Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6886 tópicos neste fórum
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The US stock market is drawing investors like a magnet. It's hard to resist when, for the first time since November 2021, all four major indices—S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000—close at record highs. Such an event has happened only 25 times in the 21st century. Combined with record treasury holdings by non-residents, it's clear that American exceptionalism is alive and well—though with a new twist. Foreign investors collectively own $20 trillion in US-issued stocks and $14 trillion in bonds, including Treasuries. Their exodus in response to Donald Trump's tariffs drove the S&P 500 down to a 15-month low in early April. Since then, the prevailing m…
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Gold prices have fallen from a new all-time high amid a strengthening U.S. dollar, following the Federal Reserve's announcement of an anticipated interest rate cut after months of intense White House pressure to reduce borrowing costs. This decision, made despite lingering concerns about persistent inflation, triggered a wave of selling in gold, which is traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty and currency weakness. Although the rate cut was expected, some analysts saw it as a sign of the Fed's vulnerability to political pressure. Investors fear that further concessions could lead to runaway inflation and undermine confidence in th…
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Yesterday's latest failed attempt by Bitcoin to break above $118,000 could present significant challenges for its near-term growth prospects. The third consecutive failure to push beyond this range signals that bullish sentiment for a run to all-time highs in the near-term is quickly dwindling. Meanwhile, the crypto market continues to evolve. Yesterday, trading began in the US for the first spot XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF from REX-Osprey. This step marks an important milestone in the legitimization of cryptocurrencies as an asset class, expanding access for a broader range of investors and traders. The launch of the XRP ETF and Dogecoin ETF triggered mixed reactions in t…
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[Litecoin] – [Friday, September 19, 2025] Although Litecoin is subject to potential correction, with the EMAs still in a Golden Cross configuration, it continues to present an upside bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 122.24 2. Resistance. 1 : 120.49 3. Pivot : 117.29 4. Support. 1 : 115.54 5. Support. 2 : 112.34 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Litecoin rises and breaks to close above 117.29, there is potential for further gains toward 120.49. Momentum Extension Bias: If 120.49 is breached and closes above, Litecoin could potentially test the 122.24 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Litecoin's…
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[Uniswap] – [Friday, September 19, 2025] Although the RSI indicator is at a Neutral-Bearish level, the Golden Cross position of both EMAs increases the likelihood of further strengthening in the Uniswap cryptocurrency today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 9.921 2. Resistance. 1 : 9.776 3. Pivot : 9.517 4. Support. 1 : 9.372 5. Support. 2 : 9.113 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Uniswap strengthens, breaking and closing above 9.517, it has the potential to continue its rally to the 9.776 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 9.776 is successfully breached and closed above, Uniswap may move up to test the 9.921 level. Invalidation Level …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.49 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed a good upward move. The jump in the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index to 21 points in August led to instant dollar buying and a drop in the Japanese yen. This surge took most analysts by surprise—forecasts had called for much lower readings—and triggered an immediate reassessment of the US economic outlook. Investors eager to catch any signs of recovery quickly turned to the dollar as a safe haven and profit i…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3631 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry on the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 pips for the pair. The Bank of England's decision to keep rates unchanged did not help the pound; the market reacted with disappointment, viewing the lack of hawkish signals as a sign of caution and indecisiveness from the central bank in tackling inflation. On the one hand, the decision to hold rates at current levels can be seen as a balanced approach, accounting for the risks of slowing economic gro…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1823 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started to move down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry for the euro. As a result, the pair dropped by 50 pips. The explosive growth of the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index triggered an instant surge in demand for the dollar and, as a result, a weakening in the euro's position. The optimistic data encouraged investors to actively buy the US currency, which was perceived as a sign of an improving US economy. In the near term, the dollar's strengthening trend is likely to persist, especially if positive economic report…
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Wall Street hits fresh highs On Thursday, US stock markets closed at record levels. The rally came a day after the Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, sparking optimism among investors. Intel surges on Nvidia's investment The biggest market mover was Intel. Its shares skyrocketed 22.8%, marking the strongest one-day gain since October 1987. The jump followed Nvidia's announcement of a 5 billion dollar investment in the struggling chipmaker. Meanwhile, shares of rival Advanced Micro Devices slipped 0.8%. Nvidia rebounds Nvidia itself advanced 3.5%, recovering losses from the previous session, which had been triggered by concerns …
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The Dogecoin price had seen an initial run-up to $0.3 before the correction that brought it back toward $0.26 again. The aftermath of this has been uncertain price movements for the meme coin, especially as bulls and bears vied for control of the digital asset. At this junction, there is now a near equal opportunity for the price to actually go in either direction, and crypto analyst MyCryptoParadise has outlined the conditions that could favor either side. Why Dogecoin Price Is Still Bullish Despite the Dogecoin price decline, there is still a lot of bullishness in the current price action. This comes with the breakout of a classic falling wedge pattern, which is bullis…
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The US dollar quickly regained the upper hand, indicating the presence of major buyers in the market even though the Federal Reserve cut interest rates the previous day. Apparently, without a good correction in risk assets, another move to the upside will be hard to achieve. Strong Philadelphia Manufacturing Index numbers gave the dollar a boost. Traders, encouraged by the unexpectedly high readings, rushed to buy the US currency, viewing it as a sign of strengthening in the US economy. The euro, on the other hand, came under heavy selling pressure. Today, German Producer Price Index (PPI) data is due. If the figure comes in below economists' forecasts, it could trigger a…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “USD/JPY Technical: Yen eyeing a medium-term bullish breakout against USD from a 5-month range”, published on 17 September 2025. The USD/JPY dropped further on Wednesday, 17 September 2025, with an initial intraday loss of -0.7% to print an intraday low of 145.48 before it reversed up higher ex-post FOMC to close higher and erased all its initial losses, reinforced by Fed Chair Powell’s “less dovish” press conference. The USD/JPY has managed to survive at the 145.95 medium-term support (the lower boundary of the “Ascending Wedge” range configuration) in place since the 22 April 2025 low of 139.89 and…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $245 zone. SOL price is now correcting some gains and might find bids near $242 or $240. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $242 and $245 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $240 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $240 zone. Solana Price Corrects Some Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $232 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $240 level to…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday. The only report worth noting is UK Retail Sales. This release could trigger a minor market reaction—but only if the actual figure deviates significantly from the forecast. Overall, the market may take a breather today after two very active days featuring two central bank meetings and a key inflation report out of the UK. Fundamental Events Analysis: There is absolutely nothing notable on the fundamental calendar for Friday. The European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, and Bank of England meetings have all concluded, providing the market with all the necessary information for f…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair exhibited movements on Thursday similar to those of EUR/USD—or rather, it would be more accurate to say that EUR/USD mirrored GBP/USD. The key event of the day was the Bank of England meeting. After the results were announced, the British pound continued to decline, despite the absence of strong reasons for it to fall, even on Wednesday evening. The BoE left its monetary policy unchanged and noted that core inflation is slowing and wage growth is decelerating—subtly opening the door for another policy easing this year. However, we don't really see any slowdown. Headline inflation in the UK has been rising for …
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its downward movement after Wednesday evening, though we consider this move to lack logic. If you think about it, there was not a single reason for the euro to fall on Thursday, nor for the dollar to rise. However, the Bank of England's meeting triggered a drop in the pound sterling, which, in turn, pulled the euro down as well. Yet there were no strong reasons for the pound's decline in recent days—the BoE took an absolutely neutral stance, UK inflation was unchanged and matched forecasts, and the unemployment rate was also steady and aligned with market expectations. The same can be sa…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above the $3.050 resistance. The price is now correcting some gains and might find bids near the $3.020 zone. XRP price is moving higher above the $3.00 support zone. The price is now trading above $3.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $3.040 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears the $3.120 zone. XRP Price Holds Support XRP price remained support above $2.950 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $3.020 and $3.080 levels. The bulls even pushed the …
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $4,550. ETH is now consolidating and might attempt to clear the $4,640 resistance. Ethereum is now recovering higher above the $4,580 zone. The price is trading above $4,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $4,620 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,620 and $4,640. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price formed a base above $4,420 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to settle above the $4,500 and $4,520 levels. The price climbed abov…
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The dYdX Foundation, joined by 21Shares, held an analyst call on September 18 to present protocol updates, a new institutional channel, and product plans extending into 2026. The briefing covered market access, technology upgrades, and changes to token economics. For institutional investors, 21Shares launched a physically backed DYDX exchange-traded product in Europe. The ETP holds underlying tokens directly, cutting into the tradable supply while giving funds a regulated wrapper for exposure. On the product front, dYdX outlined several additions. Spot markets and Telegram-based trading are in the works, along with simplified logins for retail users. The team also fla…
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Ethereum steadied on Thursday after the Federal Reserve trimmed rates and co-founder Vitalik Buterin addressed growing concerns over staking withdrawals. ETH traded near $4,618, holding a narrow band between $4,434 and $4,646 through the US session. The Fed’s 25-basis-point cut set the macro backdrop. Markets initially slipped as investors weighed the slower pace of easing, but later recovered. Bitcoin hovered around $117,700, while Ethereum kept to its range. Buterin’s remarks aimed to calm unease over the network’s staking exit queue. He argued that withdrawal delays are intentional safeguards, comparing instant exits to “a soldier deciding to quit the army.” Predicta…
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The euro has been gradually retreating from its September 17 high. Typically, after the central bank meetings are over and no new trends have been set, investors shift their focus to the balance of economic indicators, which guide monetary policy. Sometimes it seems that retail sales or building permits can't move the exchange rate by 1%, but these releases provide longer-term momentum that can underpin trends for months ahead. The absence of an immediate market response to the Fed's rate change could turn into a medium-term decline for the euro. A cycle of important economic news kicks off next week. For a medium-term decline in EUR/USD to begin, the price needs to secu…
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The Bank of England held its meeting yesterday, almost exactly in line with expectations, except for the voting: the forecast was 8-1 for holding the rate, but it turned out to be 7-2. Now, expectations for a rate cut have shifted to November. Meanwhile, the realization is spreading through the media and markets that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates twice by year-end, so the BoE is set to retain its leadership in the easing cycle. On the daily chart, the price is preparing to break through support at 1.3525, which coincides with the MACD line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is not only about to move into bearish territory, but also looks poised to fall below th…
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The USD/JPY pair has spent the past week in a complicated, confusing game with false moves in both directions. The most recent of these was a deep false breakout below the 146.29 support level with Wednesday's lower shadow. Now, the price will attempt to break through and consolidate above the daily-scale MACD line (148.28). If successful, the price could climb above the first target level at 149.38 and continue rising into the target range of 151.70–152.10. The Marlin oscillator has established itself in bullish territory, joining this main upward scenario for the pair. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator is moving sideways. This is a sign of an impending co…
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Senator Elizabeth Warren is turning up the heat on the Department of Justice. She wants real answers about how the agency is handling Binance after the company’s massive 2023 settlement. Warren says the DOJ is dodging her questions and that the public deserves more clarity about what’s actually happening behind the scenes. Questions That Still Haven’t Been Answered Back in May, Warren and two other senators sent a letter asking the DOJ if Binance was sticking to its side of the deal. They also wanted to know whether the department had discussed a pardon for Binance’s co-founder Changpeng Zhao. The DOJ responded, but Warren says the answers were vague and didn’t actually …
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Bitcoin price is moving higher above $116,650. BTC is now facing hurdles and might extend gains if it clears the $118,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $116,500 zone. The price is trading below $116,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $115,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $117,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $116,000 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $116,200 and $116,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push th…
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