Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6886 tópicos neste fórum
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On Friday, the Canadian dollar is gaining against the US dollar, with the USD/CAD pair halting its two-day advance and paring earlier intraday losses, despite a stronger US dollar and weaker retail sales data in Canada. At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 1.3772, pulling back from the day's high of 1.3825, as buyers failed to hold above the psychological 1.3800 level. The US Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, continues to rebound after the Fed's decision, trying to stay near its daily high, last seen six days ago. According to Statistics Canada, retail sales fell by 0.8% in July compared with the previous month, in…
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A pseudonymous crypto analyst, known as Borovik on X, has released a bold set of three-month predictions for some of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Taking to the social media platform X, the analyst released a list of projected prices for Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, Dogecoin (DOGE), and other top-ranking cryptocurrencies Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL). The predictions show a strongly bullish stance for the coming quarter, though they also keep the current market cap rankings intact among these cryptocurrencies. Very Bullish Predictions For Bitcoin, XRP, And Dogecoin Borovik’s predictions are based on an ultra-bullish outlook for th…
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First and foremost, the wave structure should be considered. Does it show signs of a trend reversal? The answer is simple – no. The British pound has formed another five-wave sequence, after which it moved into a correction. Therefore, wave analysis still forecasts further strengthening of the pound. Perhaps the pound does not have much time left to rise, but this will depend not on UK news, but on US news, since the scale of America's problems is much greater than those in Britain. The pound has been actively declining over the past few days, surprising many in the market. This week the Bank of England and the Fed held meetings, and their outcomes could have pleased buye…
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The UK is once again sinking under the weight of economic and financial troubles. Recall that the "British drama" began in 2016, when by a margin of several percentage points the British people decided to break off official ties with the European Union and begin building a fully independent United Kingdom. Nearly ten years have passed, and many opinion polls now show that Britons are starting to regret their decision. A trade agreement with the EU was signed with great difficulty, but many problems remain unresolved. One of them is labor supply: earlier, migrants came to the country for high wages and took on low-skilled jobs that Britons themselves were unwilling to do. …
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Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 147.69 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose by more than 40 points. In the second half of the day, no US statistics are scheduled, so the market's attention will be on a speech by FOMC member Mary Daly. However, the yen, as is well known, has its own resilience due to the Bank of Japan's long-standing tradition of stable monetary policy. Markets will closely monitor Daly's words, looking for hints of a potential acceleration in Fed rate cuts. Suc…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3524 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 25 points. The drop was caused by a sharp increase in public sector borrowing, which threatens the UK's economic outlook and the political career of Rachel Reeves. The surge in government debt, reported at far higher levels than expected, triggered panic among investors. Many economists questioned the government's ability to manage finances effectively, which immediately weighed on the pound sterling. This significa…
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US Equities keep up their positive performance with each of them finishing at or close to their highs, with the Tech-heavy Nasdaq taking the lead yet again. With the most recent Federal Reserve cut and positive acquisition news as seen in yesterday's US Index piece, sentiment is at its highs again. Both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 have yet to break their yesterday highs and it will be interesting to see if they manage to do so towards the daily close or next week. In addition to the PBoC (China's Central Bank) which releases its own rate decision (major support to the economy is expected, traditionally positive for equities), Markets will assist to many FED Members' …
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The first test of 1.1768 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below zero, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of 1.1768 coincided with MACD being in the oversold area, which allowed scenario #2 (buy) to materialize, but no significant rally followed. News of a sharper-than-expected decline in German producer prices had a negative impact on the euro. The decline in prices will benefit the country's economy and manufacturers, but that alone is not enough. Other economic indicators also need to show improvement. Against this backdrop, the euro weakened against the US dollar and other major …
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Today, I tried trading the euro and the Australian dollar using the Mean Reversion strategy. With Momentum, I traded only the British pound, for which important data was released. News that producer prices in Germany fell more than expected put pressure on the euro. The Producer Price Index declined by 0.5% month-on-month, exceeding analysts' forecasts. This was the most significant drop. The euro reacted to the news by falling against the US dollar and other major currencies. Investors fear that the drop in producer prices may lead the European Central Bank to adopt a more dovish stance, since there is no point in waiting—the economy needs stimulus. The fall in German pr…
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According to recent chart work and on-chain checks, some XRP backers say the token may be gearing up for another big move. Analysts who track past cycles point to patterns that played out in 2017 and 2018 and say similar moves could follow now. XRP Repeats Past Price Cycle Reports have disclosed that XRP broke a long downtrend in March 2017, running from about $0.0055 to roughly $0.40 by May 2017. After that first surge, the token cooled and traded sideways for around six months before shooting to $3.31 in January 2018. According to EtherNasyonal’s charts, the market then entered a long decline and another accumulation phase. One key detail the analyst highlights is…
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Safe Withdrawal Rate: Income from a $5M–$10M Portfolio Executive Summary A safe withdrawal rate is a disciplined way to turn savings into steady retirement income while keeping the risk of running out low. For $5 million to $10 million portfolios, even a 0.5% shift changes annual income by roughly $25,000 to $50,000; it takes about a 1% change on $10 million to move income by six figures. Additionally, this guide defines the safe withdrawal rate, shows practical ranges, and gives you a simple playbook to use with your advisor. In short, start with a sensible range, then refine it with rules you can actually follow. What a Safe Withdrawal Rate Really Means A safe withdraw…
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The currency market had been dormant for a while, but this is now a theme of the past yet again. Throughout August, a first move higher from the Pound got met with a subsequent consolidation until the beginning of this month . GBP/USD peaked just above 1.37 on Wednesday’s announcement, but that rally didn’t stick — the pair now trades roughly 1.70% lower as the dollar staged a fierce comeback. What flipped the script was a rapid unwind of pre-FOMC downbeat USD bets: Powell’s more balanced tone and a re-credibilized Federal Reserve re-anchored the dollar (the latter could still be a bearish theme for the USD in the future). Recent exchanges between US President Trump …
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BHP Group (ASX, NYSE, LSE: BHP) could appoint Geraldine Slattery, president of its Australia operations, as the company’s first female chief executive in its 140-year history, the Financial Times reported on Friday. If appointed, Slattery would join a short list of women to lead a major global mining company. One of the most notable was Cynthia Carroll, who became the first woman to head Anglo American in 2007, serving until 2012. Succession planning underway Current CEO Mike Henry is expected to step down by mid-2026 after five years in the role, according to the FT report, which cited people familiar with the board’s thinking. BHP has said its directors are “…
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Perseus Mining (ASX, TSX: PRU) said it’s received presidential approval to develop and operate Côte d’Ivoire’s first underground mine. Côte d’Ivoire President Alassane Ouattara signed the decree authorizing construction of the CMA project at the Yaouré gold mine on Thursday, Perseus said Friday in a statement. This follows the approval of an environmental and social impact assessment and the issuance of a first decree by the country’s environment minister in May. The mine is about 50 km northwest of the political capital Yamoussoukro. “Receiving the presidential decree authorising the development of Côte d’Ivoire’s first underground mine is a major milestone for P…
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Gold moved higher on Friday and is headed for a fifth straight weekly gain, as the market digests this week’s US rate cut and weighs up the Federal Reserve’s policy path for the rest of this year. Spot gold rose 0.6% at $3,665.54 per ounce as of 11:15 a.m. ET, while US gold futures climbed 0.7% higher at $3,702.30 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. Bullion is now on track for another weekly gain of 0.3%, riding the momentum of a record-setting rally that sent prices to an all-time high of $3,706.90 an ounce right after Wednesday’s 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed. However, the US central bank also gave warnings of persistent inflation, …
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Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) is auctioning its final collection of rare diamonds from its closed Argyle mine in Australia and the soon-to-shutter Diavik operation in Canada. The tender, called Beyond Rare, includes 52 lots totalling 45.44 carats and marks the end of an era for two of the world’s most celebrated diamond mines. The centrepieces are six diamond sets selected to represent the peak of production from the East Kimberley region of Western Australia and the Northwest Territories of Canada. The tender also features 39 individual stones and seven curated sets. Rio Tinto Diamonds’ general manager of sales and marketing, Patrick Coppens, called the auction a his…
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Newmont (NYSE: NEM; TSX: NGT) has sold its entire stake in Orla Mining (TSX: OLA) for $439 million, marking another step in its broader divestiture program aimed at streamlining its portfolio. The company disposed of all 43 million Orla shares at $10.14 per share through the Toronto Stock Exchange. The sale comes amid Newmont’s efforts to unlock more than $2 billion in cash through asset sales, workforce reductions, and debt cuts following its $17.14 billion takeover of Australia’s Newcrest in 2023. Shares of Newmont rose 3% in New York following the announcement, lifting its market capitalization to $88.6 billion, while Orla shares fell 7.8%, valuing the company …
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China’s exports of rare earth products jumped to a near-record 7,338 tons in August, marking the highest monthly volume since 2012, according to customs data cited by Bloomberg on Friday. The data comes right before a scheduled phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump, during which they are expected to discuss trade and critical minerals. China is the world’s largest producer of rare earths, a group of 17 minerals used in a multitude of high-tech applications, ranging from consumer electronics to fighter jets. With control over 70% of the global mine supply and almost all of the processing, the nation has a near-monopoly status…
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The XRP price is showing signs of repeating a past price pattern that once led to a strong rally. According to crypto analyst Egrag Crypto, this setup suggests a move higher in the weeks ahead. To back the bullish case, the token is currently holding its ground above support areas. Traders across the market are now waiting to see if this pattern develops into another upward move. Analyst Spots Bullish Fractal Formation In XRP Price Chart Egrag Crypto has been studying the XRP price chart and points to what he calls a repeating fractal formation. In this case, the current price structure with the yellow fractal of XRP resembles one seen before a strong rally in the past. …
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Perpetua Resources Corp. (Nasdaq: PPTA; TSX: PPTA) has received final federal approval to begin construction at its Stibnite project in Idaho, positioning the company to deliver the United States’ only domestic supply of antimony along with significant gold production. The US Forest Service issued a conditional Notice to Proceed on Friday, confirming that Perpetua had satisfied all requirements outlined in the January 2025 Record of Decision. The only remaining step before initial construction is posting financial assurance bonds agreed upon with the US Forest Service, Idaho Department of Lands, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. The company expects to finalize bon…
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Fed cuts rate to 4.00–4.25% because of labor market situation in USInterest rate cuts in the Eurozone are in question due to inflation being under controlNegative divergence has appeared on EURUSD, which can be a sign of correction aheadFED Policy The United States Federal Reserve has decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the main rate to the 4.00-4.25% range. This is the first change after a nine-month pause in the cycle, and the decision itself is precautionary. The Fed, guided by a "risk management" approach, did not react to a specific economic shock but acted prudently amid increasing uncertainty. A new element of communication was the growing…
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US stock indices hit record highs amid Fed decisions and Nvidia investments The largest US stock indices closed the trading session at new historical highs. This significant growth was driven by two powerful factors. First, the Federal Reserve decided to lower the key interest rate, which had a positive impact on market expectations and increased capital inflow into stocks. Second, the market was inspired by news from Nvidia: the company announced plans to invest $5 billion in Intel's stock. This initiative triggered a strong rally in the IT sector, particularly with Intel shares soaring a record 22.8% in a single day. The success of the tech sector and the Fed's polic…
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The Canadian dollar is in negative territory for a third straight day. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3820, up 0.18% on the day. Canada's retail sales slide Canada's retail sales declined by 0.8% m/m in July, a sharp dowrturn from the 1.6% gain in June. The volatility in retail sales reflects uncertainty over the US tariffs, which has affected consumer spending. August is expected to show a rebound, with a preliminary estimate of a 1% gain, which would make up for the July decline. US unemployment claims slip There are no US releases today but there was positive news from the employment front on Thursday. Unemployment claims fell to 231 thoua…
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As an eventful week ends, Bitcoin and some of the best cryptos to buy are steady. BTC USD is firm above $116,000 while the Ethereum price is wavy around the $4,500 level. Meanwhile, PENGU USD is defying gravity, adding a decent +15%, shaking off the weakness of early this week. While PENGU crypto is down in the meme coin rankings across the board, it still has an active community and decent trading volume. According to Coingecko, PENGU is the top Solana meme coin with a market cap exceeding $2.2Bn. Nonetheless, like other meme coins, including TRUMP, PENGU USD is under pressure, sliding nearly -5% in the past 24 hours. (Source: Coingecko) On Coinglass, most traders a…
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Tron has been making headlines after bouncing strongly from its recent low. On September 6, the token slipped to fresh cycle lows, raising concerns among traders. However, since then, Tron has staged an impressive comeback, climbing more than 18% and now testing local resistance levels. This rebound signals renewed strength in the network and growing investor confidence in its role within the broader crypto ecosystem. Adding fuel to this recovery, Tron announced yesterday that PayPal USD (PYUSD) will now be available on the TRON network through Stargate Hydra as a permissionless token, PYUSD0, leveraging LayerZero’s Omnichain Fungible Token (OFT) Standard. This integrat…
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