Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11966 tópicos neste fórum
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Yesterday the US dollar sharply slumped in pairs with several risk-sensitive assets following news that US consumers have shown signs of fatigue just before what could become the longest government shutdown, and their outlook has only deteriorated since. According to data released on Tuesday, retail sales in September rose by only 0.2%. A more recent report from the Conference Board showed that consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in seven months, reflecting growing concerns about the labor market and the economy. The drop from 95.5 in October to 88.7 in November is also very significant and sensitive, which is negative for the dollar. These data sparked a wave o…
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Yesterday the British pound posted a fairly large gain against the US dollar. The main reason for buying the pound was news that the UK would raise the minimum wage for workers aged 21 and over by as much as 4.1%. This is being done to help low-income earners. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves announced plans to raise the minimum wage to £12.71 per hour one day before the budget she has long anticipated. Reeves said that this decision, which will take effect in April next year, will help people who are barely making ends meet. Thus, the increase in the minimum wage next year will once again outpace inflation. The increase in the minimum wage would certainly be a …
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Spot XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) started the week surpassing most crypto-based investment products after the record debut performance of Grayscale and Franklin Templeton’s funds. GXRP, XRPZ See Record Debut This week, the second batch of spot XRP ETFs went live, debuting with a record-breaking performance. Notably, Grayscale and Franklin Templeton launched their XRP-based investment products, recording over $60 million in net inflows each during their first day. On Monday, Franklin Templeton debuted the new XRPZ ETF on NYSE Arca, highlighting that “its established utility in facilitating cross-currency settlement has made XRP a central component of the growing dig…
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How do you make the market happy? Take away its favorite toy and then give it back. For the S&P 500, this toy has been the expectation of a Fed rate cut in December. Following the release of the minutes from the October FOMC meeting, these expectations fell to 28%, prompting the broad stock index to undergo a correction. Rumors about Kevin Hassett's imminent appointment as the head of the central bank have spiked the chances of monetary expansion by the end of the year to 85%. It is no surprise that the stock market is up for the third day in a row. Dynamics of Market Expectations Regarding Federal Reserve Monetary Expansion The director of the National Economic Co…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 156.20 coincided with the moment the MACD indicator just began its downward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined by 20 pips. Unfavorable macroeconomic data coming from the United States negatively impacts the American currency, weakening its role as a reliable safe-haven asset against the Japanese yen. Investors are concerned about a potential slowdown in U.S. economic growth—especially given the Federal Reserve's cautious stance. External factors are also putting additional pressure on the dollar's exchange rate. In t…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3139 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning its upward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulting in a rise towards the target level of 1.3187. The pound surged sharply on news that the UK will increase the minimum wage by 4.1%. Investors now assess the likelihood of the Bank of England maintaining interest rates unchanged in the coming months as quite high. However, opinions among experts are divided. Some argue that raising the minimum wage will undoubtedly increase inflationary pressures, as businesses will be forced to pass on …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price test at 1.1547 occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly from the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. Selling at 1.1528 resulted in losses. Weak macroeconomic data from the United States is obviously putting pressure on the dollar, undermining its position as an attractive safe-haven asset. Traders fear that the Federal Reserve's tight stance, coupled with the recent shutdown, might severely slow economic growth. However, despite current difficulties, the dollar should not be written off. The American economy remains one of the largest a…
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Bitcoin remains afloat. Several desperate attempts to pressure Bitcoin yesterday were met with active buying around $86,300, keeping the chances of further upward correction of the trading instrument alive. Ethereum also attempted to bounce back to $3,000, but has not yet managed to break above this level. Yesterday, it was reported that Texas became the first state in the US to start purchasing a spot Bitcoin ETF for its reserves. The first purchases took place on November 20, with the state investing $10 million. Texas is currently buying BTC through the BlackRock ETF IBIT but will eventually move towards self-custody of Bitcoin. This news was received positively withi…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.91%, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.67%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 1.43%. Global indices continued their bullish run for the fourth consecutive day, as expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut increased in light of weak consumer confidence data in the United States and the emergence of a central bank official supporting a proportionate rate reduction as a potential next Fed chair. A rise in Asian stocks led to a 0.3% increase in the MSCI All Country World Index, reducing the index's losses after a sell-off to 1.3%. Treasury bonds generally maintained their upward trend c…
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In today’s crypto market news, there’s a weird and interesting blend of signals coming from the institutional space, especially with BlackRock, JP Morgan, and a series of new Russia crypto policy changes all landing at once. BlackRock and Fidelity keep grocery shopping Bitcoin during a sale. JP Morgan is suddenly speaking about crypto as if it’s part of the traditional macro tool kit, and Russia is loosening the screws on access to crypto-linked products. All of that together paints a far different picture than what most people expected even a few months ago. DISCOVER: 16+ New and Upcoming Binance Listings in 2025 ETH Support Holds While Total3 Starts Turning Up Mo…
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The founder of Capriole Investments says he “cannot be bearish” on Bitcoin, pointing to key indicators that remain inside green territories. Bitcoin Heater & NVT Are Both Inside Bullish Zones In a new post on X, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards has shared a couple of indicators related to Bitcoin that could paint a picture different than what the crowd is thinking right now. The first indicator is Capriole’s “Heater,” gauging the situation related to the derivatives market. The metric tracks the data associated with the entire sector, including perpetual swaps, futures, and options markets. When this indicator has a high value, it’s a sign that investo…
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The dollar lost considerable ground against the euro, the pound, and other risk assets yesterday, and there were specific reasons for this. A sharp drop in the US consumer confidence index and retail sales volume weighed on the US dollar. Traders noted signs of slowing US economic growth, undermining confidence in the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. Conversely, the European currency received support from German inflation data. As for the pound, it surged against the dollar. Additional support for the GBP/USD pair came from news that the UK will increase the minimum wage by 4.1%. Traders viewed this as a sign of growing inflationary pressure in the future. Ho…
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Following a significant downturn that saw Bitcoin (BTC) plunge to the $80,000 mark on November 21, the leading cryptocurrency has managed to stabilize above this critical threshold for several days. This development has sparked speculation about whether this level represents a short-term bottom and if a new upward trend might follow. Potential Local Bottom For Bitcoin According to analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Aleman, on-chain data indicates a market landscape characterized by institutional redistribution, structural weakness, and signs of a rebound that may hint at a local bottom. One of the observations made is that large whale investors have been activ…
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[Gold] Buyers appear to still dominate Gold at this time, as indicated by the Golden Cross formation of the EMA(50) and EMA(200). Although there is also potential for a limited correction indicated by the RSI, as long as it does not break below Support 2, buyers remain in control. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4182.30 2. Resistance. 1 : 4156.03 3. Pivot : 4132.58 4. Support. 1 : 4106.31 5. Support. 2 : 4082.86 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold breaks and closes above 4132.58, the next level to be tested will be 4156.03. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4156.03 is broken, there is potential for Gold to continue its strength u…
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[Silver] Although there is potential for a correction confirmed by the appearance of a Bearish Divergence on the RSI, the overall bias still shows strengthening, confirmed by the Golden Cross of both EMAs, indicating that buyers are still dominating today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 52.303 2. Resistance. 1 : 51.872 3. Pivot : 51.268 4. Support. 1 : 50.837 5. Support. 2 : 50.233 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Silver breaks above 51.268, it has the potential to continue strengthening up to 51.872. Momentum Extension Bias: If 51.872 is successfully broken, there is potential for Silver to test the level at 52.303. Invali…
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The conversation around Hyperliquid’s price and its rapidly expanding ecosystem has completely changed since the rollout of the HIP-3 upgrade. This transformative upgrade turns Hyperliquid from a single-perpetuals exchange into a fully decentralized, permissionless “exchange-of-exchanges”. With new markets launching daily, trading fees slashed by over 90%, and builders pouring into the ecosystem, HIP-3 is being described as a pivotal shift toward the future of on-chain finance. This article breaks down what HIP-3 is, why it matters, where Hyperliquid may be heading in December 2025, and whether SBET could eventually list on the new system. …
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $135 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $140 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $132 and $135 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $132 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $133 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $140 and $142. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave above $130, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $135 level. There was a move toward th…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday, and even fewer are significant. Essentially, only the durable goods orders report in the United States can be highlighted. This report is important because these goods are expensive and, therefore, reflect long-term expectations and confidence among American consumers. Additionally, a secondary indicator of unemployment claims will be released, which is unlikely to attract serious interest. In the European Union and the UK, event calendars are empty today. Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are also a few fundamental events scheduled for Wednesday. In the European Uni…
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Trade Analysis of Tuesday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also rose on Tuesday, driven by the same factors that were influencing the European currency. A few days ago, the descending trend line was broken; macroeconomic data yesterday were unfavorable for the US dollar; and, in the long term (despite a prolonged correction), an upward trend remains. The global fundamental backdrop remains favorable to the British pound, despite disappointing economic data over the last month and confusion about the 2026 budget. However, persistent budget issues cannot keep pulling down the British currency, and British data are currently not much worse than American on…
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Trade Analysis for Tuesday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair finally demonstrated a logical upward movement on Tuesday. And it was reasonable in every sense of the word. Let's start with the technical aspect. The price broke through and overcame the descending trend line, so an upward trend was to be expected. On the daily timeframe, the pair reached the area of the lower boundary of the sideways channel at 1.1400-1.1830, thus growth could again be anticipated. From a macroeconomic perspective, three reports were published in the U.S. yesterday, and two of them can be definitively assigned as negative for the American dollar. While the producer…
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XRP is inching closer to a major turning point as fresh upward momentum collides with a developing, expanding diagonal structure. The recent impulse off support is starting to hint at a potential macro shift, raising expectations for a breakout-driven continuation if buyers can maintain control. Building Toward A Truncated Low: Market Structure Turns Complicated Hov recently highlighted a key shift in XRP’s structure, revisiting the outlook from the previous analysis where a potential push lower was expected to complete a truncated low. Since that discussion, XRP has dipped further, printing a new low on the line chart compared to the wick from the liquidity sweep. Howev…
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SOL moved higher on Tuesday as traders spotted early signs of a trend shift, pushing the token back toward a key resistance area. Solana traded near $136 across major exchanges after bouncing off a well-watched support level. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Analysts said the move appears to be a short-term reversal, aided by steady activity in the derivatives market. The market spent most of November under pressure, and SOL followed suit. But positioning is now picking up again. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 Does Rising DEX and Pe…
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Macro uncertainty is resurfacing, and it arrives at a challenging time for the crypto sector. Digital assets are still under pressure, so traders head into Tuesday with one question on their minds: what will this week’s US data and regulatory signals mean for the market? The next 48 hours carry key releases and fresh comments from the SEC, and both could shape rate expectations as the calendar moves into early December. Any shift in the outlook tends to spill across global markets, tightening or loosening the liquidity that often drives Bitcoin and major altcoins. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 What Does the BEA’s Calendar Change Mea…
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XRP price started a steady increase above $2.150. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for another increase if it clears $2.250. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.20 zone. The price is now trading above $2.180 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.170 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears $2.250. XRP Price Eyes More Gains XRP price started a decent upward move above $2.050 and $2.080, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $2.150 resistance. The bulls even pumped th…
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Starknet’s new mainnet upgrade is live, and traders are already watching how it might shape STRK after one of the token’s roughest months this year. The Ethereum Layer 2 network pushed its v0.14.1 update to the mainnet on November 25. It follows a testnet run earlier in the month. The release, developed by StarkWare and the Starknet core team, introduces faster block production during quieter periods, a new hash function standard, and an enhanced JSON-RPC stack. The upgrade arrives while STRK trades near multi-week lows, around $0.13–$0.14, after a steep drop from its mid-November highs. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 How Does Starknet’s Latest Upgra…
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