Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin updated its price to $83,800 yesterday but then made a strong rebound back to around $87,000, where it is currently trading. Ethereum also managed to recover some positions after a significant sell-off. Meanwhile, it has been reported that the National Bank of Kazakhstan has formed a separate crypto reserve within its gold and foreign currency assets and plans to invest up to $300 million in crypto assets. Earlier, President Tokayev signed a law that substantially liberalizes mining and cryptocurrency transactions in Kazakhstan. According to this law, the mandatory requirement to sell mined cryptocurrency through the Astana International Financial Centre (AIFC) …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of September, showing renewed strength after weeks of uneven price action. Yet, the market is bracing for heightened volatility in the coming days as attention shifts to this Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors widely expect a rate cut, but the size of the move remains the key question shaping sentiment. If the Fed opts for a 25 basis point cut, many analysts see it as a measured and healthy pivot that could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, without sparking fears of deeper economic weakness. Such a move would likely reinforce confidence in a controlled transition toward easier monetary policy. On the other hand, a…
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Bitcoin is navigating a highly volatile environment, as escalating Middle East conflicts and intensifying macroeconomic risks dominate global headlines. Despite mounting uncertainty, BTC continues to hold firm above the $104K level, signaling strong buyer interest at key support zones. Bulls remain in control for now, but hawkish macro conditions—such as elevated US Treasury yields, persistent inflation concerns, and geopolitical turmoil—pose serious risks that could drive BTC below the critical $100K mark. The market is divided on what comes next. Some analysts point to strong fundamentals and institutional adoption as fuel for a massive bull run, while others warn of …
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Bitcoin continues to hover below its all-time high, with current trading levels near $118,000 reflecting a 0.6% daily drop and a 3.8% pullback from the peak above $123,000 recorded earlier this month. While the broader trend remains uncertain, analysts have assessed on-chain activity for signs of the next major move. Recent data from CryptoQuant analysts highlights a divide between retail and institutional behavior across leading exchanges, raising questions about potential profit-taking or strategic accumulation. Bitcoin Retail Traders Sell into Strength, While Whales Accumulate On the one hand, short-term holder (STH) behavior on Binance suggests some market particip…
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Bitcoin’s price movement remains in focus as it continues to consolidate just below its previous all-time high. Despite a brief surge that brought it within range of its $111,000 peak, the asset has struggled to establish a breakout. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $108,927, representing a 0.2% increase over the past 24 hours. The persistence of this consolidation phase comes amid growing market discussions around spot and derivatives behavior. Binance Spot-Perpetual Delta Reflects Cautious Leverage One of the more notable on-chain observations comes from CryptoQuant contributor BorisVest, who analyzed the prolonged negative delta between spot and …
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Bitcoin is at a pivotal point, and the weekly close could define its next move. To confirm bullish continuation and strengthen market confidence, BTC needs to secure a solid weekly close above $107,720. Bitcoin Weekly Candle Could Set The Stage For A Run Bitcoin is approaching a make-or-break moment, but if BTC can secure a strong weekly close above $107,720, it could trigger a move toward the $130,000 to $135,000 range in Q3. This key level is acting as a resistance zone, and breaking it could unlock a new wave of bullish momentum. SatheMeme_Expert revealed on X that a similar setup had appeared in Q4 2024, when BTC posted its biggest weekly close of the year. The res…
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Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $115,000. BTC is now consolidating and might rise further if it clears the $116,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $115,000 zone. The price is trading near $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $116,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Holds Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $112,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $113,500 and $114,200 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push …
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Bitcoin’s price action has been relatively stable in recent days, currently trading just above $107,000 after briefly touching previous highs near $108,000. Amid this backdrop, technical analysis from a popular crypto analyst on the TradingView platform outlined a compelling structural setup forming on Bitcoin’s daily chart. The analysis shows that Bitcoin’s action is in a compression phase that could precede a breakout to $115,000 very soon. Compression Structure Forming Below $108,000 Resistance Bitcoin’s price action is currently following movements in traditional risk assets like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, both of which have recovered following the recent de-esca…
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Bitcoin (BTC) prices showed a sideways movement in the past day producing no significant changes. Following the recent rejection at the $110,000 price range, the maiden cryptocurrency failed to break out of a descending consolidatory channel; therefore, fears on the current status of the bull market remain intact. Amidst the current mood of uncertainty, prominent market analyst Ali Martinez has identified two important support levels in the advent of a price downturn. On-Chain Data Reveals Strong Bitcoin Support At $106,500 And $98,500 In an X post on July 5, Ali Martinez shares a potentially impactful on-chain insight on the Bitcoin market. Using data from the In/Out …
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Bitcoin price failed to recover above $95,000. BTC is down over 4% and there are chances of more downsides below $90,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $94,000 and $93,500. The price is trading below $93,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $95,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Continues To Weaken Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $93,500 pivot level. BTC bears remained active below $93,500 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and we…
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Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $124,000 level. BTC is now struggling and might continue to move down below $120,000. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $123,200 level. The price is trading below $123,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $122,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $120,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $125,000 zone and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below the $124,000 support to enter a short-term bearish zone. The bear…
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The Bitcoin market has suffered through a disappointing performance over the past few weeks, leading to a price retest of the $100,000 support zone. However, an exciting on-chain evaluation predicts a positive price action in the near future. Bitcoin Price Below Average Cost — Details On November 8, popular market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared on X the underlying reasons behind his expectations of a bullish reversal. Kesmeci’s post mostly depends on the Bitcoin: 90-Day Market Price vs Realized Price Gradient Oscillator. Essentially, this indicator functions as a means of tracking the distance of Bitcoin’s market price deviation from its realized price over the past 90 d…
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Following another unsuccessful attempt to create a new all-time high (ATH), Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to a weekly low of $110,820 on the Binance exchange yesterday. The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap has now entered a clear pullback phase, with $105,000 emerging as the critical support level that traders are closely watching. Bitcoin Falls To $110,000 Amid Market Pullback According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisD, Bitcoin’s current distribution phase could extend for several more days. Wallet accumulation and distribution patterns highlight stronger sell-offs among BTC whales, raising questions about short-term price stability. For conte…
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Data shows Altcoins are breaking away from Bitcoin’s lead. Here’s what that could mean for the market, based on historical trends. Altcoins Are Witnessing A Fast Drop In Correlation To Bitcoin In a new post on X, analytics firm Alphractal has discussed how the Correlation between Bitcoin and the altcoins has changed recently. The Correlation is an indicator that keeps track of how tied together the prices of any two assets are. The metric can take on both positive and negative values. In both cases, some relationship exists between the assets, but the relative movement in their prices is different. When the indicator has a positive value, it means one asset is reacting…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed a Bitcoin price range that defines the current battleground between recent buyers and profit-takers. Bitcoin Cost Basis Distribution Shows Where Resistance & Support Are Strongest In a new post on X, Glassnode has talked about where support and resistance levels lie for Bitcoin based on the Cost Basis Distribution (CBD). This indicator basically tells us about the total amount of supply that last changed hands at the various price levels that the cryptocurrency has visited in its history. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in this metric over the last few months. As is visible in the…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in a report how long-term Bitcoin liquidity has witnessed a sharp decline alongside the market downturn. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Liquidity Ratio Has Plunged Recently In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about how liquidity in the Bitcoin market has changed following the recent downturn. Glassnode has gauged the “liquidity” using the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio, an on-chain metric that measures the ratio between the profit and loss that BTC investors are realizing through their transactions. Current demand momentum can be tracked using a version of this indicator that specifically tracks the profitability of th…
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According to a Grayscale outlook released Monday, the asset manager expects rising demand for alternatives and clearer rules in the US to push Bitcoin to a new all-time high in the first half of 2026. The report lays out 10 key investing themes for 2026 and ties the Bitcoin call to two main forces: growing portfolio demand for stores of value and what Grayscale describes as improving regulatory clarity. Spot-Bitcoin ETPs reached the market in 2024, the firm notes, and Congress passed the GENIUS Act in 2025, steps that the report says reduce barriers for big investors. Macro Risks And Demand For Crypto Grayscale frames its outlook around a simple macro point. Rising …
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Tim Draper, a Silicon Valley venture capitalist, has doubled down on his call for Bitcoin to hit $250,000 by the end of 2025. He shared this on X, renewing a prediction he first made in 2018 when he set his sights on reaching that mark by 2022. Back then, the crypto market took a sharp downturn in 2022—thanks in part to FTX’s collapse—and the timeline slipped. Still, Draper believes today’s drivers are strong enough to push prices higher. He even suggested that the US dollar might vanish in a decade as Bitcoin takes its place. Tim Draper’s Bold Timeline According to Draper, the $250,000 target isn’t just wishful thinking. In 2018, he said Bitcoin would reach that level…
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Veteran chartist Peter Brandt ignited a fresh technical debate on X after publishing two annotated charts—one of today’s Bitcoin daily bars, the other of Chicago Board of Trade soybeans from 1977—arguing that the cryptocurrency may be carving out a broadening top akin to the historical commodity pattern that preceded a 50% collapse. “In 1977 Soybeans formed a broadening top and then declined 50% in value,” Brandt wrote. “Bitcoin today is forming a similar pattern. A 50% decline in $BTC will put MSTR underwater. Whether I am right or wrong, you have to admit this old guy has the gonads to make big calls.” What This Means For Bitcoin Price Brandt’s side-by-side comparati…
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Bitcoin risks a further drop toward the $70,000 area if the Bank of Japan follows through with an expected interest-rate rise on Dec. 19, analysts focused on macro forces warned. According to multiple macro-focused voices, the move could sap global liquidity and put fresh downward pressure on risk assets, with some traders already bracing for a sharp pullback. Japan’s policy shift matters because higher rates tend to strengthen the yen and raise the cost of borrowing. When that happens, traders who previously borrowed cheaply in yen to invest elsewhere are often forced to unwind those positions. That process can pull money out of global markets in a short period of ti…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how Bitcoin losing $108,500 could lead to a deeper correction, if the past pattern is to go by. Bitcoin Is At Risk Of Losing The 0.85 Quantile Level In its latest weekly report, analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how Bitcoin is currently looking from the perspective of the Supply Quantiles Cost Basis model. This model maps price levels according to the amount of BTC supply that would be lost if the cryptocurrency were to trade at its current price today. There are three supply “quantiles” involved in the indicator: 0.95, 0.85, and 0.75, corresponding to levels where 5%, 15%, and 25% of the supply would be held at a l…
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An analyst has explained how Bitcoin has been tracking Gold for a while now, which could provide hints about what may be next for BTC. Bitcoin Has Been Following In Gold’s Footsteps on 2-Day Timeframe Last year, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards shared in an X post how Bitcoin was following the same structure as the Gold all-time high (ATH). Below is the chart that the analyst posted back then. From the graph, it’s visible that BTC was consolidating at its 2021 ATH in a manner similar to Gold’s movement around the 1980 ATH. The latter’s consolidation ended with it breaking out and rallying to a point two times higher. In a new post, Edwards has shared a la…
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Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has issued his starkest warning yet on quantum computing, arguing that Bitcoin must migrate to post-quantum signatures on an accelerated timeline or face existential risk later this decade. “We need to upgrade Bitcoin to be Quantum proof next year. 2026. Otherwise we are fucked,” Edwards wrote on X early Monday, escalating a series of posts in which he contends “Q-Day is this decade.” Could Bitcoin Crash To $0? Edwards’ thesis hinges on the rapid compression of resource estimates required to run Shor’s algorithm against Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve digital signatures (ECDSA/Schnorr on secp256k1). Pushing back at skept…
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According to reports, Michael Saylor told viewers that most equity analysts expect Bitcoin to top $150,000 by Christmas. From a current price of $113,050, that would require an increase of about 35%. There are roughly three months left until December 25. The figures set a clear benchmark for what traders now call the year-end race. Analysts Back A $150,000 Target Saylor tied the call to wider adoption. He said during a CNBC interview more firms adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets and more people learning about the asset will lift demand. Because Bitcoin’s supply is fixed, that demand pressure, he argued, could push prices higher. The tone was confident, and the mat…
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Bitcoin’s blistering second-quarter advance is tracking the strongest expansion in global liquidity on record, according to Real Vision chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts, who argues that every additional percentage point of liquidity injected into the financial system “should” translate into a 20% gain for the cryptocurrency. 1% Liquidity = 20% Bitcoin? Writing on X, Coutts observed that his proprietary Global Liquidity Index broke to a fresh all-time high on 10 April after three years of drift and that, in the nine weeks since, Bitcoin has rallied about 40 percent. “Bitcoin has rallied 40% since April 10 which was when my global liquidity aggregate (GLI) after 3 years b…
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