Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11949 tópicos neste fórum
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History repeats itself. Sometimes it seems almost like a copy. The EUR/USD pair has fallen for five consecutive trading days. This marks the longest losing streak since July. In both mid-summer and late autumn, we see very similar processes taking place. A strong U.S. economy has prompted the futures market to lower the odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike, while the political crisis in France has pressured the euro. Additionally, the escalation of the trade conflict between Washington and Brussels has raised doubts about the Eurozone's bright future. There are, of course, differences. The government of Elisabeth Borne is still holding together, unlike that of Francois Bay…
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After the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut the interest rate by a quarter point and expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate policy became more hawkish, a further weakening of the Canadian dollar became nearly certain. The accompanying statement from the BoC indicated that the Bank is satisfied with the current interest rate level, which reduces the likelihood of further cuts. Now all attention is focused on how the government under Prime Minister Carney intends to lead the country out of the structural crisis. The long-awaited budget has been published in its first reading, and its direction looks far from optimistic for the Canadian dollar. Hundreds of revenue-boosting measu…
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After a five-day bearish run, the euro-dollar pair has entered a drift. For five consecutive trading days, the pair has actively declined amidst an overall strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Just a week ago, buyers of EUR/USD were testing the 1.1650 resistance level (the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the D1 timeframe), while on Wednesday, the price settled at 1.1477. However, despite prevailing bearish sentiment, sellers are struggling to maintain positions below the 1.1480 support level (the lower line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart and the Kijun-sen line on the weekly chart). Buyers, in turn, are unable to organize even a modest correction.…
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"Like a bolt from a clear sky," "it never happened, and here we are again." Any of the above headlines would fit Tuesday's event in the UK. Early in the morning, the UK Treasury Director Rachel Reeves announced that the Labour Party would have to abandon its promise not to raise taxes. A brief history: in 2024, after Boris Johnson's resignation, Keir Starmer became Prime Minister, winning elections where the Labour Party came to power. For the first time in over 10 years, the Labour Party found itself in power, having to deal with the consequences of the Conservatives' actions, particularly concerning Brexit, its economic and demographic outcomes, the budget deficit, and …
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The USD/CHF pair has attracted buyers for the sixth consecutive day, reaching its highest level since August 12. This momentum has pushed the price above the key level of 0.8100 and is supported by ongoing U.S. dollar purchases. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which reflects the value of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, has reached a more than three-month high due to the hawkish stance of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Also, Fed Chair Jerome Powell refuted market expectations of another rate cut in December. These factors help alleviate concerns about the economic risks associated with the prolonged U.S. government shutdown, while continuing to support the dolla…
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Realizing that the situation was becoming a stalemate and that its resolution could cost many their positions in Parliament, Reeves decided to address the British people, urging them to support her proposal to raise taxes. How is this likely to be perceived by the British public? One thing was promised, then the government failed in its duties, and now the British public is expected to pay for the incompetence of the current politicians out of their own pockets. It's worth noting that the UK's standard of living has decreased following Brexit, while the cost of living has risen. Tax increases represent another blow to households. Unsurprisingly, the British pound came und…
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Data shows sentiment around Bitcoin and Ethereum has plummeted on social media, but XRP and other altcoins are just observing apathy. Social Media Traders Have Turned Bearish On Bitcoin & Ethereum In a new insight post, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about how sentiment around cryptocurrencies has changed on social media following the latest market crash. The indicator of relevance here is the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” which tells us how bullish sentiment compares against the bearish one on the major social media platforms. The metric works by going through social media posts/messages/threads to separate them into positive and negative using a ma…
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The International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM) has published its Tailings Progress Report, detailing member companies’ progress in implementing the Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM). Tailings are a by-product of mining, consisting of processed rock or soil, often containing residual chemicals, left over from the separation of the commodities of value from the material within which they occur. Globally, an estimated 13 billion square tonnes of tailings are generated at mine sites each year, ICMM noted in the report. They are typically stored in engineered containment structures (tailings facilities), which often resemble dams or emba…
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According to comments made at the Ripple Swell conference, Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg said the XRP Ledger is lining up as a set of financial rails that could rival legacy systems on Wall Street. He argued the ledger’s payment features make it a practical tool for moving money across borders. His remarks come as several big fund managers update filings for potential XRP exchange-traded funds, and as traders watch for approvals that may arrive as soon as mid-November. XRP Ledger Framed As Payment Rails McClurg drew on his background as an emerging-market bond manager when he pointed to high remittance costs as a clear problem. Workers often pay between 8% and 15%…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 5. The US government shutdown officially became the longest in history today — 36 days and counting — yet markets found some relief in stronger-than-expected private data amid the lack of public releases. The ISM Services PMI hit its highest level since February, and ADP employment came in at 42K vs. 25K expected, underscoring the economy’s resilience despite the political gridlock. Services PMI and ADP beats fuel US stock market return Read More:North American mid-week Market update – Some reversal in 2025 flowsDollar rallies on ADP jobs beat, the 'Goldilocks' era and AI stock sell-offUS Dollar (DXY…
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Solana’s recent pullback appears to be finding direction as the price drifts toward the $160 zone, a level attracting strong-handed investors. Despite short-term weakness, sentiment around SOL remains steady, with traders viewing the dip as a potential accumulation opportunity before momentum shifts back in favor of the bulls. Triangle Breakdown Brings SOL To A Critical Accumulation Zone According to the latest outlook from Crypto VIP Signal, Solana’s price recently broke out of a downward triangle, signaling a temporary shift in market structure. This move has brought SOL down to a crucial support region where buyers have previously shown strong interest. The reaction f…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Wednesday. However, the most interesting aspect is not merely the further decline of the European currency. Recall that on Monday, the market essentially ignored the ISM manufacturing activity index, which came in worse than expected. For over a month, we have highlighted the illogical nature of market movements, emphasizing this event. Wednesday arrived, and the U.S. was set to release the ISM services activity index along with the ADP report on the labor market. Let's analyze. According to the ADP report, the private sector added 42,000 jobs in October. As noted, 42,000 is quite mini…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair managed to avoid a new decline on Wednesday —what is it? A calm before a new storm? Or before another fall of the British pound? Recall that today in the UK, the results of the Bank of England meeting will be announced, and any deviation in the interest rate, in the voting on the rate, or in the central bank's accompanying statement from market expectations could provoke a significant movement. However, on Wednesday, at least two reports from the U.S. could have triggered a good movement. But instead, we saw a flat market throughout the day. We already noted that the ADP report came in better than forecasts, but it is i…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very weakly again on Wednesday, maintaining a downward inclination. The only significant events of the day included the ISM services activity index from the U.S. and the ADP report, which is now the only report on which market participants can base their judgments about the U.S. labor market. However, we will discuss macroeconomic data further on. In this article (despite its fundamental nature), we will focus on the most important factor driving the pair down for over a month. The daily timeframe best illustrates the current situation on the currency market. We frequently mention this because it is indeed true. It is worth recalling that …
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The GBP/USD currency pair struggled to avoid a new collapse on Wednesday. Yesterday, we pointed out that there were no grounds for a new fall of the British currency. We maintain that view today. Many experts believe the decline in the British currency, which has been falling for a month and a half, is due to the new speech by UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves. Is this true? Let's not hide the fact that Reeves is like a red rag to a bull for currency traders. As soon as traders see the word "Reeves," they immediately start to divest from the British currency to avoid potential losses. However, it is essential to remember that we seek not emotions but concrete and logical argume…
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The question dominating crypto desks this week is whether the cycle is intact, and when the bull run will return. Two widely followed macro commentators sketched the same causal chain from public-sector cash management to crypto asset beta, arguing that the current drawdown is a liquidity story first and a sentiment story second—and that its reversal hinges on the mechanics of the US Treasury General Account (TGA), Federal Reserve balance-sheet policy, and the timing of Washington’s reopening. Crypto Market Awaits US Government Shutdown Resolution Macro analyst @plur_daddy on X summarizes the current state bluntly: “We are seeing the contraction in liquidity flowing thro…
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Bitcoin price is struggling below $105,000. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $104,200 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $104,000 support. The price is trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $103,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it fails to surpass the $105,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $105,000 support level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $103,500 and $102,000 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was …
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is showing renewed weakness after a week of heavy whale distribution and technical breakdowns that erased much of its recent recovery. As traders brace for further declines, analysts warn that the meme coin could tumble below the $0.15 threshold if bearish sentiment persists. Currently trading at around $0.163, Dogecoin fell 5% to $0.16 on Tuesday, breaking below critical support levels amid intensified institutional selling. On-chain data reveals that large holders offloaded more than 1 billion DOGE in the past week, translating to roughly $440 million in outflows. 1 Billion DOGE Sell-Off Intensifies Selling Pressure The recent $1 billion sell-off came…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,500. ETH is attempting to recover from $3,050 but faces resistance near $3,500. Ethereum started another bearish wave after it settled below $3,550. The price is trading below $3,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $3,410 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,320. Ethereum Price Faces Resistance Ethereum price failed to stay in a positive zone and started a fresh decline below $3,500, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $3,450 and $3,350 to enter a bearish zone. The decl…
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Metaplanet Inc., the Tokyo‑listed company building a large Bitcoin treasury, has taken out a $100 million loan backed by a portion of its existing Bitcoin holdings. The company drew from a credit facility on October 31 and pledged part of its 30,823 BTC stash, which was valued at about $3.5 billion at the time. The loan uses a floating interest rate linked to U.S. dollar benchmarks and can be repaid whenever the company chooses. Metaplanet says the pledged collateral represents only a small slice of its bitcoin reserve, which it points to as evidence of its conservative approach to leverage. Borrowing to Buy More Instead of Selling Rather than sell bitcoin to free up c…
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Mastercard has joined forces with Ripple and Gemini to test a new way to settle credit card transactions using the RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. The plan would connect Gemini’s credit card, which is issued through WebBank, to a blockchain-based system where settlement happens using RLUSD instead of the usual behind-the-scenes bank transfers. The project is expected to roll out in the coming months, once it clears regulatory reviews and participating partners are officially onboarded. A Regulated Stablecoin on a Public Ledger This isn’t just another blockchain test. It would mark one of the first times a fully regulated U.S. bank steps into a public blockchain to s…
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The crypto market looks beaten down again, but one veteran investor says that may be the exact signal to stay calm. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes Bitcoin’s deep sell-off — now dragging prices below $102,000 for the first time since the last five months — is more about panic than fundamentals. Retail Sentiment At ‘Max Desperation’ Hougan told CNBC this week that small traders are hitting a breaking point. “It’s almost a tale of two markets,” he said, describing what he sees as “max desperation” among retail investors after months of heavy losses and leverage blowouts. He called the mood the most depressed he’s ever witnessed in crypto. For him, …
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XRP price started a recovery wave from $2.050. The price is now back above $2.25 and might attempt to surpass the $2.420 resistance zone. XRP price was able to start a recovery wave above $2.20. The price is now trading above $2.250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $2.240 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears $2.420. XRP Price Starts Recovery XRP price extended losses below $2.25 and $2.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.150 and $2.120 levels. A low was formed at $2.066, and the price recently s…
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Solana’s active validator count has dropped from about 2,500 to under 900 since early 2023, roughly a 64% decline. Even so, people working in the ecosystem say the network is stronger today. They note that many of the validators that left were slow or caused problems for the chain’s performance. With those operators gone, congestion has eased, and the system now runs more smoothly. Tomas Eminger, Chief Infrastructure Officer at RockawayX, noted that a large portion of existing validators were using outdated hardware, unable to support Solana’s expanding activity. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in November2025 What Does the ‘Three-for-One’ Vali…
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EUR/USD is trading at 1.1504, rebounding after the consolidation above the 6/8 Murray level in recent sessions. This positive bias suggests that the euro will likely continue its rise in the coming hours, potentially reaching the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1596. If the euro undergoes a technical correction towards 1.1474 in the next few hours, we could consider this area a key buying level with targets at 1.1544 and 1.1596. Let me remind you that the euro left a gap around 1.1740 in October, so we believe that the euro could resume its upward cycle in the coming days and reach these resistance levels, thus covering the gap. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, sug…
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