Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11949 tópicos neste fórum
-
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1487, bouncing above the 6/8 Murray level and within the descending trend channel formed on October 27th. The euro has found strong support around 1.1475. So, we believe that if the price consolidates above this area in the coming hours, it could reach the 21 SMA around 1.1530 and even the 7/8 Murray level around 1.1596. The euro has reached oversold levels, so it is more likely that it will attempt to recover some of its losses in the coming days. Therefore, we should pay attention to the key support level of 1.1474. This level would signal a buying opportunity for the euro, as it has acted as strong support in the past. If the price falls bel…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Silver] – [Wednesday, November 05, 2025] With the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bearish zone and both EMAs firmly in a Death Cross configuration, Silver is likely to continue its weakness in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 48.707 2. Resistance. 1 : 47.908 3. Pivot : 47.377 4. Support. 1 : 46.578 5. Support. 2 : 46.047 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 47.377, it could move toward 46.578. Momentum Extension Bias: If 46.578 is breached, Silver will target the level at 46.047. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is contained if the price of Silver strengthens and breaks above 48.707. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Gold] – [Wednesday, November 05, 2025] Even though currently there is a strengthening trend, as long as it does not break above its Support 2, Gold will likely weaken again. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4032.09 2. Resistance. 1 : 3981.77 3. Pivot : 3954.99 4. Support. 1 : 3904.67 5. Support. 2 : 3877.89 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 3904.67, Gold will test the next support level at 3877.89. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3877.89 is breached, Gold has the potential to continue its decline down to 3827.57. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is contained if the price of Gold strengthens and bre…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The U.S. dollar continued its rise against risk assets, especially against the British pound, which has been facing difficulties lately. The influence of verbal interventions from the U.S. Federal Reserve on financial markets remains significant, as does the political statements made yesterday by the Prime Minister of the UK regarding taxes. Recent statements by regulatory officials about maintaining flexibility in interest rate cuts, particularly their emphasis on decision-making at the December meeting, have triggered a wave of U.S. dollar strengthening. This effect is explained by the market's tendency to interpret such rhetoric as a signal of a more conservative monet…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin dominance sits at 60% and has been testing a vital long-run support line. According to market veteran Michaël van de Poppe, that support — the 20-month MA, near 59% — is the signal traders should watch. He warned that a confirmed break under that level could flip the market’s favor toward altcoins. Short moves can happen. Big shifts follow. Bitcoin Dominance At A Crossroads Based on reports and chart reads, The 20-month MA has been touched several times recently. In September, Bitcoin dominance briefly slipped below 59% before bouncing back, a move that shows the index is being pushed and probed. Van de Poppe drew a parallel to late 2019, when a long run above…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Just yesterday, I mentioned that Bitcoin was eyeing the $100,000 level, and during today's Asian trading session, the $99,000 level was breached, triggering panic in the market. On Tuesday, the net outflow from Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States amounted to $797 million, as institutional investors were spooked by the market crash. According to SoSoValue, the net outflow from spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $577.74 million, the largest daily outflow since August 1 of this year. From Fidelity's FBTC fund, $356.6 million left, $128 million flowed out from ARKB by Ark & 21Shares, and $48.9 million exited from Grayscale's GBTC. In total, seve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price level at 1.1497 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell euros. Statements from the Federal Reserve significantly impact the environment in global financial markets. Recent comments from regulatory officials about the possibility of changing the approach to interest rate cuts, with particular emphasis on deciding at the upcoming December meeting, led to a notable rise in the value of the U.S. dollar. This effect stems from traders interpreting such communication as a signal of a more…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3055 coincided with the MACD indicator beginning its downward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound further down the trend. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.3015. The pound collapsed after the likelihood of another tax increase by the UK government increased. Yesterday, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that such a decision would be fair within the context of the expected new budget for next year. This news instantly sparked a wave of concern among investors accustomed to the unstable economic environment …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe tests of the levels I designated in the afternoon did not occur. Comments from the Japanese Minister of Finance regarding the yen's exchange rate led to a decline in the USD/JPY pair during the first half of the day, after which traders preferred to adopt a wait-and-see position in anticipation of new directions, as the warnings did not lead to any actions. The prevailing situation highlighted the general trend of indecision in the currency market, where verbal interventions often lack real steps, leaving investors in a state of uncertainty. However, such a pause may be the calm before the storm. The market is wa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, US stock indices closed with losses. The S&P 500 fell by 1.17%, the Nasdaq 100 plummeted by 2.04%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.53%. Global indices continued to drop after their sharpest decline in nearly a month, fueled by concerns over inflated valuations. Bonds rose, and investors turned to safe-haven currencies such as the yen. Futures on US stock indices decreased, signaling further declines for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after a large sell-off in tech stocks. Market sentiment was unstable at the start of the Asian session after shares of Super Micro Computer Inc. sharply fell at the end of trading, and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, amid a crash in risk assets, gold seized the opportunity to gain some weight. It is evident that gold has recovered as traders sought safe assets following a drop in the stock market amid concerns about inflated valuations. Spot gold prices rose to $4,000 per ounce after falling nearly 2% in the previous session. Global stock indices fell on Wednesday, marking the sharpest decline in almost a month. Treasury bonds gained on the back of demand for safe-haven assets. The fall in gold on Tuesday followed three members of the U.S. Federal Reserve who did not support further rate cuts in December, weighing the associated risks of inflation and a weakening labor mar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin endured one of its sharpest selloffs of the year on Tuesday, knifing below the six-figure threshold and printing lows around the $99,000 area on major composites before rebounding. At press time, bitcoin (BTC) hovered near $101,700 after an intraday trough just above $99,000 on widely used benchmarks, marking a fall of roughly 6% day-over-day and the lowest print since June. The slide came as US equities limped into mid-week, with the Nasdaq up 20.9% year-to-date and the S&P 500 up 15.1% as of Tuesday’s close—gains that underscore how much bitcoin has lagged other risk assets during long stretches of 2025. That divergence, together with a growing body of ETF-…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A stronger US dollar, weaker cryptocurrencies, fundamental overvaluation, and excessive attention to technology giants have made the S&P 500 vulnerable to corrections. When the broad stock index sets 36 record highs in 2025, trading above the 50-day moving average since April, and has not declined by 3% or more, caution is warranted. A pullback could occur at any moment, even without visible reasons. Over the past ten days, the S&P 500 has risen by 1.7%, and shares of the Magnificent Seven have increased by 5.2%. In the third quarter, the profits of its constituents are expected to grow by 27%, double the forecasts of Wall Street analysts. It is not surprising th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto news today paints a grim picture. The market is red and is becoming redder by the second as major digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) fail to hold their positions and keep sliding down. In the last 24 hours alone, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto market has fallen for a third straight day, with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Asia Market Wrap - Asian Tech Shares Drag Indexes Lower Most Read: Nikkei 225: Plummeted towards a key inflection support zone at 49,370/48,450 for potential bullish reversal Asian stock markets experienced rollercoaster price action on Wednesday due to a sudden and sharp decline in prices, leading to the highest level of market unpredictability in months. This upheaval was triggered by similar worries about high stock valuations that had caused a slump on Wall Street. The markets in Japan and South Korea were hit the hardest, with heavy selling targeting companies whose stock prices had recently soared. Although the intense selling slowed down later in the afternoon, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The U.S. dollar continues to be in demand, which puts pressure on risk assets. Yesterday, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly stated that the U.S. central bank should remain open to the possibility of another interest rate cut at its next monetary policy meeting in December. However, she did not give any clear hints that rates would be lowered as previously expected. Daly said she agreed with the Fed's decision last week to cut the base rate by a quarter of a percentage point for the second consecutive month, calling the move appropriate. The head of the San Francisco Fed also noted that the central bank is currently facing the need to balance two obje…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, the cryptocurrency market experienced another significant sell-off, driving key crypto assets down to psychologically important levels. Bitcoin dropped to $100,000, while Ethereum fell to around $3,000, from which it was quickly bought back. However, the bullish structure of the cryptocurrency market remains intact. While the panic selling continues and traders are locking in losses, it is essential to understand that the market correction is occurring for two primary reasons: the shutdown in the US, which is set to become the longest in history and is expected to inflict some damage on the economy, along with the probability of a delayed interest rate cut by…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, the British pound lost more than 100 points after UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer warned that his government would make tough but fair decisions as part of the upcoming tax-raising budget expected at the end of this month. The warning came as Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves examines dozens of possible tax increases prepared by Treasury officials for November 26. She aims to fill a fiscal gap of up to £35 billion, with potential measures including an exit tax for wealthy Britons leaving the country and higher levies on premium housing. The market's reaction was instantaneous. The pound sharply fell against major currencies, reflecting investors' concer…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday consolidated below the support level of 1.3110–1.3139 and continued to decline. By the end of the day, after losing another 100 pips, it reached the 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3024. A rebound from this level could lead to a reversal in favor of the pound and some growth toward 1.3110. However, a firm break below this level would increase the likelihood of a continued fall toward the next target of 1.2931. The wave structure remains bearish. The last completed upward wave broke the previous peak, but the latest downward wave — now forming for three weeks — has long since broken the previous low. The news background in re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated below the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1517 and continued to decline toward the 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.1392. Bears continue to attack without any resistance from the bulls. A consolidation above 1.1517 would favor the euro and lead to some growth toward the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the peak of the previous wave, while the latest downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend has once again turned bearish. Bullish traders once again failed to take advantage of opportunities to advance, while bears …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Wednesday, from the 1.1481 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving upward toward 1.1516, the 76.4% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may then pull back downward toward 1.1472, the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume analysis – downwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1481 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may begin moving upward toward…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto network Tron has always been a powerful yet shadowy entity that lurks in the background. Either you love it or hate it; there is no middle ground. The same can be said for Justin Sun, creator of Tron and one of the most controversial figures in the crypto world. Tron has always been one of the most used networks for peer-to-peer transactions, with 2.6M daily active users. More than $4.8Bn in TVL, and with $1.33M in chain revenue just for the past 24 hours. However, the most staggering metric is that Tron crypto holds a 65% share in global retail USDT transfers under $ 1,000. Handling more than $600Bn in monthly stablecoin transfers, with 50% of all USDT in ci…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Wednesday, from the 1.3017 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving upward toward 1.3057, the 185.4% target level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may then pull back downward toward 1.3043, the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume analysis – downwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the 1.3017 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving upwar…
Last reply by Ben Graham,