Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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After the bearish price action that began over the last weekend, Bitcoin has left some unfilled gaps open that could point to where the price is headed next. With two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) yet to be filled, according to crypto analyst TehThomas, investors should expect a wave of uncertain movement in either direction. This is because Bitcoin needs to clear multiple liquidity levels before it is finally in a position to make a clean breakout. The Two FVGs Holding The Bitcoin Price Down In the analysis, Thomas explains that Bitcoin has created fair value gaps both above and below the current support level. The first of these lies above $117,000 and is expected to be the f…
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Bitcoin has bounced back above $112,000 after slipping to $107,000 last week, its lowest mark since July. The rebound has stirred hope among traders, but analysts remain split on whether the current upswing can hold through September. September’s Track Record Under Scrutiny Historical data shows September hasn’t been kind to Bitcoin during post-halving years. In 2017, the coin ended the month with a close to 8% loss, while in 2021 the decline was 7%. Even further back, in 2013, Bitcoin dropped 1.60% in the same month. That pattern has led some experts to argue that a retest of key technical levels this year is nothing unusual. Benjamin Cowen, head of ITC Crypto, has r…
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On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed how selling from US Bitcoin investors has dominated during the recent market downturn. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Points To US Selloff In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has talked about some key pieces of data related to the US-dominated Bitcoin selloff. The first indicator that CryptoQuant has shared is the “Coinbase Premium Gap,” which keeps track of the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). As the below chart shows, the 30-hour moving average (MA) value of this metric has plummeted into the red territory recently. A negative value on the Coinbase Premium Ga…
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Reports have disclosed that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse told a Binance-hosted panel he expects Bitcoin to reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026. Bank Moves Could Be The Spark According to market coverage, Bitcoin tumbled about $5,000 in roughly three hours during early December, wiping more than $200 billion from the broader crypto market and triggering nearly $700 million in liquidations. That sudden drop has been linked to moves in traditional markets, not a single crypto event. Some analysts point to a change in Japan’s bond market that is pressuring the long-running yen carry trade. Reports say the Bank of Japan’s policy path is now in focus, with a key decision du…
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Bitcoin is sitting on a technical ledge that could decide whether price makes a new all-time high or unwinds sharply into the $80,000s, according to veteran trader Josh Olszewicz (CarpeNoctom). “BTC complex iHS brewing in the megaphone,” he posted on October 30, 2025, adding in a follow-up: “Also this brewing, not great.” The Bullish Case For Bitcoin Olszewicz is tracking two structures. The first, on the 6-hour timeframe, shows BTC trading inside a broadening “megaphone” pattern that has contained price since July. The megaphone is defined by rising dotted resistance lines above and falling dotted support lines below. The upper boundary extends through roughly $126,000 …
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the latest Bitcoin selloff is different from the LUNA and FTX crashes of 2022. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Trend Is Structurally Different For The Latest Crash In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed how the recent bearish action in BTC compares against some of the past crashes. The analytics firm has used the Percent Supply in Profit to make the comparison. This on-chain indicator measures, as its name suggests, the percentage of the total Bitcoin circulating supply that’s sitting on some net unrealized gain right now. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to see what…
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The market’s leading crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), dipped below the $100,000 mark for the first time in over a month on Sunday, following US airstrikes on Iran as conflicts in the middle east continue to escalate. This decline, which saw the Bitcoin price drop approximately 4% to around $99,300, coincided with a broader market sell-off, with Ethereum (ETH) experiencing an even sharper decline of nearly 10%. Overall, the total cryptocurrency market took a significant hit, falling about 7% in just 24 hours. Geopolitical Unrest And Tariff Troubles The timing of this downturn was particularly notable, occurring just hours after the US targeted three key nuclear sites in Iran. Ten…
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The cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index has plummeted into the extreme fear territory following the crash in Bitcoin and other assets. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Now Pointing At “Extreme Fear” The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator created by Alternative that uses the data of several factors to determine the net sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The factors in question include volatility, trading volume, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The index makes use of a scale running from 0-100 for representing the investor mentality. All values above 53 imply the traders are greedy, wh…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holders have been ramping up their selling recently, a potential reason behind BTC’s fall under $100,000. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been Booking Profits In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the supply of the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs). These are referred to as the investors holding their coins for a period longer than 155 days, without selling or involving them in a transaction on the blockchain. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the LTHs with their long holding times are u…
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The Trump tariff news is wrecking the crypto and equities markets. Bitcoin’s floor gave way in Asia cracking to $114,250 and marking its lowest level since June 11. Three weeks of sideways chop ended in one clean move south that went as low as $111,000. According to CoinGlass, 158,000 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours. Total liquidations hit $630 million, with the majority from long positions. My gains, nooo!!! (X) This liquidation trauma reflects pre-emptive risk reduction. Spot crypto holdings saw $110 billion withdrawn in the 12 hours preceding Trump’s tariff announcement, underscoring heightened market anxiety. President Trump lit the fuse with a tariff…
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Bitcoin is once again gaining momentum, now trading above the $115,000 level after a modest surge yesterday. The move comes as markets price in growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut at its upcoming meeting next week. Risk assets, including crypto, have responded positively to the prospect of looser monetary policy, though the broader backdrop remains volatile. For Bitcoin, the challenge now lies in sustaining higher levels as bulls attempt to push further. While the reclaim of $115K signals strength, the path ahead is clouded with uncertainty as investors weigh macroeconomic risks alongside on-chain developments. Adding perspective, top analyst…
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Bitcoin’s drop has knocked a huge chunk off the estimated wealth tied to its mysterious creator. Prices fell more than 30% from an October peak near $126,000 to around $85,500, and that slump has cut the value of the coins believed to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto by roughly $41 billion. Satoshi’s On-Chain Holdings Under Scrutiny According to on-chain analysts, about 1.1 million BTC are attributed to Satoshi by patterns seen in early mining. Reports have disclosed that this total was worth about $138 billion at Bitcoin’s October high. Based on current prices, those holdings are now estimated at close to $96 billion. That places the pseudonymous owner below US billionaire …
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Bitcoin’s market structure is showing signs of cycle alignment that could delay a true bottom until October. As technical signals converge, the focus shifts to whether this timing will mark a deeper continuation of the correction or the groundwork for a stronger rebound. Macro Picture Remains Bearish With $99,000 Target In a new insight shared on X, analyst TARA provided an update on Bitcoin’s price action, stating that “the fight continues” and that the internal “waves are such a mess right now.” The current situation reflects a highly complex market environment where the short-term and mid-term technical signals are contradictory: the immediate trend is categorized as …
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Bitcoin prices have dipped by over 10% since establishing a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,457 on August 14. As with all previous retracements after a new ATH, this recent correction has sparked much speculation on the market peak price. The Bitcoin Decay Channel, a market prediction model, has provided insights into the potential market top price zones for the present cycle. Bitcoin Decay Channel Hints At $200K–$290K Top, Tips Cycle To Extend To 2026 In an X post on September 5, a Bitcoin researcher with the X username Sminston With shares some important data from the Bitcoin Decay Channel on a potential peak price for the current market cycle. For context, the Bit…
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s price from $124,000 to around $107,000 within 24 hours. The Cycle Phase Score combines …
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Bitcoin is trading above the $112,000 level, but its momentum is faltering as selling pressure intensifies. Analysts are divided on what comes next, with some calling for another correction and others suggesting that BTC may continue consolidating before any decisive move. The uncertainty highlights the fragile balance between bullish optimism and market caution. Top analyst Darkfost shared insights that bring back a long-running debate: Does Bitcoin’s traditional cycle structure still hold? While opinions vary, one factor remains consistent across cycles—the influence of long-term holders. Dormant BTC, when moved, often unleashes powerful selling pressure, a dynamic st…
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Bitcoin’s majestic 2024-25 ascent may have stalled at the very moment many traders expected an early-summer melt-up, according to crypto analyst Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX). In an extended thread published today, the Ichimoku-focused technician argues that the market printed a “valid cycle high” on the weekly chart and has now slipped into neutral territory—potentially postponing the next decisive breakout until mid-July or, failing that, as late as the first quarter of 2026. Bitcoin Bottom Not In? “I warned multiple times that we can’t be bullish on the weekly before the 9th of June,” Dr Cat reminded followers. The Chiko Span (CS) “entered the candles” last week, he noted, str…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has still not breached into the territory that marked the tops of previous cycles. 30-Day EMA Of Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Is Still Below Overheated Zone As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross is yet to hit an extreme level in the current cycle. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio is an on-chain indicator that measures the ratio between BTC’s market cap and transaction volume. When the value of this metric is high, it means the value of the network (as represented by the market cap) is high compared to its ability to transact coins (the volume). Such a trend ca…
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Cryptowzrd, in a fresh update on Bitcoin’s daily technical outlook, noted that the market closed bearish, leaving room for further downside. A decisive close below the $110,500 support could mark a key shift, making lower levels worth watching. Daily Candle Signals Bearish Pressure For Bitcoin Cryptowzrd expanded on his outlook by pointing out that Bitcoin’s daily candle closed bearish, with price now trading beneath the $110,500 support zone. This breakdown is significant and could invite further selling pressure in the sessions ahead if buyers fail to reclaim the level. He emphasized that holding below this support opens the door for a potential move toward the $100…
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The price of Bitcoin has been under intense bearish pressure over the past week, falling below the $110,000 mark on Thursday, September 25. While the premier cryptocurrency has managed to stop bleeding in the past day, the BTC price has struggled to reclaim the psychological $110,000 level. Interestingly, the latest readings of a technical analysis indicator suggest that the Bitcoin price might have just reached a bottom and could be ready for a rebound. Has The Bitcoin Price Reached A Bottom? In a September 26 post on the X platform, a crypto analyst named after the renowned economist Frank Fetter revealed that the price of Bitcoin might have just entered a buy zone. T…
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Bitcoin is trading at a decisive point after recently setting new all-time highs, but momentum appears to be shifting. Despite briefly pushing past $120,000, BTC failed to sustain levels above its record, and the breakout above ATH remains unconfirmed. This lack of follow-through has fueled bearish speculation, with some analysts warning that the market could be facing increased downside risk in the short term. At the same time, on-chain data paints a more constructive picture for long-term stability. According to the latest insights, the Long-Term Holder (LTH) cohort—those holding Bitcoin between six months and two years—has significantly increased its supply. Since Ap…
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Bitcoin is approaching a decisive inflection in its four-year cycle, with a euphoric “blowoff” advance likely to begin within days—or the market having already printed its peak at month 33—according to cycle analyst Bob Loukas. In a video published on September 24, 2025, Loukas told viewers he remains “heavily” inclined toward an imminent upside resolution into a cycle high during Q4, while outlining the risk markers that would instead confirm the top is already in. Bitcoin Blowoff Top Imminent Or Already In Loukas framed the present as the late stage of Bitcoin’s rising phase, noting that the advance from the bear-market low has been “a pretty consistent uptrend marked …
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The world’s leading cryptocurrency has demonstrated notable resilience in a week marked by geopolitical tensions and choppy risk sentiment. While traditional risk assets experienced volatile swings—gapping both higher and lower as headlines on the Israel-Iran conflict evolved—Bitcoin held its ground. A key signal of market resilience often comes at moments of maximum fear, when price action resists breaking key levels despite worsening headlines. That was precisely the case for Bitcoin. After peaking at a new all-time high of $112,030 in May, BTC pulled back, retesting the psychological $100,000 level. During the weekend escalation—when the US launched strikes on Irania…
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Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest upward move arrives at a time when confidence in the market remains uncertain, with many traders unsure whether the slight price recovery marks early strength or another temporary bounce. With last week’s pullback still fresh, a crypto analyst argues that most traders may label the recent recovery a dead cat bounce. However, he believes the narrative is misleading and predicts that Bitcoin’s rebound this week may be setting the stage for a stronger rally. Why The Bitcoin Price Recovery Is Not A Dead Cat Bounce Market analyst and founder of The House of Crypto, Peter Anthony, has released a new technical analysis of Bitcoin that challenges the prev…
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Bitcoin is days from printing another daily “death cross” — the 50-day simple moving average slipping beneath the 200-day — but analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) argues the label misleads more than it informs. In a November 12 video breakdown titled “BTC Daily Death Cross — How It Works And What To Expect,” he contends that every daily death cross of this cycle has coincided with the late stages — and, in practice, the lows — of multi-month corrective phases. “Don’t fall for the posts that say, ‘Oh my god, death cross on the daily, we’re going down 80%.’ That’s not how these have played out,” he says. “Remember, moving averages are lagging indicators […] the move that cause…
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