivated retail inv…
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