Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11713 tópicos neste fórum
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The Dogecoin price has entered another period of volatility as traders attempt to weigh improving technical signals against renewed short-term weakness. The memecoin has been shifting between modest recoveries and sudden pullbacks, creating a landscape where both bullish and bearish narratives remain active. With macro uncertainty, DOGE ETF inflows, exchange outflows, and key chart patterns emerging at the same time, the market is now deciding which direction will dominate heading into late December. Mixed Trading Conditions Shape Short-Term Direction for Dogecoin The Dogecoin price slipped back below the $0.145 region after failing to hold above $0.150 earlier in t…
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The shift of rare earth elements to the centre of global trade negotiations is a leading trend in mining, according to a new report by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie. It’s number two on its list of mega-trends in energy and mining this year as governments try to chip away at China’s control of more than 80% of processing and the vast majority of high-performance magnet output. The 15 elements of the Periodic Table’s lanthanide series, plus scandium and yttrium, are considered rare earths. Beijing’s tightening of export controls in April 2025, including special licences for selected rare earths and magnets, sharpened the trade talks push, prompting a …
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On December 14, Chileans elect a new president who will govern until 2030 and shape the country’s most important economic engine: mining. Voters face a stark choice between Jeannette Jara, a Communist Party stalwart and former labour minister under current President Gabriel Boric, and José Antonio Kast, founder of the ultra-conservative Republican Party. Security and illegal migration now dominate public concern, but the future of state copper giant Codelco sits at the centre of the economic stakes. The company, once the backbone of Chile’s modern economy, is drowning in debt, burdened by aging infrastructure and only beginning to rebound from years of production …
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the Japanese yen There were no tests of the levels I marked in the first half of the day, so I had no trades. In the second half of the day, figures on U.S. initial jobless claims and the trade balance are expected. Weak statistics will lead to a new decline in the USD/JPY pair. The market's reaction to the data release will be immediate, as traders closely monitor these indicators, which serve as important signals of the U.S. economy's condition. An increase in initial jobless claims indicates a slowdown in the labor market, which may negatively impact economic growth and the U.S. dollar's position against the Japanese yen. …
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The first test of 1.3373 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3373 shortly afterward coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario No. 2 (selling the pound) to play out. As a result, the pair fell by 20 points. In the absence of important fundamental statistics from the UK, the British pound made several attempts to continue its bullish momentum, but without much success. The pound's further movement will largely depend on the release …
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the euro The first test of 1.1697 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1697 shortly afterward coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario No. 2 (selling the euro) to play out. As a result, the pair fell only about 10 points. After yesterday's rise triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, the euro today showed growth in the first half of the day but failed to break above the upper boundary of the weekly range. However, despite this consolid…
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Given the very small spike in volatility in the first half of the day, no valid entry points were formed for the Mean Reversion strategy. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded only the Japanese yen. The euro and the pound rose in the first half of the day, continuing yesterday's bullish market following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates. However, after the initial spike caused by news from Washington, momentum weakened, and the single currency stabilized near 1.1700 against the U.S. dollar. Since the market had already largely priced in the expected rate cut, new catalysts are needed for further euro appreciation. Nonetheless, despite some consolidation, the overal…
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The Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA) is breaking its preceding record after a huge rally from the open – It just reached 48,526 and is now stalling a bit from (minimal) profit-taking. zoom_out_map Dow Jones Index (DJIA) Daily Chart, December 11, 2025 – Source: TradingView Defensive Equities are ecstatic and the post-cut sector rotation is running. A detailed update on Major Stock indices is coming up at the top of th…
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Traders have long sought the optimal time to trade crypto, and at different points over the years, European, US, and Asian time zones have all had their turn, offering the best returns. However, a newly proposed ETF now offers Bitcoin exposure with a twist. The Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF aims to trade Bitcoin-linked assets while Wall Street sleeps. According to a December 9 filing with the SEC, the AfterDark ETF plans to purchase BTC after US financial markets close and exit those positions shortly after the US market reopens each day. Bitcoin is trading at $90,090 at the time of writing, down 2.1% on the day after a period of volatility that began wi…
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Market Insights Podcast (11/12/2025): In today's episode, TraderNick and podcast host Jonny Hart reflect on a decision to cut rates by the Federal Reserve and forward guidance. Otherwise, we touch base on the upside currently on display in silver pricing, the Bank of Japan, and the Swiss franc. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major econ…
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A recent post by crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards on X suggests that the current Bitcoin structure is giving bears “the perfect opportunity” to short the market down to $40,000. His message was paired with a chart showing Bitcoin falling below an important resistance ever since it broke below $100,000, creating what appears to be a clean continuation setup for traders expecting deeper losses. However, although the chart highlights a similar bearish structure in 2022, the analysis behind his post points to a more layered interpretation of what may come next for Bitcoin. The Setup Bears Believe Is Finally Here In the chart he shared, Stockmoney Lizards showed how Bitcoi…
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Gold prices have fallen from a post FOMC high of $4250/oz to lows around $4206/oz in early US trade. Market participants are assessing the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook after the latest interest rate cut. Mixed FOMC Keeps Markets Guessing On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) carried out another interest rate cut of 25 bps, which put the new target range for the policy rate at 3.50%-3.75%, exactly as expected. The decision, however, was not unanimous, passing with a 9-3 vote; one member wanted a larger cut of 50 bps, while two others wanted to keep the rates unchanged. Despite the cut, the price of gold did not rise much because the Fed did not offe…
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Gemini has received regulatory clearance to launch prediction markets in the US. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) granted a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license to Gemini Titan – a subsidiary of Gemini Space Station. What does this mean for US customers? It allows US customers to trade event contracts, simple yes/no bets on future outcomes, directly on Gemini’s web platform using USD balances. Gemini now joins the likes of Kalshi and Polymarket. On 10 December 2025, Gemini’s CEO Tyler Winklevoss said, “Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process and the beginning of a new chapter for Gemini.” “We thank President Trump for en…
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The US Dollar took a hit following yesterday's Fed decision, driven by mechanical flows typical after a rate cut. Given the rally to new cycle highs over the past two months, current outflows aren't surprising—benefiting not just the majors, but especially exotic currencies. Prior to the meeting, the Dollar had held relatively strong despite a dovish Fed repricing, ranging near its recent highs supported by elevated yields following Williams' comments. However, despite the Dot Plot projecting only ~2 cuts for 2026 and Chair Powell suggesting the US is entering the "high end of the neutral rate range," the Dollar is sliding back to mid-October levels. …
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Mining productivity has fallen for more than a decade and has improved only 1% a year since 2018, a trend the firm warns could threaten the sector’s ability to meet rising demand for critical minerals. In a new report released this week, McKinsey & Company says innovation once delivered major gains across the sector but has lost momentum over the past 20 years. Data from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) shows manufacturing productivity more than doubled from 1997 to 2023, while agriculture, forestry and fishing rose more than 1.5 times. Mining productivity, by contrast, dropped by half, a decline McKinsey’s analysis confirms Th…
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Bitcoin’s price action in the past two weeks has opened a new phase of stress among traders, with on-chain data showing realized losses climbing to heights last observed in 2022. Glassnode’s latest Week-On-Chain report shows Bitcoin is trading above an important cost-basis level but is also visibly straining under intensified loss realization, fading demand and weakening liquidity, which has placed short-term investors in a difficult position. Realized Losses Return To Deep Territory According to Glassnode, realized losses among Bitcoin entities have risen massively, and is now almost at the same magnitudes recorded during the deep retracements of the 2022 bear market…
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As usual, the market reacted sharply to the results of the last FOMC meeting, then began to reassess the Fed's agenda before shooting up again. As a result, the bears in EUR/USD showed no signs of counterattacking, and the initiative was completely seized by the bulls. The major currency pair soared to its highest level since mid-October, and I fear this might not be the limit. At first glance, everything unfolded just as expected. The federal funds rate fell from 4.00% to 3.75%, and Jerome Powell stated that the Fed feels comfortable. Borrowing costs shifted to neutral levels that neither stimulate nor cool the economy. Everything went according to plan; however, the sw…
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While Bitcoin currently shows no signs of upward momentum or any signs of life at all, which undermines its chances for future growth, I came across an interesting valuation model from Bitwise suggesting that a target price of $1.3 million for BTC by 2035 might even be too conservative. The model is based on the idea that Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to gold—often used as a benchmark—could rise from the current 9% to 25%. Even this increase would be sufficient to push the price above $1,000,000 per coin. Furthermore, the company does not account for the potential growth of gold's market capitalization, which is expected to continue increasing. If gold's p…
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The Solana price has been hit hard with the ongoing volatility following yesterday’s FOMC meeting. SOL USD price is down -5% overnight, falling to $131. As of now, it is holding steady above $130, and the community hopes that the Solana Breakpoint conference in the UAE, which kicks off today, can provide a boost to the chart. Heads of multiple Solana ecosystem projects will speak at the Breakpoint event today, alongside representatives from Bitwise, Coinbase, Debridge, KYD Labs, and many more. Various members of the UAE government will also speak, including His Excellency Dr. Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, the Minister of State for Foreign Trade of the UAE. …
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The Federal Reserve concluded its December meeting with another rate cut—this time reducing the federal funds rate by 25 basis points. The new target range is now between 3.50% and 3.75%. This marks the third easing of the year, following steps taken in September and October, and the market had already priced in this scenario. In essence, rates have returned to their lowest levels since 2022. However, the outward smoothness of this decision hides a significant divide within the regulator itself. For the first time since 2019, three Fed representatives opposed the final decision: Of the 12 voting members, three voted against it. Kansas City Fed President Esther George an…
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American Bitcoin Corp. reported a fresh addition to its Bitcoin reserve after buying 416 BTC, bringing its total holdings to around 4,783 coins. According to company disclosures and market reports, American Bitcoin (NASDAQ: ABTC) acquired about 416 BTC in the week ending December 8, increasing its on-balance stash to roughly 4,783 BTC. The purchase came from a combination of mined coins and selective market acquisitions, the company said. American Bitcoin Boosts Holdings The cash value of the latest pick-up was roughly in the $38 million range when reported, based on market prices at the time. That addition places the firm among the larger corporate BTC holders and inc…
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ACG Metals (LON:ACG) said Thursday it will not make an offer for Anglo Asian Mining (LON:AAZ) after a “thorough review” found the move would not create value. The company said its analysis of Anglo Asian’s assets did not support a transaction, noting its disciplined approach to capital allocation and its focus on protecting shareholder equity. ACG had disclosed last month it was in the early stages of considering a bid. Anglo Asian Mining, a gold, copper and silver producer operating in Azerbaijan, has been expanding its portfolio. It opened the Gilar and Demirli mines this year and said the additions were delivered on time and on budget as part of its plan to bec…
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq face challenges following disappointing Oracle results Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.67%, while the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 0.33%, and the Dow Jones jumped by 1.05%. However, the rally in the stock market, driven by the Fed's interest rate cuts, has waned as disappointing results from Oracle pressured tech stocks. Oracle's earnings report raised concerns about the overall resilience of the technology sector, which has been the primary driver of market growth in recent months. The decline in Oracle's shares triggered a chain reaction affecting other major tech companies such as Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon. Inv…
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The decline of the dollar index (USDX), which began yesterday during the Asian trading session, accelerated significantly after the Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% rate cut. Although this decision was anticipated by the market, accompanying statements and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is ready for further rate cuts in the upcoming year. During the press conference following the policy meeting, Jerome Powell underscored the Fed's willingness to "wait and see how the economy evolves," but raising interest rates in the future is not part of the baseline scenario. The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for January 27–28. The rate-settin…
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An experiment in Prague might end up mattering more for Bitcoin than the usual ETF inflow chart. Speaking on the “Crypto In America” show on 10 December, Coinbase Head of Institutional John D’Agostino highlighted that the Czech National Bank has begun testing Bitcoin in its national treasury and for payments, and argued that this sort of move by a Eurozone central bank is likely to spread. Czech Bitcoin Pilot Could Spread Across Eurozone “The Czech national bank chose very well in their service providers,” he said, adding that the central bank is “putting Bitcoin on their national treasury and they are experimenting with and learning in real time using Bitcoin for payme…
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