Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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In the formative decades of the United States Mint, every coin struck carried more than face value — it carried a story. The 1853-O Seated Liberty Half Dollar, particularly the “Arrows and Rays” variety, stands as one of the most fascinating artifacts of mid-19th century American coinage. It tells a story of economic adaptation, artistic refinement, and the evolving identity of a growing nation. A Glimpse Into the Mid-19th Century Mint By 1853, the U.S. Mint was confronting challenges brought about by shifting metal values and the growing demands of commerce. Silver coins, long a foundation of everyday trade, had begun to vanish from circulation as their melt value excee…
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Is the Bank of Japan Truly Independent? In Japan in the mean time… One key theme in 2025 has been a weaker USDJPY, driven by diverging monetary policy paths. While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has been preparing to raise interest rates, other major central banks, most notably the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) are shifting toward rate cuts. USDJPY Daily Chart However, recent political developments in Japan are reshaping market expectations. The soon-to-be Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, a proponent of Abenomics, has signaled a potentially more cautious stance on monetary tightening. According to a Newsquawk.com report: Advisor to Japan’s new LDP leader Takaichi, Honda,…
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The uranium market has momentum on its side as it looks to end 2025 on a strong note, with several catalysts lined up to fuel a sector seen as critical for the future of energy, says Sprott. In a report released on Thursday, the firm listed three key developments that could lift uranium even further, namely the US government’s critical minerals policy, accelerating demand for the nuclear fuel, and concerns surrounding supply. In the first case, Sprott analysts led by Jacob White pointed to the Trump administration’s intent to stockpile more uranium to alleviate the persistent supply gap for US utilities and the country’s heavy reliance on foreign supply, in partic…
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Equities have enjoyed a remarkable run, with major indices pushing to fresh highs — from last Friday’s Dow peak above the 47,000 milestone to yesterday’s record closes in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Since June–July 2025, following the end of the 12-day Israel–Iran conflict, markets have been ecstatic, printing new all-time highs almost every week. Yet, beneath the surface, some divergences are starting to show. The S&P 500 now stands 9.5% above its January 2025 high, the Nasdaq is up 12.5%, but the Dow Jones has gained only 3.6% — a notable gap that hints at sectoral imbalance. A weekly look at US Indices …
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The latest FOMC news signals a clear dovish tilt among U.S. Federal Reserve officials, with the newly released minutes showing that additional rate cuts are likely before the end of the year. Most participants judged that it would be “appropriate to ease policy further over the remainder of 2025,” marking a notable shift from the cautious tone that dominated much of the year. While the central bank remains officially committed to its 2% inflation target, the tone of the September meeting minutes suggests the Fed is becoming more concerned about slowing employment than lingering inflation. The first rate cut in September—by 25 basis points—was driven by signs of a softeni…
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The Dow Jones Index is on the back foot today continuing its bearish trend this week which started with Monday's retreat from the recent highs. The lack of US data due to the US government shutdown has left markets with few catalysts to look forward to. A host of Federal Reserve policymakers including Fed Chair Powell have also done little to inspire any volatility this week. Looking at the current Fear and Greed index, and it is hovering in neutral territory as well. …
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The New Zealand Dollar has been under heavy pressure in recent weeks, weighed down by a string of disappointing economic data, including a sharp GDP contraction that surprised markets and pushed the RBNZ toward a more dovish stance. But markets often move in unexpected ways. Despite the policy decision being split between a 25 bps and 50 bps cut, and the RBNZ ultimately choosing the larger move, NZD/USD didn’t tumble as far as expected. In fact, buyers stepped in, bringing the pair back to nearly unchanged levels by the close of yesterday's session. …
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While Bitcoin and Ethereum are trying to cope with the mild pressure they faced earlier this week, institutional and corporate accumulation of Ethereum has reached a major milestone: companies and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) now collectively hold more than 10% of the total supply. According to StrategicETHReserve, total institutional holdings have grown to 12.48 million ETH, accounting for 10.31% of Ethereum's circulating supply. Specifically, corporate entities accumulating Ethereum collectively hold around 5.66 million ETH, or 4.68% of total supply. Meanwhile, spot Ethereum ETFs now own roughly 6.81 million ETH, representing 5.63% of the total. This trend not only…
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Binance Japan has teamed up with PayPay to make it easier for people in the country to use crypto for everyday cashless payments. The partnership was announced on 9 October 2025 and aims to build new services that connect digital assets with PayPay’s payment network, offering users a smoother payment experience. “By integrating cashless payments and cryptocurrency, we will deliver a seamless financial experience to everyone in Japan.” For those who don’t know, PayPay is a joint venture between SoftBank Group and Yahoo Japan. It offers QR code and barcode-based payment services through a smartphone app, allowing users to link their bank accounts or credit cards and make…
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Bill Zanker, a longtime ally of US President Donald Trump, is leading an effort to raise at least $200 million to prop up the Official Trump meme coin, reports have disclosed. The bid is being run through a vehicle called Fight Fight Fight LLC, and backers say the fundraising could climb as high as $1 billion, though the deal is not guaranteed to close. Rescue Plan Targets Market Pressure According to Bloomberg and people familiar with the effort, the token has lost most of its value since launch, sliding from $75 in January to around $8 today — a drop of more than 90%. Zanker’s pitch is to build a digital-asset treasury that would buy and support the token to steady …
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The US dollar refuses to yield the ground it gained earlier, ignoring the government shutdown and growing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Today, the USDX dollar index reached another 10-week high near 99.06, marking its fourth consecutive day of strengthening. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market continues its correction. While Bitcoin's price today remains nearly unchanged from yesterday's close, Ethereum (ETH) has lost about 2.8%, trading around $4,378.00 against the dollar at the time of publication. The record high of $4,955.00 was set on August 24 of this year, just ten days after Bitcoin (BTC) reached its own all-time high near $124,000.00. Ethereum differs from…
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Anglo American’s (LON: AAL) chief executive officer Duncan Wanblad said Botswana’s government will join negotiations with one or two shortlisted bidders for De Beers, as the mining giant moves to sell its 85% stake in the diamond producer. “This isn’t going to be the classical first round, second round sale process that you would ordinarily receive for businesses of this type,” Wanblad told the Financial Times at the the publication’s annual Mining Summit. Anglo will hold direct talks with selected bidders alongside Botswana, which owns 15% of De Beers through its Debswana joint venture. Wanblad said he expects the sale process to conclude within six months but di…
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Until recently, most developers viewed the Ethereum mainnet as this unscalable yet irresistibly attractive layer on which it was impossible to launch a functional perpetual DEX. Ethereum has everything. It is the second most valuable network after Bitcoin and the first smart contracts platform. After dYdX, there has been no other major perpetual DEX on Ethereum until Lighter took over from Q3 2025. Lighter is moving numbers; big numbers taking on top centralized exchanges, and soon Binance. As of October 9, Lighter generated over $8.5Bn in trading volume in 24 hours. On this platform, traders are placing leveraged positions. Cumulatively, there is over $2.2Bn in open int…
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Arthur Hayes argues that Bitcoin’s widely cited four-year halving cycle has broken down and that macro liquidity—not protocol mechanics—will dictate the next leg of the market. In a new essay titled “Long Live the King!” published on October 9, 2025, the BitMEX co-founder contends that policy choices in Washington and Beijing are setting up a structurally easier money regime that should keep pushing BTC higher, even as many traders look for a textbook cycle peak. “The four-year anniversary of this fourth cycle is upon us,” he writes, but those applying the old pattern “miss why it will fail this time.” The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead Hayes’ framework is explicit: the pr…
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European gas prices stay near 30–32 euro per MWh despite the upcoming heating season.High storage levels and strong LNG inflows from the U.S. keep the market stable.China’s weaker LNG demand reduces global price pressure.Risks ahead include Norwegian production outages and possible winter cold pushing prices toward 40 euro per MWh. Despite the approaching heating season, natural gas prices in Europe remain near a yearly low — around 30–32 euros per megawatt-hour (MWh). The persistence of such low levels results primarily from high storage inventories and strong inflows of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States. In addition, lower demand for LNG in China — o…
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About 6.4 million tonnes of copper production capacity, equal to more than 25% of global mine output, is stalled or suspended due to environmental, social, and governance (ESG), a new study shows. These bottlenecks, unlike geological or technical barriers, stem from conflicts that could be resolved through stronger governance, deeper community engagement, and more sustainable practices, according to analysts at GEM Mining Consulting. The findings come as demand for copper continues to surge, driven by electrification, renewable energy growth, and the digital economy. Countries including Chile, Peru and the United States hold some of the largest reserves now off th…
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It is natural for traders to fade the trend. Seeking value, one expects that elevated prices after a steep uptrend mean overpriced and low prices after a big correction always mean underpriced. Looking for value is something natural for the Homo Economicus. When we go to the store, we are looking for discounts. But with Markets, discounts don't always translate well with good trades. The steep uptrend in EURUSD from January to the 1st of July brought the pair from 1.01 (close to parity) to 1.18 in a spectacular move. Those who bet on a reversal then initially got proven right, with the pair falling 4,000 pips during the same month. But, those who were expecting a full…
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So, gold just became the main character again. The world is a hot mess right now. There’s a new war starting every other day, the central banks are tweaking rates like it’s nothing, and the boomers are hoarding gold like it’s 2008. Add to this some inflation and a weak dollar, and boom, the gold price is now $4,000. Basically, the world is now Golum and gold is its precious. (Source: Tradingview) What we are seeing here is a domino effect taking hold. The first domino fell with the Ukraine-Russia and Israel-Gaza wars that drove investors towards gold as a hedge against instability. A cooling job market and inflation in the US had people expecting rate cuts from the…
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According to reports, Dogecoin faced a pullback this week even as signs of buying interest appeared on charts and in corporate coffers. DOGE traded at $0.251 at the time of reporting, down 4.8% over the past 24 hours but up 2.5% for the last seven days. The coin opened the week near $0.27 and slipped under $0.25 as sellers pressured the market. CleanCore Expands Dogecoin Treasury Reports have disclosed that CleanCore Solutions has been adding to its Dogecoin holdings and now holds more than 710 million DOGE as part of a plan to reach a one-billion coin target. The company’s treasury shows over $20 million in unrealized gains. CleanCore said the buildup follows a $175…
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Amid the calls for new all-time highs for Bitcoin, one analyst is going against the trend and calling a crash. The prediction not only expects Bitcoin to break below the $100,000 level, which many believe was already left in the past, but to actually fall by more than 60% from here. The analysis, which depicts a flash crash, shows a possible price reversal into levels not seen in years. Entering A Bitcoin Short With Conviction The crypto analyst who goes by the pseudonym Dick Dandy revealed that their next move was to enter into a Bitcoin short position between $121,400 and $121,700. However, the more interesting part is the take-profit targets that Dandy set for this po…
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Key takeaways Nasdaq 100 hits record high: The index rallied 1.2% on 8 October 2025, reaching a new all-time closing high of 25,137, supported by continued tech sector strength.AI bubble concerns rise: Market chatter grows around US$1 trillion in “AI circular deals” among OpenAI, Nvidia, AMD, and Oracle, sparking valuation worries.Technical outlook remains bullish: The Nasdaq 100 stays within its ascending channel, above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages.Market breadth improves: A rising share of Nasdaq 100 stocks now trades above short- and medium-term moving averages, reinforcing bullish momentum. The Nasdaq 100 rallied by 1.2% on Wednesday, 8 October 2025, an…
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Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Navigating US Government Shutdown & Technical Signals EUR/USD continued its slide this morning but is trading flat on the day. Yesterday's daily candle close though has broken a long-tern ascending trendline and sets the pair up for a potential move lower. There is a caveat however, the fundamental picture and technical picture are flashing mixed signals. EUR/USD Paints a Mixed Picture EUR/USD seemed poised to test the 1.2000 psychological level heading into the Federal Reserve meeting on September 17. After the meeting the fundamental factors such as monetary policy still seemed to support the idea as well. Many viewed the Federal Rese…
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Canada’s Franco-Nevada (TSX, NYSE: FNV) plans to expand its royalty and streaming business in Australia, chief executive Paul Brink said Thursday, as record-high gold prices fuel fresh investment in the sector. Brink confirmed the Toronto-based firm has made two new hires in Western Australia, signalling its intent to back junior gold developers in the resource-rich state. “The reason that we are hiring is our plan to focus more on Australia,” he told a mining conference in Melbourne. Australia, one of the world’s largest gold producers, is on track to make the metal its second most valuable export this financial year as prices soar to unprecedented levels. G…
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At the moment, the pair has failed to hold above the round level of 1.3400, which it briefly broke during the Asian session. From a technical standpoint, the recent repeated failures near the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) favor the bears in GBP/USD. Moreover, the negative oscillators on the daily chart suggest that any subsequent rise may quickly fade and should be viewed as an opportunity to sell. Therefore, to confirm a broader bullish move, it would be prudent to wait for sustained momentum above the 1.3484 level and above the 100-period SMA before opening long positions. Buying beyond the psychological level of 1.3500 would lift GBP/USD above the supply level…
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The British pound, euro, and Australian dollar were traded today using the Momentum strategy. I did not trade anything using Mean Reversion. Given the current pressure on risk assets, it is not surprising that the dollar continues its winning growth streak. This is especially evident in pairs with the euro, pound, and Japanese yen. Even positive data on Germany's trade surplus failed to help the euro rise. The European currency remains under the influence of a number of negative factors, including concerns over slowing eurozone economic growth, uncertainty regarding the European Central Bank's future monetary policy, as well as political tensions in the region. Considerin…
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