Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11949 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Wednesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, despite experiencing a decline during the day. The macroeconomic background was relatively weak. Essentially, there was only one report to highlight—durable goods orders in the U.S., which, as expected, prompted a market reaction but did not significantly affect overall markets. What did we observe? The report came out more positively than anticipated, which led to a predictable rise in the dollar. However, the trend on the hourly timeframe shifted upward a few days ago, the daily timeframe remains flat, and the global trend continues to…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Wednesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also traded higher on Wednesday, though there were few compelling reasons for the move. The only significant macroeconomic report of the day (durable goods orders in the U.S.) was positive (and prompted a rise in the dollar), while the publication of the final budget draft for 2026 in the UK cannot clearly be described as positive (though it's possible to find a silver lining in any barrel of tar). Nevertheless, by the end of the day, the British pound appreciated. We have repeatedly warned that much of the GBP/USD pair's decline over the past two months has been illogical. In other words, …
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XRP price started a steady increase above $2.20. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for another increase if it clears $2.280. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.220 zone. The price is now trading above $2.20 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.180 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears $2.280. XRP Price Holds Ground XRP price started a decent upward move above $2.10 and $2.120, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $2.20 resistance. The bulls even pumped the pric…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how XRP has bounced off the bottom level of a Parallel Channel and could be headed toward its midway line. XRP Recently Found Support At The Lower Line Of A Parallel Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in the 3-day price of XRP. The pattern in question is a “Parallel Channel,” appearing whenever an asset’s price consolidates between two parallel trendlines. The upper level of the channel provides resistance to the asset, making tops probable at it. Similarly, the lower line can facilitate bottom formations by acting as a source of support. A breakout of e…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave and surged above $3,0000. ETH might continue to rise if it clears the $3,120 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above $2,950 and $3,000. The price is trading above $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,880 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,120 zone. Ethereum Price Rallies Over 5% Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,850 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $2,880 and $2,950 levels. The bulls were able to push the price ab…
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As the cryptocurrency ecosystem matures and evolves, a new narrative is gaining traction that positions XRP for an upcoming institutional-driven surge that could redefine market expectations. With momentum building around XRP exchange-traded funds, one prominent analyst now believes the asset could be on the verge of a rally so large it may outperform Bitcoin’s own ETF-driven surge. Why Analysts Believe XRP Is Poised For A Larger Upside Than Bitcoin XRP is entering its ETF chapter, and the scale of what’s coming could make Bitcoin look small. Crypto analyst Xfinancebull mentioned on X that early players like Grayscale, Bitwise, Franklin, and Canary Funds are already live…
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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $90,000. BTC is now consolidating and might soon aim for a move above the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin started a recovery wave and climbed toward $92,000. The price is trading above $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $88,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Steady Gains Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $86,500 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $88,000 resistance zone. There was a brea…
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Bitcoin has struggled below the $90,000 level since last week and is now attempting to stabilize as selling pressure continues to shape market sentiment. The sharp downturn from the recent cycle high has left bullish traders on the defensive, with confidence weakening across spot and derivatives markets. Analysts who just weeks ago projected continuation toward new all-time highs are now shifting their tone, with many calling for the beginning of a bear market. The broader market environment has amplified these concerns. Momentum has flipped downward, liquidity has thinned, and buyers have been unable to reclaim key resistance levels that would signal strength. As Bitco…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Wednesday until the UK budget for the 2026 financial year was published. It is important to remember that the Labor Party faced a serious dilemma: "raise taxes and lose voter support" or "do not raise taxes and increase borrowing." To give a glimpse of the outcome, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, opted for the first option. At this point, the specifics of the new budget are not yet fully known, but it is already clear that total taxes will increase by £26 billion. While this may not seem like a large amount for the entire country when broken down per capita, British farmers protested by breaking through…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with moderate volatility on Wednesday, but it is still well below its previous levels. Currently, the average daily movement is around 55 pips. This is not a one-off or weekly lull in the market; rather, it is the average over the past month and a half, as shown in the illustration below. The average over the last five days is 58 pips, indicating that above-average volatility is now more the exception than the rule. Yesterday, the only relatively significant event was the durable goods orders report in the U.S. We warned that this report could provoke volatility, but at the same time, we advised against expecting any lasting impact on trad…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair rose sharply on Wednesday, though it also fell sharply during the day. Such "swings" were due to fundamental and macroeconomic backgrounds. First, a report on durable goods orders in the U.S. came out, beating expectations and strengthening the U.S. dollar. Shortly afterward, the UK's 2026 budget was announced, which could have led to another decline in the British pound, as taxes were increased contrary to the Labor Party's promises and Rachel Reeves's personal assurances. However, instead of a decline, we saw a rise. Why? Because the market had sold off the pound for two months based on questionable factors, it clearl…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair experienced relatively good volatility for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. While we cannot say that the rise of the European currency was logical in terms of macroeconomic and fundamental factors, we have repeatedly stated that any upward movement at this moment is inherently logical, as the upward trend persists. Besides the upward trend, a flat pattern persists on the daily timeframe. Given that the price has dipped into the lower boundary (1.1400) twice in recent weeks, a reversal and purely technical growth was also plausible. Thus, yesterday's growth in the pair amid fairly decent U.S. statistics did not s…
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Ethereum (ETH) is holding firm around the $2,900 level as improving macro sentiment, renewed whale accumulation, and rising ETF inflows strengthen expectations for a short-term rebound toward $3,400. Related Reading: Capriole Founder Not Bearish On Bitcoin Despite Headwinds—Here’s Why With Federal Reserve rate-cut odds now above 80%, traders are positioning for a potential shift in risk appetite that could benefit major cryptocurrencies, especially ETH. Fed Pivot Hopes and Institutional Demand Bolster Ethereum Ethereum has traded between $2,700 and $3,300 in recent weeks, but fresh catalysts are helping the asset stabilize above $2,900. The biggest driver is macroe…
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Tether, the entity behind the world’s largest stablecoin by market capitalization, USDT, has experienced a downgrade in its rating by S&P Global. This decision, made public on Wednesday, stems from what the agency describes as “persistent gaps in disclosure” and a growing allocation of “high-risk assets” within Tether’s reserves. The assets highlighted include Bitcoin (BTC), gold, corporate bonds, secured loans, and other investments, all of which entail various risks, including credit, market, interest rate, and foreign exchange vulnerabilities. Tether CEO Responds To S&P Downgrade In a recent research note, S&P Global detailed that this upgrade came as pa…
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According to crypto analyst Tony Severino, the Bitcoin price has broken below the 50-week Moving Average (MA) for the first time in the current cycle, triggering renewed fears of a deeper decline. With price momentum weakening and long-term trend indicators flashing bearish warning signals, the possibility of a price crash to $38,000 is becoming hard to ignore. 50-MA Breakdown To Trigger $38,000 Bitcoin Price Crash The Bitcoin price action took a decisive turn this week as the market slipped below the 50 MA for the first time in this four-year cycle. Severino noted in his technical analysis shared on X this Monday that the 50 MA has historically marked the beginning of …
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Thai authorities have ordered World, the digital identity project backed by Sam Altman, to stop operating in the country and erase all user identification data collected from residents. According to a statement released on Monday by the Ministry of Digital Economy and Society (MDES), the order was issued by Thailand’s Economic and Social Development Board. The order directed the company to delete iris scan records linked to around 1.2M people. Officials said World violated Thailand’s Personal Data Protection Act by collecting biometric data in exchange for its Worldcoin token. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Why Did Thailand Order the World to Hal…
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Ethereum continues to trade below the critical $3,000 level as selling pressure intensifies and fear dominates sentiment across the crypto market. The broader downturn has pushed ETH nearly 40% below its August all-time high, raising concerns that the asset may be entering a prolonged bearish phase. Analysts who were once confident in a continued rally are now shifting their tone, warning that market structure, volatility, and liquidity conditions are beginning to resemble early-stage bear market behavior. At the same time, investor confidence is being further tested by fresh on-chain activity showing large holders reducing exposure. According to data from Lookonchain, …
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Crypto asset manager Bitwise launched its Dogecoin exchange-traded fund on Wednesday, listing the product on the New York Stock Exchange under branding that features the familiar cartoon dog. In a statement on the launch, Hunter Horsley, Bitwise’s chief executive, said Dogecoin holds an unusual place in the market. “DOGE started as a joke and then became a symbol of the crypto movement,” Horsley said. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 How Does the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF (BWOW) Compare With Grayscale and REX-Osprey? Dogecoin makes no grand promises. It does not pretend to rebuild the world of finance. And it does not sell itself as a proje…
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Unfortunately, the only way to address this issue is through protectionist policies. Washington has already taken this path, and the European Union may follow suit in the near future. What does this mean for the average consumer? It translates to a compulsion to purchase domestically produced goods or to pay tariffs to the government when buying imported products. Ultimately, it all boils down to money, with consumers worldwide facing higher prices for the same goods. Otherwise, European industry will continue to decline in volume and will eventually perish within the next 50 years. The situation in American industry is somewhat better, but Donald Trump is not unjustified…
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Europe and America realize that if China is self-sufficient and purchases nothing from them while selling goods worth tens and hundreds of billions of dollars, then something needs to be done about it; otherwise, soon there will be no means to pay for imports, and Beijing will continue to surge ahead in economic growth. Washington was the first to go on the offensive, imposing trade tariffs. Donald Trump's position is simple—if there is an imbalance in the trade balance, it needs to be corrected. Trump's goal is to achieve at least approximately equal amounts of imports and exports. However, Trump's policy is not about opening new factories in America or reducing taxes to…
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China's self-sufficiency is becoming a problem for many developed countries. The issue is that, with each passing year, Beijing becomes increasingly less reliant on imports. China is developing across all areas of the economy and industry, and it now seems there is no product it does not manufacture. If a country can meet domestic demand with domestic production, why would it need to import anything from abroad? Export dynamics are different. China exports vast quantities of goods worldwide, which is no secret. I can't say its economy relies solely on exports, but exports are a significant portion of GDP. Thus, China imports little but exports a lot. Consumers from differ…
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The currency market is experiencing the aftershocks of the shutdown that ended two weeks ago. The 43-day suspension of the U.S. government has left its mark—even on the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). For instance, on Wednesday, BLS specialists were scheduled to publish the September core PCE index and the U.S. third-quarter preliminary GDP growth figures. Unfortunately, the announced reports were not released. The publication of the core personal consumption expenditure price index report has been postponed to December 5, and the preliminary data on U.S. third-quarter economic growth have been postponed to December 23. More precisely, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analys…
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Worrying signals from the ECB and IMF have tempered the enthusiasm of "bulls" for EUR/USD. The European Central Bank warned that pension reform in the Netherlands could bring turbulence to the European bond market. Approximately €1.9 trillion is managed by Dutch pension funds. The portfolio adjustments made by these financial institutions will affect bond yields. The International Monetary Fund raised its GDP growth forecast for Germany to 1% in 2026 and to 1.5% in 2027, but warned that without reforms, fiscal stimuli would be ineffective. Dynamics and Forecasts for German GDP The path upwards for EUR/USD will be bumpy. According to Deutsche Bank, the major currency pair …
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Grayscale’s plan to launch the first US Zcash ETF could bring one of crypto’s most privacy-driven assets into Wall Street’s main spotlight. The firm filed a Form S-3 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday, November 26, asking to convert the Grayscale Zcash Trust into an exchange-traded fund. (Source: SEC.gov) If approved, the product would trade on NYSE Arca under the ticker ZCSH. According to the preliminary prospectus, the ETF would track CoinDesk’s Zcash Price Index (ZCX). Coinbase Custody would hold the underlying asset, Coinbase, Inc. would act as prime broker, and BNY Mellon would serve as transfer agent and administrator. DISCOVER: Zcas…
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Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest upward move arrives at a time when confidence in the market remains uncertain, with many traders unsure whether the slight price recovery marks early strength or another temporary bounce. With last week’s pullback still fresh, a crypto analyst argues that most traders may label the recent recovery a dead cat bounce. However, he believes the narrative is misleading and predicts that Bitcoin’s rebound this week may be setting the stage for a stronger rally. Why The Bitcoin Price Recovery Is Not A Dead Cat Bounce Market analyst and founder of The House of Crypto, Peter Anthony, has released a new technical analysis of Bitcoin that challenges the prev…
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